Usd/jpy

USD/JPY Daily Time Frame:

Ab thori rookhni tezi hai, lekin yeh uttar ki taraf koi serious koshish nahi, sirf neeche jaane ki koshish hai, aur mujhe lagta hai ke bailon ka dobara 152.50 ke neeche market mein aana hai. USD/JPY ab maqsoodan mautabiq ki taraf barhne ki koshish kar raha hai takay 154.33 ke resistance level tak pohanch sake, kyunki wazeh hai ke USD/JPY ke liye lehar mein kuch aur chalne ke liye abhi kuch baqi hai. Jab yeh mansoobay haqeeqat banain, is ahem nishan tak pohanchne ke baad, jpy ka tawajju banany ki koshish mumkin hai bullish se bearish rukh par. Magar, 154.33 ke level tak pohanchne ke baad bhi, yeh zaroori nahi hai ke pair mein sharp girawat aaye; zyada tar, market apni harkat ko dheema kar dega. Is khaas market zone ko paar karne ke baad, waqtan-fa-waqt southern rukh ka matlaab bhol jana mumkin hai. Agar is mansoobe ka amal nakam rahe, toh aik natural tor par southern border ki taraf chalna zaroori hoga level 151.47 par.

USD/JPY H4 Time Frame:

Aaj hum ne 153 figure tak pohanch liya hai, shayad dopahar mein Americans ko kal ki tarah uttar ki taraf wahi impulse ho. Abhi, main abhi bhi uttar ki taraf jaane ka intehai tajwez rakh raha hoon, kyunki lehar ki shakal bearish trend ka wajood banane ki mumkinat ko rokti hai, aur 151.47 ke level ka toorna lazmi hai ke bailon ko dobara ghar kar diya jaye. Main intihaai view se ittefaq nahi karta aur ab bulandiyon ki taraf chalne ka imkan dekhta hoon, 154.33 tak pohanchne ke end mein. Agar 153.37 ke rukawat na hoti, toh pair ne 154.33 ke level tak pohanchne ki koshish kar li hoti, aur is harkat ke doran 155.28 tak pohanchne ki sambhavna hoti. Is waqt main dekhta hoon ke is harkat ka aghaaz karna ka imkan hai, jo ke kharid-dar ki taraf se taraqqi ki manzoori par khatam hogi.

Mukhtasir tor par, USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda surat-e-hal ka yeh zahoor karta hai ke jabke umeedwar raftar mein izafa sab ko thaka diya hai, magar is waqt koi ahem kami ka intezar nahi hai agar Bank of Japan ki taraf se dakhal na ho ya phir US Dollar mein koi ghalti na ho.

December 2023 se, jodi sargarm tor par barh rahi hai aur relatif chand dino mein 13 figures upar chali gayi hai, ek aham doura tak, jahan global buland maqam par pohanch kar 152.20 par aur phir 153.35 tak pohanch gayi.

To phir achanak kyun neeche ulat jaaye jab aaj is jodi ke liye koi saqaf nahi hai, is liye kuch na kuch lena dena hai, aur humari sab hi umeedain janubi ke hawale se sirf yehi principle hai ke qeematain beinteha nahi barh sakti aur kuch bhi nahi.

Qudrati taur par, situation mein tabdeeli ke liye, Japani qoumi currency ko mazboot karne ke liye drivers ki zaroorat hoti hai, jo seedha dakhal Bank of Japan se mutasir hoti hain, magar yeh abhi tak nahi ho raha hai.

Waqat ke saath, US Dollar ko mazid izafa mila hai mukhtalif currencies ke mukablay mein, is ke natayej mein, Federal Reserve ke monetary policy easing ke maamle ko be tarteeb doura pe charah diya gaya hai.

Takneeki tor par, neeche giravat ke liye koi asal bunyadi surat-e-hal nahi hai, siwaye yeh ke stochastic indicator ko khatarnaak overbought condition ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai.

Magar yeh sirf ek sudhaar ke liye le ja sakta hai, qareebi manzilon ko paas mein, purane global buland maqam 152.20 aur qeemat ke paas qarar pechidgi ki satah ke darmiyan, bhi purane, 151.90 par, jo overbought halaat ko halka karay ga aur baad mein umeedwar raftar ko jari rakhega, magar puri tarah se ek trend ka ultaaval nahin.

USD/JPY H1 time frame

Federal Reserve ke interest rate policy ke lehaaz se market ka tajziya bila shak imtiaz se muntazir hone ki taraf rukh gaya hai. CME FedWatch tool market ki umeedon mein dakhil hone wale mukhtalif izaafaat faraham karta hai, aur mojooda tawaanai jo July mein aik rate cut ka ailaan karta hai, ek taqatwar umeed ko darust karta hai jise mulki maandari ke bartari hone ki wajah se saabit kiya gaya hai. Magar, in tajaweezon ko tehqeeqati nazar se jaanch karke aur unhe maandar haqeeqaton ke saath mawafiq tasleem karna ahem hai. Halankeh market ki tawajoh farokht ka rawaya asar andaz hoti hai, lekin wo hamesha central bank karkardagiyon ko darust tarah se paish karna nahi sakti. Aapki tafseelat ke mutabiq major banks aur holdings ne apni taajziyaat ko do maheenon ke easing ke muntazir hone ke lehaaz se dobara taqreeban badal diya hai, jo ke mali idaray ki ehtiyaat bhari approach ko darust karti hai. Yeh tabdeeli ek mali masael ki pehchaan ko tasleem karta hai aur monetary policy ki tabdeeliyon ke lehaaz se ehtiyaat bhari karwai ka izhar karta hai. Participants mazid, jese GDP ki barhao, inflashion darjat aur rozgar data ko samajhne ke liye mazeed economic indicators ko nigrani mein rakhte hain taake mulk ki maandari ka andaza lagaya ja sake. In indicators mein tabdeeliyan central bank ke rate adjustment ki timing aur miqdar ke lehaaz se umeedon par asar daal sakti hain.

USD/JPY H4 time frame

Jab ke kuch observers ke liye July mein rate cut ki umeed se market ka tazad dekhne mein ajeeb lag sakta hai, lekin ahem hai ke samjha jaye ke market ke dynamics ek pur-asar khilwat se muntazir hai. Market ki umeedon aur waqeai policy actions ke darmiyan ikhtalaf kabhi kabar economic data ke mukhtalif tabdilat, mukhtalif risk tashkees aur mali markets mein tajaweeh se waabasta hota hai. Ikhtataam mein, jabke July mein rate cut ki market ki umeed dabe hue lag sakti hai, lekin yeh mulkion ke maali data, aalami trends aur central bank ki guftagoon ki roshni mein ek tabdeel hone wali ittefaq ko darust karta hai. Jese waqeiat hotay hain, ye ahem hai ke dekha jaye ke ye factors market ki tawaanai aur Federal Reserve ki policy decisions par kis tarah asar andaz hote hain.

Transakshun ka tajziya aur USD/JPY ke liye trading ke liye tips:

151.81 ka imtehaan, jab MACD line zero se barhne lag gayi, aik khareedne ka signal janwar kiya jo 15 pips ke izafa ki taraf le gaya. Jodi ke dabaav kuch dair baad wapas aagaya.

Japan ke maal ke farahm ka mazboot data aur Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ke uljhe hue bayanat ke bawajood, dollar aik orizontal range ke andar trade kartay rahay, khaas tor par US services sector ke weak PMI data ki wajah se, jo ke jodi ke upar ki taraf ki potential ko mehdood kar raha tha. Sirf is range ke bahar nikalne se hi USD/JPY mein mazboot harkat hogi. Lambi positions ke liye:

Khareedain jab price 151.76 (chart par sabz line) par pohanchay aur faida 152.02 par lain. Barhao mumkin hai agar khareedne wale is orizontal channel ke upper boundary ko tor saktay hain.

Khareedte waqt, yaqeeni banain ke MACD line zero ke upar hoti hai ya is se barh rahi hai. Usay bhi ghor se khareedain jab do musalsal price tests 151.61 ke hotay hain, lekin MACD line oversold area mein honi chahiye kyun ke sirf isi se market 151.76 aur 152.02 ki taraf ulta palatay ga.

Chhoti positions ke liye:

Bechein jab price 151.61 (chart par surkhi line) tak pohanchay aur faida 151.36 par lain. Dabaav wapas aayega ek nakami ka imtehaan ke baad jo ke saalana uchayi ke ird gird jamaye jaane ka nakami tha.

Bechte waqt, yaqeeni banain ke MACD line zero ke nichay hoti hai ya is se neeche ja rahi hai. Usay bhi ghor se bechain jab do musalsal price tests 151.76 ke hotay hain, lekin MACD line overbought area mein honi chahiye kyun ke sirf isi se market 151.61 aur 151.36 ki taraf ulta palatay ga.

Chart par kya hai:

Patli sabz line - USD/JPY khareedne ka dakhilah maqami darjah jahan se aap khareed sakte hain

Moti sabz line - umeed ki gayi keemat jahan aap Take-Profit (TP) set kar sakte hain ya haath se munafa fix kar sakte hain, kyun ke is se aagay ki barhao mumkin nahi hai.

Patli surkhi line - USD/JPY bechnay ka dakhilah maqami darjah jahan se aap bech sakte hain

Moti surkhi line - umeed ki gayi keemat jahan aap Take-Profit (TP) set kar sakte hain ya haath se munafa fix kar sakte hain, kyun ke is se neeche ki giraawat mumkin nahi hai.

MACD line - isse ma'in hota hai ke aap ko market mein dakhil hone par overbought aur oversold areas ke hisaab se saath dene ki zaroorat hai

Ahem: Nayee traders ko bazaar mein dakhilah karne ke faislay par bohot ehtiyaat se amal karna chahiye. Ahem reports ke ikhtitam se pehle, bazaar se bahar rehna behtar hai taake aap rate mein tez taghoyon mein phansne se bach saken. Agar aap khabron ke doraan trade karna faisla karte hain, to hamesha stop orders rakhein takay nuqsaan ko kam kya jaa sake. Bina stop orders lagaye, aap apna poora jama kar sakty hain bohot jaldi, khaas tor par agar aap money management ka istemaal nahi karte hain aur baray maqdar mein trade karte hain.

Aur yaad rakhen ke successful trading ke liye, aap ke paas aik wazeh trading plan hona chahiye. Haal ki bazaar ki surat-e-haal par munfarid trading faislay aik din ke trader ke liye haarne wala strategy hai.

Jumeraat ko USD/JPY ke mutaliq, pichle daily range ka minimum update karne ke baad, keemat ulat gayi aur din ke ikhtitam tak, doosra reversal candle uttar ki taraf ishaarat kar raha tha. Yeh zahir hai ke ekhtetaam ke pehle ikhtiyar darust ho raha hai qabal az ishteaal ka, aur is moamle mein, main uttar ki rage ka ikhtetaam ka intezar kar raha hoon. Jaisa ke pehle zikr kiya gaya hai, main 156.000 ke resistance level par nazar rakhne ka irada rakhta hoon. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir samne aayeinge. Pehla manzar hai ke keemat is level ke oopar istiqrar karegi aur mazeed izaafa hoga. Agar yeh mansooba kamyaab hota hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke keemat 160.400 ke resistance level ki taraf chalegi. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main ek trading setup ke banne ka intezar karunga, jo agle trading rukh ko tay karega. Bila shuba, main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat ko mazeed uttar ki taraf kheencha ja sakta hai, lekin abhi main is mumkinah mumkinat ko nahi samajhta kyunki main is ki jaldi haqeeqat ka koi imkan nahi dekh raha.

156.000 ke resistance level ke qareeb keemat ke qareeb aa rahi hai to doosra mansooba ek plan hai jo ek reversal candle ke banne aur neeche ke keemat ke mohtaj phir se utarne ki wapsi ke mutaliq hai. Agar yeh mansooba kamyaab hota hai, to main ek mawazna keemat ke support level par 150.809 ki taraf taalim ke liye umeed karta hoon. Is support level ke qareeb, main keemat ke uparward rukh ko umeed karte hue bullish signals ki talaash jaari rakhoonga. Dour ke southern levels ko nishana banane ki bhi mumkinat hai, jo ke meri tajziya ke mutabiq 146.484 ya 145.891 par mojood hain. Magar agar di gayi tajziya ka amal shamil kiya gaya hai, to main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ki talaash jaari rakhoonga, keemat ke uparward rukh ki khatir umeed karte hue. Mukhtasar tor par, agle hafte, main maqami tor par keemat ko qareebi resistance level ki taraf uttar ke liye umeed karta hoon, aur phir bazar ke haalaat

USD/JPY currency pair

Is article mein, main USD/JPY currency pair ki qeemat ke rawayye par guftagu karunga. Rozana aur 4 ghanton ke charts ko madde nazar rakhte hue, ulta karwaon ka talash karna abhi filhal zyada behtar nahi lagta. Sab se pehle chart par hum ek candlestick formation, trend ki teer, aur MACD oscillator ke readings dekh rahe hain taake ek mumkin trend ko pehchan sakein. Mamooli tour par ghareeb logon ki maamooli tarah se jo trend indicator ka ulta ho jana jald aur saaf hota hai, yeh aam baat nahi hai kyunki aise ulta karwaon ka aksar zyada arsa lagta hai. Agar qeemat nafsiyati level 150.70 ke qareeb pohanchti hai, to ulta hona mumkin hai. Main ne peechle chand salon se 150.90 ke darwazay ko paar karne ki taraf kaam kiya hai. Qeemat ne 150.25 tak pohanch gayi hai, isay bina kisi wapasichat ke buland karna khatarnak ho sakta hai. Yahan ek moving average line di gayi hai, aur channel ka rukh girane wala hoga. Ab tak ke do neeche ki maqasid 149.30 aur 148.40 hain.

USD/JPY currency pair din ke doran mukhtalif rukh par chala gaya hai wajah US aur Japan ki khabron ki wajah se. Achay US ghar ke farokht ki data ke bawajood, bayrozgar aur karobari fa'aliyat ki shumarayen mayoos karne wali thin. Japan mein, tijarat ka mohtasib faisla naqis tha. Bank of Japan dwara taey ki gayi foqiyat dar aur doosray markazi bankon dwara taey kiye gaye daroona farq ke darmiyan barhta hua farq, yen ab bhi dabe huye hai. Technically, qeemat aaj tak ki uchch chhat par pohanch gayi hai. 150.40 ke qareeb kuch qeemat ke adjust hone ki sambhavna hai. Is waqt, hum is currency pair se door rehne ki tavajju de rahe hain taake paisay na zaya hon. Jitna zyada aap currency pair ke sath karobar karte hain, utni zyada khatray aap ka samna karna padta hai kyunki pair ne kuch waqt se upar ki taraf ka trend liya hai, aur kisi bhi waqt sudhar shuru ho sakta hai, jisse aap ko bazaar ke urooj par chhod diya jaye.

Pehli baat hai ke ek taizie phor ko kehne wale qeemat se bahar ke saath giraft aur mukhtalif chhati ki taraf phalain. Yeh mere hisaab se ek trading setup ki wujood ki nashan dahi karta hai jise baqi karobar ke rukh ka teyar karne ke liye aage barhaya ja sakta hai. Dusra manzar, 151.828 ke qareeb ulta candle ki shakal ka hona hai, jo ke ek tadad mein correction ka hissa ke tor par farokht mein ta'eed ka pegham hai. Is mamle mein, main 149.295 ke support level par qeemat ka wapasooli par muntazir rahoonga, upar ki taraf ki tawajju ke liye bullish signals ka talash jaari rakhunga. Douran shayad zyada durr farokht maqasid tak pohanchne ki mumkinat ke bawajood, main in support levels ke qareeb bullish signals ka talash karta rahoonga. Ikhtisas se, main sirf aane wale haftay ke liye abhi koi dilchaspi dekhta hoon. Magar meri tawajju upar ki taraf ka trend jaari rehne par mabni hai, qareebi support levels par correctional pullbacks ka intezar karta rehta hoon ya phir nazdiki resistance level se baahar phootnay ki soorat mein kharidne ke options ka mufakkir rehta hoon.

USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ka rawaya tajziya karne ke hawale se neeche muzakkarah hai. Teen dino ke doran, volume barh gaya, jis se is pair ke upar ka rawaya chunna mushkil ho gaya hai, kyunki yeh ooper rawaya bana. Is trend ko asal rawaya banane ka yeh waaqayi zaroori hai. Ek rukawat ka hadaf 157.16 par hai, jo ke 155.29 ko paar karke aur phir 156.25 ke liye aakhri upraward break ke liye mumkin hai. USDJPY rukawaton ka saamna kar raha hai magar chhote pullbacks ke saath uchcha staron ka nishana hai. May ke options mein, maqsad 155.25 ke ooper had tak hai, haftawarana barhawar 155.58 ke liye. Asal rukawat 156.19 par hai aur agar 155.55 ke ooper pakka ho to mumkin hai. Mojudah support 154.10 par hai, rukawat 154.69 par hai, 155.49 aur 153.92 ke darmiyan ek aala had hai, jo lagbhag 156.10-153.38 tak phaila hua hai. Kharidari 153.90-153.38 ke support zone se 155.46-156.18 ke resistance zone tak faidamand hai.

USD/JPY H1 time frame par prevailing bullish rawaya ka muzahira hai, jaise ke zig-zag indicator ke zariye nishana extremes barh rahe hain. Ek moving average (120-periyod) ke neeche keemat, kharidne ki taqat ki tajweed karta hai. 154.40 se kharidari ka tajwez hai, pehla take profit 154.87 par aur doosra 155.27 par, stop loss ko 154.18 par rakhen. 153.82 ke neeche, farokht ko ghaur se dekhein, take profit 153.43 par aur stop loss 154.15 par rakhen. Bulls mazeed barhawar ke liye dabak rahe hain, ek bearish "Gartley Butterfly" banate hue jahan ke ek moghalat wapas pivot level tak ka mumkin giravat shamil hai. Pivot level se phir se kharidari ka tajwez sahulat hai, jo ke EMA-50 ke neeche ko mazboot karta hai. Agar bears EMA-50 ke neeche rehte hain, to kharidari ko taal den aur farokht ka tajwez den, lekin 100 aur 200 ke douran EMAs se mazboot rebounds ka ehtemaal rakhen, jo ke bullish rawaya ke dobara ibtida ka ishaara karte hain.

USD/JPY, aham currency pair, pichle teen dinon mein nami dara nami qadmiyon ka samna kar chuka hai, jo ke trading volume mein izafa ke sath darust hai. Is volume ke izafe ne is jodi ke liye ek wazeh trend ka taayun karna ka kaam ko mushkil bana diya hai, khaaskar ke iske upri raah ka imkan samajhte hue. Is upri trend ko pehla bana lena trading mein inform ki gayi faisley ki liye ahem hai. Is upri harkat mein aik ahem nukaat ka tawaju ka markaz 158.26 par mojood resistance target hai. 154.59 ke markazi level ko paar karna aik moghe bullish jaari rakhne ke liye is resistance level ki taraf raasta banane ka imkan paida kar sakta hai.
USD/JPY ke haal ki keemat ka tajziya karne se yeh pata chalta hai ke yeh aik series of bullish movements mein mubtala hai, jo ke uncha peaks aur uncha lowat ke sath mukhtalif hai. Ye pattern market mein taqatwar bullish hissiyat ka saboot deta hai, jo ke barhaye gaye trading volume ke sath sath samar hai. Magar, is trend ko tasdeeq karne se pehle ehtiyaat aur mukammal tajziya ka amal zaroori hai, kyun ke achanak ulat pherot ya bazar ke thekedar aam tor par forex market mein nahi hote.

Kayi factors mojooda bullish hissiyat mein USD/JPY jodi mein hissa daal rahe hain. Sab se pehle, United States aur Japan dono se iqtisadi data releases aam tor par musbat rahe hain, jo apne muqami maeeshat mein investoron ki itmenan afroz banate hain. Pasandeeda iqtisadi indicators, jaise rozgar ke figures, GDP growth, aur consumer spending, aik currency ki taqat ko mazboot kar sakte hain aur uske qeemat ko uske hamrah ke muqable mein buland kar sakte hain. Iske ilawa, sahulat barqi khabron aur markazi bank policies currency trends ko shakal dene mein ahem kirdar ada karte hain. Federal Reserve ya Bank of Japan ke dawat ya faisley, monetary policy, interest rates, ya stimulus measures ke mutalliq kisi bhi elaan ya faisley ka USD/JPY exchange rate par bara asar ho sakta hai. Traders aise waqiyat ko nazdeek se nigrani karte hain aur apne trading strategies ko mawafiq kiya jata hai.

Mazid taaqatwar US Dollar ke khareedari ki strong demand ke darmiyan, jis ki wajah se tajziyaati shumarat ke liye saktiyan se zyada umeedon ke sabab, America ki ma'ashi sectrons ke liye, jo ke sabit karte hain ke America ka markazi bank asaani se kam kar dega US interest rates ko jaise ke umeed thi... USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ka amoomi tanzim oopar rehne wala raha. /JPY ke muqablay mein, jo ke 154.44 tak pohnch gayi, jo ke 34 saal ki tareekhi bunyadon ke liye sab se buland rukh hai, Japanese yen ki keemat ko girne se rokne ke liye currency markets mein Japan ki interventions ke levels ko paar kar gayi, jaise ke peechle marahil mein hua tha.
USD/JPY currency pair ki performance ko mazboot dollar ke daam se dabao ka samna hai, jab America mein ziddi tanaza ne un umeedon ko buland kiya ke Federal Reserve America ke interest rates ko zyada arse tak buland rakhe gi. Ye dosri badi global central banks ke khilaf mein hai jo ke jald hi easing shuru karne ki umeedon mein hain, jab ke Bank of Japan ne ishaara kiya hai ke woh mukhtalif mojooda monetary settings ko kuch arse tak barqarar rakhe ga. Bank of Japan ne yen ko support karne ke liye interest rates ka istemal karne ko manaa kar diya hai. Ye taraqqiyan tab aayi, jab Japan ne 8 saal ke muddat tak munaqadah interest rates ko khatam kiya aur assets ki khareed farokht ko kam kiya.

Dusri taraf, American stock market indices Maanday ko red zone mein band hue, peechle hafte ke nuksanat ko jaari rakhte hue. Stock trading platforms ke mutabiq, Dow Jones index 248 points se neeche gaya, Standard & Poor's 500 index 1.2% aur Nasdaq index 1.8% se neeche gaya. Investers ne March ke liye American retail sales ko digest kiya, jo ke umeedon se zyada barh gaye, jis ka taasur tha ke interest rates umeed se zyada arse tak barqarar rehne ki sambhaavna hai.

Israel ke jawaab mein mumkin Israeli muawza ka markazi shahar bhi markets par asar dal raha tha, jis ke peechle hafta hua tha, Iran ki missile aur drone hamlaat ki wajah se.

Doosri taraf, munafa kamao ke season ne apni doosri hafte mein dakhil ki, jab Goldman Sachs ke shares 2.9% se zyada barh gaye baqaidah first-quarter faayede ki 28% izzafa ka elaan kiya. Charles Schwab 1.7% barh gaya baad ke faayede aur revenue ke thori se upri taadaadon par, jabke JP Morgan barh gaya. Ulta, Tesla stock 5.6% se neeche gir gaya khabron ke baad ke company duniya bhar mein apni workforce ke 10% se zyada ko nikaal rahi thi. Apple stock 2.2% se neeche gir gaya.

Umeed hai ke US dollar ke muqablay mein Japanese yen ke liye aj ke din:

Teezi se bullish outlook ke mutabiq, sab se zyada tawajjo Japan ke agle qadam par rehne wale hai yen ki keemat ko girne se rokne ke liye. Ab tak, intervention sirf zabaani hai aur USD/JPY currency pair ke fawaid jari hain, jab ke US dollar ke majmooi currencies ke muqablay mein taqat ke factors jari hain aur barh rahe hain. Amooman trend oopar jaari rahega jab tak haqeeqi tor par Japanese markets mein intervention na ho ke yen ki keemat ko girne se roka jaaye. Mojooda trend ke mutabiq, sab se qareebi resistance levels 154.65, 155.20, aur 156.00 honge, aur main ab bhi currency pair ko beghair kisi khatre ke bechnay ka sochta hoon.

Mazid taaqatwar US Dollar ke khareedari ki strong demand ke darmiyan, jis ki wajah se tajziyaati shumarat ke liye saktiyan se zyada umeedon ke sabab, America ki ma'ashi sectrons ke liye, jo ke sabit karte hain ke America ka markazi bank asaani se kam kar dega US interest rates ko jaise ke umeed thi... USD/JPY currency pair ki keemat ka amoomi tanzim oopar rehne wala raha. /JPY ke muqablay mein, jo ke 154.44 tak pohnch gayi, jo ke 34 saal ki tareekhi bunyadon ke liye sab se buland rukh hai, Japanese yen ki keemat ko girne se rokne ke liye currency markets mein Japan ki interventions ke levels ko paar kar gayi, jaise ke peechle marahil mein hua tha.

USD/JPY currency pair ki performance ko mazboot dollar ke daam se dabao ka samna hai, jab America mein ziddi tanaza ne un umeedon ko buland kiya ke Federal Reserve America ke interest rates ko zyada arse tak buland rakhe gi. Ye dosri badi global central banks ke khilaf mein hai jo ke jald hi easing shuru karne ki umeedon mein hain, jab ke Bank of Japan ne ishaara kiya hai ke woh mukhtalif mojooda monetary settings ko kuch arse tak barqarar rakhe ga. Bank of Japan ne yen ko support karne ke liye interest rates ka istemal karne ko manaa kar diya hai. Ye taraqqiyan tab aayi, jab Japan ne 8 saal ke muddat tak munaqadah interest rates ko khatam kiya aur assets ki khareed farokht ko kam kiya.

Dusri taraf, American stock market indices Maanday ko red zone mein band hue, peechle hafte ke nuksanat ko jaari rakhte hue. Stock trading platforms ke mutabiq, Dow Jones index 248 points se neeche gaya, Standard & Poor's 500 index 1.2% aur Nasdaq index 1.8% se neeche gaya. Investers ne March ke liye American retail sales ko digest kiya, jo ke umeedon se zyada barh gaye, jis ka taasur tha ke interest rates umeed se zyada arse tak barqarar rehne ki sambhaavna hai.

Israel ke jawaab mein mumkin Israeli muawza ka markazi shahar bhi markets par asar dal raha tha, jis ke peechle hafta hua tha, Iran ki missile aur drone hamlaat ki wajah se.

Doosri taraf, munafa kamao ke season ne apni doosri hafte mein dakhil ki, jab Goldman Sachs ke shares 2.9% se zyada barh gaye baqaidah first-quarter faayede ki 28% izzafa ka elaan kiya. Charles Schwab 1.7% barh gaya baad ke faayede aur revenue ke thori se upri taadaadon par, jabke JP Morgan barh gaya. Ulta, Tesla stock 5.6% se neeche gir gaya khabron ke baad ke company duniya bhar mein apni workforce ke 10% se zyada ko nikaal rahi thi. Apple stock 2.2% se neeche gir gaya.

Umeed hai ke US dollar ke muqablay mein Japanese yen ke liye aj ke din:

Teezi se bullish outlook ke mutabiq, sab se zyada tawajjo Japan ke agle qadam par rehne wale hai yen ki keemat ko girne se rokne ke liye. Ab tak, intervention sirf zabaani hai aur USD/JPY currency pair ke fawaid jari hain, jab ke US dollar ke majmooi currencies ke muqablay mein taqat ke factors jari hain aur barh rahe hain. Amooman trend oopar jaari rahega jab tak haqeeqi tor par Japanese markets mein intervention na ho ke yen ki keemat ko girne se roka jaaye. Mojooda trend ke mutabiq, sab se qareebi resistance levels 154.65, 155.20, aur 156.00 honge, aur main ab bhi currency pair ko beghair kisi khatre ke bechnay ka sochta hoon.

Pichle haftay ko agar koi kahe, to keh sakta hai ke woh flat tha. Shumara 150.88 ko update karne ki taraf ka koi iqtedaar nahi hua, balkay Thursday ko uttar waqai may cancel ho gaya, haalaankay Friday ko iraada lotane ki koshish hui, lekin yeh bhi nakam rahi. Intreday mein, uttar dobara cancel ho gaya aur trading aakhirkaar America ki session ki nizamat par band hui, jo ke Monday ke trading ke khulne par dakhil honay walay darusti ko tasdeeq karti hai. Aam tor par, daku 150.05 ke level ko tasdeeq karenge. Lekin oversold hai, isliye woh upar se wapas shuru ho sakte hain, sellers ke liye sab se zaroori yeh hai ke 150.72 se ooncha na jaye, jahan dakun cancel ho jayega. Agar 150.35+- ke taraf wapas chalein, to yeh ek mA ki jam'aaat hai aur ek level hai jahan intraday samay par ek sell signal mila tha, jo ki test ki zaroorat hai. Aur sath hi ek behtar qeemat par bechnay ka bhi ek acha mauqa hoga. Nazdeeki nichlay target hai 149.49. Mujhe yeh wazeh karna chahiye, yeh bilkul Monday ke liye hai. Jab baat manzar-e-ama aur darmiani muddat ki hoti hai, is haftay hum pehlay retracement level 149.95 tak pohanch gaye aur isay toorna, aur lagta hai ke woh wahan ruk nahi jayenge, agla level 148.84 (din ka waqt) par hai. Yahan ek ooncha hone ka rebound mumkin hai. Lekin zyadatar hum giravat ka silsila dekhenge, aur yeh sab isliye ke haftay ke dauran giravat ke level 147.71 par hai. Main is marhale mein mazeed nichay dekh nahi raha hoon, kyunki shumara trend mazboot hai aur aasani se toot nahi sakta, isliye yahan phir bhi izaafa hoga. Dakun ki dakhal mukammal hone ke baad, main umeed karta hoon ke taraqqi dobara shuru hogi. Achi trading.
Technically dekha jaye to, D1 waqt frame par USDJPY ke price chart mein kuch khaas patterns aur levels nazar aate hain. Traders mukhtalif key support aur resistance levels, saath hi trend lines aur moving averages ko ahtiyaat se nigrani karte hain, taake potential entry aur exit points ko pehchan sakein. Mazboot bullish momentum ka mojooda halaat se wazeh hai ek silsila ke higher highs aur higher lows ke zariye, jo market mein barqarar khareedari dabao ko zahir karta hai. Macro-economic aur technical factors ke ilawa jo USDJPY ke price action par asar dalte hain, unmein geoplitical events aur market sentiment bhi shamil hote hain. Geoplitical events ke saath judi be-peshiyan, jaise ke tijarati tensions ya geo-political conflicts, volatility mein izafa aur market sentiment mein na-mawafiq tabdeeliyan paida kar sakti hain. Isliye, traders ko mutasir rehna chahiye aur apni trading strategies ko is ke mutabiq adjust karna chahiye. Mojudah USDJPY ki D1 waqt frame par tajziya ek darmiani muddat ka bullish trend ki taraf isharat karta hai jo macroeconomic factors, technical indicators aur market sentiment ke combination ke zariye chal raha hai. Lekin traders ko mahtat rahna chahiye aur taraqqi ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhna chahiye kyunke ghair mutawaqqi haadse ya investmen sentiment mein tabdeeliyaan mojoodah trend mein tabdeeliyaan la sakti ha

USD/JPY D1




Mera approach ye hai ke main apni plan ka paalan karoon aur jaldi munafa hasil karne ke laalach se bachaon, taake ek mustahkam aur kamyab trading practice bana sakoon.Maine apni entry point aur stop ko adjust kiya hai, aur main 154.46 par exit point set kar raha hoon. Ye target mujhe munafa lock karne aur position ko zyada der tak rakhne ke risk se bachaata hai. Entry aur exit points ke liye clear goals set karke, main trading mein balance bana sakta hoon aur jazbati faislon se bach sakta hoon.Kamyab trading ka raaz sirf sahi trades karna nahi, balki risk ko effectively manage karna bhi hai. Apni trades ko ek defined range mein rakh kar, main apne capital ko protect kar sakta hoon aur ensure kar sakta hoon ke meri trading plan meri long-term financial objectives ke sath align ho. Ye disciplined approach mujhe apne goals par focused rehne mein madad karegi aur un common pitfalls se bachane mein madad karegi jo impulsive ya overly aggressive trading ke natije mein paish aati hain.Ek mukammal khulasah mein, apni entry point ko 153.00 par adjust karna aur 152.95 par stop rakhna ek ehtiyati aur strategic approach hai. In guide lines ka paalan karna aur laalach ke pitfalls se bachna mujhe ek zyada stable aur kamyab trading







practice banane mein madad karega. Mera final maqsad market mein consistent, long-term success hasil karna hai jab ke risk ko minimize karna aur apni financial objectives par clear focus rakhna hai.Market mein ek ehtiyati aur mayyad approach ki zaroorat hai. Main apni entry point ko 153.06 se 153.00 par adjust kar raha hoon. Ye halka sa shift mujhe ek behtar entry point de sakta hai aur akhir mein meri trades mein behtar natije le kar aayega. 152.95 par stop set kar ke, main apni position ko excessive loss se protect karne aur disciplined trading strategy banaye rakhne ka aim kar raha hoon.Meri guzarish hai ke zyada laalach meri trading plans ko derail kar sakta hai aur meri mustaqbil ki kamyabi ko rukawat mein dal sakta hai. Isi liye main ihtiyaat barat kar peshkash kardah limits par chalna chahta hoon. Waqt ke sath, mujhe pta chala ke ek sochi samjhi hui plan par chalna zyada behtar natije deta hai aur jazbati faislon ki pitfalls se bachata hai.152.95 par stop set kar ke, main ek buffer create karta hoon jo mujhe market ke chhoti farqiyat se nikalne se bachata hai aur mere overall strategy ko derail hone se rokti hai. Ye approach mujhe long-term goals par focus karne mein madad karti hai jab ke short-term setbacks ko kam karne mein madad karti hai.

USD/JPY

Assalam-o-Alaikum! Main dobara hamare jodi ke rozana chart par laut raha hoon, taake baqai'dah se bullish two-deck ke sath juray hue classic version ke taraqqi ko foran tasdeeq kar sakoon, humne ise 27 March ko side mein wapas hasil kiya tha, phir bazaar ne qeemat ko 150.80 tak giraya, jaise aap dekh sakte hain, is ke qadmon ne us waqt ke kareebi buyers ko bahar nikaala aur is ke baad qeemat ne zyada se zyada 300 points tak utha li, mere paas Fibonacci grid par technical support tha, maine sab kuch screen par graphic taur par draw kiya tha, 138.2 - 161.8, to mujhe bilkul bhi koi shikayat nahi hai, chaliye dekhte hain ke aagey hone wale waqiyat seedha Monday ko kis tarah taraqqi karte hain, Moscow waqt 15:30 par hamein US dollar ke leye statistics di gayi hai - "March ke basic retail sales index", Japan se mujhe yahan apne qawmi currency ke leye kuch serious nahi mila, to yeh humein kya batata hai? Ke focus phir se technology par hai.

Trading mein main relative strength index (RSI) indicator ka istemal karta hoon, muddat 14. Main 5 minutes ke liye chhoti trades leta hoon. Mere liye yeh aik comfortable timeframe hai. Magar yeh strategy buland timeframes par bhi istemal ki ja sakti hai. Sab se ahem baat yeh hai ke qawaidon ka mutaabiq chalna hai. Agar RSI indicator ki line dheere dheere lekin phir bhi 70 area ko cross karti hai, to yeh ishara hai ke market overbought hai aur yeh maujooda taraf par kamzor hone ka pehla pegham ho sakta hai. Indicator aur qeemat ki dynamics ko careful taur par dekhte hue, hum 153.939 par aik reversal ke nishan dekh sakte hain. Sab fayde aur nuqsaan ko wazeh kiya gaya hai, aur phir hoshiyaarana taur par halaat ka andaza kiya gaya hai, hum bazaar ke mutabiq farokht karte hain. Minimum take profits 1 se 2 hote hain. Agar qeemat meri taraf lambay arse ke liye nahi badhti, toh main bas apni haathon ko band kar leta hoon aur woh le leta hoon jo mujhe pehle se mila hai. Main kamyaabi ko kam se kam karne aur apna zamaanat ko bachane ke liye ek role model ke peeche chalta hoon. Aakhir mein, hamare mushkil kaam mein hum laalach nahi kar sakte; humesha khatron ke bare mein sochna zaroori hai. Mere stop orders pandrah points hote hain, jo main hamesha aakhri qeemat ke intehai se peechhe rakhta hoon taake position ko jhooti harkaton se bachaya ja sake. Sabhi colleagues ko bohot sari kamyaabi!

USDJPY

Hello! Main rozana chart par lota hoon apni pair ke sath, taake hum foran dekh sakein bullish two-deck ka classic version ka izhar ho raha hai ya nahi. Humne ise sideways me 27 March ko dekha tha, phir market ne qeemat ko 150.80 tak gira diya. Jaise aap dekh sakte hain, iske nishaan ne tab ke sabse kareebi kharidaron ko dhakka diya aur uske baad qeemat ne 300 points se zyada chadhav kiya. Mujhe Fibonacci grid par takneeki support mila tha, maine sab kuch screen par tasweeri tor par draw kiya, 138.2 - 161.8, to mere pas bilkul koi shikayat nahi hai, chaliye dekhte hain aage kaise ghatnaye seedhe Monday ko viksit hongi, 15:30 Moscow samay mein humein US dollar ki tareekh "March ke liye retail bikri ka bunyadi index" par statistics di jayegi, Japan se maine unke rashtriya mudra ke liye kuch khaas nahi paya yahan, to yeh hamein kya keh raha hai? Ki dhyan phir se takneeki par lagaya ja raha hai.

Mujhe trading mein relative strength index (RSI) indicator ka istemal karta hoon, daur 14. Main 5 minute ke liye chhote trades leta hoon. Mere liye yeh aik aaramdayak time frame hai. lekin yeh strategy zyada timeframes par bhi istemal ki ja sakti hai. Sab se ahem cheez hai k qawaid ko follow karna. Agar RSI indicator ki line dheere se lekin phir bhi 70 area ko cross karti hai, to yeh darshata hai ke market overbought hai aur yeh current side par kamzori ka ishara ho sakta hai. Indicator aur qeemat ke dynamics ko dheyan se dekhte hue, hum naye prices par palat ka nishaan dekh sakte hain: 153.939 Sab pros aur cons ko wazan mein dal kar, aur phir halat ko wazehi se taksim karke, hum market ke mutabiq bech dete hain. Minimum take profits 1 se 2 hote hain. Agar qeemat meri rah par nahi chalti lambi dair ke liye, to main bas apni haath bandh leta hoon aur wohi le leta hoon jo mere paas hai. Mere pass mukammal nuqsanat ko kam karne aur apna deposit bachane ke liye role model hota hai. Aakhir mein, hamare mushkil karobar mein ham na gareeb ban sakte hain; hamesha khatron ke bare mein sochna chahiye. Meri stop orders pandrah points hain, jo main hamesha aakhri qeemat ke extreme ke peeche rakhta hoon taake position ko ghalat harkaton se bacha sakein. Sabhi colleagues ko bada munafa ho!

USDJPY MARKET ANALYSIS
Budh (April 17) ko, U.S. dollar index pehli martaba chhe dinon mein 105.89 tak gir gaya, aur U.S. dollar Japanese yen ke khilaaf 154.32 par 0.3% kam hua. Ye tab hua jab United States, Japan, aur South Korea ke leaders ne apni pehli meeting mein foreign exchange markets ke tabadlay par nazr rakhne ke bare mein baat ki. Unhon ne Japan aur South Korea ke un currencies ke bare mein pareshaniyon ko pehchan liya jo kafi gir gaye hain. Log ab market mein yeh sochte hain ke Japan agar yen ko 155 ke neeche jaane se bachaye to madad kar sakta hai, lekin woh bhi sochte hain ke Japan agar yen ka girao dheema ho aur normal wajahon par mabni ho to wo shayad madad na kare. Japan ne aakhri baar aisa kuch 2022 mein kiya tha, jab unhone yen ki madad ke liye lagbhag $60 billion kharch kiya.

Dollar ke khud ke bare mein, jab se U.S. consumer prices pichle hafte se zyada umeed se barhe hain, log sochte hain ke Federal Reserve shayad is saal itna interest rate kam na kare, shayad do se kam martaba. Kuch ahem Federal Reserve afraad ne kaha hai ke wo shayad rates ko zyada na kam karein, jo ke U.S. Treasury yields ko upar le gaya hai. Ye United States mein invest karna zyada attractive banata hai, aur mulk mein zyada paisa laata hai.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

Rozana chart dekhte hue, USD/JPY jodi barhta ja rahi hai aur Bollinger Bands Channel ke ooper line ke qareeb rehti hai. Magar jab ye 155 level ke qareeb aata hai, ye dheema hone lagta hai. Haan ke technical indicators ka rukh tabdeel nahi hua hai, lekin ab ye short term mein zyada ooper hai. Humhe ehtiyaat se kaam lena chahiye kyunke short term mein girne ka khatra hai. Humhe dekhna chahiye ke agar exchange rate 155 ke qareeb aata hai to kya Japanese government kuch karegi. Agar wo madad nahi karti, to USD/JPY jodi kaafi upar ja sakta hai dekhne ke liye ke Japani sarkar kitna bardasht kar sakti hai.