Eur/usd

EUR/USD Ka Technical Analysis
Fundamentals of the EUR/USD:

Wednesday ke active American session mein EUR/USD 1.0860 tak chala gaya. Yeh rise traders ke expectations ko reflect karta hai ke central banks alag-alag monetary stances le rahe hain. ECB zyada aggressively rates cut kar sakta hai compared to the Fed, aur yeh development market movements mein pehle se priced-in hai.

Financial circles mein forecasts yeh suggest karte hain ke ECB iss saal interest rates ko 70 basis points tak reduce kar sakta hai, aur yeh policy shift June meeting se shuru ho sakta hai. Pichle mahine ECB policymakers ne hint diya tha ke June mein rate cuts ho sakte hain, kyunki projections yeh indicate karte hain ke Eurozone inflation agle saal tak gradually 2% tak aayegi. June ke baad rate trajectory uncertain hai, magar market consensus yeh hai ke June 6 ko cut hoga.

ECB rate adjustment ke speculation aur US Fed ke possible delays milkar Euro ke upward momentum ko cap kar sakti hain. Yeh scenario EUR/USD pair ke liye immediate future mein headwinds create kar sakta hai, jo currency traders aur investors ke landscape ko shape karega.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

1.0860 tak ascend karke, EUR/USD pair pehle ke losses se recover ho raha hai, aur 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke kareeb 1.0789 pe pohanch raha hai. Yeh Symmetrical Triangle pattern ke downward-sloping boundary ke kareeb bhi hai jo daily timeframe pe December 28th ke near 1.1140 pe form hua tha. Yeh pattern market volatility ke consolidation ko signify karta hai, jiska upward-sloping border October 3rd low 1.0448 se emerge ho raha hai.






Symmetrical Triangle ka emergence market participants mein indecision ko show karta hai, jaisa ke 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) 40.00-60.00 range mein oscillate kar raha hai. Yeh oscillations clear direction ki kami ko denote karti hain, jo current market sentiment ke uncertain terrain ko mirror karte hain.

Yuro Ki Halat Ka Jaiza

Monday ke trading session ke start mein euro mein izafa dekha gaya tha, magar uske baad yeh wapas retreat kar gaya. 1.09 level significant resistance generate kar raha hai, jise closely monitor karna zaroori hai. Is level ko break karne ke liye bohot mehnat ki zaroorat hogi.

Short-term pullout mein 1.08 support level important hai, khaaskar jab 200-day EMA present hai aur 50-day EMA bhi uske qareeb aane wala hai, jo expected Golden Cross ko hit karega. Yeh technical chart aksar bullish movement indicate karta hai. Dono, European Central Bank aur Federal Reserve ke rate cuts market ko affect kar sakte hain. Iske ilawa, aksar EU markets ke closure ne overall liquidity ko affect kiya hai.

U.S. ka faida euro ke performance mein ek important role ada karta hai, kyunki U.S. dollar ke interest rates ke changes U.S. dollars ko directly affect karte hain. Iska nateeja yeh hai ke yeh pair ka movement aksar U.S. dollar index ke liye ek proxy hota hai aur USD ke broader trend ka insight provide karta hai. USD ke movement ko accurately forecast karna trading decisions mein madadgar ho sakta hai, na sirf forex pairs mein balki doosri markets mein bhi.





Market abhi bhi notorious volatile hai aur recent pricing moves ke bawajood, past few trading sessions mein yeh volatility slow down hone ka koi indication nahi hai. Marketers ko hamesha cautious aur ongoing change ke liye prepared rehna chahiye.

Summary mein, jabke euro 1.09 level pe resistance face kar raha hai, 1.08 level important support provide karta hai, reinforced by the nearby Golden Cross. Interest rate decisions aur economic conditions is market ko greatly affect karengi. Hamesha, U.S. dollar direction ko samajhna sound business decisions banane ke liye critical hai.

Haal Filhaal Market Analysis
Mojooda market analysis ke mutabiq, 1.0835 ka price level psychological aur technical tor pe bohot ahmiyat rakhta hai. Current range ke andar price action ko dekhte hue, yeh saaf hai ke accumulation ho rahi hai, jo ke ek significant move se pehle buildup ko indicate karti hai. Ascending northern channel ka lower boundary bhi is level ke saath align hota hai, jo iski ahmiyat ko barhata hai. Iske ilawa, average moving line ka movement bhi is analysis ko support karta hai.

Trading mein psychological levels woh price points hote hain jahan traders aur investors aam tor pe buy aur sell orders place karte hain, jo ke increased activity aur potential market reversals ko lead karta hai. 1.0835 level psychological benchmark is liye serve karta hai kyun ke yeh ek near-term support level ko represent karta hai jahan traders price ke bounce hone ki umeed karte hain. Jab price in levels ke qareeb hoti hai, market participants aksar react karte hain, jis se increased volatility aur trading volume hoti hai.

Technically, 1.0835 level is liye crucial hai kyun ke yeh ascending channel ke lower boundary ke saath align hota hai. Yeh channel price action ko guide kar raha hai, jo bullish trend ko suggest karta hai. Ascending channel indicate karta hai ke buyers control mein hain, jo price ko higher push karte hain aur har subsequent pullback pe buying interest higher lows pe milta hai. Is channel ka lower boundary ek dynamic support level ke tor pe act karta hai, jahan price support find karke rebound karti hai, aur overall upward trajectory maintain hoti hai.

Moving averages ka role bhi is level ki significance ko reinforce karta hai. Technical analysis mein moving averages widely use hoti hain trends aur potential support ya resistance levels ko identify karne ke liye. Is context mein, average moving line, jaise ke 50-day ya 200-day moving average, aksar key support levels ke saath align hoti hain uptrend mein. Jab price 1.0835 level ke qareeb hoti hai, to moving averages ka proximity additional technical support suggest karta hai, jo is level ko critical banata hai.

Jab price range ke andar consolidate karti hai aur accumulate hone lagti hai, to yeh typically yeh phase indicate karta hai jahan buyers aur sellers ek doosre ko balance kar rahe hote hain. Yeh accumulation phase aksar breakout se pehle hoti hai, jahan price ek direction mein decisively move karti hai. Yeh fact ke accumulation 1.0835 level ke qareeb ho rahi hai, iski significance ko barhata hai. Is level ke upar ek strong move yeh indicate kar sakta hai ke buyers strength gain kar rahe hain, aur price ko higher push karne ke liye tayar hain, jabke is level ke upar hold karne mein failure momentum shift ko suggest kar sakta hai.





Nateeja ke tor pe, 1.0835 level mojooda market context mein considerable psychological aur technical ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh ascending northern channel ke lower boundary ke saath align hota hai aur moving averages se supported hai, jo isse ek critical point banata hai potential price action ke liye. Traders ko is level ko closely monitor karna chahiye, kyunki yeh future market movements ke liye valuable insights provide kar sakta hai. Is level ka successful defense bullish trend ko reinforce kar sakta hai, jabke breakdown market sentiment mein change ko signal kar sakta hai. Is level ki significance ko samajh kar, traders informed decisions le sakte hain aur market ko behtar navigate kar sakte hain.

EUR/USD H-1 Timeframe Analysis:

Kitni gehra uttar trend ja sakta hai yeh maloom nahi, lekin nazdeeki resistance zone 1.0990 par hai, jahan hamara currency pair medium term mein pohunch sakta hai. Abhi, main ek southern correction ka intezar kar raha hoon, is baat ka khayal rakhte hue ke web instrument ne double top trading pattern bana diya hai, aur resistance zone 1.0900 se ulta reaction dikhaya hai; yeh level psychological aur technical hoga. Hum dekh rahe hain ke mojooda range mein price jama hone laga hai, aur ascending northern channel ka niche ka border lagbhag 1.0800 par hoga ya phir Bollinger indicator ki average moving line ke movement ke mutabiq, jo ek conditional support level bhi dega, yeh wahi jagah hai jahan aap south correction kaam karne ke liye aim kar sakte hain, aur phir market ka further northward movement consider kar sakte hain. Jab hum 1.0880 ke range ko break kar lein, to growth jari rahegi. Ek chota downward correction ke baad, growth jari rahegi. 1.0880 ke range ko todne ke baad, growth jari rahegi. Jab hum 1.0880 ke range ko break kar lein aur uske upar consolidate kar lein, to yeh rate ko chadhane ka signal hoga. Abhi, main 1.0945 range ka breakout ka intezar kar raha hoon aur jab hum uske upar consolidate karenge, to yeh ek khareedne ka signal hoga. Agar aap 1.0880 ko break kar lein aur uske upar consolidate kar lein, to yeh agle khareedne ka signal hoga. 1.0850 range se growth jari rahegi. Ek halki giraavat ke baad, growth jari rahegi. Agar hum 1.0895 range ka breakout lein aur uske upar reh jaayein, to yeh ek khareedne ka signal hoga.

EUR/USD: Price Action Ka Kirdar

Hum abhi EUR/USD currency pair ke price behavior ka tajziya kar rahe hain. Market sentiment mazid kharidari ko support karta hai, jabke 70 se zyada percent traders sales mein hain. Yeh dikhata hai ke aik bara player kharidari jaari rakhne ka irada rakhta hai, bearish sentiment ko stop-loss orders ke zariye counter karte hue. Aaj ke economic calendar mein koi khaas news nahi hai, is liye traders apna dhyan technical analysis par laga rahe hain. Half-hour chart par, EUR/USD pair ne aik price triangle (bullish wedge) banaya hai, jo ke bearish direction mein break hone ke imkanaat hain. Aik downward wave nazar aa rahi hai, jo ke resistance line ke qareeb 1.0882 se rebound hone ke baad shuru hui hai, aur iska correction target support line ke qareeb 1.0854 hai. Trading week ne baghair kisi khaas activity ke shuruaat ki hai, EUR/USD daily price lagataar local maximum resistance 1.0881 ko test kar rahi hai. Ho sakta hai ke aik technical correction ho, jo ke narrow support range tak le jaye, khas tor par jabke koshish ki ja rahi hai ke currency ki value ko mazid barhaya jaye against weakening US dollar.



Jabke bechne ka temptation ho sakta hai, zaroori hai ke risk management mein ehtiyat se kaam liya jaye taake munafa maximum ho sake. Is case mein complex strategies ki zarurat nahi hai; liquid zones par focus karna behtar hoga. Apni EUR/USD market analysis ko jaari rakhte hue, daily chart ka tajziya karte hain. Pehle, aik robust downward price channel breach hua tha, aur pair 1.0903 tak surge hua tha phir retrace kar gaya. Abhi trading level 1.0875 par hai, aur jaldi hi aik corrective decline ke imkanaat hain. Pair overbought hai aur naye ascending price channel mein position mein hai. Ho sakta hai ke correction support line ki taraf ho, jo ke 1.0823 ya 1.0836 ke qareeb intersect karti hai. Technical indicators ke basis par, aik corrective decline zaroori lagta hai.

EUR/USD Ka Tajziya

Time frame H4:-
European currency achi performance dikhari hai, halaanke US dollar index mein halka sa izafa hua hai. Good morning Vadim, successful trading aur aapka din acha guzre! Kal ke trading ke dauran, EUR/USD pair ki prices mein kami dekhi gayi, aur aaj prices four-hour chart par 1.0866 level se neeche aa sakti hain, jo bears ke liye downward trend ko continue karne ka acha mauka hai, takay pair 1.0815 level ko exceed kar sake aur isko breach karte hue decline jaari rakhe. Kaam ke liye.. Support level 1.0765 par. Kal, Federal Reserve System ke kai representatives ne aur monetary policy ke baray mein baat ki, jisne kuch investors ke enthusiasm ko thanda kar diya jo US inflation ke slowdown se khush the aur refinancing rate mein jaldi kami ki prediction kar rahe the.



Yeh note karna zaroori hai ke pair upward trend ko maintain kar rahi hai, aur alternative scenario ke develop hone ke imkanaat ko nazar andaz nahi kiya ja sakta. Agar prices 1.0866 se upar wapas aati hain, toh bulls dusri koshish karenge isko break karne ki. Blue moving average se upar, movement resistance level 1.0929 ki taraf jaari rahegi. Aaj economic calendar mein koi aisi news nahi hai jo foreign exchange market par significant asar daal sake, is liye high probability ke sath hum assume kar sakte hain ke aaj trading day calm aur low volatility ke sath rahegi. Price ascending channel border ke bottom tak gir gayi hai jab tak ke level 1.0860. Price is level se upar bhi ja sakti thi aur upward movement shuru kar sakti thi, lekin ab pair channel ko neeche break kar chuki hai aur ab yeh mumkin hai ke price neeche move karna jaari rakhe aur target level 1.0824 ho sakta hai.

EUR/USD Currency Pair Ki Haaliya Analysis

EUR/USD currency pair ke price movement ka tajziya karte hue, hum dekhte hain ke average Bollinger band se rebound hua, jo Friday ko ek significant upward shift ki wajah bana. Halaanke ek decline hua tha, Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur stochastic indicators yeh suggest karte hain ke mazid growth ka potential abhi bhi mojood hai. Filhal, bear butterfly pattern ko nazar andaz karna behtar hoga kyunki iska authenticity uncertain hai. Jaise hi hum average Bollinger band 1.0869 ke qareeb pohchte hain, hum dekhenge ke price girti hai ya reverse hoti hai. Agar upward movement hoti hai to upper Bollinger band 1.0892 se bounce ho sakti hai, jabke average Bollinger band se neeche girne par support upper moving average (MA), lower Bollinger band, aur lower MA ke qareeb 1.0833/0826/0812 par mil sakti hai.

Naye haftay ka aghaz karte hue, hum EUR/USD pair ke D1 chart ka tajziya karte hain. Pichle haftay, US dollar ne notable weakness dikhayi, jo sirf euro tak mehdood nahi thi balki broader market trend mein bhi evident thi. Wednesday ka growth significant tha, jo ke lower-than-anticipated US consumer price index figures ki wajah se hua, jo bearish USD market ko indicate karta hai.



Agar price resistance line ko surpass kar jati hai, toh yeh advance continue kar sakti hai, magar ek significant correction bhi ho sakti hai CCI ke overheating ko indicate karne ki wajah se. Hum potential buying opportunities ke liye ek solid support level ka intezar kar rahe hain. Agar price decline hoti hai, to yeh qareeb 1.0789 tak pohch sakti hai pehle ke possibly rebound ho. Hamara focus support aur resistance ke darmiyan interplay ko observe karne par hoga. Aaj ke liye, koi major economic events schedule nahi hain jo EUR/USD currency pair ko significant tor par affect kar sakein.

Euro ne trading haftay mein kafi zyada volatility ka samna kiya, jo ke 1.08 aur 1.09 ke darmiyan oscillate karta raha. Yeh is baat ki nishandahi karta hai ke market rehnumai dhoondh raha hai, jo ke European Central Bank (ECB) ke possible rate cuts aur Federal Reserve ke actions ke hawale se ummedon se mutasir hai. Har dafa jab Fed yeh ishara deta hai ke woh money supply cut nahi karega, to market wajah talash karta hai ke yeh mumkin hai.

Filhal, Euro ka mamool lagta hai ke stable rehne ka, jo ke saal bhar ke liye sideways path ko zahir karta hai. Yeh charts mein bhi dekha ja sakta hai, jo ke pichle saal ke aghaz se steady increase dikhate hain. Isliye, meri position euro par mukammal tor par neutral hai, kyunki yeh long term mein fixed nazar aata hai.

Chart ka jaiza lene par oscillations nazar aate hain, jo yeh suggest karte hain ke koi immediate tabdeeli nahi aane wali, siwai kisi unexpected geopolitical events ke jo US dollar ki taraf rush ko trigger kar sakte hain. Filhal aisa lagta hai ke euro bina kisi major direction ke yeh process continue karega.

Long-term traders ke liye, current euro action invaluable ho sakta hai ke yeh indicator hai ke US dollar kis tarah se mazboot ya kamzor ho raha hai, jo ke baaki markets mein istemal ho sakta hai. Lekin euro ke liye long-term buying ya selling strategies ke hawale se, current market conditions aisi positions ke liye unfavorable lagti hain.

Akhir mein, euro ne slump kiya hai, ek aise zone mein atka hai jahan koi clear trend nazar nahi aata. ECB aur Fed ke possible rate cuts ki expectations uncertainty mein izafa karte hain. Is liye traders ke nazdeek euro action ko currency spreads ke tor par approach karne mein zyada value nazar aati hai, bajaye ke pair mein khud kisi key trends ko dhoondhne ke. Yeh period of indecisiveness aur neutrality suggest karta hai ke sabar aur broader market indicators par tawajju future trends mein rehnumai mein crucial hogi.

Hi sab. USD/CHF ek upward trend mein trade kar raha hai, jo ke ruk gaya hai, magar abhi yeh maloom nahi ke yeh dobara shuru hoga ya nahi. Yeh aik khula sawal hai. Technical side se dekha jaye, to price resistance par nahi hai ke wahan se gir sake; jab yeh apne maximum par tha, to yeh us tak nahi pohanch saka. Upar weekly Fibonacci retracement ka 50% level tha, jo test nahi ho saka, magar ek reversal zaroor aya, to mujhe is waqt yeh samajh nahi aa raha ke kya wapas us level par jayega ya yeh reversal final hai. Ek internal pattern four-hour Fibonacci retracement par form hua hai; yeh tab aaya jab price 23.6% se 9% tak barhi. USD/CHF kaafi dair se 9% par hai, is wajah se lagta hai ke yeh level tootne wala hai, jo ke maximum tak barhne aur 50% ko test karne ko lead karega.Aur aapko bhi khair maqdam! Ji, main aam tor par aap se mutafiq hoon. North main direction hai. Kal hum wazeh tor par specified target 0.9125 se door rahe. Afsoos ke deferred orders activate nahi huye aur mujhe manually 0.9130 se open karne paday. Phir hum ne waiting notes execute karne ke liye 0.9150 ko hit kiya. Koi open orders nahi hain. Main short term mein jo mumkin hai woh lene ka supporter hoon. Agar sab targets capture nahi hue tab bhi.









Aur ab hum northern sector ke upar dance kar rahe hain. Main aapko dikhata hoon ke kya karna hai aur main khud kaise karunga. Time H1. Asia aur Europe ne out of the blue stall kiya hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke American schemers humein kuch samajhdar cheez dikhayenge. Aaj ke liye live ranges. Sell zone (0.9000 - 0.9065) aur buy zone (0.9075 - 0.9150). Actual price is waqt USDCHF 0.9154 hai. Aakhri session aane mein aadha ghanta bacha hai. Aise waqt market mein enter karna mujhe kabul nahi hai. Wednesday se, instrument sideways swamp mein atka hua hai. Kya 0.9160 se upar breakout hoga? Mujhe honestly maloom nahi. Aur market mere desires mein interested nahi hai. Dekhte hain ke kya hota hai: agar bulls kar sakte hain to? Hum normal, confident northern expanse ka continued growth dekhenge. Aur hum shuru karenge jaise climbers 0.9175 tak flattery kar rahe hain, aur 0.9210-20-30 ka combat test karenge. Ek naya rebound pair ko wapas 0.9125 ke zigzags continue karne par le aayega. Aur wahan hum phir wahi action dekhenge jo kal ho sakta tha. Mera matlab hai ke neeche break karne aur deeper correction mein jane ka option. Main America ka intezar kar raha hoon aur situation ke mutabiq entrance catch karne ki koshish karunga. Sab ko movement ko competently catch karne ki dua!

EUR/USD pair investors ke liye aik aham point raha hai, jo global economics ke dynamics ko dikhata hai. Jese hi pair aaj ke early session mein critical resistance level 1.0831 se thoda upar gaya, market players iski trajectory ko shape karne wale underlying factors ko closely monitor kar rahe hain.
EUR/USD ke Fundamentals:

United States Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ke stubborn data ke bawajood, jo ke April ke monthly headline aur core Producer Price Index mein mazboot growth dikhata hai, EUR/USD pair apni strength maintain kar raha hai. Headline aur core PPI expectations se zyada barh gaye, jo ke forecasts 0.3% aur 0.2% ke muqable 0.5% barhe, pair ki resilience noteworthy hai.



Investors April ke consumer inflation readings ka intezar kar rahe hain, jo ke haftay ka major event hoga. Pehle quarter mein hotter-than-expected US CPI ke lingering effects, jo ke tight labor market conditions aur robust household spending ki wajah se hain, mehsoos kiye ja sakte hain. Aise readings ki continuity Fed rate cut expectations ke September ke liye reevaluation ko prompt kar sakti hai, jo ke easing labor market conditions ke optimism ko offset kar sakti hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Key support 14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke around 1.0752 anticipated hai. Agar yeh level breach hota hai, to pair psychological threshold 1.0700 ki taraf ja sakta hai, jo ke symmetrical triangle ke lower boundary 1.0790 ke around coincide karega. Additional support levels April ke low 1.0601 ke around materialize ho sakte hain, jo potential downside scenarios ko delineate karte hain.

Euro ne trading week ke doran mazeed tangdasti ka samna kiya, 1.08 aur 1.09 ke darmiyan ke darajon par naqal ki. Ye darust karta hai ke bazaar rahnumai ki talash mein hai, jis par European Central Bank (ECB) ke is summer mein mumkinah darafat kam karne ke umeedon ka asar hai, aur Federal Reserve ke amal ke baray mein jari raay ki tajweez ka asar hai. Har martaba jab Federal Reserve darust karta hai ke wo paisay ka zaad karne ka irada nahi rakhta, to bazaar wajah dhoondta hai ke is par yaqeen kiya ja sakta hai.

Mausam-e-Euro ka hal ab ye hai ke ye mustaqeem nazar aata hai, jo ke saal ke liye aik taraf ki rasta dikhata hai. Ye charts mein bhi tasveer mil rahi hai, jo ke is raah mein mazid izafa is saal ke ibteda se dikha rahi hai. Isi tarah, mera euro par position bilkul be-jins aur neutral hai, kyunke ye lambay arsay ke liye mustaqeem nazar aata hai.

Charts ki jaaiza lenay se is taraf naqalat ka pata chalta hai, jo ke darust karta hai ke koi foran tabdeeli na ke barabar hai siyasi waqeiyat ke sath jo America ke dollar ki taraf dour lagwa sakte hain. Abhi to ye lag raha hai ke euro is amal ko kisi badi rah ki zaroorat ke baghair jari rakhega.

Lambay arsay ke traders ke liye, mojooda euro ka amal America ka haal kaise hai ka aham pehloo ho sakta hai. Dollar mazboot hota hai ya kamzor hota hai, jo phir doosri markets mein istemal kiya ja sakta hai lekin lambay arsay ke khareedari ya farokhtari strategies ke liye euro ke khud ke liye mojooda bazaar ki halaat nazar andaz lagte hain.

Akhri mein, euro gir gaya hai, aik zone mein phansa hua hai jahan koi wazeh rah nazar nahi aa rahi. ECB aur Fed ke mumkinah darafat kam karne ke umeedon ka asar is ghaair yaqeeni mein milta hai. Isi wajah se traders euro ke amal ko currency spreads ka aik pehloo ke tor par qadr daan samajhte hain, balkay pair ke khud mein kisi kefiyat ki ahmiyat talash karte hain. Ye muawza aur neutraliyat ka dor ishara deta hai ke mustaqbil ke rujhanat ko rehnumai karne ke liye sabr aur bazaar ke maqool nishanat par tawajjo honi chahiye.

EUR/USD pair investors ke liye markazi nazar ka markaz raha hai, jo global ma'ashiyat ke dynamics ka aik jhalak deta hai. Jaise ke aaj ke early session mein yeh pair aham resistance level 1.0831 se thori si upar ja raha hai, market players un factors ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhte hain jo is ke raaste ko shakl de rahe hain.

EUR/USD ke bunyadi asool:

Amriki Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) se ziddi daryaftat ke bawajood, jo April ke monthly headline aur core Producer Price Index mein mustaqbil ke liye mazboot izafa darshate hain, EUR/USD pair apni taqat ko barqarar rakhta hai. Jabke headline aur core PPI tawaqo'at ko paar karte hue barh gaye, 0.5% ke muqablay mein tawaqo'at 0.3% aur 0.2% thi, to pair ka mustaqil pan ehem hai.

Investors United States mein April ke consumer inflation readings ka izhar ke liye tayar hain, jo is haftay ka bara maqam hone wala hai. Pehle quarter mein zyada tawanai se US CPI ke mutaliq mukhtalif tajziyat ke asar, mazid izafi shor par, mazahir hain. Aise readings ke jari rehna Fed ke rate cut expectations ko September ke liye dobara tajziyah ka moqa de sakta hai, jo ke mazid labor market shiraiyat ke asaar ke umeedon par kharij hone wali tawaqo'at ko mukhalif kar sakta hai.

Hourly Time Frame Technical Outlook:

14-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareebi sath 1.0752 par bunyadi support ka imkan hai. Is level ke neeche guzarne se yeh pair ne zehni band ka darwaza 1.0700 ki taraf khul sakta hai, jo ke aik symmetrical triangle ke lower boundary 1.0790 ke qareeb hai. Mazeed support levels April ke low 1.0601 ke ird gird wujood mein a sakte hain, jo ke potential downside scenarios ko tarteeb de sakte hain.


Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) EUR/USD pair ke liye aik urooj darja dikhata hai. Centerline ke upar mojood hokar, ek farq signal line ke upar dekha gaya hai, bullish jazba qaim hai. Signal line ke centerline ke upar crossover ka imkan ye bullish jazba mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai, jo ke mustaqil bullish taqat ko nishan dahi karta hai.

Hello everyone,

Main yeh samajhta hoon ke further growth ka fuel khatam hota nazar aa raha hai. Halan ke bullish sentiment ab bhi mojood hai, lekin ab khareedna bohot late ho gaya hai. Bulish signal ke dauran bechna koi samajhdari nahi hai. Americans kabhi kabhi 21:00 MSK ke aas paas ek second wind pakad lete hain. Lekin agar week volatile raha ho, toh aksar Friday ko Europe ke closing ke saath woh koi significant move nahi karte. Yeh acha hota agar woh previous high around 1.0860 ko update karte. Lekin filhal woh break le rahe hain. Dekhte hain, shayad woh remaining time mein manage kar lein, lekin mujhe shak hai.

Aaj calendar par koi news events nahi hain jo excitement la sakein. Sirf geopolitics hai. Agar koi current conflict escalate hota hai, toh yeh temporarily US dollar ko strengthen kar sakta hai. Aisa dekhna acha hota. Lekin zyada chances hain ke serious trading ko naye week tak postpone karna padega.

Shayad aaj khareedne ki bhookh ko moderate karne ka waqt hai. Zyada khareedari ko fix karne ka aur phir southern pullback ka wait karne ka taake agli week ke liye dubara se buy kar sakein. Yeh tabhi hoga agar hum bullish trend ko 1.0804 se neeche pullback ke saath tod nahi dete.

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Ab thoda tafseel mein jaate hain. Hafte ka aakhri trading session hota hai Friday, jo traders ke liye bohot significant hai. Is din ke doran, agar week volatile raha ho, toh aksar Europe ke closing ke waqt koi significant movement nahi hoti. Yeh trend ko consolidate karne ka waqt hota hai, aur traders apni positions ko adjust karte hain.

Hum dekhein toh USD ka performance geopolitics se bhi bohot influenced hota hai. Agar koi international conflict escalate hota hai, toh yeh US dollar ko temporarily strengthen kar sakta hai. Yeh factor hamesha mind mein rakhna chahiye, especially jab market mein aur koi significant news nahi hoti.

Abhi market ka overall sentiment bullish hai, lekin khareedari ka waqt guzar chuka hai. Ab jo log market mein hain, unko apni khareedari ko fix karna chahiye aur southern pullback ka wait karna chahiye taake agli week ke liye dubara se buy kar sakein. Pullback ke doran, yeh dekhna zaroori hai ke hum bullish trend ko 1.0804 se neeche pullback ke saath tod nahi dete. Agar yeh level hold karta hai, toh agli week mein phir se khareedari ka mauka mil sakta hai.

Trading ke dauran, yeh zaroori hai ke market ke current conditions aur future projections ko madde nazar rakha jaye. Har move ko carefully evaluate karna chahiye aur uske according positions adjust karni chahiye.

EUR / USD technical analysis

Haali mein tarufat ke mutabiq, EUR / USD pair 1.0860 par trading ho raha tha. Keemat ne daily chart par blue channel ko breach kiya lekin mahana level 1.0840 ke neeche reh gaya. Agla maqsad yeh tha ke yeh resistance ko toorna aur ise paar karne ke liye 1.0880 ke doosre resistance level ki taraf jaana hai. Keemat is resistance ke upar settle ho gayi hai, red channel ko toorna aur teen din se trade kar rahi hai, supported by 1.0750 level aur channel line. Yeh stability mahana resistance 1.0790 tak pohonchne ka ishaara hai.

Agle haftay ke trading ne EUR / USD exchange rate ke liye ek bullish trend dikhaya, jisme gains 1.0880 resistance level tak pohanche, jo pair ka sab se zyada uncha level hai 18 mahino mein, close karke 1.0820 ke qareeb. US dollar mukhtalif currencies ke muqable mein kamzor hota raha, jise major data ke zarye jaari hone wale maloomat ne aur zyada barha diya ke Federal Reserve apne hawkish stance ka anjaam tak pohoch sakta hai.

Daily chart par, pair ko mahana level 1.0810 aur pehle se tootay hue channel line se support milta hai. Keemat is maah ne nichlay channels ke andar trading shuru ki hai, jo pehle ke do mahinon ke harkaat ko reflect karta hai. Ibtidaai izaafa ke baad, keemat ne upper channel line par resistance milti hai, jo ek barah-e-karam harkaat ka natija tha jo mahina support level of the Pivot indicator tak pohunch gai. Keemat phir se utha aur azaadi se barhne ka imkaan hai takkay mahana pivot level of 1.0760 tak pohunchne jo upper channel line ke saath milta hai. Yeh ilaqa mazboot resistance ko darust kar sakta hai, jo keemat ko dubara girne ka baais bana sakta hai. Sab ko kamiyabi ki umeed hai.

Subh bakhair dosto!
EUR/USD kharidaron ke liye acha manzar hai. Kyunki market ne Jumma ko 1.0846 zone ko cross kar liya tha. Hum keh sakte hain ke ye manzar kharidaron ko apni dabaav ko barhane mein madad kar sakta hai. Aaj, market ke jazbat mein wazeh tabdeeli aa rahi hai, aur farokht karne walay kaafi umeedwar nazar aate hain. Ye farokht karne walon ke darmiyan ye mukhtasir dour hai ke market filhal kharidaron ke khilaaf ja rahi hai. Ye trend yeh darust karta hai ke kharidaron ko apni asasat ki qeemat mein mazeed kami ka samna ho sakta hai jab tak din guzarta hai. Aisi surat-e-haal mein 20 pips tak ki qeemat girne ka imkan hai, jo tajziye ke mutabiq karobarion ko hoshyar ban kar chalne ki zaroorat ko wazeh karta hai. Is manzar ke mutabiq, karobarion ko mojooda market shara'it ke mutabiq amal karna chahiye. EUR/USD ke karobar mein, shara'it ke mutabiq amal karne ke liye hamesha bazar ki harkat ko tashreeh karte rahna chahiye aur positions ko mutabiq tarteeb dena chahiye taake khatraat ko kam kiya ja sake. Main is surat-e-haal par bechnay ka muqam pasand karta hoon. 25 pips door ek take-profit point set karna ek ehtiyaati faisla hai jo meri karobarion ke nazariye ke mutabiq hai. Ye faisla mojooda market jazbat se inform kiya gaya hai, jo kehta hai ke farokht karne walon ko faida hai. Ghair muntazim market palat jane ke khilaf hifazat ke liye, ek stop loss ko laagu karna bohot zaroori hai. Ye na sirf mumkinah nuqsanat ko had tak mehdood rakhta hai balkay ye bhi yaqeeni banata hai ke kisi ka karobarion ka dhang sahi rahay volatality ke muqablay mein. Umeed hai ke EUR/USD ke market aaj aur kal kharidaron ke favor mein rahein ge. Unhein baad mein 1.0875 area ko guzar sakte hain. Barah-e-karam, Jerman business news aur US GDP rate bhi EUR/USD ke market mein aakhri kirdar ada karenge. Apni trading mein stop loss ka istemal zaroor karen.
Ek munafa bhara trading hafta guzarein.