𝐀𝐔𝐃/𝐔𝐒𝐃

AUD/USD ke Qeemat ki Harkat

Aaj humare guftagu ka mawad AUD/USD currency pair ki current pricing behavior ka tajziya hai. Chart ka jaiza lete hue, hum dekhte hain ke AUD/USD currency pair ki harkat se faida uthaya ja sakta hai. Mufeed nazar aata hai ke selling par ziada focus rakha jaye bajaye buying ke, khaaskar 0.6571 level se, aur 0.6531 par profits secure karne ka irada hai. Agar market structure badalta hai, to nukhsan uthana zaroori ho sakta hai 0.6601 par. Jab resistance likely hota hai, to yeh support ka kaam karega, jo buy trades ko allow karega 0.6571 se. Market dynamics mein price movement ahmiyat rakhta hai; stagnation nafrat angaz hota hai. AUD/USD Fibonacci levels follow karta hai, jo ek bullish scenario ka izhar karta hai. Market fluctuation karta hai Fibonacci range ke andar, 100-0.65690 aur 50-0.65469 ke darmiyan, jabke current price 0.65572 hai. Previous din ke extremes ko use karte hue, ek Fibonacci network setup kiya ja sakta hai.

Yeh configuration ek range define karti hai, 100-0.65690 aur 50-0.65469 ke darmiyan, jabke price 0.65572 pe bullish corridor mein hai. Is data ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main critical levels par trades enter karna chahta hoon jaise ke 50-0.65469, 61.8-0.65522, aur 76.4-0.65586. Yeh levels rebounds aur breakouts ke liye mauqe faraham karte hain. Mera irada hai ke upper levels par profit le loon jaise ke 123.6-0.65794 ya 138.2-0.65858, jo ek mufeed natija hoga. Agar market is plan ke saath align nahi hota aur bears control hasil kar lete hain, price ko 50-0.65469 level se neeche drive karte hain, to bearish scenario paida ho sakta hai. Aise suratehaal mein, flexibility zaroori hai, aur selling par shift karna pad sakta hai. Fibonacci grid ko mukhtalif tareeqon se likely kiya ja sakta hai, lekin maine yeh anchor kiya hai.

AUD/USD ke trend ko kuch aham asraat mutasir kar sakte hain, jaise ke economic data releases, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment. Maujooda halat mein, AUD/USD ka trend mukhtalif economic variables ko reflect karta hai. Pehle, recent economic data Australia aur United States se significant impacts dikhate hain. Australia mein, unemployment rates, consumer sentiment, aur retail sales jaise indicators iski misaal hain. Unemployment figures to mazboot hain, lekin rising interest rates aur inflationary concerns ki wajah se consumer confidence kamzor hota dikh raha hai, jo Australian dollar ko affect kar sakta hai.
Dusri taraf, US dollar mazboot hai economy mein, solid economic indicators jaise ke non-farm payrolls aur retail sales figures se support mil raha hai. Federal Reserve ki monetary policy bhi critical hai. Fed se recent indications tight monetary policy maintain karne ka commitment dikhate hain inflation ke samne, jo US dollar ki strength ko support karta hai.

Geopolitical aur confidence-related issues bhi AUD/USD trend ko affect karte hain. Misal ke taur par, US aur China ke darmiyan tensions Australia ki economy ko indirectly affect karte hain, given ke uska China ke saath significant trade relationship hai. Agar US-China relations mein negative changes aati hain, to yeh risk-off sentiment ko trigger kar sakti hain markets mein, investors ko safe assets jaise ke US dollar mein refuge lene par majboor karti hain.

AUD/CAD pair ke future movements ke liye kuch aur insights bhi consider karne layak hain. Yeh pair currently ek critical support level ke qareeb hai. Agar yeh support level toot jata hai, to yeh bearish trend ke continuation ko indicate kar sakta hai, jo mazid declines ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar yeh pair support level ke upar rehta hai aur rebound karna shuru karta hai, to yeh ek reversal aur significant upward movement ko signal kar sakta hai.

Traders aksar technical indicators jaise ke moving averages, RSI (Relative Strength Index), aur MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) ko use karte hain trend reversals ya continuations ko assess karne ke liye. Misal ke taur par, agar RSI yeh indicate karta hai ke pair oversold territory mein hai, to yeh rebound ke possibility ko suggest kar sakta hai.

Sab ko achi mood ki dua! Seller apni taraf se active hai, jo ke linear regression channel se south ki taraf dikhata hai. Yeh instrument 0.65583 level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Main soch raha hoon ke 0.65298 level tak sell karoon, jahan se correction expected hai, isliye neeche short selling ke baare mein sochna band kar deta hoon. Main ek pullback ka intizar kar raha hoon aur phir selling ka soch sakta hoon. Selling 0.65583 level se zyada interesting hai, kyun ke limits ko exceed karne se bullish interest ka threat hota hai. Isliye, 0.65583 se sell kar ke, mujhe buying aur selling ka ek mauka milta hai. Wahan aap players ka reaction dekh sakte hain, aur is tarah apne trade ko adjust kar sakte hain, losses cut kar sakte hain aur day trading mein quick profit ka possibility mil sakta hai.


Daily chart par dekhte hue, main bhi ek downward linear regression channel dekh raha hoon. Dono channels ek hi direction mein ja rahe hain, jo strong buyer ki absence dikhata hai. Is case mein daily channel ke along trend change hone ka probability bohot low hai, isliye mere liye selling ke baare mein sochna zyada interesting hai instead of buying against moving the two channels indicating selling. Bullish barrier 0.65583 level hai, jiska passage channel ke upper edge 0.65694 tak growth ka threat hai. Wahan se main sell karunga, target achieve karne ki umeed mein 0.65298 aur 0.65021. Targets visit karna channel ki volatility ko determine karta hai, jo bullish pullback mein contribute karega. Pullback par growth mere liye interesting nahi hai. Trend par kaam karna priority hai.
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Pair ne neeche ka safar barqarar rakha hai, jo apne teesre musalsal din ke doran 0.6540 ke ird gird sauda ho raha hai, pehli Asian session ke doran Tuesday ko. Ye girawat ziada tar mazboot US Dollar ki wajah se hai, jo July ke liye optimistic US S&P Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data se madad mil rahi hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve ke officials ne apne data-dependent approach ko zor diya, zarurat par mazeed saboot ki zaroorat par zor dia ke inflation unke 2% target ke saath align ho jaye pehle rate cuts consider karne se pehle. Market sentiment abhi 64% probability reflect karta hai Fed rate reduction ki September mein, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

RBA ne hawkish stance le liya hai, jo AUD ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai aur AUD/USD ke downside risks ko limit kar sakta hai short term mein. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke recent statements ke doran press conference mein rate hikes ke potential ke ird gird discussions ki baat ki, aur foran rate cuts ke considerations ko dismiss kar diya.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair apni current range ke andar mukhtalif movements ke liye tayar lagta hai. Key levels jinko dekhna hai wo hain ek potential continuation upwards agar mini-range high 0.6677 ko surpass kar liya jaye, possibly extending towards range ceiling 0.6707. Doosri taraf, agar mini-range low 0.6625 ko breach kar liya jaye to ek decline trigger ho sakti hai towards range floor 0.6591. Bullish trend jo is range formation se pehle tha, usko dekhte hue ek upside breakout ziada probable lagta hai is waqt.

Indicators weakening momentum ko reveal karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai lekin downward tilt show kar raha hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) red bars exhibit karta hai. Stronger buying sentiment ko confirm karne ke liye, AUD/USD pair ko 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar robust support establish karna hoga. Sellers meanwhile, may test this SMA support in upcoming sessions to gauge its resilience.
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. Is bade samay avadhi mein, wave structure apne upar ki aur rukh bana rahi hai. MACD indicator upper overbought area mein hai, lekin ab apne signal line ke neeche gir raha hai. Teesre wave ki surat mein, agar pehle wave par target Fibonacci grid lagaya jaye, toh 161.8 level ek ummeedwar nishchit target dikhata hai. Madhyamik target ek seedha rekha hai jo mukhya chotiyon ko jodne se mil sakta hai. Par yeh ab mahatvahin nahi hai, kyun ki samarthan kam ho gaya aur aaj toota. Pehle hi ummed thi ki keemat

neeche ki aur sudharan hoga, jabki CCI indicator ne bearish divergence dikhaya. Ek aur istemal kiya gaya indicator Bearish Divergence in MACD, jo kaam karta hai. Jumeraat ko, neeche ki or ek seedha samarthan star 0.6690 ka tha, jise keemat neeche ki or todne ki koshish ki, aur yahan par wave ke niche chadhta hua rekha bana sakte hain, jo keemat ko girne se bhi rok sakti hai. Ek mishrit sthiti thi, sab kuch vikas ke liye achha lag raha tha, lekin maine kaha ki NZDUSD gathbandhan vikas ko samarthan nahi deta, ulta wahan neeche dikhta hai. Mitron Euro Dollar aur Pound Dollar gir rahe hain, isliye yahan kharidne ki ummeedwar nahi thi, samarthan ke bavjood. Unke bhedbhav ke breakthrough ki uchit sambhavna thi, jo aaj hua. Indicator par diggaj hone ke alawa, ek ascendin wedge ke ulat hone ka bhi samarthy hai. Keemat ne is figure ko niche tod diya hai. Aur ab marg ke liye keemat ki aur giravat ke liye rasta khula hua hai 0.6579 star par. Isse pehle, ek neeche tak lautne ki sambhavna hai jaise samarthan. Aaj arthik kalender mein sirf ek pramukh samachar samachar hai - USA mein doosre

AUD/USD

AUDUSD currency pair ki market analysis par nazar dalte hain. Tuesday ko (July 30), Australian dollar US dollar ke muqablay mein $0.6535 par aaya, jo ke pichle haftay ke teen mahine ke neeche $0.6510 se thoda upar hai, aur poori tarah se recent low area mein hi hai.

Wednesday ko market ek ahem Australian inflation report ka intezar kar rahi hai, jo ye tay karegi ke Reserve Bank of Australia dobara interest rates barhaye gi ya nahi. Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) ke economist Harry Ottley ka khayal hai ke core inflation doosray quarter mein quarterly 0.9% aur annually 3.9% hogi. Unka manna hai ke "hamare nazariye se, ye Reserve Bank of Australia ko itni guzarishat dega ke wo interest rates ko badalne ki zarurat mehsoos nahi karegi." Unhone mazeed analysis kiya ke agar quarterly rate 1.0% ho to ye ek "gray area" hoga aur Reserve Bank of Australia ya to interest rates ko waise hi chhor sakti hai ya phir barha sakti hai, data ke tafseelat par mabni. Agar quarterly inflation rate 1.1% ya is se zyada ho jaye, to ye committee ke irade ko azmaigi aur interest rate hikes ke maqooliat ko barhawa degi.

Is liye, Wednesday ko Australia ke inflation data par gaur karna chahiye. Kyunke agar data bas expectations ke mutabiq bhi aata hai, to ye Reserve Bank of Australia aur Federal Reserve ke interest rate outlook mein tafreeq barhane ka sabab ban sakta hai. Australian dollar ke paas low level se rebound karne ka mauqa ho sakta hai.

Daily chart par dekhein to, AUD/USD recent low area mein hover kar raha hai, aur technical indicator Relative Strength Index (RSI) oversold area mein blunt hona shuru ho gaya hai. Ye dekhna zaroori hai ke kya ye recent low 0.65 par qaim reh sakta hai aur rebound kar sakta hai, jo din ke Australian inflation data par mabni hai.

AUDUSD ka Paishgoi

Daily Time Frame Chart Ka Jaiza: Australian Dollar ki keemat daily time frame chart par kuch waqt se gir rahi hai. Magar 22 July ko, Australian Dollar ki keemat ne moving average lines ko neeche ki taraf cross kiya, aur tab se is time frame chart par major trend bearish raha hai. Yeh dekh kar ke aakhri teen candles is time frame chart par ek khaas area mein hain, yeh lagta hai ke AUDUSD ke liye price correction khatam ho chuki hai. Ab bhi, is trading asset ki keemat neeche ki taraf gir rahi hai aur bears ki taqat barh rahi hai. RSI indicator filhal 24 hai aur oversold level ke neeche hai, is wajah se mujhe thodi pareshani hai. Maine haal hi mein AUDUSD daily time frame chart par dhyan se nazar daali aur do mazboot support levels dhoonde, jo ke 0.6450 aur 0.6364 ke price points par hain.

Weekly Time Frame Chart Ka Jaiza: General taur par, AUDUSD ki keemat weekly time frame chart par kaafi waqt se moving average lines ke sath chal rahi hai; kabhi kabhi yeh lines ko upar aur kabhi neeche cross karti hai. Main samjha tha ke pichhli bullish wave ke doran keemat aage barhegi, magar yeh sirf chand waqt ke liye upar gayi jab AUDUSD ne moving average lines ko upar ki taraf cross kiya. AUDUSD pichle do hafton se gher rahi hai, magar pichle hafte bears ko kuch taqat mili, is wajah se keemat 50 EMA line ke neeche band hui aur trend badal gaya. Bears ke raste mein aur bhi support levels hain, lekin maine do sab se ahm levels chuni hain aur inka tasveer mein zikar kiya hai.

Pair ne neeche ka safar barqarar rakha hai, jo apne teesre musalsal din ke doran 0.6540 ke ird gird sauda ho raha hai, pehli Asian session ke doran Tuesday ko. Ye girawat ziada tar mazboot US Dollar ki wajah se hai, jo July ke liye optimistic US S&P Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data se madad mil rahi hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve ke officials ne apne data-dependent approach ko zor diya, zarurat par mazeed saboot ki zaroorat par zor dia ke inflation unke 2% target ke saath align ho jaye pehle rate cuts consider karne se pehle. Market sentiment abhi 64% probability reflect karta hai Fed rate reduction ki September mein, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

RBA ne hawkish stance le liya hai, jo AUD ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai aur AUD/USD ke downside risks ko limit kar sakta hai short term mein. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke recent statements ke doran press conference mein rate hikes ke potential ke ird gird discussions ki baat ki, aur foran rate cuts ke considerations ko dismiss kar diya.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair apni current range ke andar mukhtalif movements ke liye tayar lagta hai. Key levels jinko dekhna hai wo hain ek potential continuation upwards agar mini-range high 0.6677 ko surpass kar liya jaye, possibly extending towards range ceiling 0.6707. Doosri taraf, agar mini-range low 0.6625 ko breach kar liya jaye to ek decline trigger ho sakti hai towards range floor 0.6591. Bullish trend jo is range formation se pehle tha, usko dekhte hue ek upside breakout ziada probable lagta hai is waqt.

Indicators weakening momentum ko reveal karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai lekin downward tilt show kar raha hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) red bars exhibit karta hai. Stronger buying sentiment ko confirm karne ke liye, AUD/USD pair ko 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar robust support establish karna hoga. Sellers meanwhile, may test this SMA support in upcoming sessions to gauge its resilience.
Click image for larger version

Pair ne neeche ka safar barqarar rakha hai, jo apne teesre musalsal din ke doran 0.6540 ke ird gird sauda ho raha hai, pehli Asian session ke doran Tuesday ko. Ye girawat ziada tar mazboot US Dollar ki wajah se hai, jo July ke liye optimistic US S&P Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data se madad mil rahi hai.
AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve ke officials ne apne data-dependent approach ko zor diya, zarurat par mazeed saboot ki zaroorat par zor dia ke inflation unke 2% target ke saath align ho jaye pehle rate cuts consider karne se pehle. Market sentiment abhi 64% probability reflect karta hai Fed rate reduction ki September mein, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

RBA ne hawkish stance le liya hai, jo AUD ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai aur AUD/USD ke downside risks ko limit kar sakta hai short term mein. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke recent statements ke doran press conference mein rate hikes ke potential ke ird gird discussions ki baat ki, aur foran rate cuts ke considerations ko dismiss kar diya.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair apni current range ke andar mukhtalif movements ke liye tayar lagta hai. Key levels jinko dekhna hai wo hain ek potential continuation upwards agar mini-range high 0.6677 ko surpass kar liya jaye, possibly extending towards range ceiling 0.6707. Doosri taraf, agar mini-range low 0.6625 ko breach kar liya jaye to ek decline trigger ho sakti hai towards range floor 0.6591. Bullish trend jo is range formation se pehle tha, usko dekhte hue ek upside breakout ziada probable lagta hai is waqt.

Indicators weakening momentum ko reveal karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai lekin downward tilt show kar raha hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) red bars exhibit karta hai. Stronger buying sentiment ko confirm karne ke liye, AUD/USD pair ko 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar robust support establish karna hoga. Sellers meanwhile, may test this SMA support in upcoming sessions to gauge its resilience.
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**AUD/USD Price Overlook**

Hamari analysis mein, hum AUD/USD currency pair ke current behavior par discuss karte hain. Kal ki market action ne aaj ke reversal ko janam diya, jo mere liye kuch zyada hi sawaal uthata hai. Jabke US dollar kuch currencies ke muqable mein taqat barhata hua nazar aa raha hai, yeh AUD/USD ke muqable mein kamzor ho raha hai, jo general market trend se divergence hai. Umeed hai ke yeh discrepancy jaldi khatam hogi aur market ek unified direction ko wapas paayegi. Filhal, AUD/USD ke barhne ki forecast samne aa rahi hai, aur is movement ke saath, pair ko 0.650 mark ke upar break karna hoga. Mera target 0.671 tak ki movement hai. Halankeh main iske sahi hone ki guarantee nahi de sakta, lekin main current bullish trend se mutmain hoon. Aaj se labor market data releases shuru ho rahe hain, aur kal ka focus Federal Reserve ke interest rate decision par shift ho jayega, khaaskar Powell ke press conference ke insights par.

**AUD/USD Currency Pair Analysis**

AUD/USD currency pair ek uptrend mein hai, jo MACD indicator channel ke upward slope se zahir hota hai, jo green mein dikhaya gaya hai. MACD indicator zero line ke upar aur green hai, jabke CCI indicator pink line blue line ke upar hai. Yeh consistent signals pair ke liye buying opportunities suggest karte hain. Lekin, behtar hoga ke price CCI indicator ke average level 0.6546 tak retrace karne ka intezar kiya jaye.

Chaliye daily (D1) time frame ko same approach se evaluate karte hain. Daily price data ko analyze karte hain: candle close 0.6552 par hai, Parabolic indicator 0.6628 par hai, aur MA indicator 0.6576 par hai. Agar daily candle Parabolic Curve aur moving average ke neeche close hoti hai, to is din ke andar hourly time frame par sell signals dekhna prudent hoga.

Tuesday ki trading session mein, pair ne apne major counterparts, khaaskar USD, ke khilaf barhi hui selling pressure ka samna kiya. Pair ne ek ahm support level 0.6400 ko test kiya, jo ke 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke sath milta hai. Yeh downward momentum Australia ke Judo Bank ke taraf se release hui disappointing preliminary PMI data se aaya, jo economic softness ka signal deta hai. Saath hi, strong US Treasury yields aur US ke S&P se optimistic PMI figures ne USD ko support diya, jis se AUD ka decline aur barh gaya.

US Dollar ki Strength aur Market Sentiment PMI Data ke Beech

Investor ka dhyan US Dollar ki resilience par bhi gaya hai, jo pichle Friday ke unexpectedly robust Purchasing Managers Index numbers se support mila. Isse speculation barh gayi hai ke Federal Reserve ke taraf se interest rate cuts kisi waqt delay ho sakte hain, jo market expectations ko badal raha hai. CME FedWatch Tool ke latest figures ke mutabiq, September mein rate cut ki probability 65.9% hai, jo pichle haftay ke 70.2% se thodi kam hai.

Global market sentiment cautious hai kyunki June ke preliminary PMI readings major economies jaise Eurozone, UK, Japan, aur Australia ke forecasts se kam aaye hain. Aane wale US PMI forecasts bhi pichle levels se decline ko suggest karte hain, jo manufacturing aur service sectors mein sluggish activity ke wajah se hai.

Technical Analysis Insights aur Price Targets for AUD/USD

Agar current range ke upar decisive breach hota hai to yeh 0.6570 ke conservative target ki taraf barh sakta hai. Iske baraks, agar range floor se neeche break hota hai to initial target 0.6521 ke qareeb potential downside movement ko indicate karega. Yeh targets technical analysis methods, khaaskar Fibonacci ratios ka istemal karke derived kiye gaye hain, jo historical patterns ke base par likely price movements ko project karte hain.

Traders aur analysts yeh emphasize karte hain ke ek decisive breakout sustained momentum ke saath hota hai, jo aam taur par longer-than-average candles ke zariye dikhai deta hai jo apne highs ya lows ke qareeb close hoti hain, ya phir ek silsilewar candles ka series jo key resistance ya support levels ko decisive tareeke se todti hai.

Pair ne neeche ka safar barqarar rakha hai, jo apne teesre musalsal din ke doran 0.6540 ke ird gird sauda ho raha hai, pehli Asian session ke doran Tuesday ko. Ye girawat ziada tar mazboot US Dollar ki wajah se hai, jo July ke liye optimistic US S&P Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data se madad mil rahi hai.

AUD/USD ke Fundamentals:

Federal Reserve ke officials ne apne data-dependent approach ko zor diya, zarurat par mazeed saboot ki zaroorat par zor dia ke inflation unke 2% target ke saath align ho jaye pehle rate cuts consider karne se pehle. Market sentiment abhi 64% probability reflect karta hai Fed rate reduction ki September mein, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

RBA ne hawkish stance le liya hai, jo AUD ko mazid mazboot kar sakta hai aur AUD/USD ke downside risks ko limit kar sakta hai short term mein. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke recent statements ke doran press conference mein rate hikes ke potential ke ird gird discussions ki baat ki, aur foran rate cuts ke considerations ko dismiss kar diya.

Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:

Pair apni current range ke andar mukhtalif movements ke liye tayar lagta hai. Key levels jinko dekhna hai wo hain ek potential continuation upwards agar mini-range high 0.6677 ko surpass kar liya jaye, possibly extending towards range ceiling 0.6707. Doosri taraf, agar mini-range low 0.6625 ko breach kar liya jaye to ek decline trigger ho sakti hai towards range floor 0.6591. Bullish trend jo is range formation se pehle tha, usko dekhte hue ek upside breakout ziada probable lagta hai is waqt.

Indicators weakening momentum ko reveal karte hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai lekin downward tilt show kar raha hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) red bars exhibit karta hai. Stronger buying sentiment ko confirm karne ke liye, AUD/USD pair ko 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar robust support establish karna hoga. Sellers meanwhile, may test this SMA support in upcoming sessions to gauge its resilience.
Click image for larger version

Pair ne downward trajectory maintain ki hai, aur Tuesday ke early Asian session mein 0.6540 ke aas paas trade kar raha hai, jo uska teesra consecutive din hai. Yeh decline primarily stronger US Dollar ke wajah se hai, jo optimistic US S&P Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data for July ke bais hai.

**AUD/USD Fundamentals:**

Federal Reserve ke officials ne data-dependent approach par apni commitment ko underscore kiya hai, aur inflation ke 2% target ke saath align hone ke liye further evidence ki zaroorat ko emphasize kiya hai pehle rate cuts consider karne se. Market sentiment abhi September mein Fed rate reduction ki 64% probability reflect karta hai, CME FedWatch Tool ke mutabiq.

RBA ne hawkish stance liya hai, jo short term mein AUD ko bolster kar sakta hai aur AUD/USD ke downside risks ko limit kar sakta hai. RBA Governor Michele Bullock ke recent statements ek press conference ke dauran potential rate hikes ke discussions ki taraf ishara karte hain, immediate rate cuts ke considerations ko dismiss karte hain.

**Daily Time Frame Technical Outlook:**

Pair apne current range ke andar varied movements ke liye poised lag raha hai. Key levels jo dekhne chahiye woh hain: mini-range high 0.6677 ko surpass karne par upar ki taraf continuation ki potential, jo range ceiling 0.6707 tak extend kar sakta hai. Wahi agar mini-range low 0.6625 ke neeche break hota hai, to decline range floor 0.6591 tak trigger ho sakti hai. Given the bullish trend jo is range ki formation se pehle tha, upside breakout abhi marginally zyada probable lag raha hai.

Indicators weak momentum ko reveal kar rahe hain. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke upar hai lekin downward tilt dikhata hai, jabke Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) abhi bhi red bars show kar raha hai. Stronger buying sentiment ko confirm karne ke liye, AUD/USD pair ko 20-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ke upar strong support establish karna hoga. Wahi sellers is SMA support ko agle sessions mein test kar sakte hain taake iska resilience gauge kiya ja sake.

AUD/USD karansi joṛay ne ghair maamooli rawayya dekha hai, khaaskar jabke US dollar ki demand barh rahi hai. Yeh chhupayi nahi ja sakti khaaskar jab Australia ki ma'ashi maloomat se yeh maloom hota hai ke manzoor shuda ta'meerat ke darkhawast mein 6.6% ki ahem kami hui hai, jo ke 2.2% ke tajziyati kami se bohot zyada hai. Yeh theoretically Australian dollar (AUD) par neeche ki taraf dabao dalna chahiye, magar karansi joṛa dheere dheere upar ki taraf jane ki koshish kar raha hai.
Iss waqt, khareedari position lena aqalmandi nahi lagta. Halaanki joṛa H4 chart par Kijun line ko choo raha hai, jo support ka ishara de sakta hai, lekin 66th figure se neeche girne ke imkaanaat kam lagte hain. Bulls qadar mutma'in lag rahe hain, shayad isliye ke joṛa is support level ko barkarar rakha hai. Doosri taraf, sellers ko 0.6531 ke support level ko phir se test karna zaroori hai, jo agle price movements ke liye behtar rukh de sakta hai.

Hourly chart par AUD/USD ka joṛa saaf downtrend mein hai, jahan price 134-period moving average se neeche hai. Yeh technical indicator maujooda bearish trend ko mazid mazboot karta hai. 134-period moving average ko traders aksar trend ki direction aur potential reversal points ko pehchaan ne ke liye istemaal karte hain. Jo fact ke price is average se neeche hai, yeh batata hai ke bearish momentum abhi tak mazboot hai aur sellers control mein hain.

Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke chhoti timeframe par price ne 134-period moving average ke ooper close kiya hai, jo ke broader downtrend mein ek mumkin correction ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh divergence chhoti aur lambi timeframes ke darmiyan aik temporary pullback ya consolidation phase ko zahir kar sakta hai, na ke complete trend reversal ko. Traders isey apni positions ko dobara jaanchne ka mauqa samajh sakte hain, jahan short positions mein jo log hain, wo shayad profits lock karne ya stop-loss orders adjust karne ki soch rahe hon.

Summary mein, AUD/USD ka joṛa iss waqt ek complex surat-e-haal mein hai jahan technical indicators aur economic data mixed signals de rahe hain. Australia mein ta'meerat ke darkhawast mein ahem kami economic weakness ko zahir karti hai, jo aam tor par AUD ko neeche pressure karta hai. Magar joṛa ki upward move ki koshish aur key moving averages ke ird gird price action ek nuanced picture ko zahir karta hai. Given the prevailing downtrend on the hourly chart aur 134-period moving average ke relative price action ko dekhte hue, ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Sellers ko 0.6531 ke support level ko qareebi se dekhna chahiye, jabke koi bhi significant break short-term resistance ke uper ek corrective phase ko imply kar sakta hai na ke full trend reversal ko.

AUD/USD karansi joṛay ne ghair maamooli rawayya dekha hai, khaaskar jabke US dollar ki demand barh rahi hai. Yeh chhupayi nahi ja sakti khaaskar jab Australia ki ma'ashi maloomat se yeh maloom hota hai ke manzoor shuda ta'meerat ke darkhawast mein 6.6% ki ahem kami hui hai, jo ke 2.2% ke tajziyati kami se bohot zyada hai. Yeh theoretically Australian dollar (AUD) par neeche ki taraf dabao dalna chahiye, magar karansi joṛa dheere dheere upar ki taraf jane ki koshish kar raha hai.
Iss waqt, khareedari position lena aqalmandi nahi lagta. Halaanki joṛa H4 chart par Kijun line ko choo raha hai, jo support ka ishara de sakta hai, lekin 66th figure se neeche girne ke imkaanaat kam lagte hain. Bulls qadar mutma'in lag rahe hain, shayad isliye ke joṛa is support level ko barkarar rakha hai. Doosri taraf, sellers ko 0.6531 ke support level ko phir se test karna zaroori hai, jo agle price movements ke liye behtar rukh de sakta hai.

Hourly chart par AUD/USD ka joṛa saaf downtrend mein hai, jahan price 134-period moving average se neeche hai. Yeh technical indicator maujooda bearish trend ko mazid mazboot karta hai. 134-period moving average ko traders aksar trend ki direction aur potential reversal points ko pehchaan ne ke liye istemaal karte hain. Jo fact ke price is average se neeche hai, yeh batata hai ke bearish momentum abhi tak mazboot hai aur sellers control mein hain.

Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke chhoti timeframe par price ne 134-period moving average ke ooper close kiya hai, jo ke broader downtrend mein ek mumkin correction ki taraf ishara karta hai. Yeh divergence chhoti aur lambi timeframes ke darmiyan aik temporary pullback ya consolidation phase ko zahir kar sakta hai, na ke complete trend reversal ko. Traders isey apni positions ko dobara jaanchne ka mauqa samajh sakte hain, jahan short positions mein jo log hain, wo shayad profits lock karne ya stop-loss orders adjust karne ki soch rahe hon.

Summary mein, AUD/USD ka joṛa iss waqt ek complex surat-e-haal mein hai jahan technical indicators aur economic data mixed signals de rahe hain. Australia mein ta'meerat ke darkhawast mein ahem kami economic weakness ko zahir karti hai, jo aam tor par AUD ko neeche pressure karta hai. Magar joṛa ki upward move ki koshish aur key moving averages ke ird gird price action ek nuanced picture ko zahir karta hai. Given the prevailing downtrend on the hourly chart aur 134-period moving average ke relative price action ko dekhte hue, ehtiyaat zaroori hai. Sellers ko 0.6531 ke support level ko qareebi se dekhna chahiye, jabke koi bhi significant break short-term resistance ke uper ek corrective phase ko imply kar sakta hai na ke full trend reversal ko.

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