𝐆𝐁𝐏/𝐔𝐒𝐃

GBP/USD CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS



Friday ko GBP/USD trading apne opening se lower close hui kyunki us waqt yeh currency pair apne decline ko continue kar raha tha, halaan ke woh itna bara nahi tha. Maine calculate kiya ke GBP/USD sirf 38 pips area ke aas paas move hui. Range choti hone ke bawajood, candle ne lowest H1 support at 1.2658 ke price ko penetrate kar liya. Successfully break through karne ke baad, GBP/USD turant 1.2640 ke price tak gir gayi. Yeh decline asal mein 19 June 2024 se chal raha hai. GBP/USD ne girna shuru kiya jab candle SBR zone ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Is wajah se GBP/USD candle ke 1.2740 ke price tak pahunchne ke baad rise nahi kar saki.

Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, toh halaan ke candle ne support ko penetrate kar liya hai, main predict karta hoon ke Monday ko GBP/USD ke rise hone ka chance abhi bhi hai kyunki current candle abhi bhi RBS area at 1.2629 ke price se bahar nahi nikal payi. Jab tak yeh area downward penetrate nahi hota, iska matlab hai ke rise hone ka opportunity abhi bhi bohot wide open hai. Ho sakta hai ke pichle kuch dino ka decline sirf ek correction ho, baaqi ka rise hoga. Lekin, jab candle position support ke niche ho tab hamesha careful rehna chahiye kyunki GBP/USD aur bhi deeper fall kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, support pe bullish engulfing candle pattern ka appearance bhi yeh confirmation deta hai ke market jald reverse karega. Next area jo GBP/USD target karega, woh 1.2736 hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye, toh candle position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke niche hai. Filhal, yeh indicator bearish signal nahi de raha. Ho sakta hai ke candle RBS zone mein trapped rehne ki wajah se GBP/USD rise kare aur phir ek naye intersection ka banne se candle position change ho ke H1 support line ke upar aa jaye jo 1.2620 pe hai, iski strength test hogi.

Stochastic indicator khud batata hai ke condition already oversold hai. Yeh dekhne mein aata hai jab line level 20 ko touch karti hai. Lekin, aaj line middle mein hai. Wahan maine dekha ke ek divergent pattern form ho raha hai jo ek sign hai ke near future mein reversal movement hoga. Iska matlab hai ke jo maine explain kiya usmein correlation hai ke GBP/USD ke direction reverse hone ka potential hai after continuous decline ke kuch dino ke baad.

Aaj ki analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke Monday ko GBP/USD ke rise hone ka opportunity abhi bhi hai ek even higher level tak is reason se ke candle RBS zone at 1.2620 ke price ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Iske ilawa, stochastic indicator mein divergent pattern mila hai. Isliye, main recommend karta hoon ke jo log is pair mein trading kar rahe hain woh sirf buy positions open karne pe focus karein. Jaise ke usual, target closest resistance 1.2725 pe rakh sakte hain aur stop loss closest support 1.2615 pe place kar sakte hain.

Friday ko GBP/USD trading apne opening se lower close hui kyunki us waqt yeh currency pair apne decline ko continue kar raha tha, halaan ke woh itna bara nahi tha. Maine calculate kiya ke GBP/USD sirf 38 pips area ke aas paas move hui. Range choti hone ke bawajood, candle ne lowest H1 support at 1.2658 ke price ko penetrate kar liya. Successfully break through karne ke baad, GBP/USD turant 1.2640 ke price tak gir gayi. Yeh decline asal mein 19 June 2024 se chal raha hai. GBP/USD ne girna shuru kiya jab candle SBR zone ko penetrate nahi kar payi. Is wajah se GBP/USD candle ke 1.2740 ke price tak pahunchne ke baad rise nahi kar saki.
Agar H1 timeframe se analyze kiya jaye, toh halaan ke candle ne support ko penetrate kar liya hai, main predict karta hoon ke Monday ko GBP/USD ke rise hone ka chance abhi bhi hai kyunki current candle abhi bhi RBS area at 1.2629 ke price se bahar nahi nikal payi. Jab

tak yeh area downward penetrate nahi hota, iska matlab hai ke rise hone ka opportunity abhi bhi bohot wide open hai. Ho sakta hai ke pichle kuch dino ka decline sirf ek correction ho, baaqi ka rise hoga. Lekin, jab candle position support ke niche ho tab hamesha careful rehna chahiye kyunki GBP/USD aur bhi deeper fall kar sakta hai. Iske ilawa, support pe bullish engulfing candle pattern ka appearance bhi yeh confirmation deta hai ke market jald reverse karega. Next area jo GBP/USD target karega, woh 1.2736 hai.

Agar Ichimoku indicator se analyze kiya jaye, toh candle position abhi bhi tenkan sen aur kijun sen lines ke niche hai. Filhal, yeh indicator bearish signal nahi de raha. Ho sakta hai ke candle RBS zone mein trapped rehne ki wajah se GBP/USD rise kare aur phir ek naye intersection ka banne se candle position change ho ke H1 support line ke upar aa jaye jo 1.2620 pe hai, iski strength test hogi.

Stochastic indicator khud batata hai ke condition already oversold hai. Yeh dekhne mein aata hai jab line level 20 ko touch karti hai. Lekin, aaj line middle mein hai. Wahan maine dekha ke ek divergent pattern form ho raha hai jo ek sign hai ke near future mein reversal movement hoga. Iska matlab hai ke jo maine explain kiya usmein correlation hai ke GBP/USD ke direction reverse hone ka potential hai after continuous decline ke kuch dino ke

GBP/USD jodi 1.2550 par ahem 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) ko tor kar musbat trend dikha rahi hai. Ye breakout bullish outlook ka ishara deta hai. Jodi ka agla target 1.3000 ka nafsiyati level hai, jo 1.2893 ka peak tha jo 8 March, 2024 ko tha. Magar, ihtiyaat ki wajahain bhi hain. Takniki indicators se mix signals aur 1.2800 ke darjoo darjoo levelon ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka baar baar saboot ye dikhate hain ke jodi ko mazeed mustehkam honay se pehle mazeed mustehkam hona parega. Ye khaas taur par sach hai UK ke qoumi intekhabat 4 July ko qareeb hain, jo market ki bechaini ko barha sakti hain. Agar keemat 1.2690-1.2685 zone se neeche gir jati hai, to ye tajziya khatam hone ka ishara ho sakta hai jo April mein dekha gaya tha. Is surat mein, 100-day moving average, karib 1.2640-1.2635, waqtan fawat madad faraham kar sakta hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to GBP/USD mazeed gir sakti hai aur mukhya 200-day moving average ki taraf barh sakti hai, jo abhi 1.2560-1.2555 par mojood hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to jodi ka nafsiyati ahem level 1.2630 ka shikaar ho sakta hai.
GBP/USD jodi ahem 200-day SMA ko tor kar musbat trend dikha rahi hai. Agla target 1.3000 ka nafsiyati level hai, jo 1.2893 ka peak tha jo 8 March, 2024 ko tha. Magar, behtari ke pehle muddat ke liye kuch sawalat hain. Takniki indicators se mix signals aur 1.2800 ke darjoo darjoo levelon ko barqarar rakhne mein nakami ka baar baar saboot ye dikhate hain ke jodi ko mazeed mustehkam honay se pehle mazeed mustehkam hona parega. Ye khaas taur par sach hai UK ke qoumi intekhabat 4 July ko qareeb hain, jo market ki bechaini ko barha sakti hain. Agar keemat 1.2690-1.2685 zone se neeche gir jati hai, to ye tajziya khatam hone ka ishara ho sakta hai jo April mein dekha gaya tha. Is surat mein, 100-day moving average, karib 1.2640-1.2635, waqtan fawat madad faraham kar sakta hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to GBP/USD mazeed gir sakti hai aur mukhya 200-day moving average ki taraf barh sakti hai, jo abhi 1.2560-1.2555 par mojood hai. Agar ye level tor diya jata hai, to jodi ka nafsiyati ahem level 1.2630 ka shikaar ho sakta hai.

GBP/USD Currency pair ke price action ki tafseeli tehqiqat hamare muzakaray ka markazi mawad hoga. GBP/USD currency pair apne neechay ki taraf rawana rahe hai aur ek girte hue channel ke andar trade kar raha hai. Haftay ke ikhtitam tak, Pound US Dollar ke khilaaf mubadala rate 1.2645 par hai. Moving averages ek bearish trend ko zahir karte hain. Keemat ne signal lines ke darmiyan se neechay guzar kar sellers ki dabavat aur giravat ke jaari rehne ki mumkin nishan dari di hai. Aglay haftay mein, British Pound ka US Dollar ke khilaf barhna aur 1.2674 nazdeeki resistance area ko test karne ki koshish mumkin hai. Yahan se, jora ehdafi tor par neechay jhuk sakta hai aur apni giravat US Dollar ke khilaf jaari rakh sakta hai. Is giravat ka nishana 1.2559 ke aas paas ka ilaqah hai.


Daily charts par, 1.2891 ki unchayi se shuru hokar GBP/USD pair bearish harmonic "Dragon" pattern ko muntazir hai, haan magar pitchfork ubharta hua hai. Pound ke liye nazdeek taqatwar support 1.2628 hai. Agar yeh support qaim rahe, to yahan se palatne se bael kar sakti hai aur bullion ko 1.2705 ki taraf aur bhi ooncha le jane ke liye josh de sakta hai. Magar agar 1.2628 ki support toot jaye aur bears iske neechay qaim rahein, to GBP/USD ke quote giravat ko apne piche le jane ke liye tayyar ho sakte hain, ascending forks ke nichle simt aur 1.2519 ke daraje tak. Lekin seedhi taur par is level se neechay giravat ki ummed kamzor hai. Is tarah, reference levels mukhtalif time periods ke liye lagbhag wahi rehte hain. Ziyada tar cheezein hafta ke mausam par munhasir hongi, jo market ki rukh ko mutasir kar sakti hain. In ahem levels ko nazar andaz na kar ke, aur taza tareen khabron se mutasir rehna market mein bahtar tareeqe se safar karne ke liye zaroori hai.

GBPUSD pair jo ke bullish trend direction maintain karne ki koshish kar raha hai, lagta hai ke upward rally continue nahi kar pa raha. Kyunke price movement jo ke pehle 200 SMA ke aas paas mazboot thi, obstacles ka saamna kar rahi hai jab woh 50 EMA aur 1.2732 pivot point (PP) se aagey move karna chahti hai. Aakhirkar, downward price movement ne support (S1) 1.2606 ke qareeb pohanch gaya, jis se dono moving average lines ek doosre ke qareeb aa gaye hain. Agar yeh silsila jari rehta hai, toh dono moving average lines cross karengi, jo ke death cross signal trigger karega aur trend direction bearish ban jayega. Is tarah, price movement nichey ki taraf hone ka imkaan zyada hai, aur price pattern ka structure bhi lower low - lower high mein badal gaya ha Lekin, yeh possibility ko bhi nazarandaz nahi kiya ja sakta ke price pehle thoda correct karega phir support (S1) 1.2606 ko test karega. Awesome Oscillator (AO) bullish divergence signal dikha raha hai kyunke negative area mein histogram volume price volume ke sath nahi mil raha. Misaal ke tor par, histogram actually plateau signal de raha hai jo ke continuation signal hai, iska matlab price upward correction phase experience nahi karega. Stochastic indicator ke parameters jo ke oversold zone 20 - 10 cross kar chuke hain, yeh indicate karte hain ke downward rally oversold point tak pohanch gayi hai. Masla yeh hai ke current parameter level 50 cross nahi kar raha, is liye parameter ke wapas oversold zone mein jane ke chances hain
Toh, aaj ke analysis ka conclusion yeh hai ke GBP/USD condition overbought hai, currency pair ke paas girne ka mauka hai kyun ke candle position abhi bhi supply area mein stuck hai jo ke 1.2769 price par hai. Jab tak yeh break nahi hota, main recommend karta hoon ke jo dost is pair mein trade karte hain, woh short positions open karne par focus karein. Take profit target lower support par place kar sakte hain jo ke 1.2690 price par hai aur stop loss nearest resistance par place kar sakte hain jo ke 1.2794 price par hai.

GBP/USD ka pair abhi H4 chart par 1.2778 par trade kar raha hai. Aakhri market conditions dekhte hue, lagta hai ke kal ke FOMC news ke baad koi khaas movement nahi hogi. Recent fluctuations ko dekhte hue, initially price ne strong buy level 1.2812 ko break kiya, jo ke potential upward move indicate karta hai. Lekin price is level ko maintain nahi kar payi aur reverse ho gayi, wapas usi level ko break karte hue, jo bearish movement indicate karta hai. Iss situation ko dekhte hue, lagta hai ke price ab recent low support level 1.2686 ko test karegi. Ye potential test 1.2686 support level ka traders ke liye bohot important hai. Agar price iss level ko reach karke maintain karti hai, to ye un logon ke liye buying ka mauka ho sakta hai jo market mein lower price point par enter karna chahte hain. Agar price iss support level ke neeche break karti hai, to ye further downward movement ka signal ho sakta hai, jo bearish trend ki continuation ko indicate karta hai.
H4 chart par, MACD indicator abhi normal buy signal show kar raha hai. Ye suggest karta hai ke market mein buying interest to hai, lekin shayad itna strong nahi ke prices ko significantly upar push kar sake near term mein. Traders ko MACD indicator ko closely watch karna chahiye kisi bhi changes ke liye, kyunki agar strong buy signal ka shift hota hai to ye current bearish trend ke reversal ko indicate kar sakta hai. In factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, main charts ko closely monitor karunga dekhne ke liye ke price 1.2686 support level ko test karti hai ya nahi. Ye level bohot important hai kyunki ye determine karega ke GBP/USD pair ka potential next movement kya hoga. Agar price iss support ke upar sustain karti hai, to ye ek achi buying opportunity ho sakti hai. Lekin agar ye break down karti hai, to hum GBP/USD price mein further decline dekh sakte hain. In conclusion, GBP/USD ke liye current market sentiment cautious hai, aur traders clear signals ka wait kar rahe hain kisi bhi significant moves se pehle.

GBP/USD Price Review

Hamari discussion mein, hum recent price action of the GBP/USD currency pair ko analyse karenge. Pichle kuch dino mein, GBP/USD ne apne behaviour mein kuch uncertainty exhibit ki hai. Price initially ek resistance level ke through break kiya chaar baje ke aas paas, slight increase dekhne ko mili lekin apni peak tak nahi pohch saka. Jab hourly time frame ko dekha, to ek clear bullish trend evident hoti hai jab price two-hundred moving average se bounce hui aur higher highs tak pohchi, phir se descend hone se pehle. Possibility ab bhi open hai, halaan ke pair ne poori tarah se downtrend revert nahi kiya. Jab main GBP/USD ko observe karta hoon, to mujhe iski future trajectory ke baare mein uncertainty mehsoos hoti hai. Yeh clear nahi hai ke price apni upward trend ko continue karegi ya maximum ko break karke weekly high ko update karegi. Bears ke liye bhi considerations hain, jo pair ki direction ko influence kar sakti hain.

Aaj ke GBP/USD market mein, sellers dominate kar rahe hain order book ko. Mujhe potential nazar aa raha hai ke currency pair rise kar sakti hai, jo ke seller accumulation around 1.2740 se supported hai. Mera trading plan yeh hai ke GBP/USD ko 1.2744 se buy karoon, profit target 1.2805 par set hai aur stop loss 1.2717 par. Agar price 1.2717 ke neeche close hoti hai, to mujhe alternative scenarios consider karne padenge. Abhi ke liye, pair 1.2748 par hold kar rahi hai. Prevailing seller bias ko dekhte hue, main selling ki taraf inclined hoon. Short positions active hain, jo sellers ki dominance ko reflect karti hain. Main short positions open karne ka plan bana raha hoon taake 1.2696 ka profit bana sakoon. Halaanke trading ke dauran positions ko partially close karna potential profit ko reduce kar sakta hai, yeh deposit security ko enhance karta hai. Jab price 1.2696 tak pohchti hai, to main closely monitor karunga potential reversals ko aur higher trading options explore karunga.

GBP/USD ne ascending regression channel ke lower boundary ko tor diya, jo is baat ki nishani hai ke short-term trend bearish ho gaya hai. Ascending regression channel ek technical analysis tool hai jo price ki movement ko channel ke daira mein record karta hai, aur jab price is boundary ko todta hai, to yeh signal hota hai ke market ka sentiment change ho gaya hai.

Is ke ilawa, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator bhi bearish outlook ko support karta hai. RSI ek momentum oscillator hai jo overbought aur oversold conditions ko identify karta hai. Jab RSI 70 ke upar hota hai, to market overbought consider hota hai, aur jab 30 ke neeche hota hai, to market oversold. Lekin is case mein, RSI 40 ke neeche gira hai jo ke ek bearish signal hai. Yeh indicate karta hai ke selling pressure increase ho raha hai aur price further decline kar sakti hai.

4-hour chart ko dekhne se yeh clear hota hai ke GBP/USD ka downtrend continue hone ke chances zyada hain. Lower boundary ka break hona aur RSI ka 40 ke neeche girna, dono hi indicators hain ke bearish momentum pick up ho raha hai. Short-term traders aur investors ke liye yeh ek alert hai ke wo apne positions ko accordingly adjust karein.

Agar price neechay girti rehti hai aur support levels ko breach karti hai, to further decline ke chances badh jaate hain. Next support levels identify karna important hai, jahan price potentially halt kar sakti hai. Lekin, agar market mein koi significant positive catalyst nahi aata, to downtrend continue rehne ki umeed hai.

Dousri taraf, agar price quickly recover kar jaati hai aur upper boundaries ko retest karti hai, to yeh short-term downtrend ka ek false breakout ho sakta hai. Lekin abhi ke technical indicators is baat ki taraf point kar rahe hain ke bearish sentiment dominate kar raha hai.

Traders ke liye yeh important hai ke wo risk management strategies ko implement karein, jaise ke stop-loss orders lagana taake potential losses ko minimize kiya ja sake. Market conditions ko closely monitor karna aur latest economic news aur developments pe nazar rakhna bhi zaroori hai, kyun ke yeh factors GBP/USD ki movement ko significantly influence kar sakte hain.

Summarize karte huye, GBP/USD ka ascending regression channel ke lower boundary ko torna aur RSI ka 40 ke neeche girna, dono hi short-term bearish outlook ko confirm karte hain. Yeh signals suggest karte hain ke downtrend continue hone ke chances hain aur traders ko apni strategies accordingly adjust karni chahiye.

GBP/USD ki trading updates:

GBP/USD ke buyers ne price ko upar nahi laya aur MA 50 line ko break kar diya, jis se price girne lagi. Dollar ne economic data ke release ke baad phir se strengthen kiya aur is wajah se GBP/USD pressure mein aaya. Price girte girte nearest support line ko bhi break kar gayi aur market interest ke saath Friday ko close hua. Price abhi bhi 1.2633 support area mein hai.

GBP/USD ka agla movement ka prediction yeh hai ke agar price phir se girke nearest support line ko break karta hai, toh bearish movement ka potential hai. Friday ko release hui economic data ne GBP/USD ko pressure mein dala hai aur yeh pressure Monday tak continue ho sakta hai, kyun ke Monday ko high impact data release nahi hone wala hai. Yeh bhi support karta hai ke agle movement mein GBP/USD phir se gir sakta hai.

Magar current price position support area mein hai aur agar history dekha jaye toh 1.2633 support/resistance line pehle bhi kaam aaya hai, isliye 1.2633 pe pullback ka potential hai agle GBP/USD movement mein. Candle structure dekhte hue sellers abhi bhi dominate kar rahe hain aur price ne nearest support line ko break kar liya hai, iska matlab hai ke 1.2633 support line ko bhi break kar sakta hai aur GBP/USD agle support line ki taraf gir sakta hai.

GBP/USD sirf tab rise karega jab price upar jaye aur resistance line ya MA 50 line ko break kar le at 1.2738.

In predictions ke hisab se, agle GBP/USD movement ya Monday ko bearish potential hai, isliye trading mein sell opportunities dhoondhna hai. Price ko 1.2633 support line ko break karte huye sell karna best setup hai. Yahan tak ke complete trading setup:

Sell setup:
1. Sell breakout: Price ko girte hue dekhein aur jab 1.2633 support line ko break kare to sell karein. Profit target 1.2506 support line pe rakhein. Stop loss 1.2633 line se 20-30 pips upar rakhein.

2. Sell pullback: Price ko upar aane dijiye aur jab MA 50 line pe 1.2738 pe price rejection form ho to sell karein. Profit targets 1.2633 aur 1.2506 support lines pe rakhein. Stop loss MA 50 line se 20-30 pips upar rakhein.

Buy setup:
1. Buy pullback: Price ko neeche aane dijiye aur jab 1.2633 support line pe price rejection form ho to buy karein. Profit targets 1.2738 aur 1.2880 lines pe rakhein. Stop loss 1.2633 line se 20-30 pips neeche rakhein.

2. Buy breakout: Price ko upar aane dijiye aur jab MA 50 line ya resistance line 1.2738 ko break kare to buy karein. Profit target 1.2880 resistance line pe rakhein. Stop loss 1.2738 line se 20-30 pips neeche rakhein.

Yeh trading setups aapko agle GBP/USD movement ke liye guide karenge, lekin market volatility aur risk ko samajh kar hi in setups ko istemal karein.

GBP/USD

Pichle Budh ko GBP/USD market pair mein trading kaamiyabi se buyers ne dobara se dominate ki jab unhone bearish pace ko rok kar support area 1.2730 par mazbooti se pakad banayi, jisse price phir se bullish ho gaya wide range ke sath. Agar hum moving average indicator ke direction se benchmark lein, to market ka trend abhi bhi bullish hai, lekin buyers ki strength abhi tak optimal nahi hai, isliye raat se downward correction ho raha hai.

Kal raat ki trading mein, candlestick ne upar rise karke 1.2859 ke price point ko touch kiya, lekin phir gir gaya aaj tak. Aapko yeh samajhna zaroori hai ke sellers ki strength shayad abhi bhi market ko dominate karne ki koshish kar rahi hai, jo selling pressure continue karke prices ko aur neeche gira sakti hai. Stochastic indicator 5,3,3 zone 20 ko touch kar chuka hai, jo ek downward correction dikhata hai, isliye aapko buy signal ka intezar karte hue zyada patience rakhni hogi. Pichle kuch dino ke trend structure ko dekhte hue, GBP/USD market abhi bhi bullish trend mein dikh raha hai, isliye main increase par focus karne ki koshish kar raha hoon.
GBP/USD
Agar ab dekha jaye, to price increase ne moving average indicator ko cross kar liya hai, isliye candlestick ke upar jane ke chances hain. Agar buyers ka influence abhi bhi barkarar rehta hai to prices abhi bhi uptrend mein reh sakti hain, jo bullish trend ko continue kar sakti hain. Aage jaake, market ko uptrend side ki taraf apna safar continue karne ka moka hai. Isliye, is haftay ke darmiyan, main yeh suggest karta hoon ke zyada focus bullish trend par rakhen, buyers price ko 1.2838 area tak le ja sakte hain.

GBP/USD: Price Action Analysis Ki Kala
Main GBP/USD currency pair ke keemat ke fluctuations ka tajziya karunga. Hal-hi mein, hum ek uparward channel ke andar trading kar rahe hain, jo mazeed taraqqi ka ishara hai. Agar hum 1.2715 ke range ko tor kar us ke ooper support qaim kar sakte hain, to ye ek khareedne ka mauqa dikhata hai. Main umeed karta hoon ke 1.2713 range ko tor kar, ye aik potential buy point ban jaye. Agar hum 1.2705 ko paar kar aur us ke ooper qaim rah sakte hain, to ye exchange rate mein mazeed taraqqi ka ishara hoga. 1.2705 ko kamiyabi se tor kar aur us ke ooper barqarar support ko ye suggest karega ke continued upward momentum hai. Magar, pehle se taraqqi mein kami aane se pehle aik ahem kami aa sakti hai. Market ki nazar behtari mein hai, aur bullish jazbat mazboot hain. 1.2580 ke support level mojood hai, jo ke mazbooti ko darust karta hai. Agar exchange rate mazeed mazboot hota hai, to hum 1.2595 ke range ko test kar sakte hain ya phir aik jhooti tor par toot sakte hain.


Mojooda market conditions ko dekhte hue, agar price 1.2594 tak retrace hoti hai, toh yeh un traders ke liye strategic entry point offer kar sakti hai jo further upward movement ko anticipate kar rahe hain. Yeh retracement broader upward trend mein ek correction serve karega, jo ke price action ko healthier banane ka kaam karega, market ko nayi highs ko attempt karne se pehle momentum gather karne ka mauka dega. Lekin, critical level jo dekhne layak hai wo hai 1.2668. Sustained trading is level ke upar potential correction ko invalidate karti hai, jo strong bullish sentiment ko indicate karti hai aur price ko agle significant resistance ke qareeb, jo ke 1.2742 ke paas hai, propel kar sakti hai. Yeh level agla peak represent karta hai aur un traders ke liye target act kar sakta hai jo bullish momentum ko capitalize karne ka aim rakhte hain.

Pair Friday ke early session mein bearish zone ki taraf ja raha tha, khaas kar 1.2680 k qareeb. Ye movement United Kingdom (UK) se mukhtalif data releases ke agaz se pesh aayi. Pair daily chart par ek rising channel pattern ke andar consolidate ho raha hai, jahan 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 level se oopar hai, jo ek bullish bias ki alamat hai.

GBP/USD ke bunyadi asool:

British Pound US Dollar ke khilaf dabaav mein raha hai aur is ne pehle trading session se nuqsan jaari rakha hai. Ye trend US se taqatwar jobs report ke baad aya hai, jo Federal Reserve ki kam dovish stance ki ummeedon ko barha di hai. Anay wale Federal Reserve meeting ki tawaqo bhi uncertainty ko barhata hai, jo GBP/USD pair par asar andaz hota hai.

UK mein mustaqil tanazaat ke doraan mazboot mazdor demand ke kam asar par Bank of England (BoE) ki restrict monetary policy framework ko halka sa relief mila hai. February se April tak, Average Earnings Excluding Bonuses jo wage inflation ka ek measure hai, estimates ke mutabiq 6.0% tak barh gaya. Is ke ilawa, Average Earnings Including Bonuses jo steady tareeqe se barh raha hai, 5.7% se upward revised hokar 5.9% tak pohancha, aur 5.7% ki estimates ko par kar gaya. Zyada wage growth BoE ke interest rates ko kam karne ke plans ko mushkil kar sakta hai.

Char ghantay ka time frame technical outlook:

Technical taur par, pair ko psychological level 1.2700 ke aas paas key resistance ka samna hai. Fori support 21-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) par dekha ja raha hai jo 1.2677 par hai, uske baad rising channel ke lower boundary 1.2600 par hai. Is level ke neeche break pair ko 1.2451 ki taraf push kar sakta hai.

Umeed hai ke ye madadgar ho, agli baar tak ke liye bas itna ho.

### Factors Influencing the Current Bearish Trend

1. **Economic Data**: Haal hi ke maqami maashi data, jese GDP growth rates, inflation, aur employment figures, market expectations per poora nahi utra. Kamzoor maashi performance GBP ke girne ka sabab ban sakti hai kyun ke investors UK ki maashi stability aur future prospects par etemad khatam kar dete hain.

2. **Central Bank Policies**: Bank of England (BoE) aur US Federal Reserve ki monetary policies exchange rate mein ehmiyat rakhti hain. Agar BoE dovish stance apnata hai aur interest rates ko kam rakhta hai taake economy ko support mil sake, to is se pound kamzor ho sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar Federal Reserve hawkish hota hai aur inflation se larne ke liye interest rates barhata hai, to dollar mazboot hota hai.

3. **Brexit Aftermath**: Brexit ke lambay arse ke asraat abhi tak GBP ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Trade disruptions, regulatory environments mein tabdeeliyan, aur investment patterns mein shifts ne UK ki maashi future par uncertainty ka baadal banaya hai.

4. **Global Market Sentiment**: Broader market sentiment, jo geopolitical tensions, global economic health, aur risk aversion se mutasir hota hai, GBP/USD pair ko bhi mutasir karta hai. Jab global uncertainty hoti hai, to investors USD ko safe-haven currency samajh kar us mein invest karte hain.

### Potential for Big Movements in GBP/USD

Haalan ke bearish trend chal raha hai, kuch factors GBP/USD exchange rate mein significant movements ka sabab ban sakte hain:

1. **Upcoming Economic Reports**: Aane wale aham maashi reports, jaise UK ke GDP figures, retail sales, aur inflation data, sharp movements ka sabab ban sakte hain. Positive data GBP ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jabke negative data usay mazeed gir sakta hai.

2. **Central Bank Announcements**: Koi bhi unexpected announcements ya policy changes by BoE ya Federal Reserve volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain. For example, agar BoE sooner than expected rate hike ka ishara de, to GBP mazboot ho sakta hai.

3. **Political Developments**: Political stability ya turmoil, UK aur US dono mein, fluctuations ka sabab ban sakti hain. Government policies, leadership mein tabdeeli, ya unexpected political events rapid movements ka sabab ban sakti hain.

4. **Market Sentiment and Speculation**: Traders ke expectations aur market sentiment movements ko drive kar sakte hain. Agar market ka bara hissa samajhta hai ke GBP undervalued hai, to buying pressure se rebound ho sakta hai.

### Technical Analysis

Technical analysis ke lehaz se, GBP/USD exchange rate ka current position 1.2667 per ehmiyat rakhta hai. Key support aur resistance levels future movements ko determine karenge:

- **Support Levels**: Immediate support level 1.2600 ke aas paas hai. Agar pair is se neeche girta hai, to agla support 1.2500 per hai.
- **Resistance Levels**: Upside mein, pehla resistance level 1.2700 ke kareeb hai. Agar pair is se upar jata hai, to next target 1.2800 ho sakta hai.

Traders indicators jaise ke Relative Strength Index (RSI), Moving Averages, aur Fibonacci retracements dekhte hain taake potential reversal points aur continuation patterns ko gauge kar saken.

### Conclusion

GBP/USD exchange rate abhi bearish phase mein hai, jo ke economic data, central bank policies, aur broader market sentiments se mutasir hai. Lekin significant movements ka potential abhi bhi high hai upcoming economic reports, central bank announcements, aur market speculation ki wajah se. Traders aur investors ko vigilant rehna chahiye kyun ke in factors ke interplay se exchange rate mein sharp fluctuations ho sakti hain. Key support aur resistance levels ko dekhte rehna aur latest economic aur political developments ke saath updated rehna zaroori hai.

kal, jab gap band ho gaya, to qeemat ne palat kar strong bullish impulse se upar jaane ki taraf dabaav dala, jis se ek full bullish candle bani. Ye candle sirf mujhe neeche darj ki gayi resistance level, jo maine 1.25180 par mark ki thi, ke neeche bandhne ka maqsad rakhti thi, balkay pichle din ke range ke high ke ooper bhi bandh gayi. Mojooda manzar par ghor kiya jaaye to aaj hum next shumali nishana ki taraf aik harkat dekh sakte hain, jis ka target resistance level 1.25785 par mark hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir pesh aa sakte hain. Pehli priority scenario mein, aik reversal candle banne aur keemat ka dobara neeche jaane ka maqsad banna. Agar ye mansuba kaamyaab hota hai, to main support level 1.24487 par palatne ki talaash karunga. Agar keemat is support level ke neeche mushtamil hoti hai, to main mazeed dakhil karne ki umeed rakhoonga, jo keemat ko support level 1.22992 par le jaaye gi. Is support level ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ke shikar banunga, jo agle trading raah ko tay karnay mein madad karega. Beshak, keemat ko mazeed janoobi rukh mein dabaaya ja sakta hai, lekin main is waqt is option ko ghor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main is ki jald raftar ko dekhta nahi. Price ka doosra raasta resistance level 1.25785 ko test karne par ek plan hai jahan keemat is level ke ooper mushtamil hoti hai aur shumali rukh par jaari rehti hai. Agar ye plan safar hota hai, to main keemat ko mazeed agay barhte hue ummed rakhoonga, jis ka target resistance level 1.27094 ya resistance level 1.28032 par hoga. In resistance levels ke qareeb, main jari rahunga janoobi signals ki talash mein, neeche rukh ki dobara jaari hone ki umeed rakhta. Aam tor par, aaj ke din mujhe kisi khaas cheez ko mahir nahi nazar aati. Aam tor par, main global janoobi trend ki dobara jaari hone ki taraf munhasir hoon, is liye main nazdeeki resistance levels se bearish signals ki talash mein hoon. Jab Hama aur RSI indicators neela aur hara rang dikhaen, to yeh bullish dilchaspi aur yeh haqeeqat ke baare mein glat ka saboot hoga ke market mein kharidne wale hukoomat mein hain. Jaise he indicators rang badalte hain, hum market mein dakhil ho jate hain aur aik lamba position kholte hain. Position ka exit point magnetic levels indicator readings ke mawaafiq tay kiya jata hai. Mojooda waqt mein, signal execution ke liye sab se zyada wabastagi wale levels ye hain - 1.26554. Zaroori targets ko hasil karne ke baad, zaroori hai ke chart par keemat ka amal dekha jaye, aur agle kadam ka faisla kiya jaye - kya position ko market mein rakhna hai agle magnetic level tak, ya phir pehle hasil ki gayi munafa ko band karne ka faisla kiya jaye. Agar mazeed munafa barhane ki koshish ki jaye, to trailing stop ka istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Kisi bhi level ko zyada aam tor par dekho to dekho, toh agar woh ooper se resistance zone ko todena shuru karte hain, toh main samajhta hoon ke woh sirf tab karenge jab keemat neeche chali jaye aur signals ko process kiya jaye. 1.2460 ke neeche, matlab spike ke neeche jo wahaan par baki hai, hum bahar jaayenge, phir shayad wahaan par umeed hai ke barhav dobara shuru hoga, agar kuch aisa wahin ke liye bana hota hai, neeche palatne ka level. Intehai halat mein, main ek neeche ki taraf dobara palatne ka tasawwur karta hoon; ek

GBP/USD ke H4 chart ko dekhte hue, hum dekh sakte hain ke keemat 1.2763-1.2815 manasik resistance ke qareeb aur ooper qaaim ho rahi hai. Is qaaimi se bullish trend ki taqat ko tasdeeq mil rahi hai. Yen ki mazid kamzori bhi GBP/USD ke urooj hone aur haal ki bulandiyon 1.2737, 1.2749, aur 1.2754 ke qareeb aane ke imkaanat barha sakti hai. Iss bullish trend ke bawajood, main ab bhi prefer karta hoon ke kisi bhi bullish level par GBP/USD ko bechna. Main samajhta hoon ke is doran mukhtalif trend ko torne ke liye 1.2740-1.2753 support level ki taraf chalna zaroori hai. Ye qadam ek mumkinah urooj ya kam az kam mojooda bullish trend mein durusti la sakti hai. GBP/USD
GBP/USD ke keemat ka 1.2763-1.2815 resistance level ke qareeb qaaim hona yeh dikhata hai ke is ilaqe mein mazid kharidari ki dilchaspi hai. Magar, yeh bhi darust karta hai ke yeh level qatai tor par tora jaa sakta hai. Agar keemat is range ke ooper reh sakti hai, toh yeh shayad mojooda bullish trend ko taawun dena jaari rakhegi. Traders ko is level ko tawajju se dekhte rehna chahiye, kyun ke yeh mustaqbil ki qeemat ke harekaton ke liye ahem signals faraham kar sakta hai. Yen ki kamzori ek aur factor hai jo ghor kiya jana chahiye. Jab yen kamzor hota hai, toh ye USD ko digar currencies ke muqable mein mazboot banata hai, shamil hai GBP. Ye taluq mojooda bullish trend ko mazeed taawun de sakta hai. Magar, yen ki taqat mein kisi tabdeeli ko ghor se dekhna ahem hai, kyun ke achanak mukhalifat GBP/USD par mutasir ho sakti hai.
Kal ki GBP/USD ki giraawat ne upward wave formation ke liye aakhri chord ki tarah kaam kiya ek single zigzag daily time frame par - mere pehle wave marking ka aakhri uncha wave, "C," jaise ki ek diagonal tha, woh sahi tha. Aakhri zigzag, jo H4 par 5th choti wave ko darust karta hai, mujhe uska sub-wave "c" ka banne ka intezar tha. H1 time frame ki qareebi tafteesh ke mutabiq, aakhri zigzag zahir hai ke sub-wave "c" mein tha. Yeh saabit karta hai ke senior zigzag ke wave "C" ka andaruni structure mukammal tha. MACD indicator ke saath ikhata hua bearish divergence kal zahir hone laga.
Yeh tajziya GBP/USD pair ke ongoing transition ko ujagar karta hai aur technical patterns aur Fibonacci levels ke aadhar par potential future movements ke liye ek saaf roadmap faraham karta hai. In levels aur patterns ko nigaah mein rakhte hue bazaar ka rawayya pehchanna aur