𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

Agar hum apne pair ki zyada global movement ko dekhein, to daily chart par mujhe khaas tor par Price Action method mein dilchaspi thi kyunki pichle hafta humein "bullish engulfing" pattern ki form mein ek candlestick configuration mila. Screen par is par focus kiya gaya, iske baad unhone 155.10 tak ek corrective decline perform kiya aur 225 points upar chale gaye Instagram spread ke size ko nazarandaz karte hue, jo ke is surat-e-haal mein ek behtareen nateeja hai

Humein yahan foundation ki kami mehsoos ho rahi hai; US dollar mein jo recently hua uska asar sirf hamare instrument ko maqami tor par hua; Japan mein bhi surat-e-haal milti julti hai. Chart ke left side par jo sweeping movements hain woh ruk gayi hain; Fibonacci grid ke mutabiq, yahan humein 100th level ko ghor se monitor karna hoga; agar hum isey break karte hain aur gain karte hain, to 161.8, ya kam az kam 138.2, humara intezar kar raha hai. Phir se, hum smoothly 17:00 Moscow time ke baad American session ke active phase ki taraf barh rahe hain; akhirkar, wahan speculative interest ka umeed hai.

Daily chart ke perspective se, USD/JPY thodi si upward slope ke sath consolidated hai. Pair Ichimoku (Kumo) cloud ke upar barh gaya, jo buyers ki taqat ko signal kar raha hai. Dynamics bullish ho gayi hain, lekin pair ko Japanese authorities ke possible intervention ke wajah se increased volatility ka samna karna par sakta hai.

Agar USD/JPY pair 157.00 mark ko overcome kar le, to ismein mazeed growth ka face karega. Jab yeh mark cross kar le, to agla stop 158.00 par hoga. Mazeed strength ke sath pair 158.44 ka high hit kar sakta hai, uske baad year-to-date high 160.32 ka hoga. Iske baraks, agar USD/JPY 156.00 se neeche girta hai, to pehla support level Senkou A aur B ke aas paas 155.69/52 par hoga, uske baad 155.11 par. Is level ka break lower part of Ichimoku cloud (Kumo) 153.40/50 ko expose karega. Main ab buy kar raha hoon

USDJPY market kay halat kai trading dinon tak ek larai ka mansooba nazar aya jaye ga sellers aur buyers ke darmiyan, shuru mein sellers ne USDJPY market ko control kiya aur zor se niche le gaye, sellers ke dabav ne MA100 indicator aur support trend line ko bhi tor diya jo ke bullish trend ke liye aik upper defense bana tha, lekin sellers ko USDJPY market ko control karne mein zyada waqt tak ka intezar nahi tha kyunki buyers ne bari taqat ke sath USDJPY price ko phir se oopar le jane mein kamyabi hasil ki. Maine USDJPY market ke halat ko H4 timeframe se map kiya jahan pe sab se ahem maloomat MA100 indicator aur line thi, mojooda trend ek bearish trend ke khilaf aik defense hai kyunki pehle bullish se bearish trend ka ulta hua tha, ab buyers doono defenses ko torne ki koshish kar rahe hain lekin abhi tak kamiyab nahi hue hain, aaj ke trading mein mein dekh raha hoon ke buyers ya sellers market USDJPY ko control karenge, agar buyers abhi bhi control karte hain aur USDJPY price ko MA100 indicator aur trend line ke through ghusane ki koshish karte hain, toh yeh tasdeeq hoga ke USDJPY market phir se bullish trend mein hai, lekin agar sellers phir se zahir hote hain aur USDJPY price ko MA100 indicator aur trend line ke neeche girane ki koshish karte hain, toh sellers ke liye ek lamba arsa ke liye trend situation banane ka mauqa khul jayega.
Main sabar se USDJPY market ke halat ka intezar karne ki tavajjo deta hoon, kyunki abhi USDJPY price MA100 aur trend line ke aas paas hai, behtar hai ke intezaar kiya jaye jab tak ke buyers aur sellers dono mein bari taqat nazar aaye takay USDJPY ka rukh phir se bullish trend situation mein laut aaye ya phir ek lamba arsa ke liye bearish trend situation ban jaye, meri tajweez hai ke sellers USDJPY market ko phir se control karenge aur ek lamba arsa ke liye trend situation banayenge, lekin yeh acha hai ke bechne ka signal intezaar kiya jaye jab tak ke sellers ka izhar aur USDJPY price ko zor se niche le jane ke signs na dikhayein

USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda qeemat ka tajziya karne par hamari guftagu hai. Tanaza se bhara hua anti-khatre mansoobay ne Japanese yen ki talaash ko taqwiyat di, jis ne US dollar par nichi dabao dala. USD/JPY joda 155.64 ke support darjye tak gir gaya. Magar, 155.23 ke resistance ko torne ki nakami trader ke liye ek mumkin girawat ko zahir karti hai jo 154.35-154.04 ke range ki taraf girne ki pechida dhamki deti hai. Mukhtalif taur par, resistance ke oopar safal tor se joda 155.62 aur 155.85 ke darmiyan manzilon ki taraf dhamak umeed hai. Hamara technical tajziya aaj ke liye bearish trend ko zahir karta hai.
Din ke chart par, joda do din pehle bearish mod par muda. Ahem sawal yeh hai: Kya yeh musalsal bullish rukh par jayega, ya kuch aur manazir mumkin hain? Harkat hone wale averages kharidne ka mouqa signal dete hain, aur technical indicators bhi kharidne ko support karte hain. Halankeh yeh isharaat bullish harkat ki taraf ishara karte hain, tasdeeq zaroori hai.
Ahem khabron ki taraf se, United States se koi ahem khabar neutral hai, aur koi bari tabdeeliyan mumkin nahi hain. Japanese khidmati shobay ke karobar ki fa'aliyat ka index tawaqo se zyada tha lekin peechle data se kam tha. Japan se koi bari khabar anay wali nahi hai, is liye aaj ka overall manzar bullish hai. Main samjhta hoon kharidari ka dilchaspi dar peechay joda 156.63 ke resistance darjye ki taraf rujhan ko daba sakti hai, jabkeh potential farokht dabaav ise 155.95 ke support darjye ki taraf muntaqil kar sakta hai. Is tarah, aam tor par ek umda rukh mumkin hai. Ahem darjye - 155.22 (resistance) aur 155.66 (support) par ankh rakhain. Agar 155.23 ke resistance torne ka ittefaq lagta hai, toh maamooli izafay ki umeed hai. US aur Japanese khabron ka asar, haan ke wazeh tabdeeliyan mumkin hain. Ye tajziya mojooda market ki halat ka wazeh aur mufassil jayeza faraham karta hai.





USD/JPY pair momentum hasil kar raha hai, jo bullish scenario ko dobara fa’al kar raha hai. Mazeed upar ki taraf harkat ki tawaqqo hai, maqasid 156.68 aur 157.73 par hain. Outlook bullish hai kyunke indicator peechle levels ke mutabiq ooper ki taraf hai. Heiken Ashi indicator ooper mud gaya hai, jo ke barqarar bullish momentum ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Isliye, bullish rukh mein trading mawaqif hai. Upar chalne wale channel ke andar rehne aur bullish trend ko barqarar rakhne ke liye khareedari jari rakhen.
Mukhtasir mein, USD/JPY ne nichle levels ko paar kar liya hai aur ab 156.36-156.86 ki taraf nishana bana raha hai. Iski mazeed izafa ke potential ka tawazun karen. Moving averages, parabolic, aur MACD indicators par nazar rakhen. Aik mumkin bearish trend ke liye mukhtasir primary levels 156.124, 156.204, aur 156.264 hain.

Aaj, US dollar ke liye ek aham khabar 10-year Bond Auction se mutaliq hai. Yeh event zyadatar high-impact nahi hota, magar humein market sentiment ko asar andaz karne wale tamaam aham factors ka tajziya karna zaroori hai. Mere liye, USD/JPY market is hafta bounce kar sakti hai aur 157.65 zone cross kar sakti hai. Technical indicators bullish momentum ko zahir karte hain, jo ke aanewali US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), Producer Price Index (PPI), aur Consumer Price Index (CPI) se mutaliq news data se mazeed fuel ho sakta hai. Yeh data releases USD/JPY market ko baad mein asar andaz kar sakti hain, jisse volatility aur nayi trading opportunities paida ho sakti hain.

Yeh bohot zaroori hai ke hamesha hoshiyaar rahein. FOMC ke faislay aur inflation indicators (PPI aur CPI) US ki economic health aur future monetary policy direction ko assess karne mein critical hain. Yeh indicators market sentiment ko significant tor par badal sakte hain, current bullish trend ko reinforce kar sakte hain ya reversal la sakte hain. Isliye, buyers ko apni positions ko accordingly adjust karne ke liye tayar rehna chahiye.

US dollar ki stability yeh suggest karti hai ke buyers apni trades ko confidently manage kar sakte hain, aur agar market aanewale data par favorably react karta hai to apni positions ko cover karne ka potential rakhtay hain. Ek robust trading strategy implement karna jo in economic indicators ko monitor karti ho aur appropriate stop-loss levels set karti ho, market ki movements ko navigate karne mein essential hoga.

Waise, aaj ka focus shayad 10-year Bond Auction par ho, magar USD/JPY market par zyada bara asar aanewale US FOMC, PPI, aur CPI data se hoga. Ek bounce up aur 157.65 zone cross hone ki umeed rakhte hue, traders ko anticipated market movements ke liye tayar rehna chahiye. Informed rahkar aur evolving market conditions ke sath adapt karke, traders apni positions ko effectively manage kar sakte hain aur US dollar ki stability aur aanewali economic releases se presented opportunities ka faida utha sakte hain

USD/JPY


Jab se Budhwar aaya hai, USD/JPY pair chaar din se lagatar upward trend par hai. Ye mazid utaar chadhaav ne market analysts aur traders ka khaas tawajjo ka markaz bana diya hai, jo currency markets ke developments ko nigaah mein rakhe ja rahe hain. Kuch ahem arzi maqasid is waqt USD/JPY pair ke harkat ko mutassir karne ka mustaqbil hai. United States ne apna Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report Budhwar ke baad jari karna hai. Ye report aik ahem peemana hai inflasion ka, jo consumer goods aur services ke daamon mein tabdeeliyon ko darust karti hai. Zyada inflasion aam tor par Federal Reserve se tang monetary policy ki umeedon ko barha deti hai, jo USD ko mazid taqwiyat de sakti hai. Analysts ummeed karte hain ke CPI data United States ki maeeshat mein inflasion ke trends ke liye ahem izafaat faraham karega aur shayad USD/JPY exchange rate ko mutasir karega.

Federal Reserve ki Interest Rate Decision:
Federal Reserve ne apni taaza interest rate decision announce karne ka manzoori de diya hai Budhwar ko. Fed ki monetary policy ki stance, khaaskar haal hi ki maeeshati data ke jawab mein, USD/JPY pair ke raaste ka tay karte waqt aik ahem factor hoga. Agar Fed inflasion ko address karne ke liye interest rates ko uthane ka zyada aggressive approach indicate karta hai, to ye USD ko mazid taqwiyat de sakta hai, USD/JPY ke upward movement ko mazeed support karte hue.

Bank of Japan ki Policy Decision:
Bank of Japan (BoJ) apni policy decision announce karne ka manzoori de di gayi hai Jumma ko apni June meeting mein. Aam tor par ye ummeed ki jati hai ke BoJ apni short-term policy rate ko 0-0.1% par maintain karegi. BoJ ka aik supportive monetary policy stance Federal Reserve ke potential tightening ke sath mukhtalif hai. Ye monetary policy approaches ki mukhtalifatain US aur Japan ke darmiyan recent strength in the USD/JPY pair ke peechay wajah bani hui hain. USD/JPY pair ki mojooda upward trend market ke expectations ko reflect karta hai in ahem maeeshati events ke liye. Traders aur investors US CPI report aur Fed ki interest rate decision ke nateejay ko nazar andaaz karenge, kyunke ye nazdeeki dino mein currency pair ke harkat ka tone set kar sakte hain. Mutabiqatan, BoJ ki policy stance ko kisi tabdeeli ke signs ke liye dekha jayega, halankeh is meeting mein koi shift ka imkaan nahi hai.

Magar, is hafte USD/JPY pair ki performance ne maeeshati factors aur central bank policies ke currency markets par kya asar hai ko zahir kiya hai. Both US aur Japan se important updates ke sath, anay wale din maeeshati asar ke mukhtalif raaste ko tay karne mein ahem honge.

USD/JPY Mein Munafa Ka Imkaan
Hamara mazmoon USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda keemat ke tajziye par mabni hai. USDJPY jodi ne trading ko 157.35 par band kiya. Meri pichli hafte ki target 158.07 thi, jise keemat ne briefly paar kar liya tha jumeraat ko gir gaya. Is liye, phir se 158.07 ko target karna zaroori nahi hai, lekin yeh mumkin hai. Amooman, 158.07 se aik bechne wale position ko 153.46 ki taraf nishana bandi kiya ja sakta hai. Agar USDJPY pair market ki opening ke neeche 156.54 - 157.07 zone se gir jaye, toh yeh girawat ko taizi se barha dega aur 158.07 ki taraf kisi bhi izafa ko nakar dega. Halat abhi 157.56 ke kam se kam barabar ke upar trading ho rahi hai, jo aik bullish rukh ko tasdeeq karta hai. Side channel ke andar 157.72 level ko todna mazeed keemat ki barhawat ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh currency channel ko 157.88 ya is se ooper tak buland hadood ke liye khol dega. Kharidar ki taqat ki tasdeeq is tor par is tor par is tuti hui range ke ooper jamawat se hogi.





Kam se kam 157.55 se ulta, main 176.50 ki taraf se rok darakht ki taraf ek uljhan ke raaste ki taraf le ja sakta hoon ya market ke rukh ko poori tarah se badal sakte hain. Aik bechnay wale position ke liye mufeed dakhil hona hoga jab keemat curve 157.64 sahulat level ke neeche girne lage. Yeh 157.56 ki minimum ke upar trading ho rahi hai, jo bullish trend ko dobara tasdeeq karta hai. Side channel ke andar 156.61 level ko todna is barhawat ko qaim rakhne ke liye ahmiyat rakhta hai. Yeh currency channel ko 158.38 ya is se ooper tak buland hadood ke liye daba sakta hai. Kharidar ki taqat ki tasdeeq is tor par is tor par is tuti hui range ke ooper jamawat se hogi.

Ulta, 157.46 se, aik ulta rukh ki taraf se kam se kam 156.78 ki taraf ikhtiyar kiya ja sakta hai, taake liquidity ikhata ki jaye ya market ko poori tarah se badal diya jaye. Aik bechnay wale position ke liye aik mufeed dakhil hona hoga jab keemat curve 156.94 sahulat level ke neeche girne lage.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni 13-14 June ki meeting mein koi ma'ani policy tabdeeliyan nahi ki, aur tasdeeq kiya ke wo raat bhar ke calls ki tadad ko 0.0%-0.1% ke qareeb qaim rakhne ki tawajjo di gayi hai, jise unhon ne apne March budget ke planning meeting mein shamil kiya tha.
Budget statement mein yeh bhi shamil hai ke board apne July 31 meeting ke baad apne bond purchases ko kam karega. Meeting ke baad ek press conference mein, Governor Kazuo Ueda ne kaha ke afraad is amal mein ehtiyat se kaam lenge, lekin tabdeeliyon ke hadood ka qarar "wusat" ho sakta hai.

Hamara yakeen hai ke mazeed monetary policy ki tarteeb honay wali hai. Lekin hamare khayalat ke mutabiq dheere economic growth, inflation aur mazdoori mein izafa par, hum yeh samajhte hain ke BoJ ko policy mein durusti ke liye ek zyada darjaati approach apnana chahiye.

Hum apne nazariye ko qaim rakhte hain ke BoJ October tak ek aur policy rate hike jaari karega, jahan humein ummeed hai ke unsecured overnight calls mein 15 bps ke izafa 0.15%-0.25% tak hoga. Is ke ilawa, humein yeh bhi ummeed hai ke BoJ April 2025 ke ilaan tak ek 25 bps rate hike jaari karega. Hum yeh bhi ummeed rakhte hain ke BoJ apne bond purchases ko dheere dheere kam karne ki policy ko halka karega, jise hum BoJ ko kisi bhi policy izafa ke waqt azadana taur par amal karne ki umeed karte hain. Hamare nazariye ke mutabiq, BoJ bond purchases ki speed ko har baar 1 trillion yen tak kam karega, jise July se shuru hokar Q3-2024 ke baqi hisse mein bond purchases ki ~5 trillion yen ki kami ko tasdeeq karega. Phir humein Q4-2024 mein ~4 billion yen ki tezi, Q1-2025 mein ~3 billion yen ki tezi aur Q2-2025 se agay ~2 billion yen ki tezi ki ummeed hai.

Technical analysis for USD/JPY on 4-hour time chart:
Mukhtasar trend down trend hai jo 160.20 se shuru hua aur 151.85 tak pohanch gaya, iske baad jodi ne ek retracement banaya aur 78 Fibonacci tak pohancha. Hum ummeed rakhte hain ke jodi neeche gir kar 151.87 ko todegi aur ek naye bottom tak pohanchegi.

Hamari tajziya ki muzo par USD/JPY currency pair ki mojooda keemat ke rawaiye par hai. Jab hum bazaar ko nazdeek se dekhte hain, toh wazeh ho jata hai ke currency pair ab ek ahem darja par hai. Hamari analysis ke mutabiq, mazeed girawat is waqt ke current levels se shuru hone ki tawajjo hai. Yeh pesh-nazar tafteesh mukhtalif bazaar ke isharaat aur mojooda ma'ashi haalaat par mabni hai. USD/JPY currency pair ne pichle hafto mein range-bound ravaiyat dikhai hai, jo support aur resistance levels ke darmiyan jhool rahi hai. Lekin taza bazaar ki trends ishara deti hain ke yeh pair ek neechay ki taraf mawjud hai. Yeh potenital girawat dekhne ko mil sakti hai ke currency pair 155.39 critical range ke neeche gir jaye. Aisi toot yeh bazaar ke dynamics mein aik numaya tabdeeli ko darshaati hai, jo USD/JPY pair ke liye bearish trend ki nishandahi karti hai.
Is umeed ke piche kai factors shamil hain. Sab se pehle, maqrooh ma'ashi mahaul aik ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Amreeki dollar mukhtalif ma'ashi isharaat ki wajah se daba hua hai, jin mein muqararah dar eftetah, Federal Reserve ki interest rate decisions aur overall market sentiment shamil hain. United States mein izafi tawanai ke dabao ne monetary policy ko tight karne ki umeedon ko paida kiya hai, jo tradition ke mutabiq dollar ko support karta hai. Lekin taza data yeh ishara deta hai ke izafi tawanai ko qabu mein lane ki koshish ho sakti hai, jis se Federal Reserve ka naram rukh, dollar ko kamzor kar sakta hai.

Dusri taraf, Japanese yen ne mushahida kiya ja raha hai ke wo mazbooti ke nishane dikhata hai. Bank of Japan ki monetary policy, jo dusre central banks ke mukablay mein relatively dovish rahi hai, dheere dheere tabdeel ho rahi hai. Yeh isharaat hain ke Bank of Japan inflationary pressures ka muqabla karne ke liye apni policy ko tight karne ka soch raha hai. Aisi harkat se yen dollar ke khilaf mazboot ho sakti hai, jis se USD/JPY currency pair mein girawat ka imkaan barh sakta hai.

Technical analysis bhi girawat ke nazariye ko tasdeeq karta hai. USD/JPY pair ne 155.39 level ke aas paas mazboot resistance ka saamna kiya hai. Is level ko toorna ki koshishon mein nakami ki kai koshishat ne ishara diya hai ke bullish momentum ki kami hai. Is ke ilawa, mukhtalif technical indicators jaise Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) bearish signals dikha rahe hain. RSI overbought territory ke qareeb ghoom raha hai, jo aik mukhtalif rukh ki nishandahi karta hai. Wahi MACD ne bhi bearish crossover dikhaya hai, jo girawat ke imkaan ko mazeed tasdeeq deta hai.





Market sentiment bhi USD/JPY pair par asar andaaz hota hai. Investors ke risk appetite mein izafa global ma'ashi yaqeeno, jaise ke saqafati tanazur, supply chain disruptions, aur COVID-19 pandemic ke musalsal asraat ke wajah se tawajjo mein izafa hua hai. Aise uncertainities amanat pasand currency jaise yen ko faida pohanchate hain, jo USD/JPY pair par neechay ki dabao daal sakte hain.

Ikhtitami tor par, hamari tajziya ke mutabiq USD/JPY currency pair keemat ke mojooda levels se girawat shuru karne ka imkaan hai, jahan 155.39 range ke tootne ki tawajjo hai. Yeh tawaqa hamare macroeconomic factors, technical indicators, aur market sentiment ke aham masail ko mila kar tasdeeq ki jati hai. Jaisa ke hamesha, traders ko hoshyaar rehna chahiye aur trading decisions ke liye mukhtalif manazir ko mad e nazar rakhna chahiye. Forex market buland rawaj hai, aur naqabil e tawaqo waqeeyat hamesha tajziya ke muntazir ho sakte hain. Lekin abhi ke tajziya ne ma'ashi factors, technical indicators, aur market sentiment ke mukammal jayeza ko faraham kiya hai, jo USD/JPY currency pair ke liye soch samajh kar trading strategies par roshni dalta hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S U S D / J P Y
Hello, Sab forum members ko salaam. Mera latest post analysis par aap sabka swagat hai. Research se pata chalta hai ke USD/JPY pair 157.44 par fluctuate kar raha hai. Jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, US Dollar Index ki kamzori dobara bearish exponent ke control mein hai aur 106.00 resistance level ke neeche trade kar raha hai. Technical indicators ke mutabiq, pair 180.98 tak uth sakta hai. Lekin aaj ke din price gir bhi sakta hai. Humen Europan session ke shuru mein USD/JPY charts dekhne honge. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.8707 par hai aur yeh indicator humein batata hai ke market uptrend mein hai lekin agle kuch dinon mein neeche ja sakta hai. Isi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator 7.34181 par move kar raha hai aur ek high volume bar display kar raha hai. Hum dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY 20 periods ke exponential moving average aur 50 periods ke exponential moving average ke upar hai jo ek bullish signal dikhata hai.




Yahan hum dekh sakte hain ke minor support aur resistance areas hain jinhe hum entries ke liye istemal kar sakte hain. Market rise primary resistance level 160.09 par pahunchega jahan hum second target ke liye price range 170.98 aur third target ke liye price range 180.98 target kar sakte hain. Dusri taraf, USD/JPY ke liye primary support level 140.50 hai. Agar sell hota hai, toh hum second support level 124.83 par price target kar sakte hain. Uske baad, hum yeh assume kar sakte hain ke price phir se 102.30 ke third resistance level ki taraf advance karega aur possibly usko test karega. Toh, technical point of view se dekha jaaye toh profit ke liye sabse accha tarika trend ke saath short positions open karne ka hai.

USD/JPY: USD/JPY ke liye mukhtasar mein baat karte hain. Iska mukhtasar resistance level 157.37 hai. Kharidne walon ke liye agla price target 157.64 level ke avamnaat na karna hai. Agar safalta milegi, toh USD/JPY pair apne bullish movement ko aage badha sakta hai agle resistance level tak jo 1.5123 par hai. Dusri taraf, mukhtasar support zone 0.9689 par hai, aur doosra zone 157.47 par hai. Agar keemat gir jaaye, toh yeh support levels toot bhi sakte hain. Iske baad, pair 157.20 aur 156.84 ke beech ke support levels ko toot sakta hai. Is hafte mein, yeh mahatvapurn hai ke dekha jaaye ke keemat is kamzor support area ko test karte samay kaise prateeksha karte hain. Aaj, mein bazar ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhoonga taaki yeh dekha ja sake ke keemat in support levels ko paar karne ki koshish kaise karta hai. Agar 157.47 ke support mein kami ho jaaye, toh yeh ek aur giravat ki nishani ho sakti hai agle mukhtasar support zone 157.20-156.84 ki taraf.





Lekin agar keemat 157.47 ke support se bounce karti hai, toh yeh sambhavna ho sakti hai ke price phir se rebound kare, kharidne wale control ko vapas paate hain aur keemat ko mukhtasar resistance 157.37 ki taraf punah push karte hain. Agar keemat is resistance ko paar kar paati hai, toh yeh bullish outlook ko majboot kar dega aur 157.64 ki taraf move ke liye stage set kar dega.

USD/JPY pair ek crucial point par hai, jahan mahatvapurn support aur resistance levels ka khel ho raha hai. Traders ko chaukanna rehna chahiye aur unhe taiyar rehna chahiye ke keemat in critical zones ke saath kaise interact karti hai. Yeh pair apne bullish trajectory ko jari rakhne ya bearish trend mein shift hone ka nirnay in key levels ko paar karne ya unhe hold karne par nirbhar karega. Is hafte market sentiment aur USD/JPY pair ki disha ke liye nirdharak hoga.

USD/JPY CURRENCY PAIR ANALYSIS:
USD/JPY currency pair abhi 157.37 par ek ahem resistance level se guzar raha hai. Kharidne walon ke liye turant uddeshya yeh hai ke is rukavat ko paar karen aur phir agle avamnaat na kiye gaye resistance level 157.64 par nishana saadhna hai. Is level ko safalatapoorvak paar karne se pair ko 1.5123 ke agle resistance level ki taraf uthaya ja sakta hai, jo ki bullish momentum ko aur bhi majboot karega.

Neche ki taraf, mukhtasar support 0.9689 par sthit hai, aur doosra support zone 157.47 par hai. Agar keemat girne lagti hai, toh yeh support levels tootne ka raasta ban sakte hain. Ek mahatvapurn kshetra jo dekhne layak hai 157.20 aur 156.84 ke beech mein hai, jahan is range ke neeche giravat ki nishani ho sakti hai aur ek sakht bearish trend ka sanket ho sakta hai.





Jaise hi hum is hafte ke madhyam se guzar rahe hain, sabhi nigahein is par hogi ke USD/JPY pair in mukhtasar support levels ke prati kaise pratikriya dikhata hai. Vishesh roop se, aaj ka focus keval is par hoga ke keemat is kamzor support area ko kareeb karne ke samay kaisa vyavhaar karti hai. 157.47 support level ko paar hone par giravat ki gati ko jari rakhne ka sanket ho sakta hai, jisse agle mukhtasar support 157.20-156.84 ki taraf badha ho.

Dusri taraf, agar keemat 157.47 support ke upar tikti hai aur phir se rebound karti hai, toh yeh sambhavna ho sakti hai ke ek punarvas ho raha hai. Is prakar ke sthiti mein, kharidne walon mein punah momentum aa sakta hai, jo mukhtasar resistance 157.37 ko punah test karne ki koshish karte hain. Agar is resistance ko paar kiya jaata hai, toh yeh bullish drishti ko majboot kar dega, aur 157.64 resistance level ki taraf move ke liye bhi stage set kar dega.

USD/JPY pair ek mahatvapurn samay par sthalantarit ho raha hai jahan mahatvapurn support aur resistance levels par dhyan diya ja raha hai. Bazar ke bhagidariyon ko is par kaise vyavhaar karta hai, is par dhyan diya jaana chahiye, kyun ki yeh pair ki aane waali disha ke baare mein mahatvapurn sanket pradan karte hain. Is hafte ke price action mein yeh nirdharit ho jayega ke kya bullish trend jaari rahega ya phir bearish trend ka palat hoga. Traders ko dono parinam ke liye taiyar rahna chahiye aur apni strategies ko uske anuroop adjust karna chahiye.

Subah bakhair doston! Bohat afsos ke sath kehna parh raha hai ke kharidar kal 156.00 zone ko nahi rok sake. Inki haar 155.82 tak ki fizikal had bhi khatam ho gayi. Yeh naye market scenario US dollar se negative data release hone ki wajah se hai. Hum jante hain ke USD/JPY market ne is haftay ki shuruwat se selling pressure mein izafa dekha hai. Mukhtalif factors is trend mein hissa dar hain, khas tor par JPY news events jo bechne walon ko kafi support de rahe hain. Yeh halat aisi dynamic environment paida karte hain jahan traders ko ehtiyat se kaam lena chahiye, kyun ke US dollar jald hi action mein aane wala hai. USD/JPY ke cross-resistance levels ko higher volatility ke sath paar karne ki possibility, meticulous trading strategies ki zarurat ko izhar karta hai. Aise volatile market mein asal signals aur trends ko pehchan lena munfarid hain ta ke faida uthaya ja sake aur nuqsan se bacha ja sake.





Aaj USD/JPY market sellers ke liye mazeed raqam se maqbool reh sakti hai. Wo baad mein 155.65 zone ko cross kar sakte hain. Fake aur real signals ke darmiyan tafreeq karna bhi intehai zaroori hai. Real trends significant gains ke liye mauqa dete hain, lekin unko samajhne aur unpar amal karne ke liye tawajjo aur mustaqil approach ki zaroorat hoti hai. Judgment ya execution mein ghaltiyan traders ke liye mushkilat ko barhane ka sabab ban sakti hain, isliye control banaye rakhna aur mistakes ko kam karna lazmi hai. D1 chart ne aaj ek selling hint diya hai, jo batata hai ke is selling scenario mein buy-side par jaana munasib nahi hoga. Balki sellers daily high zone se market mein dakhil ho sakte hain aur daily low point ki taraf jaa sakte hain. Magar yeh strategy market dynamics par munhasir hai jo expected parameters ke andar rehna zaroori hai. Umeed hai ke USD/JPY market aaj US Core PPI data release ke dauran sellers ke liye maqbool rahegi.

Aapko kamyaabi se bharpoor trading week guzarne ki duaon ke sath!

USD/JPY/M15
Sab ko trading din ki shuruaat mubarak ho jin logon ne aaj ka din shuru kiya hai. Chaliye M15 time frame par USDJPY pair ko analyze karte hain. Tezi aur aahista rehne wale periods ke saath fast animations 9 aur 22 mere purane aur wafadar dost hain. Signals duniya ke jitne hi asaan aur mamooli hain. Humare paas do moving averages hain jo ek doosre se mil rahe hain price level par: 156.095 Thoda sabr, 5 minute time frame par price ka rollback aur hum market entry karte hain. Main risk aur reward ratio apply karta hoon. Main 1 se 3 ratio istemal karta hoon. Jab order profitable zone mein chala jata hai, toh main position ko breakeven par move karta hoon. Mera stop order hamesha kam se kam 20 points par hota hai. Kabhi kabhi main 25 points bhi laga sakta hoon, lekin zyada nahi. Main wide stops istemal karta hoon takay market ke fakers mein phans na jaaon, jinse market bhara hua hai. Is message ko padhne wale sabko moti munafaat ki duaen!





Lekin, Fed ki estimates mein tabdeeli hone se USD ko kam kar dena chahiye aur USD/JPY pair ke liye zyada qeemat afzai ke imkanat ko support milna chahiye. Bulls ke darmiyan tawajjo mazboot nahi lagti jab tak BoJ weak economy ke dauran monthly government bond purchases mein kamhi announce na kar de. Is liye, Jumma ko announce hone wali muntakhib do din ke BoJ meeting ke natije par tawajjo hogi. Is ke sath hi, Thursday ke US economic docket mein producer price index aur haftawarana initial jobless claims data ko bhi dekha jaye ga jis mein short-term trading opportunities ke liye nazar rakhni chahiye, North American session ke early hours mein. Broad risk sentiment bhi jo safe-haven Japanese yen ki demand ko barha sakta hai, USD/JPY pair ko thora sa boost dene mein madadgar sabit ho sakta hai.

Manzur No. 2. Aaj main USD/JPY ko bechne ka bhi irada rakhta hoon, agar price 157.34 ke do consecutive tests ke dauran MACD indicator overbought area mein ho. Yeh pair ke upar ki potential ko limit karega aur ek neechay ki taraf market reversal ko le jayega. Hum 156.98 aur 156.58 ke opposite levels ki taraf kami ki umeed kar sakte hain.

U.S. dollar ne is haftay mein Japanese yen ke khilaf numayan tawazun dikhaaya, jis ka bari had tak FOMC meeting aur Bank of Japan meeting ke natayej mein tha, dono ne market mein shor macha diya. Lekin in tawazunat ke bawajood, dollar apni qadam barha raha hai, is liye uptrend ki mumkinat ko ishara hai.
Abhi halat mein tawajjo 158 yen level ko paar karne par hai, jo aik ahem resistance hai. Is ke ilawa, 160 yen level bhi ahem hai, kyun ke Bank of Japan ne is had tak pehle bhi istisharat di hain. Yeh manzar dollar-yen development mein is rate ki ahmiyat ko numayan karta hai.

Is manzar ke zaviye se, market "buy on the dip" trend ko pasand kar rahi hai, jahan 155 yen level mazboot support ke taur par kaam aa raha hai. Is strategy ko mazeed taqwiyat milti hai, jis se yeh pairs ko kum karna naqabil-e-amal hai. Institutional marketers bhi is raay ko apna rahe hain, dollar ko kam waqt mein barhaane ki qeemat ko pehchaan kar.

Dollar-yen pair kharidar ke darmiyan mashhoor hai, khaas tor par woh log jo short-term ghata mein faida uthane ki koshish kar rahe hain. Jaari positive interest rate differentials yeh yaqeeni bana rahe hain ke dollar ki malkiat munafa bakhsh hai, buy-and-dip strategy ko mazbooti dete hue. Jab tak mooli asool mua'wina rahein, yeh trend jaari rahega, aur traders ko dollar ko kam prices par kharidne ke mauqe par qabza karne ki umeed hai.

Mukhtasar mein, ahem central bank meetings ne is haftay U.S. dollar ko Japanese yen ke khilaf madad di, jo market mein shor macha diya. Lekin dollar ki bahali aur key resistance points par tawajjo, sudhar ki taraf ishara karti hai. 155 yen price par mazboot support aur musbat exchange rates is baat ko aur mazbooti dete hain ke dip kharidne ke liye kharidar strategy ko istemal karna chahiye, jo ke institutional traders ke nazariye se bhi saabit hota hai. Dollar-yen pair ko is tarah yeh dekha ja sakta hai ke kisi bhi kamzori ke isharon se faida utha kar traders ko greenback ki short-term kami se munafa hasil karne ke mauqe paida ho sakte hain.

**USD/JPY ke Dynamics ka Inkishaaf: Duniya ki Sabse Zyada Trade Hone Wali Currency Pair**

USD/JPY currency pair, jo ke United States Dollar (USD) aur Japanese Yen (JPY) ke darmiyan exchange rate ko represent karti hai, global forex market mein sabse zyada trade hone wali pairs mein se ek hai. Iski ahmiyat America aur Japan, jo duniya ki do sabse bari economies hain, ki economic taqat se bani hui hai. Yeh maqala USD/JPY pair ke unique characteristics, historical context, aur is par asar dalne wale factors ka jaiza leta hai, aur forex market mein iski significance aur behavior ko comprehensively samajhne ka mauka deta hai.

**Historical Context**

USD/JPY ki history economic evolution aur strategic financial maneuvers ki kahani hai. World War II ke baad, Japan ki economy tabah thi, aur yen ko dollar ke sath 360 JPY per USD ke rate par peg kar diya gaya tha Bretton Woods system ke tehat. Yeh peg 1971 tak qayam raha jab United States ne gold standard chhor diya, jis se major currencies float karne lagi. Iske baad yen ne khaasi appreciation dekhi, jo Japan ki tezi se barhti hui economy aur industrial prowess ko reflect karti thi.

1985 ka Plaza Accord USD/JPY ke liye ek ahem mor tha. Bari economies ne dollar ko depreciate karne ka faisla kiya trade imbalances ko address karne ke liye, jis se yen ne surge kiya. Takreeban 250 JPY per USD se yen 120 ke qareeb strong ho gaya 1980 ke akhir tak. Yeh daur Japan ke global economic powerhouse banne ka bhi tha, jo dono currencies ke forex dynamics ko asar andaz kar raha tha.

**Economic Fundamentals**

USD/JPY ko samajhne ke liye dono currencies ko drive karne wale economic fundamentals ko samajhna zaroori hai. United States, apne vast consumer market, technological innovation, aur financial sector dominance ke sath global stage par significant influence rakhta hai. Federal Reserve ki monetary policies, khas tor par interest rate decisions, dollar ki strength ke key determinants hain.

Japan, apni mukhtasir population ke bawajood, highly developed economy rakhta hai jo advanced manufacturing, technology, aur significant foreign investments par mabni hai. Bank of Japan (BoJ) yen ki value ko manage karne mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai, aksar unconventional monetary policies jese ke negative interest rates aur extensive quantitative easing ka istemal karta hai deflationary pressures ko combat karne aur growth ko stimulate karne ke liye.

**Key Influences on USD/JPY**

USD/JPY exchange rate ko kai factors influence karte hain, jo ke economic indicators, geopolitical events, aur market sentiment ke complex interplay ko reflect karte hain.

1. **Interest Rate Differentials**: Federal Reserve aur Bank of Japan ki interest rate policies critical hain. Agar U.S. mein interest rate Japan ke muqable mein zyada ho, to investors better returns ke liye USD ko prefer karte hain, jo USD ko JPY ke muqable mein strengthen karta hai.

2. **Economic Data**: GDP growth, employment figures, inflation rates, aur trade balances jese key economic indicators dono mulkon se pair par significant impact dalte hain. Agar U.S. ki economic performance Japan ke muqable mein strong ho, to dollar ko boost milta hai.

3. **Risk Sentiment**: Yen aksar "safe-haven" currency mana jata hai, aur global economic uncertainty ya geopolitical tensions ke dauran appreciate karta hai. Iske baraks, risk-on sentiment ke dauran, investors higher-yielding assets ko prefer karte hain, jo USD ko strengthen karta hai.

4. **Geopolitical Developments**: Trade relations, khas tor par U.S. aur China jese major economies ke darmiyan, USD/JPY par asar dalti hain. Political stability aur international diplomatic relations bhi role play karte hain.

5. **Market Speculation**: Forex market heavily speculative trading se influenced hoti hai. Traders ke perceptions aur predictions future economic aur policy developments ke bare mein USD/JPY rate mein short-term fluctuations drive karte hain.

**Recent Trends and Future Outlook**

Haal hi mein, USD/JPY ne kaafi volatility dekhi hai due to events jese ke COVID-19 pandemic, monetary policies mein tabdeeliyan, aur shifting global economic conditions. Pandemic ne initially yen ki surge ko trigger kiya tha due to its safe-haven status. Magar, subsequent fiscal aur monetary responses by the U.S. ne pair ki trajectory ko influence kiya.

Aage chal kar, USD/JPY ka mustaqbil shayad post-pandemic monetary policies ki normalization, Japan mein structural economic reforms, aur broader global economic recovery par mabni hoga. U.S. ki fiscal policies, khas tor par debt aur spending ke hawale se, aur Japan ki strategies apne demographic challenges ko overcome karne ke liye bhi pivotal hongi.

**Conclusion**

USD/JPY currency pair global economic health ka barometer hai, jo do duniya ki leading economies ke financial dynamics ko reflect karta hai. Iska behavior central bank policies se le kar global market sentiment tak ke myriad factors se shape hota hai. Traders aur investors ke liye in influences ko samajhna critical hai is crucial forex pair ke complexities ko navigate karne ke liye. Jaise jaise duniya evolve karti hai, waisa hi intricate dance of USD/JPY bhi hota rahega, jo global finance ke ever-dynamic landscape mein challenges aur opportunities dono ko offer karta hai.