𝐔𝐒𝐃/𝐉𝐏𝐘

Jaisay hi USD/JPY 151.60 ke qareeb hover kar raha hai, hum dekh sakte hain ke sellers ko zyada pressure ka samna hoga aur yeh 151.00 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke agla area hai. Oil prices ka bhi significant decline expect kiya ja raha hai jab support trend line descending channel 150.55 ke area se cross karti hai. Halan ke oil prices apne lowest level se do hafton ke neeche hain, woh abhi bhi gir rahi hain. Hum trading cycle ke neeche hain is waqt. Yeh interval ko neeche 149.70 tak correct kar sakta hai. Jaisa ke aap dekh sakte hain, yeh trend accelerate ho raha hai. Dollar ke decline aur price ke 150.10 aur 149.60 ko break karne ke baad, pehli session mein expect kiya ja raha hai ke fu: 168.60 ke darja par aik jhoota breakout saamne aaya hai, aur girawat jari rehne ki tawaqo hai. 144.640 ke qareebi zyada darja ka mukabla samne hai, jahan se girawat jari rehni chahiye. 154.30 range tak aik tashreehi izafah mumkin hai, lekin wahan ke


mukhalifana dabao ke bawajood, yeh mazeed girawat ka bais ban sakta hai. 168.80 par bhi aik jhoota breakout tha, jo aik potenshal khareedne ki alaamat hai. Mojudah resistance 15.370 par yeh ishara deta hai ke, is level ke oopar breakout na hone ki soorat mein, girawat jari rahegi. Agar keemat 156.10 tak giray, to yeh ek khareedne ka mauqa ho sakta hai, lekin yeh aik doosri soch hai. 155.35 par rther cuts curre
Signals ko complete karne aur transactions ka faisla karne ke liye, RSI structures ka istemal hota hai, jo asset ki overbought aur oversold zones ko reflect karte hain. Chart par ek aisi position dekhi ja sakti hai jahan hexane ash candles blue hain, jo value movement ke northern direction ko dikhati hain. Market quotes ne linear channels ke lower range (red dotted line) se bahar move kiya, lekin minimum point ko reach karne ke baad, wapas channel ki middle line nt range mein NFP report trade results ke liye sell trade entry se bachna behtar hai is currency pair mein. Market ka long-term price outlook strong lag raha hai. Abhi ke conditions favorable hain ke rate apne current level se neeche jaye. Initial upward movement ko observe karne ke baad, aik corrective growth dekhne ko mili jo price ko approximately 158.05 tak le gayi. Is corrective phase ke baad, price decline ka silsila jari rehne ki umeed hai. 158.10 ke aas-paas resistance dikhayi de rahi hai, jo further decline ki probability ko badhati hai. New historical highs set karna good selling opportunities ko present karta hai. Agar 157.94 ke price range se rebound hota hai, toh yeh fall release hone se p

USD/JPY (United States Dollar to Japanese Yen) pair ki qeemat me haali mein significant girawat dekhi gayi hai. Yeh girawat ek significant kami ke baad aayi hai, jab yeh pair 157.78 ke aas-paas apni buland tareen qeematon par rok gaya tha. Yeh ek mehsoos ki jane wali development hai kyunki USD/JPY pair ko aakhri kuch mahino mein consistent bullish trend mein dekha gaya tha. Iss bearish movement ke peechay kaafi economic aur geopolitical factors hain. Sabse pehle, US aur Japan ki monetary policies ka farq samajhna zaroori hai. US Federal Reserve ne interest rates mein izafa kiya hai taake inflation ko control kiya ja sake, jabke Bank of Japan (BoJ) ne apni ultra-loose monetary policy ko barkarar rakha hai. Yeh divergence investors ko US Dollar mein invest karne ke liye prerit karta hai, jisse USD/JPY pair ki qeemat barh jati hai. Magar, jab bhi BoJ apni policies mein koi hint deti hai, jisse yeh lagta hai ke wo apni policies ko tighten kar sakte hain, toh market uska reaction deti hai aur yen ki demand barh jati hai. Doosra significant factor geopolitics ka hai. Global uncertainties, jaise ke Ukraine-Russia conflict aur China-US tensions, safe-haven currencies, jaise ke Japanese Yen, ki demand ko influence karte hain. Jab bhi aise tensions escalate hote hain, investors apne assets ko risky investments se hata kar safe-haven currencies mein shift kar dete hain, jisse yen ki qeemat barh jati hai aur USD/JPY pair gir jata hai. Phir, Japan ki economic data bhi ek significant role play karti hai. Jab Japan ki economy se related positive data, jaise ke GDP growth, employment rates, aur industrial output, release hota hai, toh yen ki qeemat barh jati hai. Recent economic data ne indicate kiya ke Japan ki economy stability ki taraf badh rahi hai, jisse yen ko support mila hai. Yen ke hawale se speculative trading bhi ek ahem factor hai. Traders aur investors kai baar market sentiment ko dekh kar trades karte hain. Jab unhe lagta hai ke yen undervalued hai, toh wo isme invest karte hain, jisse yen ki qeemat barh jati hai. Aise scenarios mein, short covering bhi dekhne ko milti hai, jahan traders apne short positions ko cover karte hain, jisse USD/JPY pair gir jata hai. Lastly, technical analysis bhi iss girawat ko samajhne mein madadgar ho sakti hai. Charts aur patterns ko dekhte hue, kaafi baar resistance aur support levels identify kiye ja sakte hain. 157.78 ek aisa hi resistance level tha jahan se USD/JPY pair ko wapas girawat ka samna karna pada. Is level par profit-taking aur stop-loss triggers ne bhi contribute kiya hoga, jisse short-term bearish sentiment barha. In tamam factors ne mil kar USD/JPY pair ki qeemat par effect dala hai, jisse finally girawat dekhi gayi. Aane wale dino mein, ye dekhna interesting hoga ke yeh pair kis tarah se react karta hai aur kaunse naye trends dekhne ko milte hain.

USD/JPY H1 Time Frame

USD/JPY pair ne ek triangle pattern banaaya hai, jo neeche toota aur H1 time frame ke downtrend channel ke upper border ke saath chal raha hai. Yeh 156.94-156.85 zone mein ek se zyada trading din ke liye resistance ka samna kar raha hai, jo expanding triangle model ke lower edge ke saath milta hai. Agar keemat is tested zone ke upar stable hoti hai, toh hume umeed hai ke upper target ki taraf mazeed barhne ke liye, 157.43-157.57 volume zone mein jaayega. Ulta, agar yeh zone se rebound hota hai channel ke lower border ki taraf, toh yeh decline ka ishaara karega, 156.43-156.26 support zone tak. Buyer ne hourly chart pe local maximum ko update kiya hai, jo ke lagatar bullish movement ka ishaara hai, lagbhag 158.35-159.64 tak, jahan significant sales efforts mumkin hain. Overall, keemat lambay arsay se sideways move kar rahi hai, jo ek qareebi breakout ki umeed dikhata hai. Trend bullish hai, jo ek pullback ki mumkin zaroorat ko ishaara karta hai. Weekly pivot level ko toorne ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne ek narrow price range mein stagnate kiya hai. 4-hour chart pe, pair ek uptrend mein hai, Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upar ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai. Pichle trading session mein, pair bullish movement jaari rakha, bullish group apni position ko reversal level ke upar mazboot kar rahe hain, jo ab 156.95 par trade kar raha hai. Intraday growth targets hain classic Pivot points ke resistance levels. Mazeed growth ab current levels se jaari rahega, pehle resistance level ko 157.61 se toorna mumkin hai.



Bullon ki activity chart pe linear regression channel ke direction se determine hoti hai, jo upar ki taraf ishaara kar raha hai. Bears ne ascending channel ke lower boundary ko 157.007 pe paar kar liya hai, jo bazaar mein decline ki zyada interest ko dikhata hai. Main trades ko consider kar raha hoon jo taqat aur active decline ke liye bada potential rakhte hain. Abhi current level par 156.854 ka level test ho raha hai, jo ke bazaar ko stable ya upar ki taraf correct kar sakta hai. Bullon ki koshish hogi ke apni advantage wapas lein. Agar unhe keemat ko channel ke lower hisse mein laane mein kamiyaabi milti hai, toh yeh scenario kam probability ke saath hai, chart ke lambay arsay ke tajziya par based.

USD/JPY


USD/JPY pair ne ek triangle pattern form kiya hai, jo neeche break hua aur H1 time frame downtrend channel ke upper border ke saath chal raha hai. Yeh 156.94-156.85 zone mein ek din se zyada ka resistance face kar raha hai, expanding triangle model ke lower edge ke saath align karte hue. Agar price is tested zone ke upar stabilize hota hai, toh hum 157.43-157.57 volume zone mein upper target ki taraf further growth ka intezaar kar sakte hain. Mutasira tor par, is zone se rebound channel ke lower border ki taraf ek decline ko suggest karta hai support zone tak jo 156.43-156.26 hai. Buyer ne hourly chart par local maximum ko update kiya hai, jo approximately 158.35-159.64 tak potential continued bullish movement ko indicate karta hai, jahan significant sales efforts ki ummed hai. Overall, price ek extended period ke liye sideways movement mein tha, jo ek imminent breakout ko suggest karta hai. Trend bullish hai, jo ek possible pullback ki zarurat ko suggest karta hai. Weekly pivot level ko break karne ke baad, USD/JPY pair ek narrow price range mein stagnate ho gaya hai. 4-hour chart par, pair ek uptrend mein hai, Ichimoku cloud ke upar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ko indicate karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upwards point kar raha hai. Last trading session mein, pair bullish move continue kiya, bullish group ne apni position ko reversal level ke upar solidify kiya, jo ab 156.95 par trade kar raha hai. Intraday growth targets classic Pivot points ke resistance levels hain. Growth ko current levels se continue hone ki ummed hai, pehle resistance level 157.61 ko break karne ke saath.

Bull ki activity chart par linear regression channel ke direction se determine hoti hai, jo upwards point kar raha hai. Bears ne ascending channel ke lower boundary ko 157.007 par successfully cross kiya hai, jo market decline mein increased interest ko indicate karta hai. Main trades ko consider kar raha hoon jo strength aur active decline ke liye great potential rakhte hain. Halat mein 156.854 level ka ek test chal raha hai, jo market ko stabilize ya upwards correct kar sakta hai. Bulls apna advantage regain karne ki koshish karenge. Agar unhe price ko channel ke lower part tak wapas laana hota hai. Yeh scenario low probability par based hai, chart ko longer period H1 par analysis karke.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S
U S D / J P Y

Subah bakhair saathi traders, aaj ki tajziya mein, main USD/JPY currency pair par guftagu karunga. Waqt ke mutabiq, USD/JPY 157.30 par trading ho raha hai. Agar aap USD index dekhein, toh mojooda qeemat abhi bhi ek upward momentum mein hai. Chart par istemal kiye gaye indicators ke mutabiq, qeemat agle kuch dino mein upar ki taraf jaane ka aghaz kar sakti hai, aur market price agle resistance level tak pohanch sakti hai.

Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator is time frame par yeh kehta hai ke USD/JPY pehle se hi level 60 par hai, jahan yeh aik musbat price ya zyada saturated khareed hai, yeh USD/JPY ko upar correction ke liye mawafiq banaata hai. Usi waqt, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) barh raha hai aur ek halka sa khareed signal hai (histogram signal line ke upar mojood hai). 20 EMA aur 50 EMA buyers ke liye ahem support zones hain. Is time frame mein, main USD/JPY ko sab EMA lines ke upar dekh raha hoon, jo ke USD/JPY pair ke liye ek bullish trend ko darust kar raha hai.

Mojooda resistance point qeemat ke liye 160.29 hai. Hum umeed karte hain ke market mazeed upar ja sakta hai. Qeemat ko zyada se zyada 167.65 tak pohanchne ki zyada sambhavna hai, aur phir target 172.65 par hai jo ke 3rd level ka resistance hai. Dusri taraf, USD/JPY ke liye minor support level 152.04 hai. Agla target market price ke liye 140.95 hai agar qeemat support level ko todti hai. Uske baad, yeh pair neeche trading jaari rakhne ki umeed hai jiske target 130.49 hai. Mujhe umeed hai ke yeh faida-mand ho sakta hai, khaaskar mere liye shakhsan aur is forum ke tamam readers ke liye.

Chart mein istemal kiye gaye indicators:
- MACD indicator
- RSI indicator period 14
- 50-day exponential moving average color Orange
- 20-day exponential moving average color Magenta

Yeh tajziya kiya gaya hai USD/JPY ke maamle mein, jiska nazriya aage ke trading decisions mein madadgaar sabit ho sakta hai. Technical analysis aur market ke trends ko samajhna, sahi aur profitable trading ke liye zaroori hai. Happy trading!

USDJPY H1 TIME FRAME
USD/JPY pair ne aik triangle pattern banaya hai, jo ke neeche ki taraf toot gaya hai aur H1 time frame downtrend channel ke upper border ke saath move kar raha hai. Isne 156.94-156.85 zone mein ek ya zyada trading days ke liye resistance face ki hai, jo ke expanding triangle model ke lower edge ke saath milti hai. Agar qeemat is tested zone ke upar stabilize hoti hai, toh hume mazeed izafa ka intezar hai jo ke 157.43-157.57 volume zone mein upper target ki taraf le jayega. Mutasira tour par, is zone se ek rebound jo ke channel ke lower border ki taraf hota hai, woh ek decline ko suggest karta hai jo 156.43-156.26 support zone tak pohanch sakta hai. Buyer ne hourly chart par local maximum ko update kiya hai, jo ke potential continued bullish movement ko indicate karta hai takreeban 158.35-159.64 tak, jahan significant sales efforts ka imkaan hai.

Aam tor par, qeemat ne aik lamba arsa ke liye side mein movement kiya hai, jo ke ek nazdeek hai. Trend bullish rehta hai, jo ke ek pullback ke liye mumkin zaroorat ka ishaara deta hai. Haftawar pivot level ko toorne ke baad, USD/JPY pair ne aik tang price range mein stagnate kiya hai. 4-hour chart par, pair ek uptrend mein hai, jo ke Ichimoku cloud ke upar trading kar raha hai, jo bullish sentiment ko darust karta hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upar ki taraf point kar raha hai. Pichli trading session ke doran, pair bullish movement mein raha hai, jahan bullish group ne apni position ko reversal level ke upar solidify kiya hai, jo ke ab 156.95 par trading ho raha hai. Intraday growth targets classic Pivot points ke resistance levels hain. Mazeed grow from current levels ki umeed hai, pehle resistance level ko 157.61 se todne ke saath.

Bullon ki activity chart par linear regression channel ke direction se determine hoti hai, jo ke upar ki taraf point kar raha hai. Bears ne ascending channel ke lower boundary ko 157.007 par successfully cross kiya hai, jo ke market decline mein izafa ki increased interest ko darust karta hai. Main trades ko consider kar raha hoon jo quwwat aur active decline ke liye bari potential rakhti hain. Abhi ek level ka test chal raha hai jo 156.854 par hai, jo ke market ko stabilize ya upwards correct kar sakta hai. Bulls apna faida wapas hasil karne ki koshish karenge. Agar unhein qeemat ko channel ke lower hisse tak wapas laane mein kamiyabi milti hai. Is scenario ki kam probability hai, chart ka tajziya H1 time frame par lambe arse ke liye base par kiya gaya hai.

Nateeja

USD/JPY H1 time frame ka tajziya market ke mukhtalif pehluon ko roshan karta hai. Bullish aur bearish signals ke saath samajhne ke baad, traders ko apne trading strategies ko adjust karne aur opportunities ko identify karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Technical analysis aur market dynamics ko samajhna trading ke liye zaroori hai aur is tajziya se traders ko market ke movements ko samajhne mein madad milti hai.

USDJPY pair ke mutaliq, ek ihtimal hai ke uptrend jari rahega. Dilchasp baat yeh hai ke yeh pair woh doosre dollar pairs ke saath naata bandhta hai jahan USD denominator mein hota hai. Magar, yeh bharose ke saath aage bhi aise hi ruk sakta hai.
Filhal, USDJPY teesri wave mein hai jo ki upar ki taraf ja raha hai. Jodi mein kami aur local lows ke breakthrough ke bawajood, jo naye farokht ko trigger kar sakta tha, giravat nakaam thi; yeh dhimi tareeqay se gir gayi, jisse ise bearish strike ke taur par pehchana mushkil hai. Yen mukhtalif dafa structure ko tor sakta hai lekin phir bhi barhta rahega. Local growth ke breakdown ke bawajood, haal ki mombatiyan mazeed barhne ki sambhavna darust karti hain. Kuch traders trend line tak farokht karne ka ghoor karenge, jo ke narangi rang mein mark ki gayi hai, lekin yeh zyada zaroori nahi hoga.

Ghante ke timeframe par, uptrend aur bhi zyada wazeh hai. Market pehle fractal ki taraf tawajjo se qareeb pohanch gayi, jisse yeh zahir hota hai ke yahan farokht nahi karna munasib hai kyunki mombati pattern upar ki taraf jaari hai. Chhota sa durust karna mumkin hai lekin gehra nahi. Maine apna market ki umeed schematic taur par doosri chart par dikhaya hai. Yeh iska matla hai ke pullback 157.150 level se neeche nahi jaega. Is ke ilawa, khareedari ke liye ghante ke trend signal par trading karna, jo moving averages ke jor se milta hai, mumkin hai. Is signal ki khalaiyat grey bar se zahir hoti hai, lekin maqsood makhsoos hadood H4 timeframe par behtar taur par tajziya kiya ja sakta hai. Is uptrend ke liye hadood ke baare mein baat karte hue, unhein 158.062 par mark kiya gaya hai. Maqami darje se, yeh 80 pips ka baqi growth potential darust karta hai. Agar ghante ke timeframe par is khayal mein dakhil karna munasib nahi hai, toh M15 timeframe par dakhil hone ka talaash karna bhi mumkin hai.

USD/JPY Weekly Chart Analysis:
Main USD/JPY jodi ko haftay ki chart par tajziya kar raha hoon. Shuruaat mein jodi 149.695 ke resistance se bounce hua. Us waqt, Japan Bank ne apni teesri currency intervention ki. Pehli do currency interventions nakam rahe, aur jodi barhti rahi, lekin teesri currency intervention ke saath, jodi girne lagi.

Currency Interventions:

Yeh currency interventions khaas tor par yen ko mazboot karna maqsad rakhte the. Agar haal ki currency interventions jo Japan Bank ne ki thi, haqeeqat mein ki gayi hain, toh yeh yen ko mazboot nahi, balki yen ki aham kamzori ko rokne ke liye ki gayi hain.

Initial Interventions:

Shuru ki currency interventions yen ko mazboot karne ke maqsad se ki gayi thi kyunki us waqt bijli ke bil mehenge the aur log naraz the. Paisa dena mushkil ho gaya tha, isliye interventions ko anjaam diya gaya tha. Us waqt yeh bhi active afwahen thi ke Japan Bank apni monetary policy ko sakht karne ka aghaz karegi. Japan Bank ne 10 saal ke bonds ka yield spread barha diya, aur traders ne is harkat ko monetary policy ko sakht karne ke pehle qadam samjha.

Successor's Announcement and Market Reaction:

Jodi 137.368 tak support par pohanchi, aur phir afwahen phail gayi ke Kuroda ke naye waresi Japan Bank ki policy ko nihayat badal denge. Jodi mazeed girne lagi jab tak wo 127.536 tak support tak pohanch gayi.

Ueda's Statements and Market Response:

Lekin, jab Ueda Kuroda ke waresi ka elaan hua, Japan Bank ne bhi kaha ke das saal ke bonds ka yield spread barhane ka ek qadam monetary policy ko sakht karne ki taraf nahi hai. Ueda ne kaha ke yeh bilkul sach nahi hai. Ueda ne kaha ke wo Japan Bank ki peechli policy se bhatakne wale nahi hain, aur wo is par qaim rahenge kyunki isme zyada faiday hain. Unhone kaha ke wo monetary policy ko aur bhi asaan karne ke liye jari rakhenge.

Stability and Market Movement:

Kuch nahi badla, sab kuch waisa hi raha, aur jodi upar ki taraf badhne lagi. Wo pehle ke bulandiyon tak pahunch gayi. Is uthan ke doran, active afwahen phaili ke Japan Bank apni currency ko mazboot karne ke liye koi sakht karwai nahi karegi.

Interest Rate Hike and Market Reaction:

Jab jodi bulandiyon ke qareeb pohanchi, Ueda ne kaha ke wo 2023 ke end tak negative interest rate policy se bahar nikalne ka mumkinah tajziya karenge. Saal ke end tak, unhone kaha ke yeh abhi bhi bohot jaldi hai, kyunki maamlaat tanazaat ke masail se guzar rahe hain, aur unhone kaha ke yeh garmi se pehle nahi hoga.

Bank of Japan's Actions:

Japan Bank ke saari karwaiyan, mere samajhne ke mutabiq, yen ko mazboot karne ke maqsad mein nahi, balki yen ki significant devaluation ko rokne ke liye hain. Ek tez devaluation se bachne ke liye. Aam taur par, agar yeh mamla hai, to jodi agle level tak, jo 165.867 hai, upar ki taraf badhti rahegi.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S U S D / J P Y

Salam dosto. Aaj main USD/JPY ka tajziya karunga. USD/JPY 157.34 par trading kar raha hai. USD index (DXY) likhne ke waqt 104.73 par hai. Meri tajziya ke mutabiq, is waqt ke time frame mein USD/JPY bullish nazar aata hai aur aap asani se dekh sakte hain ke USD/JPY mein ek bullish trend hai. Halankeh, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator aur moving average lines yeh dikhate hain ke USD/JPY ke mojudgi is time frame chart par bullish trend mein hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.6150 par hai aur USD/JPY sirf 20-day exponential moving average ke upar trading kar raha hai aur 50-day exponential moving average bhi mojooda USD/JPY ke price ke neeche hai. Ek saath hi, moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator yeh bhi dikhata hai ke USD/JPY ke mojudgi is time frame chart par bullish trend mein hai kyunke signal line ya slow line zero line ya midline ke upar hai. Sabhi indicators taqatwar bullish momentum detect karte hain.

USD/JPY ke liye ibtedai resistance level 157.42 hai. Agar USD/JPY 157.42 resistance ko bullish direction mein toor deta hai, toh yeh aage badhta rahega, aur is ka target 162.76 hoga aur us ke baad, USD/JPY aage chal ke 167.65 resistance level ki taraf aur barhega jo ke 3rd level ka resistance hai. Dusri taraf, USD/JPY ke liye ibtedai support level 157.13 hai. Agar USD/JPY 157.13 support ko bearish direction mein toor deta hai, toh yeh girne ke taraf aage badhta rahega, aur is ka target 156.84 hoga aur us ke baad, USD/JPY aage chal ke 156.61 support level ki taraf aur girne ka silsila jaari rahega jo ke 3rd level ka support hai.

Chart mein istemal kiye gaye indicators:
MACD indicator:
RSI indicator period 14:
50-day exponential moving average color Orange:
20-day exponential moving average color Magenta:

USD/JPY KA TAJZIYA
Kal USD/JPY mein, pehle ke daily range ke minimum ko update karne ke baad, mery tajziya ke mutabiq, mukhtalif support level se rebound hua, jo ke 156.786 par mojood hai. Is tajziya ke mutabiq, qeemat pur aman se mashriq ki taraf chali gayi, jis ki wajah se ek mukammal bullish candle formation hui jo ke purane daily range ko mukammal tor par engulf kar chuki thi, mashriq ki taraf ban rahe jama ko tor dete hue. Beshak, bullish impulse abhi tak shakal nahin liya hai, lekin amm tor par, mojooda halat ko madde nazar rakhte hue, mujhe yakeen hai ke mashriq ki taraf chalne ka silsila jari rahe sakta hai. Amm tor par, main resistance level par nazar rakhta hoon, jo ke mery tajziya ke mutabiq 160.209 par mojood hai. Is resistance level ke qareeb, do manazir ho sakte hain. Pehla manzir, is level ke upar taqatvar hona aur mazeed mashriq ki taraf chalne ka silsila hai. Agar yeh mansooba aagah kiya gaya hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke qeemat 164.500 ki taraf chali jaye gi. Is resistance level ke qareeb, main trading setup banne ka intezar karonga, jo mazeed trading rukh ka taayun karega. Zayada door mashriqi maqasid ki bhi mumkinat hai, lekin main is waqt is ki tajweez par ghoor nahi kar raha, kyun ke main jald taraqqi ke imkanat nahi dekh raha. Resistance level 160.209 ko test karte waqt qeemat ke reversion candle aur nichale price movement ka doosra mansooba bhi hosakta hai. Agar yeh mansooba aagah kiya gaya hai, to main umeed karta hoon ke qeemat 156.786 ke support level par laut aaye gi. Is support level ke qareeb, main mazeed bull signals ki talash mein rahonga, mazeed upward price movement ka intezar karte hue. Zayada door southern maqasid ki bhi mumkinat hai, jis mein se aik mery tajziya ke mutabiq 153.61 par mojood hai. Magar agar tay shuda mansooba ko pur amanat kiya gaya hai, to main is support level ke qareeb bhi bull signals ki talash jari rakhoonga, mazeed upward price movement ka imkan dekhte hue. Chhoti baat mein, aj ke taur par, mujhe yeh koi mumkin hai ke qeemat mashriq ki taraf jari rahe aur qareebi resistance level ko test kiya jaye ga, aur phir main halat ka jaiza lena hoga.

USD/JPY Market Analysis

As Salam O Alaikum Azee Trading aur Forum Members,

Aaj main USD/JPY market ka halat tajziya karunga. Mera tajziya sab forum ke sathiyon aur InstaForex traders ke liye ahem tafseelat faraham karne ka maqsad rakhta hai.

Market Overview:
USD/JPY is saal mazboot izafa kar chuka hai, jise asal mein US aur Japan ke darmiyan mustaqil aur kabhi kabhi barhne wale faiz ke farq ne barhaya hai. Magar mahine pehle, ye joda mukhtalif daur ke liye aik multi-decade ki unchai par tezi se barh gaya. Afsos ke ye leval barqarar nahi rah sake jab Japanese authorities ne yen ko mustaimal karne ke liye karwai ki.

Haal ki Tadreesat:
Haal hi mein, USD/JPY joda ziada musbatiyat ka samna kar raha hai, jo up aur down chal raha hai lekin kisi khas taraqqi nahi kar raha hai. Lagta hai ke ye musalsal market ki khabron ke gird ghom raha hai, jab exchange rate mojooda waqt mein 159.84 mark ke neeche ghoom raha hai.

Medium-Term Outlook:
Haalat ka jaeza lete hue lagta hai ke USD/JPY darmiyani arzi doran kam hona shuru kar sakta hai. Federal Reserve ki irada mandi ke faiz dar ko is saal kum karne ka irada aur nazar aane wala mahol ki dobara shuru hote hai is tasawwur mein madad karti hai.

Technical Analysis:
Ek mustaqil manfi marhala ka aghaz jane ke liye, traders ko tez upar charhne wale trend line ko nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye jo May 2024 se joda ko istaqbal kar raha hai. Ye trend line ab 156.84 par 24 dinon ka aam sahil ke sath mawafiq hai, jo aham technical floor ka kaam karta hai.

Mumkinati Ghate Khaslaten:
Is takhfeef ka mustaqil toot jana tazagi se sath hajat maheeney ke hedefon par kahari baazi jata hai 154.10, 151.88, aur 148.20 par.

Mumkinati Urooj Ke Hedef:
Mukhalif tor par, agar kharidare baazi ko phir se qabz kar letay hain aur aik manfi doran ke aghaz karte hain, to rukawat 160.78, is haftay ke unchi, ko par karne ke liye mushkil hogi. Magar kamyabi ke badalne se keematain phir se 163.24 aur shayad 165.74 ki taraf ja sakti hain.

Nateeja:
Akhri mein, USD/JPY market aik ahem maidan mein hai, jahan par dono bail aur bear ke liye asar mand hai. Traders ko aham technical levels ko nazdeek se nigrani mein rakhna chahiye aur apni strategies ko mutabiq karne ki zarurat hai. Zaroori hai ke market ke dohrane dhaakon ka jawab dene ke liye mutaghayyar aur sazgar rahen, Japanese government ke taraf se yen ka ghata karne ke imkaanat ke tawun ke mumkin hote hain.

USD/JPY H-4 Analysis
Salam to all Traders!

Market Overview:
USD/JPY ka currency pair Asian session ke doran range mein trading jaari raha. Joda kal ke band hone ke qareeb hai. Mangalwar ko, joda barha. Ye is liye hua kyunki US dollar ne mukhtalif ahem currencies ke samundar ke khilaf mustaqbil ki. Yen mazboot dabao ke neeche hai. Bank of Japan ko qaumi currency ko mazboot karne ka koi irada nahi hai. Iqtisadi calendar aaj ghair ahem hai. Zyadatar doosri statistics Europe aur USA se aayegi. Beige Book ka izhar sham ko mutawaqqa hai. Pehle din mein mutadeel niche ki taraf kaora mukhtalif mumkin hai, lekin kul mila ke, mujhe umeed hai ke upar ka trend jaari rahega. Tasavur kiya gaya morcha hai 156.65 par, main is se oopar khareedonga jis ka hadaf 157.75 aur 158.25 ke hadaf hain. Beshak, ek badle ka manzar hai: joda niche jaega, 156.65 ke leval ko torr ke miljul ke andar aajayega, phir joda 156.35 aur 156.15 ke leval par ja sakta hai.

Introduction:
Sab Traders ko Salam!

Market Overview:
USD/JPY currency pair Asian session mein range mein trading jaari raha. Pair kal ke band hone ke qareeb hai. Mangalwar ko, joda barha. Ye US dollar ke samundar ke khilaf mazbooti hasil karne ki wajah se hua. Yen mazboot dabao ke neeche hai. Bank of Japan ko qaumi currency ko mazboot karne ka koi irada nahi hai. Aaj iqtisadi calendar nahi hai. Zyadatar statistics Europe aur USA se aayegi. Beige Book ka izhar sham ko mutawaqqa hai. Pehle din mein mutadeel niche ki taraf kaora mukhtalif mumkin hai, lekin kul mila ke, upar ka trend jaari rahega.

Predicted Turning Point:
Tasavur kiya gaya morcha hai 156.65 par, main is se oopar khareedonga jis ka hadaf 157.75 aur 158.25 ke hadaf hain. Beshak, ek badle ka manzar hai: joda niche jaega, 156.65 ke leval ko torr ke miljul ke andar aajayega, phir joda 156.35 aur 156.15 ke leval par ja sakta hai.

USDJPY H1 Time Frame: USDJPY H1 Time Frame
USD/JPY jodi ne ek triangle pattern banaya hai, jo neeche gir gaya hai aur H1 time frame downtrend channel ke upper border ke saath chal raha hai. Yeh ek trading din se zyada waqt ke liye 156.94-156.85 zone mein resistance ka samna kar raha hai, jo expanding triangle model ke lower edge ke saath milta hai. Agar price is tested zone ke upar stabilize hota hai, to hum 157.43-157.57 volume zone mein upper target ki taraf mazeed umeed kar sakte hain. Ulta, is zone se rebound channel ke lower border ki taraf ek decline ko suggest karta hai, jo support zone tak 156.43-156.26 hai. Kharidar ne hourly chart par local maximum ko update kiya hai, jo mazeed bullish movement ko indicate karta hai takreeban 158.35-159.64 tak, jahan par ahem farokht koshishen mumkin hain. Overall, price ne ek lambi muddat ke liye sideways movement kiya hai, jo ek nazdeeki breakout ko dikhata hai. Trend bullish rehta hai, jo ek possible pullback ki zaroorat ko indicate karta hai. Haftay ke pivot level ko todne ke baad, USD/JPY jodi ek tang price range mein stagnate ho gayi hai. 4-hour chart par, jodi ek uptrend mein hai, Ichimoku cloud ke upar trading kar rahi hai, jo bullish sentiment ko dikhata hai. Stochastic indicator bhi upar ki taraf ishara kar raha hai. Pichle trading session mein, jodi bullish movement mein jaari rahi, bullish group apni position ko reversal level ke upar mazboot kar rahe hain, jis waqt wo 156.95 par trading kar rahi hai. Intraday growth targets classic Pivot points ke resistance levels hain. Growth ko maujooda levels se jari rehne ki umeed hai, pehle resistance level 157.61 ko todne ke saath.

Bullon ki harkat chart par linear regression channel ke rukh ke zariye tay ki ja rahi hai, jo upar ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai. Bears ne ascending channel ke neeche ki boundary ko 157.007 par safalatapoorvak paar kar liya hai, jo market decline mein barhne wale interest ko darust karta hai. Main trades ka tajziya kar raha hoon jo taqatwar aur active decline ke liye wazeh mumkinat rakhte hain. Abhi 156.854 level ka ek test hai, jo market ko stabilize ya upar ki taraf correction kar sakta hai. Bulls apna faida waapas hasil karne ki koshish karenge. Agar unhe price ko channel ke lower part mein waapas laane mein kamyabi milti hai. Ye scenario low probability ke saath hai, lambi muddat H1 chart ke tajziya ke analysis ke base par.

USD/JPY Pair Ki Maujooda Keemat:
USD/JPY jodi ki maujooda keemat ka tajziya kharidar ke liye ek behtareen manzar dikhata hai, unki momentum 157.45 par darust resistance zone ke qareeb pahunch rahi hai. Ye muqami mor zahir farokht ke liye potential bullish harkat ko wazeh karta hai, khaaskar jab trading session vibrant US market ki taraf tabdeel hota hai. Anay wale mukhtalif news events ke scheduled release ka milawat muntazam market ka josh aur umeed par aur tail deta hai.

Gehri Tafteesh mein Ghus Jate Hue, Yeh Wazeh Ho Jata Hai ke Mojooda Market Ka Mizaj Mazid Khareedari Ka Hai. Ye mizaj sirf ek guzarish se nahi hai, balki technical aur bunyadi factors ke ek muhafiz se jaa chukay hain. Technical hawale se, USD/JPY ki keemat ka amal nihayat dilchasp hai. 157.45 ke qareeb resistance zone ke qareeb hona jodi ke rastay mein aham lamha ko ishara karta hai. Tareekhi tor par, aise zones ne ahem rukawaton ke tor par kaam kiya hai, market ka mizaj par asar dala hai aur keemat ke harkat ka rukh diktaya hai. Isliye, jab jodi is ahem had tak pahunchti hai, to khareedar ke darmiyan intezar izhar hota hai, jo momentum mein ek mumkin tabdeeli ka ishara karta hai.

Iske alawa, US trading session ke doran 157.64 zone ko paar karne ki tawaqo ki nisbat ahamiyat barh jati hai jab isko technical tajziya ke zavia se dekha jata hai. Sirf ek adad ki had ke ilawa, yeh level manvi afadiyat rakhta hai, traders ke liye ek ahem psikologikal rukawat ka nishan banata hai. Is level ka kamyabi se paar hona ek chain of bullish sentiment ko trigger kar sakta hai, jodi ko bulandiyo tak le jaane ki mumkinat ban sakta hai. Technical tajziya ko mukammal karte hue ek mazboot bunyadi foundation hai jo USD/JPY ke liye bullish manzar ko aur bhi mazboot karta hai. Anay wale mukhtalif news events ke scheduled release se market mein ghair mutawaqqa harkat aane wali hai, jo hoshyar traders ke liye faida mand keemat ke harkat par faida uthane ka moka pesh karta hai. Chahe wo economic indicators hon, geopolitical developments hon, ya phir central bank announcements, har khabar ke zariye market ka mizaj badal sakta hai aur faisla kun keemat ki harkat ko chalu kar sakta hai.

USD/JPY currency pair abhi ziada tar upar ki taraf ja raha hai, jo ke aksar "northern direction" kehlaata hai. H1 timeframe par, significant highs aur lows barh rahe hain, jo ke zigzag indicator se tasdeek hoti hai. Yeh consistent upward trajectory buying opportunities ke liye favorable environment ko suggest karti hai. Kal raat ko ye wazeh hua ke 157.20 ke level se buy positions lena faidemand hoga. In buy positions ke liye, pehla take profit (TP1) 157.60 ke price level par set karna chahiye. Yeh level ek reasonable initial target hai jahan traders partial profits ko secure kar sakte hain. Potential gains ko maximize karne ke liye, doosra take profit (TP2) 158.00 ke higher level par rakha jaye. Yeh target ongoing bullish momentum ka faida uthata hai, jo further profit ko allow karta hai agar upward trend continue karta hai. Dono buy orders ka stop loss (SL) 156.90 par set hona chahiye. Yeh stop loss level risk ko manage karne aur potential losses se protect karne ke liye zaroori hai agar market unexpectedly reverse ho jaye. 156.90 level buffer provide karta hai entry point ke neeche, minor fluctuations ko accommodate karte hue trade ko prematurely close hone se bachaata hai.
Lekin, agar pair consolidate aur stabilize hota hai 156.60 ke price level ke neeche, toh yeh market dynamics me potential shift ko signal karega. Aisi consolidation weakening bullish momentum aur possible transition to bearish trend ko indicate kar sakti hai. Is scenario mein, traders ko selling opportunities consider karni chahiye. 156.60 ke neeche consolidate hone par, market mein directly selling initiate ki ja sakti hai. Sell positions ke liye take profit 156.20 par set karna chahiye. Yeh level ek practical target serve karta hai jahan traders apni sell positions ko profit ke liye close kar sakte hain. Risk ko manage karne ke liye, sell orders ka stop loss bhi 156.90 par set hona chahiye. Yeh stop loss level ensure karta hai ke koi bhi upward reversal jo 156.90 mark ko breach kare, exit ko trigger kare, is tarah se potential losses ko limit kare. Summary mein, USD/JPY pair ki current upward trajectory clear buying opportunities ko present karti hai, jahan strategic take profit aur stop loss levels trades ko effectively manage karte hain.