Aud usd

Australia ke dollar ki haal dino mein jeet ka silsila Jumma ko Australia se mukhtalif maeeshati data ke baad khatam hua Jabke retail sales umeedon ke mutabiq hamwar rahe, to trade balance report mayoos kun sabit hui Australia ka trade surplus March mein US$7.28 billion tak kam hokar raha, jo ke na sirf analyston ki tawilat ke muqable mein kam tha balkay peechle maheenay ke shumar se bhi Is girawat ka sabab 2.2% tak exports mein girawat aur tez tareen 4.8% tak imports mein izafa tha Mayoos kun trade data ke bawajood, AUD/USD joda thori taqwiyat dollar ke kamzor hone se milti rahi Ye kamzori America mein chandar roz chhapay gaye narm mazdor market data se aayi AUD/USD ke keemat ke tajziya par nazar daalne par, currency pair abhi 0.6570 ke aas paas mojood hai AUD ke liye fori rukawat 0.6596 ke darja par hai, jo ke 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level aur 0.6600 ki nafsiyati satah ke sath milta hai Agar AUD iss rukawat zone ko tor kar guzarti hai, to ye 0.6650 aur shayad March ke buland noke 0.6667 ki taraf daur pazeer ho sakti hai. Niche ke liye, AUD/USD ke liye ahem sahara 0.6552 par novein din ka Exponential Moving Average (EMA) aur mazeed mazboot sahara 0.6550 ki satah hai Agar peechle satah ko tor diya jata hai to ye 0.6500 ki nafsiyati satah ki taraf ja sakti hai

Wazeh rakhna ke AUD/USD joda haal hi mein 0.6475 ke sahara se utha aur apna simple moving average (SMA) ko tor kar 0.6633 tak pohanch gaya, apne short-term trading range ke ooper had tak Technical indicators ek mishrit tasveer pesh karte hain MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) zero line ke qareeb ghum raha hai maalool momentum ke sath, jabke RSI (Relative Strength Index) haal hi mein neutral had 50 ke ooper se guzra hai, jo thori umeed ka paigham deta hai Agar kharidari ka dabao muzahmat karta hai aur AUD/USD 0.6633 mazboot rukawat ko paar kar leta hai, to ye mukhtalif bullish noke ka mahaz 0.6666 pazeer ho sakta hai. Ek mazeed bulandi joda ja sakta hai jo 0.6730 ke rukawat darje tak le ja sakta hai, jis se AUD ki overall tasveer behtar ho sakti hai Mukhtalif, SMA ke neeche ek tor ka jhatka keemat ko neeche ki taraf le ja sakta hai 0.6475 tak aur mazeed 0.6440 par sahara ki ja sakti hai In satah ke neeche gehra izafa lambi muddat ke bearish lehron ko mazboot kar sakta hai, jis se AUD ko 0.6340 tak le ja sakti hai

AUD/USD# AUD/USD pair ne qeemat ko shumal ki taraf dabaav diya, lekin mere indicator ke mutabiq nazdik tarraqi ka resistance level 0.66347 tak nahi pohancha, jo ke aik reversal ko barpa kar ke ek bullish candle banaya. Patty tayar ki gayi hai aur ek umda shumali shade hai. Aaj, kaam nazdeek tareen support level par hoga, jo ke mere mark ke mutabiq 0.65770 hai, aur yeh mumkin hai ke situation ka taraqqi ka do scenarios ho. Pehla manzar bullish candle banane aur bullish prices ko dobara shuru karne se wabasta hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaam karta hai, to mein intezar karunga ke qeemat resistance level 0.66347, ya phir resistance level 0.66677 ko torne tak. In resistance levels ke qareeb, mein ek trade setup ka intezar karta hoon, jo ke mazeed tend ko trade karne mein madad karega. Beshak, ek aur shumali target par kaam karne ka option hai, jo ke mere indicator ke mutabiq 0.67289 par hai, lekin yahan aapko situation dekhna hoga aur sab kuch khabron par bharosa karega. Ho ga. Qeemat ke amal aur qeemat ka mazboot shumali nishano par kaisa react karega woh extreme shumali targets dikhaye gaye hain. Aaj ke test ke doran qeemat ke action ke liye ek alternate option 0.65591 support level par draw karna hai. Agar yeh mansooba kaam karta hai, to mein intezar karunga ke qeemat support level 0.64809, ya phir support level 0.64428 ko torne tak. Mein mazeed shumali signals ke liye in support levels ke qareeb dekhna jari rakhunga, ummid hai ke qeemat apni shumali harkat ko dobara shuru karegi. Beshak, dakshini targets par kaamkarne ka option hai, lekin mein abhi is par kisi wazahati amal ke liye koi tajweez nahi dekh raha hoon. Choti si baat par, aaj mein kuch dilchaspi nahi dekh raha

AUD/USD

AUD/USD pair, jo foreign exchange market mein wasee trading hone wali currency pair hai, khaas tor par apne haftawar ki unchaaiyon aur ahem support zones ke taluq se numaya harekaton ka muzahirah kar rahi hai. Taaza data ke mutabiq, yeh pair apne haftawar ki unchaaiyon se khaas tor par oopar trade kar raha hai, jo bullish momentum ko zahir kar raha hai. Magar yeh urooj wala movement challenges ke baghair nahi tha, kyun ke kuch ahem support levels ko bhaari dabao ka samna karna para hai. Haal hi ke trading sessions mein, AUD/USD pair ahem support zones ke qareeb aaya hai, jahan daam qeemat woh darjay tak pohanch gayi hai jo mojooda upri silsila ko ulta seedha karne ki sambhavna ko janam de sakta hai. Is dabao ke bawajood, pair ne ahem tootne se bari hui, mojooda oopri harkat ko barqarar rakhte hue. AUD/USD pair ko chalane wale dynamics mukhtalif factors ki asar mein hai, jinmein economic data releases, geopolitical events, central bank policies, aur market sentiment shamil hai. In factors ko samajhna trading ke liye zaroori hai taake traders aur investors currency markets ko kaarobari taur par sahi tarah se samajh sakein.

Australia ki economic performance, sath hi United States ki bhi, AUD/USD pair ka aik barah-e-rast driver hai. Gross domestic product (GDP) growth, rozgar ke figures, mehngai ke rates, aur trade balances jese economic indicators Australian dollar aur US dollar ke qeemat par bari asar daal sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, mazboot economic data Australia se, jese mazboot GDP growth ya better-than-expected rozgar ke numbers, Australian dollar ki demand ko barha sakta hai, jis se AUD/USD pair ko oopar ki taraf dabaav mil sakta hai. Australia se kamzor economic data ya United States se mazboot economic data ke alawa bhi, pair par neechay ki taraf dabaav daal sakta hai.

Economic indicators ke ilawa, geopolitical events bhi AUD/USD pair par asar daal sakte hain. Trade tensions, siyasi be-ittifaqi, ya geopolitical conflicts jese factors currency markets mein fluctuations ko barhate hain jab investors in events ke potential implications ko economic growth aur market stability par andaza lagate hain.

Central bank policies bhi currency pairs ki raah ko shakhsiyat dete hain. Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) aur Federal Reserve (Fed) United States ki monetary policy, including interest rates, set karne ke liye zimmedar hain. Interest rates mein tabdeeli ya monetary policy stance mein shifts currency ko investors aur traders ke liye attractive banane ya ghair-munasib banane ka asar daal sakte hain. Misal ke taur par, agar RBA interest rates ko barhata hai ya monetary policy par hawkish stance adopt karta hai, to ye Australian dollar ki demand ko barha sakta hai, jis se AUD/USD pair mazboot hota hai. Baraks, agar Fed interest rates ko kam karta hai ya monetary policy par dovish stance adopt karta hai, to ye US dollar ko Australian dollar ke muqablay mein kamzor kar sakta hai, jis se AUD/USD pair mein izaafa hota hai.

Market sentiment bhi currency ki harkaton ko drive karne mein ahem kirdar ada karta hai. Investor sentiment risk appetite, market volatility, aur global economic conditions jese factors par asar daal sakta hai. Musbat sentiment investors ko higher-yielding currencies jese Australian dollar ko pasand karne par majboor kar sakta hai, jab ke manfi sentiment safe-haven currencies jese US dollar ki taraf logon ko raghib kar sakta hai.

Technical analysis ek aur tool hai jo traders istemal karte hain taake currency pairs jese AUD/USD ki raah ka andaza lagayein. Technical analysts price charts aur mukhtalif technical indicators ko mutalia karte hain taake ane wale qeemati harkaton ko paish karte hue patterns aur trends ko pehchanein. Support aur resistance levels, trend lines, aur moving averages traders ke liye ahem technical factors hain jab currency pairs ka tajziya kiya jata hai.

Akhri mein, AUD/USD pair ab apne haftawar ki unchaaiyon se oopar trade kar raha hai, magar ahem support zones par dabaav ka samna kar raha hai. Pair ki harkaton ko economic data releases, geopolitical events, central bank policies, aur market sentiment ke aik mixture se influence milta hai. In factors ko samajhna traders aur investors ke liye zaroori hai jo currency markets ko kaarobari taur par sahi tarah se samajhna chahte hain aur inform trading decisions lena chahte hain.

AUD-USD Jodi Ka Jaiza

Kal ke Asian session se prices EM 36 H1 ke diye gaye lower limit ke sath fluctuate kar rahe hain. Ye halat tab tak tabdeel nahi hui jab tak European session khatam nahi ho gaya. Aakhir mein, kharidari ki taqat bilkul ikhatti ho gayi, aur American session mein impulse EMA 200 ke breakout ke tasdeeq ke sath khatam ho gaya. Ye halat pehle se banaye gaye EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke bullish crossover ke sath jo ek buland trend shuru kiya gaya hai aur ab prices EMA 200 H1 ke upar hain. Is se pehle, ye musbat movement EMA 633 H1 ke breakout ke sath jaari raha jismein price ne Wednesday ko kamiyabi se 0.6572 tak pohanch gayi. Is bulandiyon ko chhune ke baad qeemat halkayi se chalne lagi jab tak market American session mein 0.6566 par band na ho gaya. Bullish potential abhi bhi kholi hai, ek buland satha tak price barhne ka amkan hai taake kharidari ka option musbat raha sake.

PLAN AUD-USD H1 EMA 200 H1 line se upar barhne wali prices ne us trend ko mukammal kiya hai jismein price ab dakhil ho gaya hai. Ye halat EMA 633 H1 ke breakout ke sath puri ki gayi, aur iska upar ka satha do chhoti EMAs, yaani EMA 12 aur EMA 36 H1 ke, se bhi hoti hai. AudUsd market aaj ek price par 0.6565 se khula. Market opening area se sabse qareebi support aur resistance prices 0.6548 aur 0.6582 par banaye gaye hain. Aaj ke transactions ke liye maine neeche di gayi plan banayi hai: Upar ki taraf barhne wale price movements ke mutabiq, resistance 0.6582 ke breakout par kharidari ko ahmiyat di jayegi, EMA 12 aur EMA 36 abhi bhi upar ki taraf hain, take profit orders ko 0.6609 ke satha calculate kiya gaya hai aur maximum target 0.6653 hai. Agar bullish trend mein bearish correction hoti hai, toh 0.6546 - 0.6543 area se agar price reject hota hai toh pullback buy plan ko madde nazar rakha jayega, sabse qareebi mazbooti ka nishana 0.6598 ke liye hoga. Sell breakout ek aur option hai agar correction support 0.6548 ko todati hai, limited target 0.6521 par hai. Sell ko hold karne ki salah di jati hai kyun ke agar 0.6521 area break hota hai, toh ek downside crossover EMA 12 aur EMA 36 ke darmiyan ban jata hai, price EMA 633 H1 se guzar jata hai aur EMA 200 H1 ko todata hai, is tarah kamzor hone ka nishana nicha ho jata hai, yaani 0.6487 par. Agar mazeed barhti hai, toh seller ki tayyariyan ho sakti hain agar price resistance 0.6637 - 0.6670 se reject hota hai aur H1 par bearish signal ka zahir hota hai, sabse qareebi kamzori ka nishana 0.6581 hai. Order area se 15 pips ki stoploss.

AUD/USD pair

Australian Dollar (AUD) US Dollar (USD) last Friday, Good Friday holiday ki wajah se patli trading volumes ke sath larza. Magar aglay haftay FX traders ke liye zyada kaam wala hone wala hai, jab key US economic data aur Federal Reserve officials ke taqreerain release hongi. Jumma ko, AUD/USD pair qareeb 0.6513 ke ird gird mojood tha. Yeh naqami harkat market ki ehtiyaat bhari stance ko darust karti hai jab wo Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index ke release ko muntazir hai, jo Federal Reserve ka pasandida inflation ka pehlu hai. Tawaqqu'at muta'arif hai ke inflation mein thori kami hogi, jahan core PCE rate ko saalana 0.4% se 0.3% par dip hone ka imkan hai. Saalana rate ko tawaja mein rakhtay hue isay 2.8% par barqarar rehne ka tawaqqu' hai. Mukaablay mein, headline PCE rate ko 0.3% se 0.4% aur saalana tor par 2.4% se 2.5% tak barhne ka tawaqqu' hai. Intehai tareeqay se, neeche Australia mein, maahana inflation aur retail sales ke figures kam darjay ke zahir hue, jo ke speculation ko barhaya ke Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) shayad iss saal mein interest rates ko kam karay jab economy thanday hone lagti hai. Aglay haftay, investors Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data aur RBA meeting minutes par mabni Australia ki economic trajectory se mazeed wazaahat talab karenge.

Technically, AUD/USD abhi ek neutral se bearish zone mein hai. US PCE data release se pehle, 0.6546 ke aas paas resistance ka imkan hai, jahan 100-day aur 200-day moving averages milte hain. Is level ke upar toorna 100-day average ko mazeed 0.6594 tak chadh sakti hai aur shayad 0.6600 ko paar kar sake. Neeche, ibtedai support 0.6500 par hai, phir March 5th ki kamzor taqat 0.6477. Haal hi ki price action AUD/USD ke short-term bullish trend ke khilaf ek khatra dikhata hai. 0.6500 ke level par band hone aur Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ke qareeb manfi reaction se ek retracement trigger ho sakta hai. Technical indicators is bearish sentiment ko madde nazar hai. Relative Strength Index (RSI) neutral 50 mark ke neeche gira hai, aur Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) manfi territory mein kamzor ho raha hai. 0.6500 ke neeche mazeed toorna ek naya test ke raste ko kholega jo ke January aur March ke darmiyan banne wale tootay hue descending channel ke upper band par 0.6465, shayad February ke kamzor darjah 0.6440 ko phir se dekhe. In signals ko nazar andaaz karna 0.6370 ilaqe ke taraf tez girawat mein mukhtalif hosakta hai, jo pandemic rebound ke doran support ka kaam karta tha. Ek bura scenario mein, agar farokht barh jaye, to 0.6269-0.6300 zone agla muqabla ki maidan ban sakta hai.

AUDUSD OUTLOOK ANALYSIS:

H4 wakt frame chart par dekha jaye to AUDUSD jori ka price pattern structure ab bhi ek lower low dikhata hai kyun ke naye, lower low prices ban rahe hain. Is ke alawa, kareeb 0.6486 par naya support hai aur 0.6515 par RSI area hai jo ke resistance ke tor par kaam karta hai. Trend ki halat ek bearish trend ki halat mein rehti hai kyun ke EMA 50 aur SMA 200 ke darmiyan koi cross nahi hua hai, jo ke golden cross signal ko janam deta hai. Isi doran, price movements ko kal ek impulsive decline ke baad upar ki taraf correct kiya ja raha hai. Uthne ki koshish kar rahe prices RSI ya resistance area ko test kar rahe hain taake wo consistently 0.6500 level ke upar reh sakein. Maslan, agar price ab bhi 50 EMA ke aas paas rejection ka samna kar raha hai, to ye matlab hai ke agle movement tend support ko test karne aur lower low structure ko jari rakhne ki taraf hogi. Awesome Oscillator (AO) indicator dwaara dikhayi gayi downtrend momentum kamzor hone ki shuruat lagti hai. Kyunki green histogram volume level 0 ke qareeb pahunch raha hai aur sambhav hai ke wo positive area ko cross kar le. Magar, Stochastic indicator ab bhi price ke decline ko darshata hai kyun ke parameters jo ke overbought zone mein pohanch chuke hain, jald hi cross karne wale hain.

H1 wakt frame chart par, AUDUSD market apne aham support level 0.6517 ke ird gird ghoom rahi hai. Is level ka ehmiyat kam na samjhi ja sakti hai, kyun ke ye market dynamics ke liye aik aham morcha darust karta hai. Is morche par, kharidne wale aur bechne wale ke darmiyan taqat ka balance qayam hai. Agar kharidne wale is range ke andar control ko barqarar nahi rakh sakte, to rasta saaf ho jayega ke bikri ka level 0.6480 ke doraan US trading session mein toot jaaye. Ye scenario bikri ka dabao bharne ka domino effect shuru kar sakta hai, jise ke nateeje mein market mein mazeed neeche ki taraf rawani aaye. Magar, market shiraafta ko psychological level 0.6500 ke upar rehne ki ahmiyat ko pehchanne ki zaroorat hai. Ye level neeche rawani ka buffer faraham karta hai aur bullish sentiment ko barqarar rakhne ke liye ek bunyadi bunyad faraham karta hai. Essence mein, mojooda mahol mein market shiraafta ki zindagi unke 0.6500 range ki khirajat ko qaim rakhne ki salahiyat par mabni hai. Is tarah, wo mojooda market ke halat dawran ke challenges ko asaanise guzar sakte hain aur potential mouke ke liye apni jagah banaye rakh sakte hain.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S

A U D / U S D

Introduction

Assalam-o-Alaikum aziz-o-aqarib. Aaj kaisay hain aap sab? Main AUD/USD ki keemat ka tehqiqati aur bunyadi pehluo se tajziyah karna chahta hoon. Technically, AUD/USD ka market price kareeb-kareeb 0.6579 zone mein ghoom rahi hai. Pichlay do se teen waves mein, AUD/USD ne ek bearish harkat dikhayi, is liye abhi AUD/USD par bearish tajweezat ka dabdaba hai. Is waqt ke chart par AUD/USD ka amm trend bearish hai. AUD/USD market mein bunyadi bearish jazbaat mein koi tabdili nahi aayi hai. Dosri taraf, agar hum Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par nazar daalein, to hum dekh sakte hain ke indicator ek manfi trend dikhata hai kyunke Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.9461 par hai. Ussi waqt, market moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator ke darmiyan midline ya zero line ke neeche hai. Is liye overall rukh neeche ki taraf hai. Moving averages bhi bearish signal dikhate hain. Abhi ke moqam par keemat 50 EMA aur 20 EMA ke neeche trade kar rahi hai, jo ke yeh dikhata hai ke doosra bearish trend ka mauka mojood hai.

Resistance aur Support

AUD/USD ke liye pehla bada resistance level 0.6637 hai aur agar keemat 0.6637 level ko tor deti hai, to pair 0.6893 level ki taraf aur shayad 0.7152 level tak uthay ga jo teesra resistance level hai. Dosri taraf, AUD/USD ke liye pehla bada support level 0.6488 hai aur agar keemat 0.6488 level ke neeche jaati hai, to pair 0.6277 level tak aur shayad 0.5821 level tak giray ga jo teesra support level hai. Aane wali trading sessions mein ek aur swing low ka mazboot imkaan hai. Is waqt is market mein lambi positions lete waqt ehtraam se kaam len. Badi chart time frames par koi palat nahi hai.

Chart Mein Istemaal Kiye Gaye Indicators:

• MACD indicator:
• RSI indicator period 14:
• 50-day exponential moving average rang Orange:
• 20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

Is tafteeshi post mein, main haftay ki chart ko audio ke liye kholna chahunga aur dekhna chahunga ke ye humein kya signals deta hai. Haftay ki chart par, 0.8000 par local ziada se dobara utrne ke baad, Audi ne dakshin ki taraf muraadaf kiya, ek pur sukoon neechay ki taraf trend mein chala gaya aur ek mazboot neechay ki qeemat channel banaya. Jumeraat ki trading is southern channel mein poora hua 0.6580 ke darje par aur haalaanki aakhri haftay ki mombatti haree taur par band hui, main umeed karta hoon ke giravat jari rahegi aur bechars ke liye nishaana darmiyaan muddat mein 0.6400 ke darje par aur lambi muddat ke manzar par 0.6200 ke darje par girne ki. Har surat mein, pehle humne channel ke ooperi hudood se dobara ka sarkao dekha tha jo 0.6900 ke darje par tha aur ab qeemat mostahkam tor par sahoolat ki taraf ja rahi hai, jiski intiqal 0.6100 ya 0.6000 ke darje par hota hai.





Main aapke saath ittefaq rakhta hoon - AUD/USD jodi ke maamlay mein saaf tor par hum traders ke liye sab se samajhne ki baat nahi hai. Agar aapne dekha, dainik chart par maine ek pur sukoon urooj ki qeemat channel banaya tha, jismein jodi trading kar rahi thi. Is ke ilawa, urooj ki qeemat channel ke andar, do urooj ki lehren aur do giravat ki lehren banayi gayi thi. Aur ab lagta hai ke teesri urooj ki lehar shuru ho gayi hai, lekin channel ke andar bani mukhreer leher ne kharidaron ko qeemat ko channel ke ooperi hudood tak nahi pohanchne diya. Jumeraat ko humne 0.6600 (ya thora ooper) ke aas pass mukhreer darja se mazboot sarkao dekha, iske baad Audi dakshin ki taraf mur gaya aur haftay ki trading 0.6580 ke darje par mukammal hui. Abhi maujooda qeemat ke darje se, hum zyada taur par giravat jari rahegi aur bechars ke liye nishaana sahoolat line ya 0.6550 ke darje par girna hoga.