Gbp usd

GBP/USD Trading Guftagu

Rozana Timeframe ka Nazariya:

Kal ke liye GBP/USD main, chhoti si janubi pullback ke baad, qeemat ne palat kar shumali simt mein tezi se dhakelna shuru kiya, jis ka nateejah ek wazeh palatne wala candle mein nazar aaya, jo peechli daily range ke andar mojood tha. Aam tor par, filhaal main apne mansoobon ko tabdeel nahi kar raha hoon aur qareebi mukhalifat ki satah par kaam hone ka intezar kar raha hoon, jo mere nishanat ke mutabiq 1.25694 par hai. Jaisa ke main pehle bhi kai baar keh chuka hoon, is mukhalifat ki satah ke nazdeek do mumkinah manazir hain. Pehla manzar qeemat ka is satah ke ooper mustahkam ho kar mazid shumali simt mein harkat se wabasta hai. Agar yeh mansoobah amal mein aata hai, to main qeemat ko agle mukhalifat ki satah tak pohanchne ka intezar karunga, jo 1.27094 par hai. Is mukhalifat ki satah ke qareeb, main trading setup ban'ne ka intezar karunga, jo trading ki aage ki simt ko tay karne mein madadgar hoga. Yaqeenan, zyada door shumali hadafon par kaam karne ka ikhtiyar bhi hai, jin mein se ek mere nishanat ke mutabiq 1.28032 par hai, magar yahan par halat ka jaaiza lena zaroori hai aur sab kuch us khabar ki pasmandgi par mabni hoga jo qeemat ke sath juregi aur yeh bhi ke qeemat door shumali hadafon ka kis tarah jawab deti hai. Mukhalifat ki satah 1.25694 ka test karte waqt qeemat ki harkat ka ek mutabadil ikhtiyar ek palatne wala candle ban'na aur qeemat ki harkat ka neeche ki taraf dobarah shuru hona ho sakta hai. Agar yeh mansoobah amal mein aata hai, to main qeemat ko support ki satah tak wapas aane ka intezar karunga, jo 1.24661 par hai. Is support ki satah ke qareeb, main aik trading setup ban'ne ka intezar karunga, jo aage ki trading ki simt ko tay karne mein madadgar hoga. Door janubi hadaf par kaam karne ka bhi ek ikhtiyar hai, jo mere nishanat ke mutabiq 1.22992 par hai, magar yahan bhi halat ka jaaiza lena zaroori hai. Mukhtasir tor par, aaj main poori tarah tasleem karta hoon ke qeemat qareebi mukhalifat ki satah par kaam kar sakti hai, aur phir main bazar ki soorat-e-haal se faisle loon ga.

GBPUSD Jori ka Technical Tajziya

4 Ghante ka Chart

Yeh imkaan hai ke jori ka daam 4 ghante ke chart par girawat jaari rakhega, kyun ke daam ne pichle choti ke mukablay mein ek kam choti banai hai. Is haftay ke doran, jori ke daamon ne chart par dikhaye gaye price channels mein trade kiya, jin mein se ek bullish hai jo surkh rang mein hai aur guzishta haftay ke daam ki harkat ko numaindagi karta hai, aur doosra neela hai jo sideways movement ko dikhata hai. Haftay ke ibtida mein daam ko support mila aur yeh haftay ki mukhalifat ki satah 1.2586 tak pohunch gaya, aur yahan aapki line oopar wale neele channel ke qareeb hai. Is se daam mein kami aayi, kyun ke surkh channel toota aur daam haftay ke pivot level 1.2442 tak gir gaya, jo ke daam ko dobara barhne ka support diya.

Jaise hi daam pichli choti ki satah tak pohuncha, yeh dobara neeche ki taraf uchal gaya, aur phir se haftay ke pivot level ke qareeb aa gaya, jahan daam ko toot kar aur neeche girne ka imkaan zyada hai, haftay ke support level 1.2345 tak.

Maashi Pehlu Par, US dollar November se apni choti ke qareeb hai, jo ke Bank of England ki nisbat US Federal Reserve ke maashi policy ke baare mein zyada dovish moqif ki tawqoat se support hua hai. Maashi calendar ke data ke natayej ke mutabiq... Haal ki market sentiment yeh batati hai ke 80% imkaan hai ke Bank of England August mein apni pehli move karega, uske baad is saal baad mein rate katne ka 60% imkaan hai. Bar'aks, US Federal Reserve ke September mein apna pehla interest rate katne ka imkaan kam hua hai, jo ke inflation ko 2% ke target tak lane mein sust raftar ki fikar ko zahir karta hai. Is baray mein, Bank of England ke Governor Andrew Bailey ne haal hi mein ishara diya ke British inflation 2% ke target ko pura karne ke liye tayyar nazar aata hai, jabke unke saathi Megan Green aur Hugh Bell ne zyada hawkish tone mein baat ki, yeh keh kar ke shir'aat dar mein kami par ghor karna bohot jaldi hai.



Maashi pehlu par... UK S&P Global UK Manufacturing PMI ko April 2024 mein thoda sa behtar karke 49.1 tak revise kiya gaya, jo ke ibtidaai andaza 48.7 se zyada hai lekin March ke 20 mahine ke uonche nishan 50.3 se kam hai. Dono production aur naye orders March ke mukhtasir zindah dili ke baad market ki unsartain halat, customers ke inventories ko khatam karna, aur supply chain mein rukawaton ke darmiyan dobara contraction territory mein wapas aa gaye.

GBP/USD:

Mumkinah shumali harkat jo mazkur satah se ooper hai, GBP/USD jori ko 1.25390 ki pullback mukhalifat ki satah ke ird gird ke ilaqay se guzarne mein madadgar sabit ho sakti hai. Jumeraat ke London session ke doran, GBP/USD jori ne apni mazbooti ka muzahira kia jab us ne 1.2509 ke asal mukhalifat ki satah ke qareeb apni position barqarar rakhi. Halankay yeh pichle band hone wale rate 1.2516 se thoda kam hai, GBP/USD jori apne haal hi ke faide barqarar rakhta hai.

Traders barabar GBP/USD jori par nazar rakhe hue hain ta ke kisi bhi mukhalifat ki satah se ooper toot phoot ka pata chale, kyunkay yeh jori ki qeemat mein bullish silsila jaari rehne ka ishara ho sakta hai. Agar yeh 1.25390 se ooper chali jati hai to is se mazid shumali harkat ke moqe khul sakte hain, jahan traders zyada mukhalifat ki satahon par munafa uthane ya apne positions ka dobara jaiza lene ke liye nazar rakh sakte hain. Is ke ilawa, agar yeh mukhalifat ki satah ko barqarar tor deti hai to yeh market ki soorat-e-hal ko bullish nazarie ki taraf shift karne ka ishara ho sakta hai.

Taham, yeh ahem hai ke note kia jaye ke Jumeraat ke session mein 1.2509 ki asal mukhalifat ki satah ke qareeb GBP/USD jori ki position ko barqarar rakhne ki salahiyat is baat ka ishara hai ke is jori mein abhi bhi kafi khareedari dilchaspi hai. 1.2500 ki satah ke aas paas ki support yeh darust karti hai ke traders lambi positions ikhatta kar rahe hain, GBP/USD jori ke qiymat mein mazid izafa ki tawaqo karte hue. Mazeed yeh ke, pichle band hone wale rate se thodi si kami ke bawajood, jori ki haal hi ke faidon ko barqarar rakhne ki salahiyat uski buniyadi mazbooti aur market ke utar charhav ke samne mazbooti ko ujagar karti hai.



Aage dekhte hue, traders barabar GBP/USD jori ke qeemat ka amal, khaas taur par 1.25390 ki mukhalifat ki satah ke sath uski ba interact ko qareeb se dekhte rahenge. Agar yeh satah ka kamiyab tor par toot jata hai to yeh mazid bullish momentum ka rasta hamwar kar sakta hai, jo ke zyada mukhalifat ki satahon ka dobara test kar sakta hai. Doosri taraf, agar yeh mukhalifat ki satah ko paar nahi kar pata to jori ki qeemat mein consolidation ya pullback ho sakta hai, jab traders apne positions aur market ke halat ka dobara jaiza lete hain.

Akhir mein, GBP/USD jori filhal 1.25390 ki mukhalifat ki satah ke qareeb navigate kar rahi hai, jahan traders mazid bullish momentum ke liye mumkinah tor par ki jaane wali breakthrough ka intezar kar rahe hain. Pichle band hone wale rate se thodi si kami ke bawajood, yeh apne haal hi ke faidon ko barqarar rakhta hai, jo iski buniyadi mazbooti aur mazbooti ko zahir karta hai. Traders is jori ki qeemat ki harkat par nazar rakhenge ta ke mukhalifat ki satah se ooper musalsal harkat ka pata chale, jo ke GBP/USD jori mein mazid shumali harkat ka ishara ho sakta hai.

US dollar Jumma ke roz Asian trading ke ibtida mein mushkilat ka samna kar raha tha. GBP/USD currency jori taqreeban 1.2540 tak barh gayi, jo ke ek kamzor dollar ko zahir karti hai. Yeh Federal Reserve ke Chair Jerome Powell ke Budh ke din ke tabseron ke baad hua, jo ke investors ne dovish tasawur kiya. Powell ne tasleem kiya ke inflation jitni jaldi umeed ki ja rahi thi utni tezi se nahi gir rahi, aur ishara diya ke Fed qareeb ke mustaqbil mein interest rates barhaane ka irada nahi rakhta. Is moqif ne dollar par neeche ki taraf dabao dala. Magar, dollar ka outlook abhi bhi kuch pechida hai. US ki ma'eeshat abhi bhi mazbooti se barh rahi hai, aur inflation, halankay thoda kam hua hai, phir bhi na-gawar had tak zyada hai. Yeh Fed ko lambay arsay tak hawkish tone barqarar rakhne par majboor kar sakta hai, jo ke mustaqbil mein rate hikes ka sabab ban sakta hai aur dollar ko support de sakta hai. Jumma ke roz, US mein ahem ma'econic data ke izharat currency markets par mazid asar andaz ho saktay hain. S&P Global Services PMI aur April ke liye besabri se muntazir non-farm payrolls (NFP) data dono jaari hone wale hain. NFP report se kamtar mutawaqqa, jo ke rozi mein susti ka ishara de sakti hai, dollar par farokht ka dabao dobara barh sakta hai aur GBP/USD ko faida pohancha sakta hai.



Technically dekha jaye to, GBP/USD jori ne haal hi mein kuch volatility dekhi hai. 2024 ki nayi bulandi 1.2892 tak pohanchne ke baad, us ne tez decline ka tajurba kiya, jis se ek neechay ki taraf ka trend qaim hua jisme kam highs aur kam lows shamil hain. Halankay jori ne haal ke sessions mein recovery ki koshish ki hai, lekin lagta hai ke yeh 200-day simple moving average (SMA) par mukhalifat ka samna kar rahi hai, jo ek ahem technical indicator hai jo momentum mein tabdeel ka ishara de sakta hai. Agar GBP/USD par ooper ki taraf ka dabao barqarar rahta hai, to jori 1.2574 ki satah ko test kar sakti hai, jo pehle March aur April mein support ka kaam karti rahi lekin ab mukhalifat ka kaam kar sakti hai. Is ilaqay se ooper breakout hone se April ki bulandi 1.2682 ka dobara test ho sakta hai. Mazeed mukhalifat 1.2793 par pesh a sakti hai, jo ke December mein mazboot rahi. Dusri taraf, agar neechay ki taraf ka trend dobara shuru hota hai, to ibtidaai support February ke kam tareen 1.2517 par mil sakti hai. Is point se neeche tootna qeemat ko 1.2450 ki taraf le ja sakta hai, is se pehle ke April ki support 1.2405 tak pohanchay. Aakhir mein, GBP/USD jori ka qareebi mustaqbil ka rukh aanay wale US ma'economic data aur investors ke is ko samajhne ke tareeqe par mabni hoga. Jabke Fed ka dovish moqif aur ma'economic susti dollar ki kamzori ko favor karte hain, US ki ma'eeshat ki buniyadi mazbooti lambay term mein reversal ka sabab ban sakti hai. Technical indicators bhi aane wale dino mein jori ke liye mumkinah range ka ishara dete hain, jahan ahem support aur mukhalifat ki satahon ka dhyan rakhna hoga.

Pound/US Dollar (GBP/USD) currency pair ki movement ka tajziya, chaar ghanton ke time frame par.

Extended Regression Stop And Reverse linear regression indicator, RSI (14) aur MACD oscillators ke confirmatory readings ke saath, hamen market ko behtar taur par analyze karne aur trading ke liye chunayi ke sab se durust faislay ko karna mein madad karega. Trading position kholne ka maslak ek positive faislay ka hona hai jab tamam teen indicators ke signals ek dosre ke saath miltay hain. Agar kam az kam ek in dino mein se kisi aik ka dosre indicators ke saath ikhtilaf hai, to deal ghair-yaqeeni munafa ke bais ho jaati hai. Jab market mein dakhil hone ka amal mukammal hota hai aur quotes faida-deh ilaqay ke qareeb aatay hain, to hum sab se munafa bakhsh, munafa ke lihaz se, transaction ko band karne ka point qayam karte hain. Is maqsad ke liye, hum kaam karne wali chart par intehai points ko pehchan kar un par Fibonacci grid ka banavat karte hain. Hum market se nikalte hain jab ke qeemat correction Fibo levels ke nazdeek aati hai.

Chunayi hui waqt frame (time-frame H4) par linear regression channel ka ek neeche ki taraf rukh hai, jo ke market mein bechnay walon ki maujoodgi aur unka neeche ki taraf raqabat ko dikhata hai. Is ke sath sath, jo zyada rukh ka andaza, wo is waqt ke neeche ki raqabat ko zyada mazboot banata hai. Ek sath, jo ghair-linear channel hai, jo qareebi mustaqbil ka andaaza lagane ke liye istemal hota hai, zard-hara rang mein hai aur is se maloom hota hai ke aalaqay ke quotes mein mazeed izafa hone ka imkaan hai, kyunke yeh shumal ki taraf mudir hai.

Qeemat ne blue support line of linear regression channel 2-nd LevelSupLine ko par kiya, lekin quotes ki kam se kam qeemat (LOW) 1.23054 tak pohanchi, jis ke baad us ne apne kami ko rok liya aur dar dar tak barhna shuru kar diya. Ab, instrument 1.25423 ke qeemat darj hai. In tamam baaton ke dyaan mein rakhtay hue, mujhe umeed hai ke market price quotes 2-nd Level SupLine channel line (1.26809) ke ooper vapas aur is ke upar hone ke liye mazbooti se band hogi aur phir aage ke barhav ko golden average line LR of linear channel 1.26918 ki taraf ooper jaayegi, jo ke Fibo level 61.8 % ke saath milta hai. Dhiyan dein ke auxillary indicators RSI (14) aur MACD oversold area mein hain aur bhi instrument ki qeemat mein izafa ke imkaan ko zahir karte hain.

Market ke halaat ka jaiza - GBPUSD. Main 0 (1.25260) aur 50 (1.25797) area par qeemat ke harqat ke liye kuch options ka muntazir hoon, jo ke Fibonacci grid dwara bana hai, jo main ne peechle din unchi aur neechi qeemat ke liye set kiya tha. Pehla option mere liye zyada pasandeeda hai. 23.6 (1.25513), 38.2 (1.25670), aur 50 (1.25797) level ko chhuna ek mauqa faraham karta hai, aur is shreni mein sab se uncha, order volume ko ek kaam karne wale lot tak le jaane ka. Meri trading ke liye muft waqt ke mutabiq, trading orders ki tadad mukhtalif ho sakti hai. Fibo grid wo jagah mein murda hai jahan ise pooray din ke liye lagaya gaya tha, bina qeemat ke mutabiq. Ye kafi taur par aapko apni market ki nazron se munafa bakhsh market ki jazbat ka andaza lagane ke liye faislay karne ki ijaazat deta hai. Dusra option ye hai ke jab market 0 (1.25260) aur 50 (1.25797) area se ooper jaata hai. Is surat mein, aapko mauqa pakadna chahiye ke khareedari mein dakhil hone ke liye jab level 50 (1.25797) par wapas aaye. Aglay, bullish qadam 61.8 (1.25924), 76.4 (1.26081) level ke roop mein khareedari ke dakhil hone ke points ke roop mein zahir hote hain.
Mere terminal bhi waqtan-fa-waqtan jam jata hai. Magar lambay waqt ke liye nahi. Aur ab tak ye bada masla nahi hua hai. Main foran Take Profit lagane ki koshish karta hoon; main stop order nahi lagata.

Hamare GBPUSD currency pair ke baare mein kya keh sakte hain? Jumeraat ko, qeemat ne chaar ghantay ka channel ka ooper se hadood ko paar kar diya, jo ke 1.2615 par maujood hai. Uske baad qeemat wapas channel mein laut gayi. Ab hum moving average line ka imtehan ka intezaar kar sakte hain, jo ke 1.2493 par hai.

Salam sab ko! British pound pichle haftay ke shuruaat mein mukhtalif rukh par tha. Asian sessions mein, market ke jazbat ke mutabiq, ye peer ko buland hua aur mangal ko gir gaya. Peer ko, GBPUSD pair ne haftay ki buland point 1.25679 tak pohanch gaya. Magar mangal ne paanch session ke mustaqil rally ko khatam kar diya. Pair ne Asian aur American sessions dono mein girawat ka samna kiya. Is natijay mein, pound ne peer ke session ko 1.24877 par khatam kiya, apni peechli bulandi ka aik teesra hissa kho kar. Pichle haftay pound ne mujhe kaafi khush kiya, jo aik aise pair ke liye bhi be-ghairat hai. )) Sach hai, agar worker ka mood kahin se mil jaata, to achha hota. Theek hai, naya din aayega - naya munafa hoga. GBP/USD, D. 1.2525 ka level aakhir kar par kiya gaya, lekin ye ye zaroori nahi hai ke ooper ki taraf ka safar jari rahega. Shama khoobsurat hai, 1.2630 ka level qaim hai. Agar qeemat dobara is taraf jaati hai aur ise le leti hai, to 27vi figure asal nishana ban jayegi, aur 28vi kafi nazdeek hai. )) Achha, ya to neeche - 1.2433 aur 1.2330 ki taraf. GBP/USD, Н4. 4 ghantay ka channel abhi bhi neeche ja raha hai. Qeemat bahar gayi, lekin phir se wapas aa gayi. Channel ko ab dobara draw kiya ja sakta hai, lekin pehle pound ko decide karne diya jaye ke wo kahan jaega. )) Agar hum neele trend line ke neeche jaate hain, kahin 1.2525 ke aas-paas, to target neeche 1.2455 - 1.2430 (screen par darust nahi kiya gaya), aur neeche 1.2380, etc. Abhi tak kuch aisa hai. ) Sab ko khush qismati aur zyada munafa!

Trading shuru karne se pehle, meri raay mein, puri tasveer samajhne ke liye, is GBPUSD currency pair ki haftawar ka chart dekhna zaroori hai. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke qeemat ek contract triangle uncertainty pattern ke andar hai. Pehle, qeemat ne neeche se triangle banate hue chadhne wali support line se push kiya aur peechle haftay 1.2585 horizontal resistance level ke area ko test kiya, jo ke closing prices par bana tha. Yeh foran kuch girne laga aur mujhe umeed hai ke girawat hogi, aise levels aam tor par seedha nahi torhte aur shayad dobara chadhne wali line ka test ho. Is tarah, meri raay mein, chhoti muddaton mein neechay kaam karna behtar hai jab muqabil formations bante hain. Aap ye bhi notice kar sakte hain ke hafta aik khas reversal of candles ke saath band hua - aapasi hammer, level par based, yeh ek achha signal hai sell ke liye, aap temporary tor par yahan se khareedari bhool sakte hain. Neem rozana chart par bhi, Jumeraat ko neechay ek aapasi hammer ke saath band hua - ek signal sell ke liye. Plus, CCI indicator upper overheating zone mein dakhil hua.

H4 Graph. Yahan aap dekh sakte hain ke Jumeraat ko qeemat ko ooncha phenka gaya aur phir turant wahan se gir gaya, jaise ke yeh wazeh hai ke aik powerful resistance level wahan mojood hai. Jumeraat ko, United States mein ahem khabrein aayi; United States ke non-agricultural sector mein muntazim logon ki tadad mein tabdeeli, jo ke tajwez se kafi buri nazar aayi, aur average hourly wage bhi gir gaya. Theek hai, rasmi be-rozgar ki dar bhi barh gayi hai. Ye American dollar ke liye manfi indicators hain aur qeemat ne in par tazi se oopar ki taraf kood diya. Issi doran, MACD indicator par bearish divergence bhi ban gayi hai jo istemal ki gayi hai. Aur support level par divergence ek shandaar signal hai; qeemat foran girne lagi. Jab hum 1.2535 ke support par khare hain, mujhe lagta hai ke jaldi hi ise neechay push kiya jayega aur qeemat peechle haftay ke low ko update karegi.

GBP/USD D1 Timeframe.

GBP/USD jodi, jo ke Ameriki dollar aur British pound ke exchange rates ka aham paimana hai, ne taez girawat mehsoos ki. Is girawat ke wajahat mukhtalif thin. Pehle, market mein uncertainty aur risk se bachne ki shiddat barh gayi thi Iran aur Israel ke darmiyan jari jang ke bais. Ek Iranian sheher mein hone wale ek dhamaake ke baad, jise ek Israeli hamla ka nateeja samjha ja raha tha, financial system ko hila diya gaya. Jab ke Iranian afserini us waqia ko kamzor dikhane ki koshish kar rahe the, GBP/USD jodi ne ek taza paanch mahine ka naya low, $1.2362, tak gir gaya. Dusra, central bank afserini ke qayam ke bayanat se market ki jazbat par asar hua. Is trend ko palatne ke liye ye takhleqi rukawaton ko par karne ki zaroorat hai. Agar bullon ko 1.2655 ko torne ki himmat milti hai to toor par jo kaam ho raha hai, 1.2700–1.2740 ke darmiyan bulandiyo par dawat jaye gi. Aik bar qayam pazeeri ka kamyab doran shayad qabzay ke qareeb hui aamadon ke nazdeek banaye gaye support trend line ko dobarah
test kiya jaye.
Lekin jab tak resistance ke upar wazeh toor par koi tor nahi ho aur ahem moving averages ke upar sabqat rahay, GBP/USD jodi ke short-term outlook na-fa’ida hai. Daily chart ki harkat pichle do dinon se neeche ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai, aur mojooda tijarat ki disha bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Main is jodi ke baqi trading muddat ke liye is ki harkat ko pesh karnay ki koshish karunga, keh agar mojooda neeche ki disha barqarar rahegi ya koi aur nateejay muntazir hain. Chaliye dekhte hain ke jodi ka technical tajziya kya kehta hai. Technical indicators, moving averages, aur nateejay, sab kuch ek mazboot farokht ko ishara kar rahe hain. Haan, lagta hai ke ye jodi neechay ki taraf safar ke liye tayyar hai. Aaiye dekhte hain ke kis qadr ahem khabron ki manzoori hui. United Kingdom se aik ahem khushkhabri ka ailaan hua hai. Main mojooda resistance levels ke qareeb neeche ki disha ki nishan dehiyon ke liye talaash jari rakhoonga, keh harkat neeche ki taraf jaari rahegi ya nahi. Khulasa mein, main tasleem karta hoon ke keemat shayad neeche ki taraf jaari rahegi aur agle haftay neeche ki agla nishan maloom karne ki koshish karoonga, lekin amal market ke haalat par mabni hoga.

GBP/USD

GBP/USD currency pair ki H4 charts ko dekhne ke baad, mujhe pehle waqt ke mukhtalif doraan jaise broad consolidation nazar aayi. Is pair ke liye, wazeh hai ke market ka opening Monday se, bilkul Jumma ki tarah, narrow trading range mein hoga support 1.2480 aur resistance 1.2556 ke darmiyan. Pair ne 1.2480 ke upar consolidate kiya, aur yeh bulls ke liye ek jeet hai. Magar uttar ki taraf ka vikas ke liye, 1.2556 par chaar ghante ka scale ka resistance todna zaroori hai. Isliye, mujhe lagta hai ke ant mein hum indicated range se aur north ki taraf exit karenge, lekin Monday 1.2556 ka breakdown ka din nahi hoga kyunke envelope khud horizontal plane mein hai aur pehle price ko 1.2556 ki taraf dhakka dekar 1.2480 ki taraf gehra niche nahi jaane dega. To, mujhe lagta hai ke jab 1.2556 ka breakthrough ka waqt aayega, tab ye saaf ho jayega. GBP/USD par uchhalne ki koshish hui, lekin bechne waale bhi thay. Sach hai, 1.2540 ke maximum ke baad ek southern shadow bhi tha.

Abhi tak yeh saaf nahi hai ke kya wo south ki taraf jaari rahe hain, lekin ye ek girawat ke baad 1.2892 ke maximum level se hai. Main ek bada southern zigzag ka intezar kar raha hoon jo 1.2298 ke low ko update karega. Yeh bura option nahi hai, lekin abhi tak yeh nahi samjha ja sakta ke kitna work out hoga. Kam se kam agle trading week ke kuch din to achhe se guzreinge, anyway. Haan, aur din ke candlesticks bhi bahut uttar mein nahi hain, lekin yeh candles hote hain. Humne upar accumulation resistance level ko paas nahi kiya, aur neeche se upar ki taraf chalne wali trend line ko test kar rahe hain jo 1.2501 ke low se hai. Aage, ek naya southern zigzag zyada mumkin hai, lekin uttar bhi ek koshish mein mumkin hai. Abhi ke liye, main 1.2319 ke level se 161.80% ratio par rebound record kar raha hoon. Main sochta hoon ke abhi ke liye bulls show chalaenge. Aam taur par, duniya mein jo karna hai wo ho chuka hai, aur choti choti kadam se sab kuch normal ho jayega. Zaroor, kickbacks ke saath. Mujhe nishchit shak hai ke 1.2484 par local minimum ko update karke, wo Monday ko current wave ke top ko 1.2540 par update karenge, lekin ye pakka nahi hai. Aur ye hai ke 1.2540 ka update hoga.

GBPUSD

Jab hum trading session ki taraf rawana hotay hain, to GBPUSD currency pair ki haftay ki chart ka mukammal jaaiza lena zaroori hai. Ek nazar mein aane wala nami pattern jo ke symmetrical triangle hai, iska zikr qabil-e-zikar hai, jo ke price ko iske tang hoti hui hadood ke andar fluctuate karti dikhata hai. Pehle, price ne ascending support line se rebound kiya jo ke triangle ka base bana tha, aur pichle haftay, price ne 1.2585 ke horizontal resistance level ko test kiya, jo closing prices se liya gaya tha. Yeh resistance level aam tor par aasani se paar nahi hota, aur aksar ek subsequent retest of the ascending support line ke taraf le jaata hai.

Isliye, mere khayal mein neeche ki taraf movement mumkin hai, khaaskar aise levels ki tabadla ke maqool hone ke nateeje ko dekhte hue. Chhotay timeframes par, jab mawafiq formations hoti hain, to neeche ki taraf movement par tawajjo dena zyada munasib hai. Iske ilawa, haftay ke close ko mark karne wala characteristic candlestick pattern – inverted hammer – ka zikr bhi ahem hai, jo support par mojood hai. Yeh bechnay ke liye ek mazid kaamyabi ka mouqa darust karta hai, jab tak kharidne ki soch temporarily side par rakhi jaye. Isi tarah, daily chart ne bhi Jumma ko ek neeche ki taraf facing inverted hammer ke saath band hua, jo bechnay ka ek mauqa darust karta hai. Iske ilawa, CCI indicator ne overbought zone mein dakhil hua, jo bechnay ki bias ko mazid barhava deta hai.

Yeh analysis multi-timeframe approach ko apnaane ki ahmiyat ko samajhata hai, kyun ke yeh market dynamics par mukammal nazar ko faraham karta hai. Mukhtalif timeframes par key patterns aur indicators ko pehchaan kar, traders behtareen entry aur exit strategies bana sakte hain, jisse overall trading performance aur risk management mein izafa hota hai.

British pound ka haal hi mein ek ahtiyaat se optimistic market mein behtar hone ka trend dekha gaya hai, jahan teen mazid dinon tak ye dollar ke khilaf izafa dar izafa dar ke sath 1.2550 ke aas paas chalta raha hai. Ye behtar hone ka trend pichle neeche ki taraf jaane wale trend ko follow karta hai, jo rozana ke chart par technical indicators se dekha ja sakta hai. Currency ne ek "ghate huye channel" ke andar jama ho gaya hai, jo ke ek downtrend ko darshaata hai. Is ke bawajood, kuch ishaare hain ke ye neeche ki taraf jaane wale trend ka khatam hone wala hai. Relative Strength Index, jo ke momentum ko naapta hai, past 14 dinon mein 50 ke level tak barh gaya hai, jo ke bearish trend ki kamzori ko darshaata hai. Ek aur positive nishaan hai Moving Average Convergence Divergence ka, jo ke abhi middle line ke upar par position mein hai lekin nazdeek, thori si musbat momentum ko darshaata hai. Ye wazeh nahi hai ke ye trend jaari rahega ya temporary hai. Pound ke middle line ke oopar koi significant break, GBP/USD pair ke liye ek wazeh upar ki taraf rukh ko confirm kar sakta hai, lekin abhi bhi kuch rukawatein hain. Pound ke liye fori support level 1.2300 par hai.
British pound ka EMA 1.2514 hai aur ye 1.2500 tak gir sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem nafsiyati level hai. Agar ye level tor diya gaya, to currency 1.2300 ke qareeb gir sakta hai, jo ke uska 6 mahine ka low hai. Pichle koshishat ke bawajood 1.2500 ke oopar jaane ki, pound 1.2488 se 1.2892 tak ke range mein raha hai. Ye upar ki aur neeche ki forces ke darmiyaan lari ka jari hona darshaata hai. Agay dekhte hue, pound ke liye short-term forecast uncertain hai. Ek barqarar rehne wala move declining channel aur 50-day Moving Average ke upar se 1.2655 level par ek bullish signal hoga, lekin technical indicators jaise ke 20-day aur 200-day MAs ki kamzori kam ummeedgi ki nazar hai. Agar pound 1.2655 level ko paar kar sakta hai, to tawajjo 1.2700-1.2740 zone ki taraf mudaa hoti hai. Ek aur breakout 1.2820 ke qareeb support trendline ko dobara test kar sakta hai, jo ke ek ahem level hai jo ke ek zyada definitive uptrend ka nishaan ho sakta hai. British pound abhi ek ahem marhala par hai.

Pound ko neeche ki taraf dabaav ka samna hai jo ke ise niche ki taraf dhakel raha hai. Agley kuch dinon mein bohot ahem honge kyun ke ye tay karenge ke pound is neeche ki taraf ke trend se nikal sakta hai ya nahi aur sath hi sath aahista aahista barh sakta hai.

GBP/USD pair apni taqreeban teeno dinon ki izafa ki raah se hat kar 1.2532 ke qareeb gira, jab ek report ne dikhaya ke pehle aab-e-hayat 2024 ke pehle quarter bohot zyada mazboot trend movement ko darust karta hai jo khas tor par janubi se bhadte hue dynamics ke sath hai. Isi waqt, ghair linear regression channel (mokhri lines), nazdeek ke mustaqbil ke pehle kehne ke liye istemal hoti hai, neeche se sunehri channel line ko top se mein amrika ki maeeshat ka barhna kam hogaya. Hali mein data ye batata hai ke amriki maeeshat pehle quarter meAchhi munasib tijarat ke liye faida mand munasib jaga chunne ke liye kuch ahem pehle shirai shirayat ko pura hona zaroori hai. Sab se pehle aur sab se zaroori baat hai ke humain baray timeframe H4 par mojooda trend ko durust taur par pehchan lena chahiye taake market sentimentin 1.6% tak barhi, jo ke peechle quarter ke 3.4% ke barhne ke dar se mukhtalif hai. Is thanda barhao wale figure ne sarmaya karun ko amriki maeeshati behtar hone ki shakhsiyat pe shak paida kiya hai. Sath hi, market ke tajziakaar lagate hain ke



bank of england (BoE) ka dilchaspi darman mein kami hone se pehle us federal reserve se zyada ho sakta hai, jis se GBP par nichli dabav paida ho sakta hai. Do central bankon ke darmiyan monetary policies ke farq ke intezar mein sarmaya karun ko bharosa amriki dollar ko british pound ke sath taqat dene ke liye hosakta hai. BoE ki interest rates ki policy market ke hissedaron ke darmiyan ahmiyat ka shikaar ban chuki hai, khas tor pe maeeshati rebound ke jhatke ke darmiyan izzafat ka saamna kar rahi hai. Agar BoE ki monetary policy ka ek zyada aasmani tareeqa zikar hota hai to ye GBP ke sath USD ke khilaf peshkash ko mazeed khatam kar sakta hai. Traders ke liye anay wale maeeshati data releases aur central bank ki communication kafi ahmiyat rakhti hai taake wo GBP/USD exchange rates ka manzar mein mazeed izafa hasil karein. Monetary policy meetings aur aham maeeshati indicators ke nateejay market ki nigrani mein wazeh role adaa kareinge aur currency ki taraf phelao ko mutasir kareinge.

GBP/USD jodi mein taez girawat ka sabab mukhtalif wajohat thi. Sab se pehle, Iran aur Israel ke darmiyan jari jang ki wajah se market mein uncertainty barh gayi thi. Ek Iranian sheher mein dhamaake ke baad, jo ke Israeli hamla ka nateeja samjha gaya, financial system ko hila diya gaya. Ye waqia market mein zyada risk ka izhar kar ke GBP/USD jodi ko $1.2362 tak girne ka nateeja diya. Dosri taraf, central bank ke afserini ke qayam ke bayanat se bhi market par asar hua. Is trend ko palatne ke liye, takhleeqi rukawaton ko paar karne ki zaroorat hai. Agar bullon ko 1.2655 ko torne ki himmat milti hai, to 1.2700–1.2740 ke darmiyan bulandiyo par dawat jaye gi.


Aik bar qayam pazeeri ka kamyab doran shayad qareebi support trend line ko dobara test kiya jaye.GBP/USD jodi ke short-term outlook par ghoor karte hue, dikh raha hai ke iski daily chart ki harkat pichle do dinon se neeche ki taraf ja rahi hai, aur mojooda tijarat ki disha bhi neeche ki taraf hai. Is jodi ke baqi trading muddat ke liye, neeche ki taraf ki harkat ko pesh karna munasib hai, taake agar mojooda neeche ki disha barqarar rahegi ya koi aur nateejay muntazir hain, to us par tayyar rahein. Technical tajziya ke mutabiq, technical indicators, moving averages, aur nateejay, sab kuch ek mazboot farokht ko ishara kar rahe hain. Iska matlab hai ke ye jodi neechay ki taraf ki taraf safar ke liye tayyar hai. Iske ilawa, United Kingdom se aik ahem khushkhabri ka ailaan hua hai, jo ke is jodi ke neeche ki disha ko mazeed taqwiyat de sakta hai.

GBP/USD


GBP/USD tabadla darja darja ke liye mazeed upri lehar ki taadad bharak uthi hai, qareebi muddat mein keematien mazeed buland hone ki khatir bhi. Traders 1.2590 ke ahem mukhalifat darja ko nazdeek se dekh rahe hain, kyun ke is darja aur is ke oopar phail jaane aur mazid buland hone ka ishaara hone par upri lehar ke jari rahne ka ishaara ho sakta hai.

Haal mein, GBP/USD ke liye 1.2620 ke daira mein aik karobar mojood hai. Is strategy mein hissa bharakta hai agar tabadla darja is darje se oopar phail jaata hai. Ye is jodi par bullish nazar hai, traders ko mazeed upar ki taak mein umeed hai. Magar, ehmiyat hai ke note kiya jaye ke keemat ne abhi tak 1.2615 nishan ko kam karne ka koi ishaara nahi diya hai. Jab ye star par imtehaan liya jaaye ga aur keemat mazboot rahegi, to ye mazeed upri lehar ki taraf jaan ka kaam kar sakta hai.

Aik durust ghata chuki hai, jismein jodi ne 1.2550 ke daira ke aspas trading range ka imtehaan liya hai. Ye is baat ka ishaara karta hai ke kharidne wale is keemat ko is star par madad de rahe hain, jo ke GBP/USD ke liye mazeed buland lehar ke liye aur bhi taaqat bakhshta hai. Trading range ka kamyab imtehaan is baat ka tasdeeq deta hai ke upri lehar barqarar hai aur traders ke ijlaas ko mazboot karta hai jo mazeed faiday ke liye mukhalifat mein hain.

Takneeki factors ke ilawa, bunyadi drivers bhi GBP/USD ke liye bullish outlook ko support kar sakte hain. Maali data releases, markazi bank policies, aur siyasi maamlaat currency markets ko mutasir kar sakte hain aur tabadla darja par asar daal sakte hain. Maslan, UK se musbat maali data, jese ke mazboot GDP ke saath ya behtar rozgar figures, US dollar ke khilaaf British pound ko mustehkam kar sakte hain. Isi tarah, Federal Reserve se kisi bhi halki aawaaz ya United States ki maqami muashi ke bare mein koi fikar USD par bojh daal sakti hai aur GBP/USD ke qeemat ko barha sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, siyasi asraat currency market sentiment ko shakl deti hain. Masael jese ke tijarati muaawazan, Brexit se mutalliq khabrein, ya siyasi tanao currency exchange rates mein izafaat par le aati hain. Traders ko in maamlaat par mutasir hone ke mutabiq tayyar rehna chahiye aur in ka asar GBP/USD jodi par ki jaane wali tabdiliyon ko tay karne ke liye taqat ka bhi andaza lagana chahiye.

Khatar management forex mein karobari khatraat, khaas tor par GBP/USD jese mutaharik bazaron mein, ahem hai. Traders ko potential nuqsaan ko had tak mehdood karne ke liye stop-loss orders set karna chahiye aur mazboot khatar management principles ka paalan karna chahiye. Is ke ilawa, bazar ka jazbat dekhna zaroori hai aur bazar ki halat mein tabdiliyon ke jawab mein karobari strategies ko adjust karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye.

Mukhtasir tor par, GBP/USD tabadla darja mazeed upar ki lehar ki mumkinat ko dikhata hai, traders 1.2590 ke ahem mukhalifat darja ko dekh rahe hain. 1.2620 ke daira mein mojood traders ne maqsad ki taraf aur mojooda keemat se oopar pahunchne ka faisla kiya hai. Magar, khatar management ahem hai, aur traders ko tabdeel hone wale bazar ke dynamics ke jawab mein jagrook aur mutghir rehna chahiye.