Aud usd

Is maqam mein, neechay wali mother bar ke nazar andaz hone se market mein bearish lehja paaya jata hai, jahan forokhtgar qeemat ki karwai par qaboo jama rahe hote hain. Inside bar pattern ke andar AUD/USD jori ke potential future harkaat ko tajziya karte hue jhooti tor par significant support ya resistance level ko momentarily torne ka concept maqbool hota hai. Jhooti tor tab hoti hai jab ke qeemat lamha-e-waqtan keliye kisi ahem support ya resistance level ko paar karta hai lekin breakthrough ko barqarar nahi rakhta, aur baad mein apni raah palat deta hai. Traders aksar aise jhooti toron ke liye dekhte hain kyun ke yeh prevailing trend mein mukhalif rujhan ki mumkin reversal ka ishaara kar sakte hain.

Tasveer ki gayi manzar mein, agar AUD/USD ka neeche ki taraf ka harkat jhooti tor ka samna kare, to yeh ishara karta hai ke forokhtgaron ki raftar kamzor ho gayi hai, jis se qeemat ki raah palat mein waqtan-gawahi paida hoti hai. Yeh raah palat ek bounce-back ke roop mein zaahir hoga mother bar ke range ke oopar, jise aam tor par pin bar ke tor par jaana jata hai. Aik pin bar aik candlestick pattern hai jo lambe daaman ya wick ke sath nazar ata hai, jo ke qeemat ko zyada neeche giraanay ka inkar karta hai (bulish pin bar ke case mein) ya zyada uncha uthane ka (bearish pin bar ke case mein).



Jhooti tor ke andar inside bar pattern ke baad pin bar ka ban-na traders ke liye aik mumkin reversal ke ishara ko pehchane ka moqa faraham karta hai. Magar, is setup par kisi bhi position shuru karne se pehle tahaffuz barqarar rakhna ahem hai. Tasdeeq subsequent candlestick patterns ke tor par a sakti hai, jaise ke bulish engulfing ya piercing patterns, ya doosre technical indicators ke muqablay mein, jaise ke moving averages ya oscillators. Iske ilawa, traders ko apne faislon ke making process mein fundamental analysis ko shamil karne ka tawazon karna chahiye takay technical pattern ke dwara ishara ki gayi mumkin reversal ko tasdeeq kiya ja sake. Ma'ashi deta releases, central bank announcements, siyasi waqiyat, aur market sentiment jese factors currency prices ko asar daal sakte hain aur AUD/USD ki mukhtalif raahon ke baray mein mazeed idaray faraham kar sakte hain. Khatra nigrani har qisam ke maali asbabi harkat ko karne mein zaroori hai, shamil hain forex pairs jese ke AUD/USD. Traders ko apni khatra bardasht ke level ko define karna chahiye, mukhtasir nuqsaan ko had mein rakne ke liye munasib stop-loss orders set karna chahiye, aur capital ko hifazat mein rakne aur khatra nigrani ke asoolon ko paalan karna chahiye.

AUD/USD currency pair ke liye takneeki manzar-e-am mein mukhtalif factors ne manfi asar dikhaya hai. Is currency pair ka taawun Australia aur United States ke darmiyan mukhtalif factors par mabni hai, jinmein arzi aur muddatwari masail shamil hain. Yeh takneeki manzar-e-am mehfooz aur mustehkam nahi lagta aur is mein kuch zyada tezi nahi milti. Pichle kuch mahinon mein AUD/USD currency pair ka maqool downtrend dekha gaya hai. Yeh ghair maqbooli ko dekhta hai, jo kayi factors se muntakhib hoti hai. Ek aham factor global tajurbaat hai, jo ki chandar dhar taur par zyada tadad mein COVID-19 cases ki wajah se masbat asar dikhane se pehle Australia mein bhi tanazuli tehqiqat ko badha diya. Yeh barhne wala masla hai jo USD ko mazid qawi kar raha hai. Australia ki mukhtalif arzi siyasi aur iqtisadi masail bhi is currency pair ko mutasir kar rahe hain. Mausam ka tabdeel hona, raw material ke daamon mein izafa aur taraqqi pasandi ki intezamiya mein tabdeeliyan AUD ki shakhsiyat par asar andaz hoti hain. Australia ka reliance export par bhi is currency pair ko directly asar deta hai. Agar export mein kami hoti hai, to AUD weak hota hai. Ek aur ahem factor, jo ke USD ko mazid qawi kar raha hai, US Federal Reserve ka monetary policy hai. Agar Federal Reserve apni interest rates ko barhae ya ghataye, ya phir bond purchasing program ko taqat dein, to isse USD ki taqat mein izafa hota hai, jo ke AUD/USD ko neeche khenchta hai. Technically dekha jaye to, 0.6809 level ek important support level hai. Agar yeh level tor diya jata hai, to yeh downtrend ko mazeed mazboot kar sakta hai. Lekin, yeh keval ek indicator hai aur doosre factors bhi consider kiye jana zaroori hai. Is waqt, AUD/USD currency pair ke liye lambay arsay ka takneeki manzar-e-am matvazi tor par manfi hai. Is mein kuch zyada tezi nahi milti aur stability bhi musalsal nahi rehti. Investors ko mukhtalif factors ko ghor se dekh kar apni strategies ko adjust karna chahiye taake woh is takraar mein kamzor nahi paden.

AUD/USD M30 waqt se

Aslamo Alaikum, hamarey saathi traders. Chalo, currency market mein hal halat par ghor karte hain, khas tor par AUD/USD jori par. Kal, hum ne dakha ke Southern key levels mein numaya giravat hoti rahi, jo ke overall rate mein kami ka sabab bani. Magar, yaad rakhen ke yeh giravat ghair muntazim nahi thi, kyun ke market pehle se hi stagnation ke nishan dikhata raha tha. Mukhtalif tor par, Northern regions mein rozana ke movement prices mein numaya izafa hua. Yeh haal hi ke upar ke trend ne pichli patterns ke muqable mein zyada zarayat aur numaya harkat ko darust kiya hai. Saaf hai ke market ek naye rukh ka qayam karne ki koshish kar raha hai, jis se currency values ke shoray mein tabdeeli ka ishaara hosakta hai.

AUD/USD daily chart ki M30 timeframe ke andar tajziya karte hue, hum ne pichle hafton mein multi-directional movement ko dekha hai. Yeh multi-directional movement market ki dynamic tabiyat ka ishara hai, jo traders ke liye challenge aur mauqay ka darust karta hai. Khaas tor par, qeemat mein izafa ek numaya shoor mein hota raha, jahan giravat ke points 0.6473 tak pohanch gaye. Traders ke liye zaroori hai ke yeh market ke dynamics ke mutabiq apna amal darust karen. Ek strategy jo ghor karne layaq hai, trailing stop orders ki lagat hai. In orders ko strategy ke mutabiq lagakar, traders munafa zahir karte huye bhi market ke potential movements ke liye jagah dete hain. Keun ke munafa fix karna ya positions ko jari rakhna zyada tar qeemat ke movement aur shakhsiyat ke khatre par mabni hota hai.



Jab hum market ke haalat ko dekhte hain, tohfaar dar aur nikaal ka munasib waqt pehchanna ahem hai. Indicator levels jese ke magnetic levels ka istemal, positions mein dakhil ya nikalne ke mouqe ko tajziya karne mein madadgar sabit hota hai. Ye indicators market ke complexities ko samajhne aur munafa ko zyada karnay ke liye ahem asaas hain.

Ab to taqreeban poora forex market mei shak-o-shuba hai, sab ko yeh samajhne ki koshish hai ke Federal Reserve System ka do din ka imtehan kaise khatam hoga, sab se ahem cheez ye hai ke Powell kya naye anday denge. Meri nazar mein, unho ne kuch naya nahi kaha, unho ne pehle hi tasveer ko oil mein paint kar diya tha aur us ke liye maazrat dene ka irada nahi hai. Ajeeb hai ke aaj market ne United States mein shaya hone wale mazboot ma'ashi indicators par kaafi kam reaction diya, aam tor par Federal Reserve System ke imtehan se pehle jo ke bhi muqarrar hai, activity abhi bhi zyada hoti hai. Aam tor par halki taqat mein quotes ke kuch sakhti ke natije mein, AUD/USD joda 0.6479 ke level se oopar chalkar aage ki taraf ki manzil ki tawaqo' ko darust karti hai sath hee trading range aur resistance level 0.6515 ka izafah karke aage ke safar ka iqtidar bhi hai. Is ke ilawa, chart ke sath jura hua indicators bhi mazeed upward movement ki basharat dete hain. Agar aaj Federal Reserve System ke sarbrah ke khitab ke baad quotes 0.6515 ke level ke oopar nikal jaate hain, toh afzal ho sakta hai ke izafah 0.6551 ke resistance level tak jari rahe. Main sirf phir se quotes ko laal moving average ke neeche laut'te hue ek alag scenario ko ghooronga, agar yeh 0.6479 ke level ke neeche wapas jaate hain, toh main sirf ek aur upward wave ke mumkin hai. Mere paas is waqt koi intehaai imtiaz nahi hai. Hum ghareebi line MA200 ke oopar trade kar rahe hain ghanta ke chart par, chau ghanay ke chart par halaat waisay hein. Upar diye gaye par, shayad behtar hai ke trading mein uttar ki rah par zyada stick kiya jaaye, aur jab tak joda H1 timeframe par MA200 ke oopar hai, aapko khareedne ke dakhli points dhoondhne chahiye. Rukawat 0.6550 aur 0.6590 par hai. Support levels 0.6490 aur 0.6450 par waqe hain.

Australian dollar (AUD) Australia ki rasmi currency hai jo Reserve Bank of Australia ki taraf se jaari ki jati hai. Yeh aksar aik commodity currency ke tor par samjhi jati hai Australia ke mukhtalif exports jaise ke iron ore, coal, aur gold ke wajah se. Australian economy ka karobar, khaaskar commodity sector mein, Australian dollar ki qeemat par bada asar daalta hai. Doosri taraf, US dollar (USD) United States ki official currency hai jo Federal Reserve ki taraf se jaari ki jati hai. US dollar ko aam tor par dunya ka reserve currency mana jata hai, aur iski qeemat economic data, monetary policy decisions, aur geopolitical events jaise factors par mabni hoti hai. US dollar ko safe-haven currency bhi kaha jata hai, aur iski taqat aam tor par economic uncertainty ke doran barhti hai.
Australia mein information rate mein kuch behtar hone ki alamat nazar aayi hai lekin yeh ab bhi aik masla hai. May 2023 tak, information rate 3.6% par tha, jo ke pandemic ke doran peak se kam tha lekin pehle se zyada tha. Labor market mein dobara taqseem ho sakti hai, jisme economy mein ongoing structural shifts aur technological advancements ka asar bhi shamil hai.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) aur information rate do ahem economic indicators hain jo economy ke overall health ke bare mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Haal mein saalon mein, Australia ne in areas mein mixed performance dekhi hai. 2022 mein, Australia ka real GDP 3.8% se barh gaya, jo COVID-19 pandemic se hui recession se significant recovery thi aur macroeconomic adversities ka asar tha. Ye growth primarily strong domestic consumption, government spending, aur commodity exports ke recovery se driven thi. Magar yad rakhna zaroori hai ke Australia ka GDP growth pehle bhi volatile raha hai, largely commodity exports par depend hone aur global demand ke fluctuations ki wajah se. Business confidence Australia mein gradual tor par behter hoti ja rahi hai, jo strong economic recovery aur improved trading conditions ko support karte hue. Ye optimism robust commodity prices, infrastructure projects mein increased investment, aur global demand ke rebound par based hai. Magar global trade tensions aur geopolitical risks ke ird gird uncertainties business sentiment par asar daal sakti hain.

Kharidaroun ki taraf se shuru mein taqatwar kharidari dabao ko dobara gira diya gaya, jo ke pehle se kaafi mazboot tha, lekin farokht karne waleon ki mazbooti ne 0.6630-0.6620 ke qeemat par resistance ilaqay mein kharidari karne walon ko rokne mein kamiyabi hasil ki, jo ke bade tadaad mein dakhil hone se fauran barh gaya. Is tarah se, ye barah-e-raast se mutasir ho kar phir se neeche jaane ki taraf rukh badal gaya.



Dinbhar ke timeframe par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal kar ke monitor karte hue dekha ja sakta hai ke qeemat phir se 0.6660-0.6650 ke Upper Bollinger Bands ilaqe ke neeche farokht karne wale ke zor par qaim hai, jo ke AudUsd market pair mein trading mein farokht karne wale ki hukoomat ko dobara zahir karta hai. Is ke ilawa, farokht karne wale ne kal ke trading ko dobara bearish candlestick banakar mukammal kiya, jo ke ishara hai ke farokht ki dabao mojooda saptah ke trading mein phir se rang bharne ka zyada imkaan hai jis ka nishana hai ke bearish farokht karne wale ke maqsad ko anjaam dena, keemat ko Middle Bollinger Bands ilaqe tak pohanchne ki koshish karein jo ke 0.6520-0.6510 ke daam par hai.

Aanay waale Peer ko trading ke maamlat gehri tor par bearish tor par harkat karne ka imkaan hai agar farokht karne wale daam par 0.6625-0.6620 ke resistance ilaqe ko barqarar rakh sakte hain. Bearish farokht karne wale ka maqsad qareebi kharidar support ilaqa ko nishana banana hai jo ke 0.6575-0.6570 ke daam par hai, jo agar kamyab tor par taur par toot jaye to keemat mazeed bearishly girne ka nishana banaye ga kharidar talab support ilaqa ko jo ke 0.6530-0.6520 ke daam par hai.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke keemat jo pehle 58 ke ilaqe mein thi, wo ab 56 ke ilaqe ki taraf chali gayi hai, ishara hai ke farokht karne wale ki dabao ab bhi kaafi mazboot hai aur mukammal girne ka mauqa hai, nishana ko pohanchne ke liye keemat ko aglay haftay ke trading mein RSI level 50 ke ilaqe tak.

Nateeja:

Sell dakhilay kiya ja sakte hain agar farokht karne wale 0.6570-0.6565 ke support ilaqe ko phar kar safarish ilaqa 0.6535-0.6530 par rakhte hain.

Ek kharid dakhilay kiya ja sakta hai agar kharidar ko resistance ilaqe ko tor karne mein kamyabi milti hai aur kharidar ek pending buy stop order rakhta hai 0.6630-0.6625 ke daam par TP nishana 0.6660-0.6670 par.

Aaj ka trading session mein Australian dollar thori si peechay hat gaya, jari rahi consolidation hadood ko shikaar kartay hue. 0.6650 level ek resistance zone ke tor par kaam karta hai, aur sector ke liye jari rahay closely watched hone ka izhaar hai. Is level se neeche, 200-day EMA lagbhag 0.6550 ke qareeb support faraham karta hai. Mazeed support 50-day EMA se milta hai, doosra ahem support area 0.6450 hai, jo ke bar bar ahem support aur resistance sabit hua hai.

Samajhna zaroori hai ke ye do currencies overall market sentiment aur risk appetite se mukhtalif tor par mutasir hote hain. U.S. ka strong dollar aksar yeh darust hota hai ke risk khatam ho gaya hai, jabke investors safe assets ki talaash mein hote hain. Zahir hai ke sudden U.S. dollar ka kamzor hona forex markets mein shadeed ghair maayari ko muzahimat karega, jo ke 0.6650 resistance ke upar chaarhna band kar de ga aur wapas 0.6850 ya 0.69 par chala jayega.


Maazi haal market shuruaat mein girte hue strategies se shuru karna pasand karta hoon aur thakawat ke nishan dhundna. Ye strategy overextended sessions ko faida uthane aur bechne ka shamil karti hai, saal bhar dekhi gayi rank aur file behaviour ki taraf lautne ka farz karna.

Mausam ke jariye shuru hui behooda siyat aur inkaraar se, market bohot zyada hararat aur wazeh raah ki kami ka shikaar lagti hai. Mushtamil kaarobaari tabqo ko shakhsiyat dena ka ma'amool hai, jo chand lamhon mein tabdeeliyon ka faida uthane ke liye tayar hona kehlaata hai. Karobaari birooniyon ki mukhtalif saakht ki wajah se chand qadri kaarobaari tajaweezat ki mumkinat hai agar bazaar ki mukhtalif halat tabdeel ho jaayein. Muasir jore ke liye amooman aarzi tor par dusre pair ke liye mukhtalif trading patterns ke saath chand moderate raftar aur zyada macro harkat ki mumkinat hai agar zyada sairaat halat tabdeel ho jayein.

AUD/USD ka mazaq kaafi unpredictable hai, lekin 0.6472 ke level se oopar chalkar aage ki taraf ki manzil ki tawaqo' ko darust karna mushkil nahi hai. Yeh ek mahatvapurna technical level hai, jise traders aur analysts ke dwara closely monitor kiya jata hai. Is level ka significance primarily chart analysis aur market psychology par adharit hai. Jab bhi kisi currency pair ka price kisi critical level ke oopar ya neeche jaata hai, traders us level ko ek potential trend reversal ya trend continuation ka indication maante hain. Is case mein, jab AUD/USD 0.6472 ke level se oopar jaata hai, yeh ek bullish signal ho sakta hai, yaani ke currency pair ki keemat mein izafa hone ki sambhavna hoti hai. Is tawaqo' ko darust karne ke liye, kai factors ka dhyan rakha jata hai. Sabse pehle, economic indicators jaise ki GDP growth, employment data, aur monetary policy decisions ke impacts ko dekha jata hai. For example, agar Australia ke economic indicators strong hain aur Reserve Bank of Australia ne monetary policy ko tighten kiya hai, toh AUD ka value generally increase hota hai. Uske alawa, global market trends aur geopolitical events bhi is tawaqo' ko influence kar sakte hain. Agar global market stability improve hoti hai ya fir kisi specific region mein instability ho, toh currencies ke values mein changes aate hain. Is tarah ke factors ko consider karke, traders aur analysts currency ka future direction anticipate karte hain. Lekin, yeh tawaqo' hamesha darust nahi hoti. Market mein hamesha uncertainty hoti hai aur unexpected events hone ki possibility hoti hai, jaise ki natural disasters, political turmoil, ya fir sudden economic downturns. In situations mein, currency pairs ka price behavior unpredictable ho sakta hai aur 0.6472 ke level se oopar chalkar aage ki taraf ki manzil ki tawaqo' ko bhi galat sabit ho sakta hai. Isliye, traders ko hamesha vigilant rehna chahiye aur proper risk management strategies ka istemal karna chahiye. Stop-loss orders aur hedging techniques ka istemal karke, traders apne positions ko protect kar sakte hain. Additionally, market mein hone wale events aur news ko closely monitor karna bhi zaroori hai, taki unki trading decisions well-informed ho. Overall, while 0.6472 ke level se oopar chalkar aage ki taraf ki manzil ki tawaqo' ko darust karna mushkil nahi hai, lekin market volatility aur uncertainty ko dhyan mein rakhte hue, prudent trading approach apnana zaroori hai.

AUD/USD ka technical tajziya
AUD/USD abhi tak forosh farokht karne walon ke qabze mein hai, jaisa ke maine apni rozana ki time frame mein dekha, isliye keemat teen dinon se neeche gayi hai, jo dikhata hai ke forosh farokht karne walay abhi bhi qabze mein hain. Ek forosh farokht karne wala 0.6605-0.6640 ke darja ya hara zona ko torne ki koshish kar raha hai, jo ke kharidar ne kabhi test nahi kiya.

5.00 InstaForex broker server waqt ke mutabiq, December 18, 2021 ko, kharidar safed zona ya untested resistance ko 0.6670-0.6695 par tor nahi saka. Ab jab keemat 0.6520-0.6535 par sabz ya untested support zona ko torne ki koshish kar raha hai, to ab tak wahan koi dobara tests nahi kiye gaye hain.

Bawajood kharidar ki koshishon ke, 27 December, 2021 ko, 18.00 server waqt par, neela zona ya kamzor resistance ko 0.6710-0.67620 par torne ki koshish nakam rahi.

AUD/USD jodi ko qareeb anay wale dinon mein mazeed girne ka andaza hai taake agle maqsad tak pohanch sake. Agar keemat isay sahih taur par tor sake, to AUD/USD aur bhi mazeed gir sakta hai, jis mein mashroot hai ke AUD/USD ki jodi agle arse mein aur bhi mazeed gir sakti hai. Agar aap isay inkar karte hain, to karobar ko mustaqil rad karne se keemat phir se barh sakti hai.

Jab keemat kal kamzor support area ko torne ki koshish karegi, to main tawajjo se dekhunga ke is ka kis tarah ka amal hota hai jab keemat is support area ko torne ki koshish karegi. Agar keemat isay sahih taur par tor sakti hai, to keemat forosh farokht ki taraf tabdeel hogi, aur ek forosh farokht order munasib hoga. Hum is trade ke liye 0.6780 ka faida nishan bandh denge. Stop loss level 0.6740 par set kiya jayega, jo ke hisaab kitab ke liye ek suraksha jaal ki tarah hoga.

AUDUSD pair ki daily time frame mein tajziya.

Kharidari dabao jo pehle kaafi mazboot tha, phir se sellers ki mazbooti ne dobara kamzor kar diya jo bullish kharidaron ko rokne mein kamiyab rahe aur resistance area jo ke price 0.6630-0.6620 hai, jahan par bade paimane par sellers dakhil hue. Aise mein bullish se bearish taur par phir se mazbooti se neeche ki taraf daba diya gaya.

Daily time frame par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemal karke dekha gaya ke price phir se seller ke zor mein hai, jo Upper Bollinger Bands area ke neeche hai jo ke price 0.6660-0.6650 par hai, jo ke seller ko AUDUSD pair mein trading mein dobara dominate kar raha hai. Is ke ilawa, seller ne kal ke trading ko phir se bearish candlestick bana kar khatam kiya, jo ke yeh darshaata hai ke bechne ka dabao agle hafte wapas aa sakta hai, jahan bearish seller ka maqsad price ko Middle Bollinger Bands area tak pohnchana hai, jo ke price 0.6520-0.6510 par hai.

Agli somvar ko trading ko mazeed gehri tor par bearishly move karne ka potential hai agar sellers 0.6625-0.6620 ke daam par resistance area ko maintain kar sakein. Bearish seller ka maqsad nazdeek ka kharidari support area ko target karna hai jo ke price 0.6575-0.6570 par hai, agar yeh kamiyab hota hai toh price mazeed bearishly gir kar buyer demand support area tak pohanchega jo ke price 0.6530-0.6520 par hai.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke price jo ke pehle level 58 mein tha, ab level 56 ki taraf ja chuka hai, yeh darshaata hai ke sellers ka bechne ka dabao abhi bhi kaafi mazboot hai aur mazeed girne ka mauqa hai, maqsad ke saath ke price RSI level 50 ki taraf ja sake next week ke trading mein.

Nateeja:

Sell entries ki ja sakti hain agar sellers kamiyab hote hain support area ko penetrate karne mein jo ke price 0.6570-0.6565 par hai, TP area 0.6535-0.6530 ke daam par.

Aik kharidari entry ki ja sakti hai agar kharidari kamiyab hoti hai resistance area ko tor kar, ek pending buy-stop order rakh kar jo ke price 0.6630-0.6625 par hai, TP target 0.6660-0.6670 par.

On Friday, the seller maintained pressure on the AUDUSD pair, which struggled to find support around 0.6550-0.6555 and initially allowed the price to move upwards in a bullish manner before experiencing significant downward pressure until the market closed.
In the daily time frame, monitoring the moving average indicator, it can be observed that the price or candle is moving further up through the yellow MA area around 0.6525, and so far, it is still being controlled by sellers, who are better off selling and trying to keep the price up, aiming to keep it above the red 50 MA area at 0.6535. Buyers are attempting to maintain their current bullish momentum in hopes of finding support from the buyer side, which is around 0.6580-0.6585 in the blue 100 MA area. If successful, the price is likely to continue rising, and efforts will be made to find strong execution from the selling side, which is around 0.6625-0.6640.

During the first day of trading in the European market session, it was observed that buyers gained dominance in trading, showing further bullish pressure in the AUDUSD pair, and successfully preventing sellers from imposing bearish obstacles. Buyers have moved into the buyer support area, which is around 0.6550-0.6555, and the next target is to reach the next support area, which is around 0.6620-0.6635.

Outcome: Buying or trading options may be available around 0.6560-0.6570 as the market has surpassed the seller's direction, with the TP area around 0.6620-0.6630. Selling or shorting trading options are acceptable if the price successfully enters the buyer support area, where a fixed sell stop order is placed around 0.6530-0.6520, with the TP area around 0.6470-0.6480.

AUD/USD nichay gir gaya aur ab lagbhag 0.6613 par trade ho raha hai. Australia Reserve Bank ne interest rates ko bina tabdeel kiye rakha; Governor Bullock ke comments aane wale wakt mein nakad dar ke liye mustaqbil ki taabeer ko khuli chhor dete hain. U.S. maeeshati data dollar ki kamzori ka main sabab hai. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) ne zyada logon ko unemployment benefits ke liye forms bhare hain jo umeed se zyada thi. Initial jobless claims May 4 ko khatam hone wale haftay mein 231K tak barh gaye, jo umeed se zyada thi jo 210K thi aur peechle haftay ki 209K se izafa tha. Jab data jaari hua, U.S. Treasury yields gir gaye, jahan 10-year benchmark note rate lagbhag 4 basis points tak 4.459% tak gir gaya. U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), jo greenback ki performance ko aik basket mein shamil 6 currencies ke khilaaf napta hai, likhnay ke waqt 105.23 par 0.25% gir gaya. Ye kehna chahiye ke May mein jaari sab se hali U.S. employment data ne dikhaya ke mazdoori ka market thanda ho raha hai. ANZ Bank ke analaysts ne kaha: "Ye data job vacancies ke aur March ke end mein mazeed girne ke baad aaya hai aur non-farm payrolls ne April mein saath mahinayon ke sab se kamziest growth dikhaya hai. Data mein kuch zyada nahi hai, lekin woh jald aaraha hai. Aane wale data ko mazeed dhyaan se dekha jayega ke U.S. labor market momentum ko thama gaya ja sakta hai, jab ke San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly ne kaha ke inflation ko Fed ke target tak pohanchana mushkil raasta hoga. Daly ne kaha ke pichle teen mahino ke data ne policymakers ko mustaqbil ke inflation ke baray mein ghaireykin chor diya hai.





Australian dollar mein, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ki taza monetary policy decision ne interest rates ko bina tabdeel rakha aur is se AUD/USD gir gaya. Haalanki, Thursday ko price action ne pair ko 0.6621 tak le gaya, ek taaza teen din ka uncha chhodte hue, jabke "monetary policy front par koi faisla nahi kiya gaya" RBA Governor Michele Bullock ne ek press conference mein kaha. Interest rates par ek balance tone maintain karte hue, unhone kaha "humay shayad interest rates ko barhaana parega, shayad nahi", jise board is meeting mein ek rate hike ka tajziya kar raha hai. Daily chart ke nazarie se dekha gaya to, pair neutral se upar bias hai aur haalaanki buyers ne 0.6600 jaise ahem resistance levels ko wapas hasil kiya hai, lekin is ne abhi tak latest cycle high 0.6667, yaani March 8 ki unchi ko test nahi kiya hai, jo pair ko mazeed upar le ja sakta hai. 0.6700 ki taraf tijarat ko mazeed bhara sakte hain. Jab ye paar kiya jaaye ga, agla resistance December 28 ki unchi 0.6871 hogi. Dusri taraf, agar sellers price ko 100-day moving average (DMA) 0.6577 ke neeche le jaate hain to follow-through ka intezaar karein. Agla demand level 50-day moving average 0.6535 par hoga, phir 200-day moving average 0.6515 par hoga.

L mein bhi jaari hai. Magar AUD ke bulls ke liye aagey kuch behtar khabrein ho sakti hain, chahe kitni bhi un ki zyadaar "kamzor dollar" kahaniyan hon, Australian ma'ashiyyat ke liye kisi dilchasp khabar se ziada darust nahi. Barh rahi U.S. daron ke izafay aur "safe haven" status, sath hee mukhtalif sarmayakari manzar ko le kar aam risk se iztiraari, sab AUD ke liye manfi hain. Australia ki ma'ashiyyat ne mushkil waqt mein kuch apni maghrbi peers se behtar anjaam dia hai, lekin aap AUD/USD chart se kabhi nahi samajh sakte. Lekin, jab hum naye quarter mein dakhil ho rahe hain, to Fed bohot yaqeeni hai ke is saal daron ke girne ka aghaz hoga. Ye ek qabil-e qadar asar harkat parayshani U.S. dollar par ho rahi hai aur risk se iztiraari mawad mein faida uthanay wale assets jese ke Australian dollar par izafa hua hai. Australia ke iqtisadi maqami izafay inflation ke mukablay mein hain. Halankeh aglay qadam mein ek rate kaat bhi hosakta hai, lekin Reserve Bank of Australia ko yeh aitbaar karna zaroori hai ke inflation apne target range mein wapas ayegi.
Yeh yaqeeni thori arsa lenge. Australia ki taaza inflation figures mein saalana izafa 4.1% hai. Ye 2022 ke 7.8% peak se buhat kam hai, lekin RBA ke 2-3% ke darajay ke mutabiq abhi bhi ziada hai. Isi liye, jab Australia rukay hue hai, US daron ke girne ke imkanat Australian dollar ke liye kuch support faraham karenge. Australia aur uss ke bade trading partner China ke darmiyan talluqat aaram se hone ka aalaamat bhi hain. Magar, yeh nayi behtariyon ke sath ki naye hanusar mukhatasir hosakti hai, khaas tor par Australia ka mamoor hissa hone ki wajah se controversial "AUKUS" defense arrangement mein, jo ke China ko pasand nahi. Australian dollar ka tezi se izafa shayad intezar karna paray. Magar, ek kamzor dollar aur kam risk se iztiraari mawad ke peechay Australian dollar ko support karna chahiye. Lekin iska asar pura mehsoos nahi hoga jab tak saal ke end tak Fed ke rate kaats ka samna ho. Zyadatar Australian banks umeed rakhte hain ke 2024 ke end tak AUD/USD 0.70 ke upar hoga, aur agar US inflation ka asar ho aur Fed ko un ke mutabiq rate kaatne ki ijaazat milay, to Australian dollar mustahkam hogi aur shayad dheere dheere barhna shuru karega. Magar, is nazriye ke liye wazeh khatray bhi hain. U.S. daron ke neeche girne ka rasta shayad ab markets ki umeed se zyada lamba ho, jabke Ukraine aur Gaza ke jhagron ki takraar ab bhi kisi bhi waqt risk ko daba sakti hai, agar koi aur jaga nahi ho. Yeh bhi yaad rakhna zaroori hai ke currency US dollar ke khilaf lambi muddat ki trend mein hai, jo 2021 ke shuru mein shuru hui thi. Iss saal bhi ek izafa

Australian dollar (AUD) nay observers ko hairan kar diya Thursday ko taqat hasil karte hue, barqi data ki hawale se jise Australian Bureau of Statistics ne faraham kiya. Dono trade balance aur building approval figures analysts ki tajawizat se kum rahe, lekin phir bhi AUD/USD pair ko buland dekha gaya. Is qowwat ki do bari wajohat thin: aalmi market ki janib se sentiment aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish posture. Pehli baat, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki dovish tajaweezat ne shuru mein market ki umeedon ko buland kiya. Powell ne ishara diya ke Fed ke interest rates ko mazeed barhane ka kam soorat-e-haal mein nahi hai, jis se US dollar (USD) ko kamzor kar diya gaya aur aese currencies jaise ke AUD ke liye ek munasib mahol banaya gaya. Dusri baat, AUD ne RBA ke hawkish posture se taqat hasil ki. Haal hi mein Australia mein un tawaqquat se ziada inflation data ne tehqiqat ko shadid tawajju faraham ki ke RBA mukhtalif interest rate cuts ko taal sakta hai, jo ke Australia mein buland returns talab karne walay investors ke liye dilchasp banata hai. US dollar index (DXY), jo ke USD ki taqat ko aik peshkas dastoora ke khilaf aur aham currencies ke samaundar ke sath muqablay mein napta hai, Powell ke dovish tajaweezat se press mein rehta raha. Fed ne May ki meeting mein mojooda interest rate range ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla market ki tawajuh ke mutabiq tha, lekin Powell ki tajaweezat ke mutabiq koi mazeed hikes nahi hon gi, jo USD ko kamzor kar diya.Market participants ab aane wale US data leases p tawajuh mabni kar rahe hain, jaise haftawar ke jobless claims, non-farm productivity, aur factory orders, jo US ki maeeshat ki sehat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karenge, jo AUD/USD exchange rate par asar dal sakti hai. Thursday ke mutabiq, AUD/USD pair 0.6530 ke atraaf hai. Technical indicators ek mumkinah upside move ka ishara dete hain, jahan AUD/USD aik symmetric triangle chart pattern ke andar qaid nazar aata hai. Mazeed is par, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke ooper hai, jo ke bullish bias ki alamat hai. Ye technical factors ishara dete hain ke AUD/USD resistance level ke qareeb 0.6580 ke andar tootne ki koshish kar sakta hai, jis se 0.6600 tak pohanch sakta hai. Is noqte par ek faisla waraq ho sakta hai jo pair ko March ke unchaai 0.6667 tak phunche ga. Neeche ki taraf, agar AUD/USD momentum kho baithta hai, to yeh shayad symmetric triangle ke lower trendline ki taraf lautega, jo ke mojooda waqt mein 0.6509 ke qareeb hai, jo ke abhi tak 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke saath milta hai. Is support level ka shikast aur mazeed decline ka sabab ho sakta hai, jo ke pehle se wazeh

AUD/USD H4


AUD/USD jodi daili chart ki mojooda trading range ke uoper ki taraf barh sakti thi, magar yeh na hua, is liye main market mein dakhil nahi hua. Ek achi subah aur khoobsurat itwaar. Bulls ki nakami ke baad jo ke Jumeraat ke trading mein ooper ki taraf chalne ki koshish ki gayi thi, bears ne inisiatif apne control mein le lia aur AUD/USD quotes thori dair ke liye peeche hat gayi. Waise hi, daili chart par bullish signs mojood hain, quotes abhi bhi 0.6585 ke level ke ooper muqamiyat ko barqarar rakhte hain, jis ke natije mein mojooda trading range ke ooper ki taraf ya thori ooper ja kar 0.6659 ke resistance level ko pura karne ka imkan hai. Waqtan fawaqtan, isharaat dikhate hain ke Southern scenario ka imkan hai, jo ke main sirf tab muntakhib karunga agar daili candle 0.6585 ke level ke neeche aik mufeed tor par toot kar band hoti hai, jabke scenario quotes apni neeche ki taraf chalne mein kamyaab ho sakti hain takay trading range ka darmiyan ka hissa 0.6605 ke level tak pura kiya ja sake. Kal Asian session ke doran, Australian business confidence indices shaaya kiye jayenge, jo shayad market ko raat bhar thoda hila sakein; American session ke doran, mazboot ma'ashi khabrein shaaya nahi ki jayengi, haan kai Federal Reserve System ke kai numainde ke inputs honge aur yeh shayad market ko intezar mein rakhein.currencies ke samaundar ke sath muqablay mein napta hai, Powell ke dovish tajaweezat se press mein rehta raha. Fed ne May ki meeting mein mojooda interest rate range ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla