Aud usd

AUD/USD

Time frame H4:
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Kal subah Australia mein inflation data publish hone ke baad ke qiymaten barh gai thin, jo ke musalsal buland shirh ki sharahon ko zahir karti hain aur nateeja ke tor par yeh tasdeeq karti hain ke Australian Central Bank aglay saal tak refinancing rates ko mojooda satah par barqarar rakhne ka imkaan rakhta hai. Char ghante ke chart par, qiymaten abhi bhi trading range ke ooperi had ke qareeb trade kar rahi hain, bas 0.6515 ke resistance level ke neeche, jise kal tora gaya tha magar is ne apni positions is level ke ooper barqarar nahi rakhi aur dikhaya ke aik pullback south ki taraf ho raha hai 0.6479 ke support level tak, aur phir dekhte hain ke kya hota hai. Agar bears is level se neeche move karne mein kamyab hote hain, aur 4 ghante ke candles is level par band karte hain, to hum neeche ki taraf movement ka silsila jari rehne ki tawaqo kar sakte hain jo ke 0.6434 tak pohanch sakta hai. Agar bulls apni positions 0.6479 ke ooper barqarar rakhne mein kamyab rahte hain, to hum horizontal channel ke darmiyan 0.6515 aur 0.6434 ke boundaries mein wasee consolidation dekhne ki tawaqo kar sakte hain. Aaj ke trading ka asal amal shayad American session ke khulne ke baad hoga, jahan US GDP ke statistics ke sath labor market data publish kiya jayega, jo agar mutawaqqa ma'ayaron se hat kar hota hai, to foreign currencies market mein numayan sargarmi la sakta hai. Market mein abhi bhi zyada khareedarein hain, aur bears situation ko tabdeel nahi kar sakte; unhen shayad correction tak formalize nahi kiya ja sakta.

Australian dollar (AUD) nay observers ko hairan kar diya Thursday ko taqat hasil karte hue, barqi data ki hawale se jise Australian Bureau of Statistics ne faraham kiya. Dono trade balance aur building approval figures analysts ki tajawizat se kum rahe, lekin phir bhi AUD/USD pair ko buland dekha gaya. Is qowwat ki do bari wajohat thin: aalmi market ki janib se sentiment aur Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka hawkish posture. Pehli baat, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ki dovish tajaweezat ne shuru mein market ki umeedon ko buland kiya. Powell ne ishara diya ke Fed ke interest rates ko mazeed barhane ka kam soorat-e-haal mein nahi hai, jis se US dollar (USD) ko kamzor kar diya gaya aur aese currencies jaise ke AUD ke liye ek munasib mahol banaya gaya. Dusri baat, AUD ne RBA ke hawkish posture se taqat hasil ki. Haal hi mein Australia mein un tawaqquat se ziada inflation data ne tehqiqat ko shadid tawajju faraham ki ke RBA mukhtalif interest rate cuts ko taal sakta hai, jo ke Australia mein buland returns talab karne walay investors ke liye dilchasp banata hai. US dollar index (DXY), jo ke USD ki taqat ko aik peshkas dastoora ke khilaf aur aham currencies ke samaundar ke sath muqablay mein napta hai, Powell ke dovish tajaweezat se press mein rehta raha. Fed ne May ki meeting mein mojooda interest rate range ko barqarar rakhne ka faisla market ki tawajuh ke mutabiq tha, lekin Powell ki tajaweezat ke mutabiq koi mazeed hikes nahi hon gi, jo USD ko kamzor kar diya.

Market participants ab aane wale US data releases par tawajuh mabni kar rahe hain, jaise haftawar ke jobless claims, non-farm productivity, aur factory orders, jo US ki maeeshat ki sehat ke baray mein maloomat faraham karenge, jo AUD/USD exchange rate par asar dal sakti hai. Thursday ke mutabiq, AUD/USD pair 0.6530 ke atraaf hai. Technical indicators ek mumkinah upside move ka ishara dete hain, jahan AUD/USD aik symmetric triangle chart pattern ke andar qaid nazar aata hai. Mazeed is par, 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50 ke ooper hai, jo ke bullish bias ki alamat hai. Ye technical factors ishara dete hain ke AUD/USD resistance level ke qareeb 0.6580 ke andar tootne ki koshish kar sakta hai, jis se 0.6600 tak pohanch sakta hai. Is noqte par ek faisla waraq ho sakta hai jo pair ko March ke unchaai 0.6667 tak phunche ga. Neeche ki taraf, agar AUD/USD momentum kho baithta hai, to yeh shayad symmetric triangle ke lower trendline ki taraf lautega, jo ke mojooda waqt mein 0.6509 ke qareeb hai, jo ke abhi tak 9-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke saath milta hai. Is support level ka shikast aur mazeed decline ka sabab ho sakta hai, jo ke pehle se wazeh kiya gaya support zone 0.6480 ko check karne ke liye ho sakta hai.

Subah bakhair sab ko. Aaj ke trading session mein AUD/USD currency pair ka tajziya karne ja rahe hain, jismein hum daily time frame par tawajju markooz karenge. Ye time frame long-term trends aur mumkinah price movements ka ek jam comprehensive tasawur pesh karta hai. Pichhle kuch sessions mein, AUD/USD ne numaya taqviyat dikhayi hai, jo ke darmiyani muddat ke liye bullish dominance ko zahir karta hai. Daily time frame par, hum dekh sakte hain ke pichhle haftay mein is currency pair ne musalsal price barhne ka tajurba kiya hai. Magar, is ke sath hi, price ko 0.6528 ke daily resistance area ko torne mein mushkilat ka samna hai.

Ye is baat ka ishara hai ke us level par kaafi mazboot selling pressure hai, jo AUD/USD ki mazeed taqviyat ko rok sakta hai. Support resistance analysis ke context mein, daily resistance area ek ahem point hai jis par tawajju dena zaroori hai. Agar price is resistance ko torne mein nakam rehti hai aur neeche ki taraf move karna shuru karti hai, to agla daily support area jo ke 0.6488 ke qareeb hai, ek mumkinah target ban sakta hai. Magar, aise dynamic market conditions mein, ye bhi mumkin hai ke price daily support ko tor kar mazeed neeche ki taraf jaye. Agar aisa hota hai, to agla target daily support ke qareeb 0.6441 hai. Ek trader ke tor par, humein worst-case scenario ko madde nazar rakhna chahiye aur is se nipatne ke liye sahi strategy tayar karna zaroori hai.




In sab factors ko madde nazar rakhte hue, is waqt jo trading strategy lagoo ki ja sakti hai wo hai price movements ka intezar karna aur confirmation ka wait karna. Agar price 0.6441 ke support area se breakout karta hai aur significant transaction volume ke sath, to ye ek mazboot indication ho sakta hai ke sell karna chahiye aur agle daily support ki taraf target karna chahiye. Magar, agar is level par rejection hota hai aur price ulta direction mein move karta hai, to ye humein ek long position consider karne ka signal de sakta hai jiska target peechle daily resistance area ke qareeb 0.6528 hai.

Is tarah, ek neutral market situation mein jahan short-term bearish tendencies hain, behtareen trading strategy adaptive aur price dynamics mein tabdeeliyon ke mutabiq responsive honi chahiye. Is case mein, main AUD/USD ke liye buy sentiment ko recommend karta hoon, lekin traders ko mazeed declines ke imkanat se chaukanna rehna chahiye aur market conditions ke mutabiq apni strategies ko tabdeel karne ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Umeed hai ke ye maloomat sab ke liye mufeed aur ghaur karne ke qabil hogi. Hamesha trading karte waqt achi risk management ka amal karna mat bhooliye.

AUDUSD

Ab to taqreeban poora forex market mei shak-o-shuba hai, sab ko yeh samajhne ki koshish hai ke Federal Reserve System ka do din ka imtehan kaise khatam hoga, sab se ahem cheez ye hai ke Powell kya naye anday denge. Meri nazar mein, unho ne kuch naya nahi kaha, unho ne pehle hi tasveer ko oil mein paint kar diya tha aur us ke liye maazrat dene ka irada nahi hai. Ajeeb hai ke aaj market ne United States mein shaya hone wale mazboot ma'ashi indicators par kaafi kam reaction diya, aam tor par Federal Reserve System ke imtehan se pehle jo ke bhi muqarrar hai, activity abhi bhi zyada hoti hai. Aam tor par halki taqat mein quotes ke kuch sakhti ke natije mein, AUD/USD joda 0.6479 ke level se oopar chalkar aage ki taraf ki manzil ki tawaqo' ko darust karti hai sath hee trading range aur resistance level 0.6515 ka izafah karke aage ke safar ka iqtidar bhi hai. Is ke ilawa, chart ke sath jura hua indicators bhi mazeed upward movement ki basharat dete hain. Agar aaj Federal Reserve System ke sarbrah ke khitab ke baad quotes 0.6515 ke level ke oopar nikal jaate hain, toh afzal ho sakta hai ke izafah 0.6551 ke resistance level tak jari rahe. Main sirf phir se quotes ko laal moving average ke neeche laut'te hue ek alag scenario ko ghooronga, agar yeh 0.6479 ke level ke neeche wapas jaate hain, toh main sirf ek aur upward wave ke mumkin hai. Mere paas is waqt koi intehaai imtiaz nahi hai. Hum ghareebi line MA200 ke oopar trade kar rahe hain ghanta ke chart par, chau ghanay ke chart par halaat waisay hein. Upar diye gaye par, shayad behtar hai ke trading mein uttar ki rah par zyada stick kiya jaaye, aur jab tak joda H1 timeframe par MA200 ke oopar hai, aapko khareedne ke dakhli points dhoondhne chahiye. Rukawat 0.6550 aur 0.6590 par hai. Support levels 0.6490 aur 0.6450 par waqe hain.

Australian dollar ne early trading on Wednesday mein rally karne ki koshish ki magar thodi der baad momentum kho diya, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke ird gird ghoom raha hai. Zyada ahmiyat yeh level broad consolidation range ka center darust karta hai, jahan 0.6450 neechay ki had aur 0.6650 oopar ki had darust hoti hai.
Juma ko bohot intizaar ki gayi jobs report ki wajah se, market activity samajhdaari se muzabut hai, jahan investors shamil hone mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar rahe hain. Mojooda Australian dollar ki deflation anay wali maashiyati khabron par ehtiyaat bhari nazar dikha rahi hai. Consolidation range yeh darust karti hai ke traders apni positions ko qaim rakhte hain, agle significant move ka ishaara dene wale kisi khaas awaaz ka intezaar kar rahe hain.

Industry news kuch choti muddat ki volatility faraham kar sakti hai, lekin agar kuch ghaat intehai nahi hota to market apne haal ki flat rahay gi. Australian dollar ki consolidation mein phisal jaane ke baad, kisi bhi rukh mein harqat ka zyada intizaar hai. Trade circulation ka yeh pattern major currency pairs mein bhi dekha gaya hai, jaise ke euro ka US dollar ke khilaaf.

Is manzar par ghoor karte hue, Australian dollar jese pairs ko bhi broad market trends ka indicator samjha ja sakta hai. US dollar ki sentiment ko samajhne ke liye Australian dollar ke dusre major currencies ke khilaaf chalne ka jauz istemal kiya ja sakta hai. Yeh barah-e-rast market dynamics ka andaza lagane ke liye istemal kiya ja sakta hai.

Aakhir mein, maashiyati aur siyasi halat mein kisi tabdeeli ke baghair, Australian dollar mojooda level par nisbatan mustahkum reh sakta hai. Agar money market mein agle bari shor machane tak, traders doosri assets par tawajjuh mein masroof rehne ka intezaar kar sakte hain.

Australian dollar ne dhaanpne ki koshish ki subah ke tajurbat mein but jald hi momentum kho diya, 50-day exponential moving average (EMA) ke ird gird ghoom raha tha. Zyada ahem yeh level aik wide consolidation range ka markaz hai, jahan 0.6450 neechay ki had aur 0.6650 oopar ki had hai.

Jumeraat ko muntazir jobs report ke sath, market ki sargarmi samajh mein aati hai, investors shamil hone mein hichkichahat mehsoos kar rahe hain. Mojooda Australian dollar ki maeeshat wazeh hai ke anay wale aqwaam ki taza maeeshati khabron par ehtiyaat se nazar hai. Consolidation range ishara karta hai ke traders apne positions ko barqarar rakhe hain, agle ahem qadam ka signal dene ke liye muntazir hain.

Industry news kuch short-term shadeed hulchul hosakti hai, magar kuch ghair mutawaqqa ho na ho, market apni haal hi ki seedhi rah par wapas lautne ki imkaan hai. Australian dollar consolidation mein atak gaya hai, dono taraf ki harkat bohot kam mumkin hai. Yeh trade circulation pattern major currency pairs mein bhi dekha gaya hai, jese ke euro dollar ke khilaaf.

Is scenario ko mad e nazar rakhte hue, Australian dollar jese pairs ko bazaar ke broader trends ka indicator samjha jaa sakta hai. US dollar ki jazbaat ko overall insights mein mehsoos kiya ja sakta hai, dekha ja sakta hai ke Australian dollar doosri bari currencies ke khilaaf kis tarah se harkat karta hai. Yeh bazaar ke dynamics ka jayeza lene ke liye ek proxy ke tor par istemal kiya ja sakta hai.

Ant mein, agar mool maeeshati aur sahafati shiraa'at ka aik numaya tabdeel ho na ho, to Australian dollar apne mojooda level par nisbatan mustaqil reh sakta hai. Traders agle bade money market mein taqreeban mustaqil taur par focus rakhenge agar yeh ziada active nahi hota hai.

AUD/USD

Australian dollar (AUD) Australia ki official currency hai jo Reserve Bank of Australia dwara issue ki jati hai. Isay aksar aik commodity currency ke tor par refer kiya jata hai Australia ke significant exports jaise ke iron ore, coal, aur gold ki wajah se. Australian economy ka performance, khaaskar commodity sector mein, Australian dollar ke value par bari asar rakhta hai. Doosri taraf, U.S. dollar (USD) United States ki official currency hai jo Federal Reserve dwara issue ki jati hai. U.S. dollar ko aam tor par dunya ka reserve currency mana jata hai, aur iski value economic data, monetary policy decisions, aur geopolitical events jaise factors par asar hoti hai. U.S. dollar ko aik safe-haven currency bhi samjha jata hai, aur iski taqat aam tor par economic uncertainty ke waqt mein barhti hai.

Australia mein na-maloomati dar mein kuch behtari nazar aayi hai lekin ye ab bhi aik masla hai. May 2023 tak, na-maloomati dar 3.6% par tha, jo ke pandemic ke doran peak se neeche tha lekin pre-pandemic levels se ab bhi zyada tha. Labour market ka dobara taqseem hosakta hai, partly economy mein ongoing structural shifts aur technological advancements ke asar ki wajah se.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP) aur na-maloomati dar do ahem economic indicators hain jo economy ke overall health ke bare mein maloomat faraham karte hain. Haal mein saalon mein, Australia ne in areas mein mixed performance dekhi hai. 2022 mein, Australia ka real GDP 3.8% se barh gaya, jo COVID-19 pandemic se hui recession se significant recovery thi aur macroeconomic adversities ka asar tha. Ye growth primarily strong domestic consumption, government spending, aur commodity exports ke recovery se driven thi. Magar yad rakhna zaroori hai ke Australia ka GDP growth pehle bhi volatile raha hai, largely commodity exports par depend hone aur global demand ke fluctuations ki wajah se. Business confidence Australia mein gradual tor par behter hoti ja rahi hai, jo strong economic recovery aur improved trading conditions ko support karte hue. Ye optimism robust commodity prices, infrastructure projects mein increased investment, aur global demand ke rebound par based hai. Magar global trade tensions aur geopolitical risks ke ird gird uncertainties business sentiment par asar daal sakti hain.

AUD/USD abhi bhi 0.6442 support ke liye downside par hai. Yahan se decisive break resumption of the fall from 0.6870 confirm karega aur target 61.8% projection of 0.6870 to 0.6442 from 0.6643 at 0.6378. Upside par, 0.6498 resistance ke upar bias turn hoga aur consolidations la sakta hai. Magar risk downside par mild rehga jab tak 0.6643 resistance hold karta hai, recovery ke case mein. 0.6169 (2022 low) ko down trend from 0.8006 (2021 high) ki medium term corrective pattern ki tarah dekha ja raha hai. Fall from 0.7156 (2023 high) second leg ki tarah dekha ja raha hai, jo abhi tak progress mein hai. Overall, sideway trading 0.6169/7156 range mein mazeed waqt tak jaari reh sakti hai. Magar jab tak 0.7156 hold karta hai, eventual downside breakout mildly in favor hoga. Sab elements clearly bearish hote hue, traders ko AUD/USD par sirf short positions (sale ke liye) trade karne ki mumkinat hai jab tak price 0.6484 USD ke neeche rehta hai. Sellers ka bearish objective 0.6419 USD par set hai. Is support ka bearish break bearish momentum ko revive kar sakta hai. Sellers phir support ko target kar sakte hain jo 0.6374 USD par located hai. Crossing hone par agla objective 0.6294 USD par located support hoga. Magar bearish excesses ka dhyan rakhein jo aik short-term correction ki taraf le ja sakti hai; lekin ye possible correction tradeable nahi hogi.

Unemployment rate ke mutaliq, U.S. ne COVID-19 pandemic ki wajah se significant disruptions experience ki. Magar June 2023 tak, unemployment rate 3.6% par tha, jo pandemic ke peak se significant improvement hai. Labour market ki strong recovery ko increased vaccination rates, restrictions ke easing, aur economic activity mein rebound jaise factors par attributed kiya ja sakta hai. Haal ke doran, ummeed hai ke Fed monetary policy ko gradually tighten kar sakta hai interest rates ko increase karke. Barhti hui inflationary pressures aur potential asset bubbles ke concerns ne interest rates ko normalize karne par discussions ko provoke kiya hai. Magar interest rate hikes ki timing aur pace various economic factors par depend karega, including inflation trends, employment levels, aur overall economic conditions.

AUD/USD pair ne Thursday ko apni position ko 0.6580 ke aas paas qaim rakha, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka kam tawazun bardasht karne ke baad, khaaskar peechle haftay ki inflation data ke baad jo tawaqqaon ko paar kar gaya tha. RBA ne tajwez diya ke is halat mein bhi jabke inflation ko qaboo mein rakhne mein haal hi mein kisi taraqqi ka rukh aya hai, to apni options kholi rakhi hain.

Wednesday ke trading mein, US Dollar (USD) apni roznana taraqqi ko jari rakhta raha, jis se AUD/USD ne apne correctional izafe ko barhaya aur 0.6560 ke qareeb char dinon ke low par dobara pohanch gaya. Greenback ke is intizam ko barhava diya gaya tha, jis par mukhtalif logon ka tawaqqa tha ke Federal Reserve ka easing program saal ke ikhtitam mein, muta'akhir September mein shuru ho ga.

Jab Australian dollar ka retres kiya gaya, to tambay ke daam bhi girne ka samna kar rahe the, jabke iron ore ke daamon par dabaav mehsoos hua baad az $120.00 mark per tonne tak pohanchne ke baad jo pehli martaba February ke akhir se hua tha.

Mulk mein taraqqi ke bare mein, RBA ne apni interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakha apni event ke doran jaldi se Tuesday ko. Markazi bank ne apni neutral policy stance ko dobara izhar kiya, kehte hue ke "Board kisi ko bhi accept ya reject nahi kar raha." Jabke apni macroeconomic forecasts ko dobara tajwez diya gaya, Q2 2025 tak ziada headline aur trimmed mean inflation rates ka tajwez diya gaya, mainly ongoing service price inflation ke bais, RBA ko tawaqqa hai ke inflation 2025 ke akhri hissay mein 2%–3% target range mein wapas aye ga aur 2026 tak darmiyani hissai tak pohanch jaye ga.

Governor Michele Bullock ne apni agle press conference mein ek balance tone rakha. Unhone kaha "humain qadmon mein izafah karna parega, ya phir nahi," jo board ke rate hikes par ghoor karne ka ishara tha is meeting mein.

Halat ke mutabiq, swaps market ne zyadatar rate hikes ke liye koi ma'mool nahi rakha hai agle chhe mahine mein, jabke agle chhe mahine ke liye ek kami ko qeemat lagaya gaya hai. Mazeed, dono RBA aur Federal Reserve ki umeed hai ke wo apni easing measures ko G10 ke mutabadilat se baad mein shuru karenge.

Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ko sakht karne ki azam aur RBA ke easing measures ke ikhtiyar ke sath, AUD/USD mein mustaqil faidayon ka tawaqqa hai.

Technical lehaz se, mazeed faidayen AUD/USD ko May ki unchi 0.6647 ki taraf dubara test karwa sakti hain, pehle March ki 0.6667 aur December 2023 ki 0.6871 top se pehle. Ulta, agar forokht karne wale phir se qaboo mein aayein, to spot ko lazmi 200-day SMA par 0.6519, phir May ki kam 0.6465 aur 2024 ki bottom 0.6362 ka samna kar sakta hai.

Ikhtitam mein, AUD/USD pair ko RBA ki kam hawkish stance aur US Dollar ki mustaqil taraqqi ke dabaav ke darmiyan dabaav ka samna hai. Karobarion ko aham support aur resistance levels, sath hi markazi bank policies aur iqtisadi indicators ko nazar andaz karne ki darkhwast hai, taake maamooli mustaqbil ke qeemat ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

AUD/USD pair ne Thursday ko apni position ko 0.6580 ke aas paas qaim rakha, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ka kam tawazun bardasht karne ke baad, khaaskar peechle haftay ki inflation data ke baad jo tawaqqaon ko paar kar gaya tha. RBA ne tajwez diya ke is halat mein bhi jabke inflation ko qaboo mein rakhne mein haal hi mein kisi taraqqi ka rukh aya hai, to apni options kholi rakhi hain.

Wednesday ke trading mein, US Dollar (USD) apni roznana taraqqi ko jari rakhta raha, jis se AUD/USD ne apne correctional izafe ko barhaya aur 0.6560 ke qareeb char dinon ke low par dobara pohanch gaya. Greenback ke is intizam ko barhava diya gaya tha, jis par mukhtalif logon ka tawaqqa tha ke Federal Reserve ka easing program saal ke ikhtitam mein, muta'akhir September mein shuru ho ga.

Jab Australian dollar ka retres kiya gaya, to tambay ke daam bhi girne ka samna kar rahe the, jabke iron ore ke daamon par dabaav mehsoos hua baad az $120.00 mark per tonne tak pohanchne ke baad jo pehli martaba February ke akhir se hua tha.

Mulk mein taraqqi ke bare mein, RBA ne apni interest rate ko 4.35% par qaim rakha apni event ke doran jaldi se Tuesday ko. Markazi bank ne apni neutral policy stance ko dobara izhar kiya, kehte hue ke "Board kisi ko bhi accept ya reject nahi kar raha." Jabke apni macroeconomic forecasts ko dobara tajwez diya gaya, Q2 2025 tak ziada headline aur trimmed mean inflation rates ka tajwez diya gaya, mainly ongoing service price inflation ke bais, RBA ko tawaqqa hai ke inflation 2025 ke akhri hissay mein 2%–3% target range mein wapas aye ga aur 2026 tak darmiyani hissai tak pohanch jaye ga.

Governor Michele Bullock ne apni agle press conference mein ek balance tone rakha. Unhone kaha "humain qadmon mein izafah karna parega, ya phir nahi," jo board ke rate hikes par ghoor karne ka ishara tha is meeting mein.

Halat ke mutabiq, swaps market ne zyadatar rate hikes ke liye koi ma'mool nahi rakha hai agle chhe mahine mein, jabke agle chhe mahine ke liye ek kami ko qeemat lagaya gaya hai. Mazeed, dono RBA aur Federal Reserve ki umeed hai ke wo apni easing measures ko G10 ke mutabadilat se baad mein shuru karenge.

Federal Reserve ki monetary policy ko sakht karne ki azam aur RBA ke easing measures ke ikhtiyar ke sath, AUD/USD mein mustaqil faidayon ka tawaqqa hai.

Technical lehaz se, mazeed faidayen AUD/USD ko May ki unchi 0.6647 ki taraf dubara test karwa sakti hain, pehle March ki 0.6667 aur December 2023 ki 0.6871 top se pehle. Ulta, agar forokht karne wale phir se qaboo mein aayein, to spot ko lazmi 200-day SMA par 0.6519, phir May ki kam 0.6465 aur 2024 ki bottom 0.6362 ka samna kar sakta hai.

Ikhtitam mein, AUD/USD pair ko RBA ki kam hawkish stance aur US Dollar ki mustaqil taraqqi ke dabaav ke darmiyan dabaav ka samna hai. Karobarion ko aham support aur resistance levels, sath hi markazi bank policies aur iqtisadi indicators ko nazar andaz karne ki darkhwast hai, taake maamooli mustaqbil ke qeemat ka andaza lagaya ja sake.

Ham aaj ke market movement ke practical recommendations par ghor karenge Extended Regression StopAndReverse, RSI, aur MACD ke popular technical analysis indicators par. Humne ek instrument chuna hai jiska aaj ke market movement par dhyaan dena hai. Hum is movement me sahi position mein dakhil ho sakte hain aur ek uttam munafa haasil kar sakte hain. Jab humein prapt signal poori tarah se samjha jaye, tab hum samay par market se bahar nikalne ke liye bhi ek samaan tarah ka munafa haasil kar sakte hain, jismein humein chayan kiye gaye avadhi ke extreme maanvo ke saath phibonacci grid correction levels madad karenge.
Chart par aap dekh sakte hain ki pehle darja ki regression line (soni dots wali line), jo instrument ki disha aur chayanit sahi trend ki sthiti ko dikhata hai chune gaye samay frame (time-frame H4) par, oopar ki or mudi hui hai, jo ki tay ho gaya hai ki tanavartan trend ka gati hai. Ussi samay, nirlamba prativartan channel (bulged lines), jo nazdiki bhavishya ki anumaanit karta hai, ne golden channel line ko upar se niche cross kiya hai aur niche ki disha ko dikhata hai.



Keemat ne laal pratirodh rekha ko par kiya hai, lekin linear regression channel 2-nd LevelResLine ka adhikatam quote moolya (HIGH) 0.66681 tak pahunch gaya, uske baad usne apna vridhi rok diya aur sthir roop se girne laga. Vartaman mein, yeh sadharan roop se ek keemat star par trade kar raha hai 0.65219. Upar di gayi sabhi bato ke adhar par, main anuman lagata hoon ki market ke bhav mulyon ka vaapas aana aur channel line 2-nd LevelResLine (0.64600) FIBO star 23.6% ke neeche aur aage chale jaana hai, golden average line LR ka linear channel 0.64434 par, jo Fibo star 0 % ke saath samanvit hai. Sahayak indicators RSI (14) aur MACD, jo sahi market mein dakhil hone ka chayan ko pusht karte hain, overbought kshetra mein hain aur yeh bhi instrument ke bhav mulyon mein giravat ke uchit chayan ko darshate hain.

AUD/USD Technical Analysis.

AUD/USD jodi ne mustaqil izafa dekha hai, jo haftawaray time frame par dekha gaya tha. Lekin, yeh giravat aik ahem support level 0.6470 par breach karke aai hai. Khaas tor par, haftawaray candlestick ne is ahem had tak trading ki shuruat ki, jo market mein consolidation ki ek dora darust kar raha hai. Aise halat ka nateeja hai ke aik potential sell signal ko point out kiya jata hai, jahan mojooda farokht ki dabao mumkin hai ke jodi ko mazeed neeche ki taraf le jaye, jo agle support level 0.6352 par mojood hai. Walaum temporary rebound ho sakta hai, lekin mojooda market shirakat ko mazid giravat ka taeed mil raha hai. Isliye, farokht ke mauqe ko pehchanne aur un se faida uthane ki ehtiyaat baratni chahiye. Walaum raaste mein temporary fluctuations aur choti pullbacks ho sakte hain, lekin mojooda market shirakat ko mazid giravat ka taeed mil raha hai. Isliye, traders ke liye ehtiyaat baratni chahiye aur nazdeeki arse mein ho sakti hui farokht ke mauqe par tawajjo deni chahiye. Raftar bhi farokht ki taraf ishara kar rahi hai, jahan barhte hue farokht ki dabao mumkin hai ke marte rehne wala hai. Raasta aik ahem support level 0.6468 ki taraf muntaqil nazar aa raha hai. Walaum raaste mein choti pullbacks ho sakte hain, lekin mojooda market shirakat giravat ka taeed mil rahi hai.






Is surat mein farokht ke mauqe par ehtiyaat baratni mashwara hai. Farokht ki positions par zor dena aur market ko samajh kar chalne mein hoshiyar hona faida mand sabit ho sakta hai. AUD/USD jodi ke tabdeel honay wale dyanamiks ko bariki se tajziya karna zaroori hai, kyunke yeh traders ko possible giravaton se faida uthane aur apni strategies ko mutabiq banane ki ijaazat deta hai. Maali nishanat jaise ke rozgar ke data, mahangi ke sharahat aur Australia aur United States dono ki GDP ke figures inke apne economies ki bunyadi sehat ke baray mein ahem insights faraham kar sakte hain. In metrics mein kisi bhi ghair mutawaqa tabdiliyan currency markets mein volatility ka sabab ban sakti hain, jiska asar AUD/USD jodi par ho sakta hai.

Update Analysis of #AUD/USD

Time frame H4:-
Toh haan, AUD/USD ke baray mein abhi bhi kuch tawajjo ka mamla hai; Bas chaar ghanton ki chart dekhen jahan keematain waziha tor par karobar ki hadd ke darmiyan mein trade kar rahi hain, aur dono janib ke breakout mumkin hain. Vadim, subah bakhair aur aap ko aik acha karobar din aur munafa mand hone ki tamanna karta ho





Magar mujhe shumali manzar pasand hai, jahan ab bhi jodi ke liye aik uthalta rawaya hai, aur iske ilawa, indicators bhi uthalte rawaye ke jariye jari rahne ki mumkinahiyat dikhate hain, isliye mukhya manzar jo mere zehen mein hai wo yeh hai ke keemat jari rahne ki mumkinahiyat hai. Resistance level 0.6602 tak pohanche ka, breakout aur jari rawaye ka mumkinah hai. Karobar ki had ke ooper ka ooper border ka pata lagane ke liye 0.6620 ke darjay tak. Agar bhaloo pehli karkardagi uthate hain aur keemat ko 0.6551 ke darja se neeche le jate hain, to apna joota badal len, kyunke aise breakdown ki badi taur par wapas tezi se sambhal ne ki sambhavna hoti hai. 0.6530 ke darja ke ilaqe ya is se kam par karobar karke trend ke neeche ki dar se wapas laotne ka kaam karein. Yeh support kharidari ke liye ek shandar dakhil darwaza hai. Aaj, Australia mein kuch maali statistics ka ailaan hua hai jo tameer sector se mutalliq hain, magar yeh statistics forex market par kuch asar nahi daalti aur ailaan ke waqt koi numaya hilchul nahi dekhi gayi, data market shirakon ki umeedon ke mutabiq hai. InstaForex company ke indicator ne, jo is forum par milta hai, pehle hisse mein buyers ki fazilat ko 61.23% darj kar raha hai. Doosre hisse mein, indicator ek neutral position dikhata hai. Aaj ye jodi hamen kya dikhayegi? Australia se nahi, magar USA se ahem aur dilchaspi angrezi khabron ki hai: berozgari ke shuruati darkhwaston ki tadad.

AUD/USD FORECAST:

Hello, dosto. As Salam O Alaikum, umeed hai ke aap sab khairiyat se honge, sab forum administrators, moderators, aur InstaForex broker admins ke liye. Aaj, mein AUD/USD market ke hawale se baat karunga. Mera trading AUD/USD analysis forum ke sab doston aur InstaForex traders ke liye madadgar hai. AUD/USD ne budh ke din purana reh gaya. Pooray din ke liye behtari sirf 144 pips thi. Aise halat mein market mein dakhil hone ka tajurba kharab lagta hai. Amooman, jodi ab bhi ek oonchiyaan channel ke andar hai, aur yeh yeh ishara karta hai ke jodi mukhtalif darajay mein mukhtalif dawao ke sath guzarti rahegi. Dekhein ke jodi ke haal mein uthalta rawaya haqeeqat mein update ke liye ehmiyat rakhta hai. Magar, agar qataat is channel ke upar thehr jaayein, to naye traders ko yeh na samajhna chahiye ke Australian dollar ka uthalta rawaya shuru ho jaayega. Jodi is haftay tak wahi rahi hai, kisi bhi pehchan ya macroeconomic buniyad ke baghair, jab tak ke BOE ke MPC meeting minutes mein har MPC member ke liye interest rate ka vote na ho. Vote ka breakdown bataata hai ke kaun kaunse afraad apni rai par badal rahe hain aur committee rate change ko kitni qareebi hai. Is tarah, koi serious mazboot ilaqa muntakhib hone ka koi bahana nahi hai. Aise mein, AUD/USD aaj shandar taraqqi dikhane ka imkaan ho sakta hai jab ke Australia ke Bank ke ikhrajat ke natije ko elaan karne wala hai. Australian dollar ki flimsiness dheere dheere barh sakti hai, aur yeh yeh ishara karta hai ke Australian dollar bhi jumeraat ko acha rawaya dikhayega. Jodi ne 15 minutes mein koi dakhil signals nahi diye. Australian dollar pooray din 0.6565 ke darje par harkat karta raha aur is nishan ko nahi chhua. Hum maante hain ke trading signals ki kami aik achi baat hai. Sirf 114 pips ki flimsiness ke
saath nuqsaan ka imkaan hai

Daily Time Frame Mein AUDUSD Jodi Ka Tajziya.

Jo AUDUSD jodi jo pichle budh ko trade ki gayi thi, woh ab bhi bechne walon ke dabao se ghira hua tha, khaaskar khareedaron ka jo ab tak bechne walon ki rokawat wale area ko todne mein kamiyab nahi ho sakte, jo keemat 0.6600-0.6595 par thi, jis se keemat phir se bechne walon ke kabze mein aa gayi. Jo phir mazboot bechna dabao dalta hai, jis se keemat phir se neeche ki taraf chali jaati hai.

Daily time frame par Bollinger Bands indicator ka istemaal karke dekha gaya ke keemat ko phir se seller daba raha hai taake woh Upper Bollinger Bands area ke neeche reh sake jo keemat 0.6640-0.6630 par hai, jo keemat ko neeche le jaata hai. Uske ilawa, seller ne kal ki trading ko mazboot bearish candlestick banakar band karne mein kamiyab raha, yeh ishaara deta hai ke AUDUSD jodi ab bhi neeche bearishly jaane ka moqa rakhti hai aur Middle Bollinger Bands area ko target karke jati hai jo keemat 0.6515-0.6510 par hai, jo ke seller ka agla bearish target area hai.






Thursday ke trading mein European market session mein, khareedaron ko kamyabi milti hai ke woh keemat ka control bechne walon se le lete hain jo ab tak support area ko todne mein mushkil mein the jo keemat 0.6565-0.6560 par hai, taake keemat bullish ho jati hai. Khareedaron ko keemat ko upar le jaane ki koshish ki jati hai taake bechne walon ki rokawat wale area ko test kiya jaye jo keemat 0.6600-0.6605 par hai aur agar kamyab hote hain, to AUDUSD jodi ki keemat aur bhi oonchi uth jayegi jo keemat 0.6625-0.6630 par hai.

RSI indicator bhi dikhata hai ke jo keemat pehle 60 area mein thi ab woh 55 area ki taraf ja chuki hai, yeh ishaara hai ke bechne walon dawao ko abhi bhi market ki taraf se support mil rahi hai jo ke aaj ki trading mein 50 RSI area ki taraf jaane ka imkaan rakhti hai.

Nateeja:

Sell entries kiya ja sakta hai agar seller ko kamiyabi milti hai ke woh support area ko tod deta hai jo keemat 0.6565-0.6560 par hai, TP area keemat 0.6535-0.6530 par.

A buy entry kiya ja sakta hai agar buyer ko rokawat area ko todne mein kamiyab ho jaaye aur pending buy stop order rakha jaaye keemat 0.6600-0.6605 par, TP target keemat 0.6630-0.6635 par.

AUD/USD Ki Aaj Ki Takhliqat

As Salam-o-Alaikum aur Subah bakhair tamam Aa'melon ko!
Kal, Australian Maaliye Policy ki kamzori aur doosri nakarati khabron ke mahol mein, Australian Dollar ne apne aap ko bade dabav mein paaya, jis se AUD/USD market mein ek neeche ki taraf manzar aya. Keemat numaya tor par giri, jise 0.6570 ilaaqe ke aas paas ghomti rahi, sellers ke liye ek mawafiq waqt pesh kiya gaya, jo is giraawat ke doran 30 pips tak munafa hasil kar rahe thay. Magar, is bearish trend ke doran, umeed saamne aati hai US Berozgari Claim aur 30 saal ke Bond Auction rate ke surat mein. Yeh nishaane kharidaron ke liye ek phir se ubhaar ki tarteeb dete hain. Aise aik volaitle manzar mein, karobarion ke liye zaroori hai ke woh bazari rujhan ko hoshiyarana tor par jaanchte rahein, aane wale updates ko lagatar jaari rakhte rahein aur naye manazir ka intezar karte rahein. Iske ilawa, meri pasandidgi ke mutabiq, mein bullish manzarnuma ki taraf raghbat rakhta hoon, aur AUD/USD jodi par aik kharidari ka order lagana pasand karta hoon, jiska short-term target 0.6600 par rakha gaya hai. Is tajwez ke peechay ki wajah yeh hai ke pehle zikr kiye gaye maali nishanat ka tasur karnay ka imkaan hai, jo Australian Dollar ko ek ubhaar ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Magar, aise ek faisley ke saath apne khatron ka bhi imkaan hota hai, kyun ke bazari rujhan jald baaz badal sakte hain, jo ke bain-ul-aqwami tanazaon se le kar ghair mutawaqqa maali taraqqiyon tak ja sakte hain. Isi tarah, jabke meri pasandidgi wazeh hai, to aik narami approach qaim rakhna zaroori hai, maali halaton ke tabdeel hone par apne strategies ko mutabiq karte hue. Raqse paisay ke marketon ke darmiyan, kamiyabi uss salahi mein hai jo kar sakte hai, chalakana tor par ghair mutawaqqa paniyon mein tehqiq karte hue aur fori trends aur maali bunyadon par nazar rakhte hue. Aaj, mein AUD/USD par aik kharidari ka order pasand karta hoon jiska short target 0.6632 hai. Isliye, bazari rujhan ko samajhnay ki koshish karen.
Ek kamiyabi se bharpoor karobar haftay shuruaat karen