Gold

H4 Hour Timeframe Ki Nazar Mein:

Umeedain:

• 2050 Range Tootna: Aaj mein 2050 range ka tootna aur us par thos hona umeed karta hoon. Is surat mein kharidari ke liye acha signal hoga.
• Upward Wave: 2030 se 2050 ki upar ki wave par correction levels bhi lagaye jaa sakte hain. Is case mein, humne ek ahem correction level 61.8% ko 2038 ke andar paya. Humne isko mana kiya aur ab hum girawat kar rahe hain.
• 2050 Range Ke Breakout Ki Soorat Mein: Agar hum 2050 range ko todkar us par thos ho jaayen, toh yeh kharidari ke liye acha signal hoga.

Ehtimam:

• 2038 Range: Agar 2038 range ke neeche gir jana mumkin ho, toh girawat jaari rahegi. Ho sakta hai ke 2050 range ko jhoota todte hue, uske baad girawat jaari rahe.
• 2050 Range Ki Breakdown: Agar 2050 range ko todkar us par thos ho jaayen, toh yeh kharidari ke liye acha signal hoga.

Aik Munafa Bhari Din:

Amriki Traders Ke Liye:

• Market Ki Taraf: Kal market kharidari karne walon ki taraf gaya tha. Amriki dollar ke mazboot khabrein aai hain jo kharidari karne walon ki taraf hain.
• Amriki Khabron Ki Tafseel: Amriki Non-Farm Employment rate 168K se 216K tak pohanch gaya, Unemployment rate 3.8% se 3.7% tak kam hua aur Average Hourly rate bhi 0.3% se 3.4% tak pohanch gaya.
• FOMC Rate: FOMC rate bhi behtar raha.

Market Ki Ummeed:

• XAU/USD Ki Taraf: Main umeed karta hoon ke XAU/USD market kharidari karne walon ki taraf rahega aur woh jald he 2055 level ko paar kar lenge.
• Dollar Ki Stability: Aanay wale haftay mein United States Dollar mazbooti hasil karega.

Mawaad Ka Ehtimam:

• Technical Analysis: Market ki sentiments abhi kharidari karne walon ki taraf hain. Lekin humein is market mein technical analysis ke factors ko bhi nazar andaz nahi karna chahiye.
• 2038 Level Ka Hifazat Se: 2038 level ke neeche se kharidari order nahi lagana chahiye, kyunke yeh market ka support area hai.
• Aanay Wale Dinon Ka Mawaad: Kharidari karne walay log aane wale dino mein 2056 level ko test karna chahte hain aur humein apne accounts ko us ke mutabiq manage karna hoga.

Gold price technical analysis:

1-hour time frame:



Gold's technical analysis mutabiq, pichhle haftay mein sonay ke daamon ne ahem support 1981 ke darjeyon par paya, jo mazeed girawat se bacha. Daam foran behtar hua, 2009 ke darjeyon par muntazir mawafiqi todkar 2050 ke darjeyon pahunch gaya, jahan ab yeh mustaqil. Is dauran, keemat ka chart green supertrend zone mein dakhil hua, so kharidaron ki taraf se dabao ko darust karti hai.

Aaj ki technical analysis ke nazariye se aur 1 ghante ke chart par gehrayi se nazar daalne par, asaan moving averages rozana ke upar darust keemat ki taraf madad kar rahe hain, jabke bears ki relative strength ko ek saaf positive signal se naviagte kiya ja raha hai. Yahan se, intraday trading 2070 ke upar aur amm taur par pehle todi gayi resistance ke upar sthirta bana rahe hai. Yes, in 2065, the concept of role reversal will be supported. 23.60% ki sahiyat ke sath, boom scenario sahi aur durust rehte hain. Pehla maqsood 2096 par pahunch gaya hai; jo ke barhne se aur tezi se uptrend ki taqat ko barhaata hai, pehle taur par seedha raasta kholta hai 2105 ki taraf. Tawaja dilate hue, agar ghantay ki mombati kam se kam 2065 ke neeche band ho gayi, then keemat ko waqtan-fa-waqtan neeche ki taraf dabao ka samna karna pare ga. Yeh 2051 or 2045 ke support darjeyon ko dobara azmaane ka mouqa dene ka bais bhi ho sakta hai.

Keemat abhi apne haftay ke unchaayi se kai hadtak oopar hai. Is dauran, resistance ke purane ilaqa ki jangal mein dakhil ho raha hai, or is par bohot zor hai. Antim toot abhi tak nahi hua hai; iska matlab hai ke yeh hamein neeche ke vector par pehle mawafiqi dene mein madadgar. Keemat ka pullback jo 2009 ke darjeyon ke neeche stabilises hoga (major resistance zone ki hai), yeh isay tasdeeq karega. Is ilaqa se agla pullback dusre neeche jane wale manzire 1952 or 1914 ki taraf mouqa farahem karega.


Mausooli manzire ko todne ka signal hoga ke resistance ke upar break hua hai, aur 2050 ki u-turn ki had mein gir gaye hai. Chart details:



Gold price ko agar ham h1 time frame pay analysed kartay hain to h1 chart pay price 2059.50 pivot point line say aik big bullish candle k sath downward breakout k sath closed hue hai. Agar chart pay ham custom indicator ki reading ko daikhtay hain, then osma indicator levels ko centre main sell ka signal show kar raha hai. If current price buy movements begin, chart pay price up movements have a strong chance of occurring, with a target of 2076.50 and a resistance zone of 2081.00 to be tested.


If current price 1 hour chart pay reversed hoty hai, then sath central point line k sell main breakout karty hai to chart pay price ki downward movements k chances ban saktay hain, jiska target neechay 2052.00 aur phir usk bad price mazeed 2047.50 levels ko test kar sakty hai. Mairay analysis k hisab say price ka current temporary trend again buy ka start ho chuka hai, aur sath price central point line k bhi up main breakout kar chuki hai, is liye chances yahi hain k price strongly tour par resistance levels ko test kar sakti hai.



4-hour time frame:




Juma ko sona ki keemat mein munasib intraday izafa dekha gaya jabke maheenaana rozgar ki tawazo behtar sabit hui, whereas is ke baad koi mazeed amal nahi hua. If the Federal Reserve reduces interest rates to $2,064 per qareeb, trading will become more profitable. Aanay wale U.S. maheenaana maali data ne stable maeeshat ki taraf ishara kiya, central bank ki aggressive policy easing ki umeedon ko bhaganay wala halaat mein, Fed officials ke saaf izhaar ke sath. Yeh US Treasury bond yields ko barhata hai, jo ke U.S. dollar ke liye rukawat ka kaam karta hai aur sonay ki keemat ko kam karta hai Juma's Asian session mein. Yeh kehte hain, keh kam risk tone XAU/USD ke liye nuqsaan ko hadood mein rakhta hai. China ki darust maeeshat ki bharpoor bahaali ke khof, sath hi siasat danon ke khatre ne investor sentiment ko mutasir kiya, jo U.S. equity futures mein naye record ki taraf izhaar.

Yeh mamoor bana rahay ga keh kharidari ki taraf, and dubara aik haftay puranay downtrend ko shuru karne ke liye, mazboot follow-through ka intezaar karna zaroori hai. Technical nazar se, koi mazeed giraawat Juma ke low, $2,024 ke qareeb, or $2,030 level ke qareeb se kuch madad hasil kar sakta hai. Kuch follow-through bechnay ko naye impetus ke tor par dekhaye ga, aur yeh sonay ki keemat ko $2,012-2,011 ke qareeb 50-day simple moving average ki taraf le jaye ga. Agla qadam $2,000 psychological mark ke taraf hai; if tor diya jaye, then mazeed qareebi izafa ke liye rasta khul jaye ga. Dosri Taraf, $2,050 ke qareeb Josh ke parivartan ke baad, $2,064-2,065 ke area ke qareeb Mazeed Rukawat ka saamna karna mumkin hai. Upar diye gaye rukawat se mukammal taaqat mukammal ho sakti hai, aur sona ke qeemat ko $2,100 ke aas paas ki taraf le jaye. Kuch follow-through kharidari, kisi bhi manfi nazar ko mansookh karde ga aur qareebi bias ko fawran bullish traders ki taraf mehfooz kardega.

Us se aage ki taaqat sona ko be-tareeqi se mukhtalif paron mein le ja sakti hai, jis se aise saaf numbers jaise 2,200 or 2,300 per kharidari ki taqat aur stop-loss orders ajaib uttha sakte hain. Shuruat mein yeh leval mazeed izafa ki manzil mein rukawat bhi sabit ho sakte hain, ki mustawar josh aur taaqat se sona mazeed bulandiyan chho sakta hai. Mutasira, sona ki qareebi tareeqah aane wale mahangi data aur us per dollar ka asar ke upar hain. Lekin lambi tadad mein, tawaqo behtar hai, aur agar kharidari mukammal qabu mein rahe, aur technical mushkilat ko paar karein, to mazeed record bulandiyan mumkin. Aankhon khulay rakhain in muqaddas numbers par, woh sona ki jari rally mein muqablay ki jaga ban sakte hain.
Sona ki keemat ne US Nonfarm Payrolls report ki takmeel ke bad uthaal-puthaal ki thi. Jabke 216,000 naye rozgar shamil hote huay tawaqo se behtar sabit hue aur pehle ki tareekh ko bhi paar kar diya,

bazaar ko yeh tawaqo thi keh baras mein baad mein rozgar ki darkhwast mein kami hogi, wajaah is baat ki thi keh aksar kaam ki tabdeeli hoti hai. Dilchasp baat ye hai keh berozgar ki shara e 3.7% per qaim rahi, jis se thori izafah ki umeedain khilafi rahe. Intehai, US Dollar Index ko itni asar nahi pohanchi; jise sona jo keh dollar mein qeemat lagti hai, us per koi khaas asar na hua. According to data from December in the United States, the core CPI is 3.8%. Mazeed izafa-e-mahangi dollar ko buland kar sakta hai, aur sona jo keh dollar mein qeemat lagta hai, us per asar dal sakta. Is halat-e-hazira mein, sona ki hawalaat mazeed behtar hain. Qeematon mein October 2022 se izafa ho raha hai; jis per long-term chart mein oonchi oonchi aur neechi neechi qeematon ki saaf shakal hai. According to the chart's technical indicators, the 2,079 resistance level will be tested at 2,144.60.

XAU/USD Fundamental Overview Is hafte ki shuruaat se ab tak qeemti dhaat mein acha nahi raha. Yeh haal hi mein mushtariq rehne wala hai aur is hafte ke shuru ki low ke qareeb hai. Mukhtalif ma'amlaat, jaise ke buland US bond yields, gold ko ek behtar nivesh ke taur par mushkil banate hain. Mojooda haalaat Federal Reserve ke aggressive qadam uthane ki kam umeediyon ko numayan karte hain aur investors apni positions ko mutabiq adjust kar rahe hain. US dollar ki kamzor garmi gold par dabao ko kam karta hai. Dollar aur gold ke darmiyan ta'alluq complicated hai aur yeh global economic indicators aur geopolitical events ke asar mein hai. Bazar ke nigaar khwan Thursday ko US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ki intezar mein hain. Yeh data inflatoon ke trends ki aham maloomat faraham karega aur investors ki faisla mandi ko rahnumai karega. Gold aksar barhte hue inflatoon ke khilaf ek tajawaz ke tor par dekha jata hai.

Technical Analysis & Trading Recommendation: Sonay ke market mein bull aur bear dono ka quwwat kaafi kamzor hai; haal hi mein sonay mein farokht karne walay zyada mazboot nazar aate hain. Is asset ne 50.00% retracement mukammal kiya hai, jo ke Fibonacci retracement ke zariye is chart mein dikhaya gaya hai.



Mumkinat ki roshni mein, qeemti dhaat ne kuch pichle dino mein uljhe hue candles dikhaye hain. 2028 ke mark tak pohanchne se pehle, is ne 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki madad se ek non-trending candle banaya. Lekin, agle candle ne ek bearish shakal liya, haan lekin ek neechay ki batti ke sath. Is waqt, sonay ki keemat EMA-50 ke sath girawat ko rokne ki koshish kar raha hai.

Farokht karne walay $1972.57 level par nazar rakhte hain, lekin 61.8% level ko todna mushkil lagta hai. Har hal mein, agar keemat is level se neeche giray, to yeh farokht ka mauqa pesh karega. Mutasirah tor par, agar keemat is level par mustehkam ho jaye aur apne jism ke saath pichle candle ki batti ko tode, to yeh uptrend ki jari rahai ko yaqeeni banaye ga.

Kal jo pair gir raha tha, umeed thi ke pair neechay jaa kar ascending channel ki neechay ki had tak pohanch jaye ga. Lekin pair maqsad tak pohancha nahi; pehle hi keemat mud kar upar ki taraf chalne lagi. Iske baad, maine ek descending channel banaya aur kal, upar ki taraf chalne se, pair ne is channel ke upper border tak barha, ya'ni 2067 ke level tak. Is level tak pohanch kar, pair ki growth ruk gayi, keemat mud gayi aur neechay ki taraf chalne lagi. Ab mujhe yeh umeed hai ke agle haftay se keemat neechay ki taraf jari rahegi aur shuruaat mein pair ascending channel ki neechay ki taraf, ya'ni 2050 ke level tak jaa sakta hai. Aur agar keemat is level ko neeche todti hai, to pair ki girawat descending channel ki neechay ki taraf, ya'ni 2044 ke level tak jari rahegi.



Mumkin hai ke 2056 ke range ke neeche giravat aaye aur iske baad, growth jari rahe. Agar 2055 ke range ko jhootay toar par tode, to iske baad growth jari rahegi. Agar hum 2057 ke range ko test karte hain aur iske upar consolidate ho jate hain, to yeh kharidne ka acha signal hoga. 2076 ke range ka breakdown bohat maqbool hai aur is surat mein, mazeed kharidne ka acha signal hoga. Agar hum 2074 ke range ko toden aur uske upar stable ho jayein, to mazeed kharidne ka behtareen maqam hoga. Agar tum dobara upar ki taraf impulse banate ho, to uske baad giravat jari rahegi. American session mein choti si giravat ki ja sakti hai, aur uss giravat ke baad, growth jari rahegi. 2056 ke range ka test kharidne ko jari rakhega. Jab aap 2074 ke range ko toden aur agar aisi consolidation safal ho, to aap kharid sakte hain. 2073 ke range ka breakout kharidne ka signal hoga, lekin abhi yeh background mein hai. Jab hum 2060 ke range ka breakout payeinge, to yeh behtareen signal hoga kharidne ka, lekin iske liye aapko uss ke neeche rehna hoga, aur sirf jhoota breakout nahi banana hoga. Agar humein 2060 ke range par halki correction milti hai, to wahan se taqwiyat jari rahegi. Exchange rate ki mamooli growth ke liye, aapko ek correctional decrease ki zaroorat hai.

T E C H N I C A L _ A N A L Y S I S X A U / U S D

Asalam-o-Alaikum! Aaj hum XAU/USD market ki haalat par ek mazmoon likh rahe hain. XAU/USD muaawza likhne ke waqt 2031.09 par chal raha hai. Is waqt ke chart par XAU/USD muttafiqana nazar araha hai kyun ke momentum indicators abhi bhi taqatwar nazar aa rahe hain magar wo dheere dheere kamzor ho rahe hain. Agar hum is time frame par technical indicators jese Relative Strength Index (RSI) aur moving average convergence divergence (MACD) ki taraf dekhein, to dono indicators chand positive levels par hain, lekin unka rukh neeche ki taraf hai, jo yeh ishara karta hai ke qeemat 1974.36 level ki taraf gir sakti hai. Is waqt ke chart par qeemat moving average line ke neeche chal rahi hai aur yeh indicator bearish trend ko support kar raha hai, is liye is negative activity ko nazar andaaz karna mumkin nahi hai. XAU/USD 2050.52 level ko test karne ke liye barh sakta hai jo pehla resistance level hai. Neeche diye gaye chart mein maine mumkin qeemat ke harkat bataye hain agar supply 2050.52 level ko todi toh, qeemat naye supply 2087.82 level ki taraf taqwiyat hasil karegi, jo doosra resistance level hai. [Chhavi ke liye yahan click karein]


Is ke baad, mujhe lagta hai ke XAU/USD ki qeemat barhegi aur 2140.67 resistance level ko test karegi jo maine maujood diagram mein indicate kiya hai. Dosri taraf, XAU/USD ki qeemat girne ki umeed hai aur wo $1974.36 support level ki taraf ja sakti hai jo pehla support level hai. Lekin yaad rakhiye ga ke XAU/USD ki qeemat $1974.36 se neeche girne par $1923.07 barrier ko toregi jo doosra support level hai, aur mahana kamzor low $1885.77 XAU/USD ka agla maqsood ban jaye ga jo teesra support level hai. Is liye behtar hai ke is chart ke neeche ke support par kharidain aur ooper ke resistance par bechein. Amm taur par, hum umeed karte hain ke qeemat is range ke andar hi rahegi.

Chart mein istemal hone wale indicators: MACD indicator: RSI indicator period 14: 50-day exponential moving average rang Naranji: 20-day exponential moving average rang Magenta:

Sonay Ki Qeemat (XAU/USD) Par Asar Andaz Hua

Budhwar ke Asian session mein sonay ki qeemat (XAU/USD) ne ek chhoti si trading range mein bandh gayi. Is ihtiyati se humdardi ko do asal maqasid se jora ja sakta hai: pehla, Jumma ko jaari hone wale US Consumer Inflation data (CPI) ke pehle investors ki hichkichahat aur dusra, Federal Reserve ki monitory policy ke mutaliq taza umeedon mein taqseem. Anay wale CPI report ka bohat bara asar hai, kyunke yeh seedha taur par yeh decide karega ke traders Fed ke agle qadam ko kaise dekhte hain. Agar umeed se kam inflation report aaye, toh yeh bhi sambhavnaat peda kar sakta hai ke dovish policies ki taraf jaldi mud'dat ho sakti hai, jo sonay ko ek safe-haven asset ki tor par izafa kar sakta hai. Mukhtalif taur par, agar umeed se ziada garmi mein inflation aaye, toh hawkish hissiyat ko mazboot kar sakta hai, central bank ko uske rate-hike ka rasta jari rakhne aur sonay ki qeemat ko mazeed dabao mein daalne mein madad milegi. Iske ilawa, Fed ke afraad ki taazi garmi wali guftagu ne sonay ke liye aur bhi mushkilat paida ki hain. Unki sakht tawajjo inflation ke khilaf larai par hai, jo 2024 mein tezi se policy ka rukh badalne ki umeedon ko kam kar rahi hai, jisse US Treasury yields mein izafa ho raha hai. Yeh masla sonay ko, jo ke ek non-interest-bearing asset hai, bond jese yield-bearing instruments ke muqable mein kam attractive bana deta hai.



Takniki tour par, sonay ki qeemat ki harkat thori pareshan kun hai. Mojudah mein $2065 support level, 100 aur 200 SMAs, aur 50% Fibonacci retracement level ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, is qeemti dhaat mein foran ooper ki taraf ki koi taqat nazar nahi aati. Ibtidaei support $2010 ke qareeb hai, jahan se mazeed girawat $1975 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Mojudah bearish setup ke bawajood, kuch umeed ki kiranain bani hui hain. $2050 resistance level ke ooper bullish breakthrough sonay ko $2065 ki taraf utha sakta hai, jo mazeed $2088 aur aage ki taraf chadhane ka darwaza khul sakta hai. Aakhri mein, sonay khud ko ek mukam par paya hai. Jabke qareebi mushkilat zahir hain, anay wale CPI data sonay ke agle rukh ko unlock karne ka chabi hoga. Dovish hairat aandaz hone par sonay ko uske halke mein aane wale highs ki taraf jhatak diya ja sakta hai, jabke hawkish tasdeeq uski mojooda pasti ko gehra kar sakti hai. Dono taraf ke traders ko saans lena hai, Jumma ke inflation report ne sonay market ke liye ek qawi lamha hone ka wada kiya hai.

GOLD
Assalam Alaikum!
Sona ek bar fir apni support satah par wapas aa gaya hai, aur is waqt , yah ise ooper ki simt me ucchalne ki koshish kar raha hai. Mai is ke bare me kafi pur ummid hun, aur trade ke liye mera hadaf 2,069.89 par muzahmati satah hai. Iski buniyad par, muzahmat ka test karne ke liye qimat oopri trendline ko todne aur mumkena taur par pichli bulandiyon ko obur karne ka imkan hai. Halankeh, agar ise muzahmat ka samna karna padta hai to, maujudah nichli satah ko todne aur nichli trendline ko todne ke hadaf ke sath, dfarokht ki simt me qimat me tabdili ka imkan hai.

Sonay ke market mein ek mansoobah ki dimaaghi wapsi, khaas kar sthapit support zone ke aspaas, khaas kar gold trading mein, is shaam, hoshyarana hai sabr istemaal karna aur 2015 ke support line ke aas-paas market ke jawab ko dekhna. Agar support line ka tay shikast ho, to yeh ek selling position mein dobara dakhil hone ka mauka pesh karta hai. Ulat, agar keemat mazbooti dikhata hai aur support line ko nafrat karta hai, to yeh manzarnama mumkin buying opportunities ki pehchaan ke darwazay ko kholta hai. Sone ki keemat ka dynamics tajwez karta hai ek ihtiyaati taur par, bazar ke jawabat ko nigaah mein rakhne ki ahmiyat par zor dete hue. 2009 ke support line ki tareekhi ahmiyat ko dene ke baad, iska rawayya maloom trading faislay mein ek pivotal factor ban jata hai. Bunyadi tor par, is maqam par keemat ke harkat ka careful tajzia is baat ki rehnumai karta hai ke trades ko tehqeeqati tor par position lena kis tarah se karna hai. Is raat ki sonay ki trading session ke context mein, nigaah mein rakhne ka ek watchful stance lazmi hai. Market ka jawab 1986 ke support line par kaise hota hai, yeh traders ko hukoomati jazbat aur mumkin directional shifts ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai. Yeh nuqsaan-dihed tajaweez, maali bazaar mein mojood ghumraahiyon mein chalne ke liye zaroori hai. Support line mein agar koi tor ho, jise sonay ki keemat mein kamzori ki alamat samjha jaye, to traders is bearish momentum ka faida utha sakte hain by sell positions mein dobara dakhil hokar. Lekin, hoshyari se yeh zaroorat hai ke is eham moqam par keemat ke jawabat ko dekh kar tasdeeq ho. Bilaks, support line par mazboot inkaar, yeh opportune moments ko pehchanne ke liye darwazay ko kholta hai buy positions shuru karne ke liye

gold ke trading main abhi hame thora wait krna hoga kunke jis position per hai ya tu bht up jae ga ya phir down main bolta hon ke agar ham log es week wait kr len tu zida better hai or ham log short term ke lie es ku sell kar sakte hain yeh 2005$ tak sakta hai or phir yeh again up ja sakta hai thora up ja sakta hai es time uske bad ham ese sell kar sakte hain 2030$ tak ja sakta hai uske bad es ne thora down ana hai or ham log ese sell kar sakte hain trend bhe thora down ka hai us ke bad again up jae ga or possible hai ke gold 2100$ ku bhe cross kr jae 2024 main best of luck ,,

XAUUSD TECNICAL TODAY ANALIYCS


H1 TIME FRAME VIEW WITH TREND


Aaj mein 2050 ka tootna aur thos hona umeed karta hoon. Is kharidari ke liye acha signal hoga?
Upward Wave: 2030 to 2050 ki upar ki wave par correction levels bhi lagaye hain. In this case, ek ahem correction level 61.8% ko 2038 ke andar paya. Isko mana kiya kiya aur ab hum girawat kar rahe hain.
Agar hum 2050 range ko todkar us par thos ho jaayen, toh yeh kharidari ke liye acha signal hoga.

Fundamental Analysis of the XAU/USD Is hafte ki shuruaat mein acha nahi raha ab tak qeemti dhaat mein acha nahi raha. Yes, mushtariq rehne wala hai, and is hafte ke shuru ki low ke qareeb hai. Mukhtalif ma'amlaat, gold ko ek behtar nivesh ke taur par mushkil banate hain jaise ke buland US bond yields. Mojooda haalaat Federal Reserve ki kam umeediyon ko numayan karte hain aur investors apni positions ko mutabiq adjust kar rahe hain. The US dollar's gold par dabao ko kam karta hai. The dollar and gold have a complicated relationship, as do global economic indicators and geopolitical events. Thursday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) report from the United States will be released. Data inflation trends ki aham maloomat faraham karega aur investors ki faisla mandi ko rahnumai karega. Inflatoon ke khilaf ek tajawaz ke tor par dekha jata hai gold aksar barhte hue.

Mumkinat ki roshni mein uljhe hue candles dikhaye hain, qeemti dhaat ne kuch pichle dino mein uljhe hue candles dikhaye hain. Is ne 34-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) ki madad se ek non-trending candle banaya, 2028 ke mark tak pohanchne se pehle. Lekin, ek neechay ki batti ke sath, agle candle ne ek bearish shakal liya. This is waqt, sonay ki keemat EMA-50 ke sath girawat ki koshish kar raha hai.


Farokht karne walay $1972.57 level par nazar rakhte hain, whereas 61.8% level ko todna mushkil lagte hain. If keemat is level se neeche giray, then yeh farokht ka mauqa pesh karega. If keemat is level par mustehkam ho jaye aur apne jism ke saath pichle candle ki batti ko tode, then yeh uptrend ki jari rahai ko yaqeeni banaye ga.


Sonay ke market mein bull aur bear dono kaafi kamzor hai; haal hi mein sonay mein farokht karne walay zyada mazboot nazar aate hain. Is asset ne mukammal kiya hai, jo ke Fibonacci retracement ke zariye is chart mein dikhaya gaya hai.





H4 TIME FRAME VIEW WITH TREND


Gold ke trading main abhi hame thora wait krna hoga kunke jis position per hai ya tu bht up jae ga ya tu bht down main bolta hon ke agar ham log es week wait kr len tu zida better hai or ham log short term ke lie es ku sell
Sonay ke market mein ek mansoobah ki dimaaghi wapsi, khaas kar sthapit support zone ke aspaas, khaas kar gold trading mein, is shaam, hoshyarana hai sabr istemaal karna aur market ke jawab ko dekhna. If the support line is broken, yeh ek selling position mein dobara dakhil hone ka mauka pesh karta hai. Ulat, agar keemat mazbooti dikhata hai aur support line ko nafrat karta hai, yeh manzarnama mumkin pehchaan ke darwazay kholta hai. Sone ki keemat ka dynamics tajwez karta hai, bazar ke jawabat ko nigaah mein rakhne ki ahmiyat par zor dete hue. Iska rawayya maloom trading faislay mein ek pivotal factor ban jata hai,

2009 ke support line ki tareekhi ahmiyat ko dene ke baad. Bunyadi tor par, is maqam par keemat ke harkat ka rehnumai karta hai ke trades ko tehqeeqati tor par position lena kis tarah se karna hai. In this raat ki sonay ki trading session ke context, rakhne ka ek watchful stance lazmi hai. Market ka jawab 1986 ke support line par kaise hota hai, yeh traders ko hukoomati jazbat ka andaza lagane mein madad karta hai. Maali bazaar mein mojood ghumraahiyon mein chalne ke liye zaroori hai, nuqsaan-dihed tajaweez. To traders, bearish momentum ka faida utha sakte hain by sell positions mein dobara dakhil hokar if support line mein koi tor ho, jise sonay ki keemat mein kamzori ki alamat samjha jaye.

Hoshyari se yeh zaroorat hai, keemat ke jawabat ko dekh kar tasdeeq ho. Budhwar ke Asian session mein sonay ki qeemat (XAU/USD) ne ek chhoti si trading range mein bandh gayi. Ihtiyati se maqasid se jora ja sakta hai: pehla, Jumma ko jaari hone wale US Consumer Inflation data (CPI) ke pehle investors ki hichkichahat aur dusra, Federal Reserve ki monitory policy ke mutaliq taza umeedon mein taqseem. Anay wale CPI report ka bohat bara asar hai, kyunke yeh seedha ke traders Fed ke agle qadam kaise dekhte hain. If umeed se kam inflation report aaye, then dovish policies ki taraf jaldi mud'dat ho sakti hai, jo sonay ko ek safe-haven asset ki tor par izafa kar sakti hai. Mukhtalif taur par, hawkish hissiyat ko mazboot kar sakta hai, central bank ko uske rate-hike ka rasta jari rakhne aur sonay ki qeemat ko mazeed dabao mein daalne mein madad milegi. Fed ki afraad ki taazi garmi wali guftagu ne sonay ke liye aur bhi mushkilat paida ki hain. Unki sakht tawajjo inflation ke khilaf larai par hai, jo 2024 mein tezi se policy ko kam kar rahi hai, jisse US Treasury yields mein izafa ho raha hai. Yes, sonay ko, bond jese yield-bearing instruments ke muqable mein kam attractive bana deta hai,

jo ke ek non-interest-bearing asset hai.
Takniki tour ki harkat thori pareshan kun hai, sonay ki qeemat ki harkat thori pareshan kun hai. Mojudah mein $2065 ke neeche trade ho rahi hai, is qeemti dhaat mein foran ooper ki taraf ki koi taqat nazar nahi aati. Ibtidaei support $2010 ke qareeb ki taraf ja sakti hai, jahan se mazeed girawat $1975 ki taraf ja sakti hai. Bearish setup ke bawajood, umeed ki kiranain bani hui hain. $2050 resistance level ke ooper bullish breakout hai, jo mazeed $2088 aur aage ki taraf chadhane ka darwaza khul sakta hai. Sonay khud ko ek mukam par paya hai aakhri mein. If you have a qareebi mushkilat, anay wale CPI data sonay ke agle rukh ko unlock karne ka chabi hoga. Dovish hairat aandaz hone par sonay ko aane wale highs ki taraf jhatak diya ja sakta hai, jabke hawkish tasdeeq uski mojooda pasti ko gehra kar sakta hai. Jumma ke inflation report ne sonay market ke liye ek qawi lamha hone ka wada kiya hai.

H-1 Timeframe Analysis
Pichle trading haftay mein, gold (XAU/USD) ki price ne apni nuksan bhari raah ko dobara shuru kiya, jab ek pehle koshish ke baad upar jaane aur 2050 ke darje ko todne mein kamiyab ho gaya, settle below hokar phir 2009 ke darje tak laut gaya. Price ne apni dheere dheere chalai jari rakhi, ek aur range banate hue. Isi doran, keemat ka chart laal supertrend zone mein dakhil hua, jo bechne walon ki taraf se dabav ko darust karta hai.

Technical analysis ke nazariye se, hum dekh rahe hain ke 2016 ke mazboot support ko chhoo kar keemat mein umeed se ooncha jaa raha hai, jiski wajah se price ko 2040 par dobara resistance test karne par majboor kiya ja raha hai. 1 ghante ka chart dekhte hue, hum dekhte hain ke price 2047 ke darje ke neeche gir rahi hai. Yeh aam taur par mojooda trading darje par ek ahem resistance level hai aur iske neeche 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level of 2065 ke neeche hai.



H-4 Timeframe Analysis

Hum bhi ek manfi stochastic signature dekhte hain jo sadharan moving average par tanav ka karan hai. Yahan se, agar din bhar ke doran 2047 ke darje ke neeche rahe, to aaj ke session mein ek downtrend hone ki bahut zyada sambhavna hai, jab 2016 ke 38.20% correction ka breakout saaf ho jayega. Yeh gold ki price ko majbooti dene mein madad karega. Downtrend 2001 se shuru hokar upar ki taraf barhta jayega. Shuruwat 1987 mein hui thi.

Price ab haftay ke nadir darje ke qareeb hai aur tezi se gir rahi hai. Mojooda downtrend pichli koshishon mein nakaam hone ki wajah se jari rahega. 2050 ke darje ke neeche ek mazeed keemat correction, legend resistance zone ki seema, isko confirm karega. Is ilaake se agla rukh, 2009 aur 1981 ke darmiyan ek naye girawat ki taraf mumkinat faraham karega.

Mausool haalat ko mansookh karne ka is waqt ka tajaweez hai ke resistance aur 2069 ke reversal level ke upar breakout ka intezaar karein. Niche diye gaye chart mein dekhein:

XAU/USD

Aanay walay haftay ke liye sonay ke market trends ko mukhtalif factors par asar hota hai, khaas kar maali dastavez aur Federal Reserve ki policy par. Institute of Supply Management (ISM) ki December ki khidmatat PMI data ne dikhaya ke industry ki tawajju ke mutabiq kaam nahi kia, jiski wajah se Federal Reserve ki policy ki tarmeem ko dobara ghor kiya gaya. Isne barah-e-karam yeh bhi barhaya ke Federal Reserve apni asaan raqamati policy ko umeed se pehle shuru kar sakta hai. Lekin, America ke jobs report ka sonay ke market par mukhtalif asar hua, kyun ke isne kaam ke bazoo mein behtar performance dikhaya. December mein nonfarm payroll employment ne 216,000 ke izafay ke sath behtar performance dikhaya, jo ke market ki tawajjuon ko paar kar gaya, aur maishat mein izafay ki tajaweez ko bhi paar kar gaya. Is natijay mein sonay ke prices mein 0.9% ki kami aayi, kyun ke data ne yeh ishara kiya ke Federal Reserve jaldi se asaan raqamati policy par nahi jayega, jo ke sona jese non-yielding assets par asar dalta hai.

2024 ki taraf dekhte hue, industry ke andar walay log sonay ke prices mein mazeed istaqrar ki tawakul karte hain, shayad record bulandiyon tak pohanch sakti hain. Is tawakul ko Federal Reserve ki policy shift, alami siyasi khatrat aur global central banks ki mutawari sonay ke khareedari ki wajah se saath diya gaya hai. Lekin, investors ko chahiye ke woh mushawarat ke liye mohtat rahein, global maali bunyadon mein tabdiliyon se wabasta hone wale mumkin khatrat ko madde nazar rakhte hue.



Takneeki tajziya ki taraf dekhte hain, to sonay ke prices ne Jumma ko 2030 range ka jhoota tootne ke baad musteemal izafay ka dikhaya. 1.2025 range se ek ooper ki raftar tay kar li gayi hai, aur 2040 mein ek jhoota toot ka ihtemam hai jo izafay ko barqarar rakh sakta hai. Agar 2025 ke neeche girne mein kami ho, to yeh ek mumkin bechne ka mauka ishara kar sakta hai. 2025 range ko toorna na ho to izafay ki taraf isharaat hain. Chhoti muddat mein thori tezi hone ki mumkinat bani rehti hai, lekin baad mein izafay ki taraf barhne ke imkaanat zyada hain. Chaar khule kharidone ke saath ek izafay ki tawakul hai, aur 2024 mein ek jhoota toot izafay ko jari rakhne ki taraf isharaat karega. 2063 ke ooper break aur barqarar rahne par mazeed izafay ke liye ek behtareen mauka hai, aur 2077 mein barqarar hone ka ishara ek behtareen dora'i izafay ka mauka hoga. Bechne walon ne thori tezi se 2030 range tak ek minor pullback ko shuru kiya, lekin mazeed izafay mumkin hai, khaas kar 2060 ke ooper confirm aur barqarar breakthroughs par kharidari ke maukaat ke saath.

Sonay ki Takneekhi Tahlil Pichle karobar saptah mein, sonay ke prices ne ek pehle koshish ke baad haar ko dobara shuru kiya aur 2050 ke darje ko tor kar neeche aa gaye, uske baad is darje ko tor kar 2009 ke darje tak pahunche. Keemat ne apni dheemi raftar mein izafay ko barqarar rakha, ek aur range banate hue. Isi dauran, keemat ka chart laal supertrend zone mein dakhil hua, jo bechne walon ki taraf se dabao darust karta hai.

Teknik tajziya ke pesh-e-nazar se, hum 2016 ke mazboot support ko hit karne ki wajah se ek izafi uthao dekh rahe hain, jo neeche ke 2040 tak resistance ko dobara test karne ko majboor karta hai. 1 ghante ka chart dekhte hain, to hum dekhte hain ke keemat 2047 ke darje ke neeche gir rahi hai. Yeh mojooda trading darjat par aam taur par aik ahem resistance darja hai aur iske neeche 23.60% Fibonacci retracement level ke neeche hai. Hum stochastics ke ishaare ko bhi dekhte hain jo aam harkat-e-sada par tanav ko darust karne ki wajah se paida hota hai. Yahan se, agar din ke doran 2047 ke neeche hai, to aaj ke session mein aam taur par ek downtrend hai jab 2016 ke 38.20% correction ka breakout tasdeeq hota hai. Yeh sonay ke prices ko taqwiyat dene ka ek mustahkam faida dega. Yeh ek downtrend ko utpann karega jiska aghaz 2001 mein hoga aur ooper ja kar jaari rahega.


Keemat ab haftay ki kamzoriyon ke qareeb hai aur tezi se gir rahi hai. Haal ki giravat ke doran jo koshishen ki gayin thin unka nakami ka izhar hua. Is 2050 ke darje ke neeche ek mazeed keemat sudhar, legend resistance zone ki hadood, isko tasdeeq karegi. Is ilaqa se hone wale doosre inhirafat ne is naye giravat ke liye ihtimal banaya hai jo 2009 aur 1981 ke darmiyan ka hadood mein nishana banaye gi.

Maujooda manzoori ko mansookh karne ka ishara ek mawafiq resistance aur 2069 reversal darja ke ooper ka breakout hoga. Chart ko neeche dekhe:

Sone ki keemat Thursday ke early Asian trading mein barh gayi, jab ke America ke dollar ki kamzori aur wo crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report ka intezar tha. Press time tak, yeh qeemti dhaat kareeban $2,026 ke aas-pass thi, jo ke ek mamooli 0.15% izafah tha. Greenback ki kami, jo ke US Dollar Index (DXY) mein 102.35 ki taraf girne ka nateeja tha, ne sonay ki izafah mein madad ki. Is ke alawa, girte hue US Treasury bond yields, jismein 10 saal ke qareeban 4.03% the, ne haven asset ki taraf aur bhi kashish ko izafah diya. Lekin, New York Fed President Williams ne ikhtiyar diya ke jaldi se maeeshat mein muqablah karna bewaqoofi hai, jab ke Fed abhi bhi is metric ko apne 2% target tak le jane mein masroof hai. Is se faida hasil karne ke liye, ek muddat ke liye ek ta'eedi monetary policy stance ko barqarar rakhna zaroori hai, jismein aane wale data, tabdeel hone wale tawakulat, aur ek naazuk khatra ka mawazna shaamil hai

Technically, traders ne 2,016 ke bullish wave (1,810 se le kar 2,145 tak) ke 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level ko ek mumkin pivot point ke taur par dekha hai. Lekin, qareebi doran momentum indicators ek neutral se thoda bearish rujhan dikhate hain. MACD apne trigger line ke thoda neeche hover karta hai, jab ke Stochastic oscillator bearish territory mein gehraayi se girta hai. Dilchaspi ki baat hai ke Stochastic indicator ke oversold zone ke qareeb hone aur K line ka D line ke sath bearish crossover banane ki koshish karne se ek mazeed girawat ke liye ishara hai. Agar keemat aur kamzor hoti hai, to 2016 level aur 50-day SMA support zones ke tor par tehtay jaenge. Uptrend line ke neeche girne ka toot jaana bearish manzarnama ko tasdeeq kar sakta hai, jo ke 1,978 ke 50.0% Fibonacci level ki taraf raaste bana sakta hai, phir 1,974 ke baad. Is wajah se, jabke sone ko abhi ek kamzor dollar aur girte yields ke hawale se faida ho raha hai, taaza CPI report aur Fed ki ehtiyaat bhari stance ne is ke foran ke raaste par andhera daal diya hai. Investors moassar data aur mazeed tafseelat ke liye tawaju rakheinge, takay yeh pata chale ke is dhaat ka agla kadam kya hoga

XAU/USD ki technical analysis:

XAU/USD market ne pichle teen dinon se kuch khaas levels par chala hai. Aaj, maine dobara 2028 zone ko azmaaya aur phir dobara. Keemat 2031.20 ke aspaas ghoom rahi hai, aaj ke mark ke qareeb ek aam ke qareeb. Humein XAU/USD ki pehli market raaye tay karni hogi kyunki ye robotized systems ke zariye routine, automated income banane ke raaste ko kholta hai. Lekin, ek hoshiyaar taur par kaam karna zaroori hai, jise ke apne istehqaqat par exchange karna, be-maayne leverage ke jokhim, ek tarteeb di gayi trading plan ki kami, aur tijarat mein tawajjuh ki kami se bacha ja sake.

Umeed hai ke XAU/USD ka market foran is reach ya sideways consolidation ko todne ke baad phir se ubhar aaye ga. Iske ilawa, is mushkil market ko explore karne ka darmiyaan technical analysis ka tareeqa hai, jo munafa dene wale changing opportunities ko pehchanne ki ahmiyat ko darust karta hai. Ye tajziya cash pair ki quwwat ko assess karna se zyada hai, ye market reversals, breakouts, aur mukhtalif factors ke darmiyan jatil ta'alluqaat mein dakhil hota hai. Isi tarah, sabr bhi kisi cheez ki behtari ka asal bunyad ban jata hai. Is invest mein asli lambi muddat ki tabiyat ko pehchan kar, tajir ko temporary market fluctuations ke tez tairon ke bawajood pre-laid-out strategies ko paalan karna chahiye. Aaj ke din 2028.80 ke darjah ke neeche ek khareedari order ko qaim rakhne ka tasavvur karen. Iske ilawa, is market ke tez tabdiliyon mein tabiyat ka gehra ilm hona chahiye.

Iske alawa, is mein peeche aur aage ke hilne aur samajhne ka tajurba shamil hai, taqatwar factors ko pehchanne ka shamil hai, aur idari aur bain ul aqwami ghoron ke mutabiq chust rehne ka hunar shamil hai. Technical analysis ka istemal trendon ko samajhne mein zaroori hai, jisme charts, indicators, aur mukhtalif entry/exit points ke istemal ko rehnuma banaya jata hai.

Iske alawa, ek danaa tajir maali aur siyasi tabdiliyon se mutasir hone wale cash aur commodity prices par mutawajjah rehta hai. Amuman, XAU/USD ka market opinion is tarah bayan karna chahiye ke keemat ek sideways halat mein gir gayi hai. Humain apne trading mein sabr aur stop loss ka istemal karna chahiye.