Gold forum

Sonay ki qeemat mein aik hissi wapasi ka samna karte hue jab achanak buland honay wale US ke producer inflation aur mazboot hoti hui US dollar ki wajah se gold ki qeemat mein kami aayi. Peela dhaat, jo aksar is liye talash ki jati hai ke muddai tanfiyat aur currency ki kamzori ke khilaf suraksha ka sahara hoti hai, ne pressure mehsoos kiya jab ke ma'ashi deta ne ek mazboot US maeeshat ka tasawwur pesh kiya.
Achanak buland hone wali US ke producer inflation ne sarmayakaron ke darmiyan shak o shuba paida kiya ke bherat rates barhne ka khatrah hai, jo ke non-interest-bearing assest jese ke sona ke khenchne ka shoq ko kam kar deta hai. Is ke ilawa, mazboot hoti hui US dollar ne bhi sonay ki qeemat par bojh dala, kyun ke mazboot dollar doosri currency ke malikon ke liye sona mehnga banata hai.

US Treasury yelds aur Dollar Index ne Federal Reserve ke monetary policy stance ke dobara tajziyah ke jawab mein izafa kiya. Sarmayakaron ne khyal diya ke Fed muddai tanfiyat ka mukabla karne ke liye ek zyada hawkish approach apna sakta hai, jo ke Treasury bonds par buland yields aur mazboot dollar ke liye lekar aya.

Barhti hui yields, mazboot dollar aur tanfiyat ke shubhon ke imtiaz se sarmayakaron ko apni positions ko dobara tajziyah karne par majboor kiya, jis ki wajah se sonay ki qeemat mein aik hissi wapasi hui.

Sonay ke samne mushkilat ke bawajood, US maeeshat ke istiqamat ko darust karti data bechun mein aur pehli nikaat mein zahir hui.

Bechnay wale maal ki data ne ek mazboot se mazboot karne wale performance ka zahir kiya, jis se ye maloom hota hai ke muddai tanfiyat aur buland hone wale interest rates ke bawajood kharchay ke istiqamat qayam raha, jo ke maeeshat ke mukhtalif pehlu ko behtar banata hai aur ye sujhata hai ke demand-side pressures maeeshat ki barqarar rakhsht ko ta'eed kar sakti hai.

Is ke ilawa, pehli nikaat ki data ne US ka mazboot maeeshat mandi ka zor-e-qawi ko mad e nazar rakha, jahan ke amreekanon ke liye na-insafi dawayon ke number ko ek mukhtalif mahino ke liye gira diya gaya. Na-insafi dawayon mein kami ka izhar karta hai ke karobari mulazimeen ko mehfooz rakha ja raha hai aur dawat kam horahi hai, jo ke maeeshat ki behtar hoti hui bharakna ko darust kar hai

Mazboot retail sales aur jobless claims ke data ne US maeeshat ka istiqamat mandar kirdar ko dobara tajziyah ki dastaan ko aur sabab banaya, tanfiyat aur monetary policy ke mutalliq shubhon ke shubhoolat ke khilaf. Jabke ye asoolson par sonay ki qeemat par bojh dalte hain, to US maeeshat ke asal istiqamat sonay ki qeemat ko lambay arse tak ta'eed de sakti hai, jabke sarmayakaron ko taqatwar economic landscape ko ta'eed dena hai

Pehle, mujhe aapko GOLD commodity index ke liye aaj ke trading ke hawale se movement aur trading plans par guftagu karne dijiye. Aaj ke trading mein aap dekh sakte hain ke GOLD commodity index trading chart par H4 timeframe mein pehle trade mein bane support area level se jo ke 2148.81 price par tha, dur ja raha hai, aur ab 2154.76 price par support area level par pohanch gaya hai. Is haftay ke market ko shuru karne ke baad, GOLD commodity index ne 2193.59 price par resistance area level se guzarne mein nakam reh kar 2188.83 price par resistance area level tak pohanchne mein kamiyabi haasil nahi ki.
Aam tor par, GOLD commodity index Jumeraat, 15 March, 2024 ko kharidari dabao ke neeche ya ek uptrend shiraa'at mein hai, jahan bechne walon ne support area level mein ghussa nahi kiya aur phir trading chart par H4 timeframe mein ek bullish reversal trend candlestick pattern ban gaya hai, jisey doji candlestick pattern kehte hain, taake hum GOLD commodity index par buy orders rakh sakte Hain

Iske alawa, agar hum relative strength index indicator period 14 ko dekhein, toh band hone ke liye application ke nazar andaaz hone par 50 level se guzarne ki koshish ke baad upar ja raha hai. Hum is nakami ko GOLD commodity index ke liye bullish signal ke tor par samajh sakte hain. Bahut zyada mumkin hai ke relative strength index indicator ke overbought had level, yaani level 70, ko dobara test kare

jis se ye maloom hota hai ke muddai tanfiyat aur buland hone wale interest rates ke bawajood kharchay ke istiqamat qayam raha, jo ke maeeshat ke mukhtalif pehlu ko behtar banata hai aur ye sujhata hai ke demand-side pressures maeeshat ki barqarar rakhsht ko ta'eed kar sakti hai.

Sonay (Gold) Ke Prices Ki Halat:

Sonay (XAU/USD) ke prices iss hafte mein kuch ajeeb o gareeb movement ka samna kiya, jo Federal Reserve ke mustaqbil ke interest rate faislon ke baray mein shadeed ghum aur umeed hai. Iss waqt, sonay karib $2,160.00 ke aaspaas trade ho raha hai, jo iss hafte ke shuruaat se mukable mein 0.50% ka halka faida hai.





1. Faisle Aur Asraat:

1. Federal Reserve Ki Policy Outlook:
   • Federal Reserve ne June mein ek mumkin interest rate cut ka intezar kar rahe investors ko ghumaya.
   • Haal hi mein jaari hui maqoolat aur Federal Reserve ka jawab ne unhein un umeedon ko kam karne par majboor kiya, jis se sona ke price rally ko roka gaya.
2. US Treasury Yields Aur US Dollar:
   • US Treasury yields mein izafa aur mazboot dollar sonay ke price equation ko mushkil banata hai.
   • Mazboot dollar sona nisbatan zyada mehnga banata hai, jo iske price par neeche dabaav daalta hai.

2. Price Outlook:

1. Bulls Ki Nigah:
   • Bulls ka maqsad hai price ko $2,180 ke upar le jana, jis ka nishana $2,200 hai.
   • Agar buyers qaboo mein aa jate hain aur price ko $2,184.76 ke upar le jate hain, to uptrend dobara shuru hoga.
2. Technical Indicators:
   • Technical indicators yeh ishara dete hain ke kharidari ka momentum kamzor ho sakta hai.
   • Agar yeh hota hai, to sona wapas $2,150 ya mazeed kam, March 6th ke kam se kam $2,123.80 tak ja sakta hai.

3. Future Prospects:


Anay wale arse mein sonay ke prices ke asar daalne wale hisson ke baray mein investors ke tasurat aur Federal Reserve ke monetary policy ke ilanat ke mutalliq sona ke prices mein izafa dekhne ko mil sakta hai.

Federal Reserve ki munafa dar muthi aur tez raftar sone ki lambi muddat ka markazi kirdar hai. Filhal, FOMC ko yeh ziada itminan ki zarurat hai ke inflashion 2% tak wapas aa raha hai ya nahi, phir munafa dar muthi ki mumkinah soorat-e-haal ka tasawwur karna. Mujhe yaqeen hai ke muthi July se shuru ho gi. Market ne qeematain 2024 ke doosre nisf se kam karna shuru ki hai. Magar market ki umeedon ka march se June tak wapas lena qeemat ki barhao ko mehdood kar sakta hai. Amreeka mein hakoomat ka tabdili future policy ke liye khatraat paida karti hai. Ma'asharti aur saqlaini tensions ke is pehlu ke samne, shares ke market record bulandiyon tak pohanch gaye hain. Ye mumkin hai ke yeh investors ko downside risk ke baray mein zyada ehtiyaat barat sakta hai. Aik umeed hai ke US ke intikhabi dor ke qareeb uthne par tozgi barh jaye gi. Shares ke market mein risk-off surat mein sone ki qeemat ko support karay gi. Daily chart par, 2155 ka darja aik support hai jo ke 4 din se tora nahi gaya, magar jaise ke hum dekh sakte hain, dabao barh raha hai, aur main ek tor aur is level ke neeche jamawar banne ko samajh raha hoon, jo ke ek ghata ki taraf le jaye ga, 2100 ke nafsiyati level ki taraf.
Sone ki keemat Jumma ko barhtay hue US bond yields ke sath gira hai. June ki policy mulaqat mein Federal Reserve ki munafa dar muthi par umeedain kam ho gayi hain, sone ki keemat par neechay dabao banaye rakhte hue. Sone ki keemat 2173 dollar tak wapas nahi aane ke baad gira hai, jab ke US Treasury bond yields ke ziada potential hai. Sone ki ziada attractiveness muntashir hai jab ke investors US mein February mein Producer Price Index report ke mutabiq mal-o-khidmat ke liye intehai taiz keemat barhane par ghor kar rahe hain. Aaj ka daily candle lambi shanakht ke sath ek bearish market sentiment ko darust karta hai, magar keemat ko 2150-2146 ke 1/2 zone ke neeche band karna zaroori hai, phir hum 2106 ki taraf bechna ka soch sakte hain. Sab ko aik khoobsoorat hafta guzarne ki dua aur aapko peer ko milte hain

Gold outlook technical analysis

$1750 ke darmiyan mei tairta. If agle haftay $1746 ki support tor jaye, then rozana chart ke mutabiq, sona mazeed $1720 or $1680 tak gir sakta hai. Ulta, resistance mein izafa ek taqatwar ooper ki taraf ke jhalki ka sabab ho sakte hai. Amreeki dollar ki taqat ya kamzori sonay ki manzil ka mutasir karti hai. If Amreeki dollar mazboot hota hai, then sonay par farokht ka dabao mazeed barh jayega, and ek kamzor Amreeki dollar sonay ki position ko mazboot kar sakta hai. Rozana chart ko madde nazar rakhte hue, agle haftay $1750 par sona kharidna aur $1790 par bechna munasib ho sakta hai, three or four mazeed harkatoun ka imkaan samajh kar. Lekin, khatraat ko idara karna munasib he. Jabke sona mazboot resistance ki saath jhujh raha hai; is level ko tor dena aage ke ooper ke liye jari hawala par chal sakta hai, agle resistance ilaqa tak pahunchne ka imkaan hai. Sona ka movement $1785 ki asal resistance ilaqa ke neeche rehta hai. Kamiyabi Ki Dua Main hamesha surat haal ko sonay ke sath tajziya karta hoon; Chahe mein isay trading mein istemal karun ya na karun, kyunke iski jannat bhar ki harkat bazar ke jazbat ka ishara karti hai. Tijarati tehqiqati ab sonay ke daam barhane ki koshish kar rahe hain, taake ab tak ke Federal Reserve ki mulaqat ke minutes ka izhar hone se pehle, jab ke US stock indices pichle dino gir gaye hain, jo ke jannat daron assets ki populariyat ko bhi barha Diya hai. Ziyada tar bazar ke shirkat daron ko bohot achi tarah maloom hai ke protokal kisi ishaare ko zahir na karega. Aur na hi jald hi dobara refinancing rate ko kam karne ki mumkinahiyat par, jo ke kisi had tak US dollar ko mazboot kar sakta hai, is liye US dollar ke khilaaf sonay ke daamo mein kisi bhi numaya mazbooti ka imkan nahi hai. Aaj, Asian session ke doran bailon ne 2027 ke darje ko toorna chaha, lekin khalal ke bawajood, unhe is ke oopar se pakarne mein kamyabi nahi mili, jo ke companies ke indicators ko southern pullback ke mumkinah imkanat ko dikhate hain, 2016 ke support darje ya is se nichle darje tak. Tijarati ranges from village to village. 2010 ke darje mein darmiyani hud mukarrar karna. Jaise hamesha, bari intaraday tabdeeliyan shuru nahi hogi jab tak amreeki log aayein, utsalar jab woh doosron se zyada Federal Reserve System ke protocol par mabni hote hain.

Sonay ko sasta nahi hua jabke parchon ne qeemat ko neecha laya nahi aur MA 50 line ko toor diya. MA 50 line ko rad karne ke baad jo bullishness hui thi woh kaafi ahem thi kyunke qeemat nazdiki breakout resistance line tak barh gayi thi. Agar sonay ki agle harkat ka andaza lagaya jaye to, jis qeemat ne phir se barhna shuru kiya hai aur MA 50 line se door hai aur qeemat ne qareebi resistance line ko bhi tor diya hai 2039.89, to sonay mein agle harkat ke liye bullish hone ka opportunity hai To jo bearishness aaj subah ho rahi hai, shayad sirf resistance breakout ke baad ek qeemat ki correction hai aur phir qeemat phir se barhegi. Line 2039.89 aur 50 MA line jo 2030.22 par hai, ye pullback areas hongi aur resistance line 2065.25 agla bearish target hoga. Magar ab Jumeraat hai, jo kabhi kabhi anokhi harkat dekhta hai aur aaj raat bhi abhi tak buland asar wali US ma'ashiyati data jaari hoga, is liye reverse/bearish harkaton ka imkan rakhna. Magar jab tak qeemat line ke upar khel rahi hai. MA 50 line 2030.22 par hai, to sonay ka bullish hone ka imkan hai. Sonay gir jayega agar qeemat MA 50 line ko tor degi.

Upar di gayi tajziya ke sath, sonay ki agle harkat ke liye nateeja phir se bullish hone ka imkan hai aur hum aaj sonay mein trade karne ke liye kharidne ke mouke ko dobara dekh sakte hain. Is beech, agar sonay phir gir jaye aur MA 50 line 2030.89 par tor jaye aur qeemat resistance area 2065.25 ko rad kar de, to hum bechnay ka mauka hasil kar sakte hain. Lagta hai sonay ki qeemat mein ab bhi barhne ka moqa hai. Ye mumkin hai ke sonay ki qeemat apne barhne ko jaari rakhe, sis. Ye mumkin hai ke ye apni barhne ko jaari rakhe, inverted head aur shoulders pattern ke baseline area ki taraf H4 waqt frame mein. Is liye iska imkan hai ke ye latest inside bar pattern ki paanchvi tajziya tak le jaye aur ek pullback ko purane mother bar high tak,

GOLD H1 TIME FRAME

Subah Bakair Anay wale trading sessions mein, main sonay ke mustaqbil ke daeemat ko zahir karunga. Jab aap sirf daily format par nazar daalenge, to sab kuch wazeh ho jata hai. Aam tor par, ham H4 structure ke raste par hain, halankeh ham apne ibtidaai forokht maqasid ko pura karna pasand karenge jaise ke 2165 aur 2140. Patch ka theme agle patch mein bhi jari reh sakta hai, lekin is tarah ki mumkinat filhal nahi lagti. Meri sirf aik fikar hai: 2154 ilaqa mein kuch positions m option ke liye muzar ho sakti hain. Ye bhi mumkin hai ke behtar market sharaayi sharaayi halat ka intezar karein phir khareedne ke liye. Jab price 2165 ke mazboot resistance ke upar durust hoke, to uksa karobar mein aik tawajjo mand position lein aur jab trend palat jaye to khareedna shuru karein. Ye taraqqi ne 2156 mein bari daeemat ka qool shaamil karna ki rah ki hai. Bina mufeed samajh ke, agar aap ko kaafi ilm na ho, to aise karobar market ke am trend ke khilaaf jaayenge. Sonay ke liye mukarrar leval ke tajziye ke liye ghante ke chart par abhi bhi kaam baqi hai. Is natijay mein, hum ummeed karte hain ke sonay ke tamam daeimat hari hai aj. Agar aik rebound trend price ho, to qeemat 2165 resistance leval tak pohanch jaye gi. Chhoti muddat mein, ye tajziya banane aur 2140-2154 ke sahara ki taraf rawana honay ki ummeed hai. Press release 2145 ke ird gird ki had ko toorna par asar daal sakti hai, jo sonay ke daeimat mein mazeed girawat ka bais bana sakti hai. 2165 se 2139 tak daam gir jaye ga aur phir 2156 tak barh jaye ga aur 2146 tak pohanch jaye ga. Halankeh sonay ke bazar ka bunyadi trend ghairhi hai, lekin bazar mein tajziya jari hai. Ucch tarteeb par mabni charts ke mutabiq, sonay ke bazar mein koi naye taraqqi kaaran darust nahi hai.

Rozana waqt ki frame chart tajziya mein, pichle Budhwar ko Sona market mein aham tabdeeli dekhi gayi jab isne apna pehla buland nuktah tor diya, ek qabil-e-zikr break out ko nishan dene wala. Ye tezi Jum'at tak jaari rahi, jahan Sona nay apna naya buland nuktah hasil karne ke liye uchaala. Magar is urooj mein, Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator par ek ahem gawahi samne aayi, jo Sona ke qeemat ko overbought had se ooper chadha rahi thi. Ye waqiaat ka ham ahangi taluq market ke jazbat mein ek tabdeeli ko dene ka sabab bana, jaise hi traders ne Sona ke qeemat mein nazdeeki ke tehqiqat ka intezar kiya. Iske natije mein, qeemti dhaat ek range trading faaliyat ki manzil par chali gayi, jo overbought shiraa'it ke jawab mein aam hoti hai. Jab din is range-bound zone ke andar guzarte gaye, market ke shirakhtadaan agle rehnuma harkat ka intezar kar rahe the. Technical analysis ke mutabiq, Sona ke liye outlook ek nazdeeki kami ki taraf ishaarat karta hai, jahan tasawwurati support levels ko 2080 aur 2144 pe paaya gaya. Takhmina yeh hai ke range ke andar intezaar ki phase ke baad, Sona ke daam neeche ki taraf jaega, upar diye gaye support levels ko imtehaan dena maqsad hai. Jab 2080 ka ahem support level imtehaan diya jayega, Sona traders ke liye ek tafseeli tajziya paish kiya jayega, jo market ke mutaghayyar dynamics ko samajhne aur un par qaboo hasil karne ke liye strategik rehnumai faraham karega.

Ikhtitami tor par, halhi mein Sona mein bull aur aham tezi ko note kiya gaya hai, lekin hoshyar traders ko ehtiyaat aur chaukasi se amal karne ki talqeen ki jati hai jab tak market ek tarteeb ki dour se guzar rahi hai. Ma'loomat se agahi aur market ke shirin shara'it par jawabgar reh kar, traders apne aap ko mufeed tor par muqarrar kar sakte hain taake unhe Sona trading ke dinamic manzar mein naye moqaat ko hasil karne aur musibatoun ka samna karne ke liye tayyar rahain

Shaandar shaam sab ikathay hue afrad aur dafaatir. Umeed hai, aaj ke afaal aapko tandrust aur roohani banayenge. Ab mein XAU/USD ke keemat ke tabadlay ko EMA, RSI, aur MACD nishaanon ka istemal karke samjhne ki koshish karunga. Chaliye, is dour ka tajziya shuru karte hain is haftay ke market survey ke saath. Aane wale Haftay ke asar angaiz khabrein Dekha gaya hai ke Markazi Dukaan Daraazi aur Markazi PPI data amreeki ma'ashi sectaron ki jhalak denge. Mazboot dukaan daraazi ma'ashi mustaqbil ki sakhawat ki nishaandahi kar sakti hai, jo ke dollar ko madad faraham kar sakti hai. Abhi XAU/USD 2155.27 par karobar ho raha hai likhnay ke waqt. XAU/USD is chart mein doosri manfi mombati bana raha hai. Aur yeh chart ye dikhata hai ke karobari ek aur manfi mukhtalif pattern bana sakte hain. Mukhtasar Quwat List (RSI-14) 34.6592 par hai jo ke ek raqba ke liye quwat ki alaamat dikhata hai. Ek saath, Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD-12, 26, aur 9) - 0.554 par hai, jo ek farokht ki alaamat dikhata hai. Inteshaar Dramatic Moving Average (EMA) 20, 44, bhi halqi ke daman mein hai jo ke ek nishaan ki quwat dikhata hai. XAU/USD ke liye qareebi rukawat 2160.00 hai. Mumkin hai ke agar XAU/USD 2160.00 ke upar jaaye to uski keemat mazeed mazboot ho. Iske baad, XAU/USD ka agla maqsood 2167.00 ke rukawat darjat hai jo teesri rukawat darja hai. Doosri taraf, XAU/USD ke liye qareebi sahara darja 2150.00 hai. Main sahara darja 2150.00 aur 2144.00 ke qareebi sahara darja par farokht ki alaamat dekhunga taake mujhe farokht ka moqa mil sake jo ke doosra aur teesra sahara darja hai. Naye keemat ke rukh ke mutabiq, woh log jo khareed ki taraf karobar karna chahte hain unke liye kam moqa hai. Khareedne ke imkaan kafi kam hain lekin hum ehtiyaat se dekhenge

Haal hi mein, sonay ki harkaatain zyada badi nahi thin. Magar is se pehle, sonay ki harkaat asal mein bohot tezi se barh gayi thi. Aise had tak ke barhav ne pichle kuch mahinon mein ek record bulandiyon tak pohanch gaya tha. Sonay ki mazbooti ka sabab ye hai ke Federal Reserve ki maaliyat kaarwai hai. Agar aap H1 time frame par nazar daalain, to mumkin hai ke mumtaziyat aur support ilaqon mein shamaen sirf aage peeche chalti nazar aayein. Halankeh, mojooda mein, shama asal mein 2152 ke qeemat par support ilaqe mein phans gayi hai. Main shak karta hoon ke qareebi mustaqbil mein bari qeemat ke phatkar hone ka imkan hai kyun ke H1 time frame mein khud ko mu****l taur par simetriya trikona pattern banne ka imkan nazar ata hai. Agar kisi durust pattern ka ban jaaye to meri tajwez ye hai ke sona bohot gehra gir jayega. Jab tak qeemat barhti hai, koi durusti bilkul bhi nahi hai is liye nichay jaane ka imkan bohot zyada hai. Is liye, kal somwar ko main yeh tajwez deta hoon ke doston jo in sarmayon mein trade karte hain woh sirf chhote positions kholne ki tajwez dein. Position sirf tab kholain jab support ko guzar gaya ho taake yeh aman mein rahe. Take profit target qeemat par qareebi support par 2127 ke qeemat par rakha ja sakta hai. Intehai, stop loss qeemat par 2173 ke qeemat par rakha ja sakta hai

Takneeki nazar se, jis stratiji ko main istemal karta hoon aur jaisa ke tasveer mein dikhaya gaya hai, RSI 14 indicator abhi apne darmiyani qeemat 50% se neeche hai, jo ke 37% ke qareeb hai. Ye ishara deta hai ke sonay ke sarmaya ki qeemat ki harkat is haftay ke ikhtitam tak neeche ja rahi hai, is liye hamare liye behtar hoga ke hum farokht ke hukam jaari rakhein aur take profit 2150.42 par rakhein aur stop loss 2160.42 par rakhein. Shaam ko mubarak aur umeed hai ke agle hafte aap faida uthaayenge

H4 time frame mein, market ki pehle se strong movement resistance area par 2171 ke price par phans gayi thi aur phir SSR area ki taraf dobara kamzor hui, jahan is area mein dobara dakhil hone ke liye kafi achhi demand hai, isliye phir se mazbooti ka imkan hai. Mainay dekha ke Gold market ki movement phir se aggressive ho jayegi, jahan price pattern naye higher low banane ka imkan hai. Is mazbooti ka nishana zyada tar price area 2188 tak barh sakta hai. Agar 2150 ke price par demand toot jaye to sab se bura scenario hai ke price dobara kamzor ho sakta hai, kyun ke yeh area demand ki taraf ka aakhri sanih hai, jabke uske baad zone 2131 ke price ke qareeb hai. Aik mazeed indicator, jiska naam Relative Strength Index period 5 hai, jahan price position level 30 tak gir gaya hai, yeh ishara hai ke market ab bhi bullish trend ki correction phase mein hai. Ek waqt pe Simple Moving Average 100 indicator, jab tak trend badal gaya, price mazbooti ke wajah se jo kafi taqatwar thi, woh is SMA indicator par asar daal rahi thi. Isliye yeh kaha ja sakta hai ke H4 time frame ke ziada tar indicators ab bhi bullish trend ko dikhate hain. Pichle kuch dino mein jo hua, dekhte hue, agle haftay ke liye Gold market phir se upar ki taraf ke trend ko jari rakhne ka potential hai jaise pichle haftay mein tha. Magar mujhe lagta hai ke pehle market apni journey ko bullish direction mein jari rakhne se pehle kuch neeche ki taraf ke price corrections ka silsila hoga

Haal hi mein ghatay ho chuki hawalaat ke bawajood, mukhtalif markets mein naye izafa ki ek roshni nazar arahi hai. Ek khaas area jahan yeh umeed zahir hai, woh trading ka hai. Investors 2190 range par nazar rakhte hue hain, taake agar yeh level paar ho jaye, toh ek faide mand mauqa hasil kar sakein. Haal ki market activity ne ek ahem uthal-puthal ko dikhaya hai, jo mazeed phelao ki sambhavna ko darust karta hai. Yeh upar ki taraf ka moment suggest karta hai ke haal hi ke nuksanat ke bawajood, mojooda price range mein mazeed izafa ka mauqa hai. Investors in harkaton ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakhte hain, ummidon ke saath ke woh potential faida hasil kar sakein.
Qeemti dhaaton ke shobay mein, khaaskar sonay mein, ek mumkin correction ka ilm hai jo qareeb hai. Magar maujooda bullish trend barqarar hai, jo mazeed izafa ki sambhavna ko ishara deta hai. Investors ek potential kami ka intezar kar rahe hain ek wazi increase ke baad, jo ke unhe mazeed munafa hasil karne ka mauqa deta hai. Ehmiyat hai ke 2150 range mein chhoti correction mazeed izafa ka pehla signal ho sakta hai. 2100 range ke resistance ko tor kar, buy signal ko further confirm karna, mazeed upri harkat ki taraf le ja sakta hai. Market ke hisson ko qareeb se nigrani mein rakha ja raha hai, taake nateejay ke mutabiq faisla kiya ja sake

Nuksanat ke muqable mein market ki zor daar mizaji aane wale izafa ke liye bharosa dikhata hai. In harkaton ko madde nazar rakhte hue, investors apne aap ko strategic taur par position karna chahte hain ke unhe anay wale trends ka faida hasil karne ka mauqa mile. Aage dekhte hue, 2090 mark ko tor kar, aur us par qaim hona, ek ahem trigger ka kaam karega ek buy signal ke liye, market ki upri harkat mein itminan ko mazeed mazboot karta hai. Investors tayyar hain agar yeh manzar samne aaye, taake unhe anay wale izafa ka faida hasil karne ka mauqa mile. Haal hi ki market ki fluctuation mein kuch arse ke liye rukawat aayi ho sakti hai, magar mojooda hosla anay wale izafa ke liye optimistic hai. Ehmiyat hai ke key levels aur trends ko nigrani mein rakhte hue, investors tayyar hain anay wale mauqon ka faida hasil karne ke liye, market ko durust aur chust tareeqay se samajhne ke liye tayyar hain

Is waqt, sona itni qeemat par hai jo pehle kabhi terminal par nahi dekha gaya. Haftay ka chart dekh kar, hum ek ulta chadhaav ka pattern - ek chadhti hui chaak - dekh sakte hain. Keemat ki harkat is pattern ke ooper ki line par tez ho gayi hai aur neeche ki taraf sahi hui hai. CCI indicator excessive kharidari zone mein dakhil ho chuka hai aur neeche ki taraf muddat mein hai. Halankeh itni baray timeframes par trading aam nahi hai, ye haqeeqat ko nazar andaaz karna ke ye haftay ka chart hai, ek utarti hui chaak ki neeche ki line aur 2075 ke markazi horizontal support level ki taraf rujhan mumkin hai. Agar keemat us nukta tak pohanchti hai to zahir hai ke line aur level ek dosray se mil jaenge. Is chart par baseerat karte hue ye kaha ja sakta hai ke agle kuch hafton mein keemat ko neeche le jane ki koshish ki jayegi aur choti timeframes par chhote formationon ke zahir hone par short positions par tawajjo di jayegi, lambay setups ko chhorkar. Baad mein keemat chaak ko neeche toorna bina ooper palat sakti hai, lekin darust harkat darust ki taraf lagti hai





Is chhotay timeframe par, ek ulta chadhaav ka triangle pattern pehchaan liya ja sakta hai, jiska base level 2151 par horizontal support hai, jo keemat ko abhi tak neeche nahi daba saka hai. MACD indicator farokht zone mein dakhil hone ke liye tayar hai. Agar 2151 ke level ke neeche girawat hogi, to ye rukawat ka kaam karega, aur neeche se dobara test karne par, ye farokht dakhil hone ka moqa bhi de sakta hai. Agar ye waqia ho, to fawran farokht kar sakte hain, ya chhote M5 timeframe par farokht formation ka intezar kar sakte hain. Ek neeche ki harkat ka tawaqo mutarif hai, jo ulta chadhaav ka triangle pattern ki alamat hai.

Sonay ka daam mazboot tone par qaim hai, haftay ki shuruaat mein $2,087 ke qareeb trade ho raha hai, jis se yeh do mahinay ki nai unchi tak pohanch gaya hai, Jumeraat ko 2% izafa hua, jo ke 13 December se sab se bara rozana izafa hai. Peela dhaat markets ne America ke rate ke hawale se tasawwur ko wazeh kiya jab haal hi mein aaye arzi data ne barhte hue umeedon ko barhaya ke Federal Reserve June mein darjat kam karne ka aghaz karega, jis se sonay ka qeemat investors ke liye zyada attract karta Hi. Bull ab tak thakan ka koi ishara nahi de rahe hain, halankeh rozana ke nishanday overbought hain, apne sessions mein kuch qeemat ka tanaza hona mumkin hai. Fed Powell budh aur jumeraat ko bilenge. Unka raay darjat ke hawale se market ki umeedon par asar dal sakte hai. Powell has stated that inflation will not exceed 2%. Bullon ko 2087 ke ooper settle hone ki zaroorat hai. Taake mazeed buland manzil ki taraf aage barhne ka rasta ho.

Aham tareen 10 saal tak ka America ka Treasury yield 4.2% ke aas paas qaim hai, Jumeraat ko girne ke baad, jo XAU/USD ko rukh tezi se hasil karne mein mushkil karraha hai. America ka dollar America ke Treasury yield ke sath mazbooti hasil karne ki koshish kar raha hai, market badi economic taraqqiyan ke samne apni moqif ko tez kar rahi hai. Is aane wale haftay mein, sab nazar America ke Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell ke do din ke guftagu par hongi jismein unhon ne apni salana monetary policy report ka pesh kara hai. Mazeed, America ka mazdoor market report bhi market ko hawale par rakhaya, utasalar peechle haftay ke mayoos kun economic data ke baad umeedon ko barha ke Federal Reserve ki policy ka ulta chakkar lagane ka ehtemam kiya gaya. Is haalaat mein, main 2067-2063 ke talaab zone ki tajweez aur aik pattern ka tameer tawajjo mein rakh raha hoon; jo ke kharid ke liye mauqa faraham karega, pehla maqsood maximum ko 2087 tak update karna hai phir 2108

H2 time frame par mudaawin hote hue,** sona doji candle ke baad doosri musalsal bearish candle ko zahir karta hai. Yeh chaar ghantay ka time frame, mazboot farokht ka maahir-e-mizaj. Agar 2030 par support ko tor diya gaya, to sona mazeed neeche ki taraf dabaav mein aa sakta hai, 2030 ya 2010 tak pahunch. Magar, 2073 mein resistance ko tor dena quwwat, aur buland darjat ki taraf aik shift ko nishan dahi kar sakta. Mojudah US dollar se shikayat hai, isliye sona ko 2063 ya 2033 ke qareeb farokht karne ka tajziya ho sakta hai mojooda market ke haalaat mein. Tijarat karne walon ko ehtraam aur Gold ke tajziyaat mein shamil karne se pehle stop-loss aur take-profit tadbiron ko laazmi tor par lagane ka mashwara diya jata hai, market mein mojood ghair maqillat aur ghair maqillat ko maante hue. In chhote time frames mein khaas levels ko pehchaan na traders ke liye munasib dakhil nuktaat ki hesiyat se kaam aaye ga, jisse ke wo faida utha sakein market ke sukhad maahol mein aur mumkin bullish momentum ka samna kare. Support level ko qareeb se dekhna bohot zaroori hai kisi bhi nuqta-e-nazar par kamzori ke kisi bhi ishaare ke liye, kyun ke agar tor diya gaya to yeh ummeedwar nazar ki tasalli ko tabdeel kar sakta hai aur trading strategy ko dobara dekhne ka amal zaroori hoga

Sona early trading mein khula, lekin abhi tak koi mazboot phiraaq nahi thi. Aaj sona ka phiraaq bearish hai. Yeh trend ke saath halka aur fluffy hai, lekin trend ke khilaaf messy hai. Sona apne short-term trend ko jari rakhta hai. Sona ka 1 ghante ka moving average neeche ki taraf muda hai aur ek choti position mein hai, jo ke ek dead cross trend banane wala hai. Jab dead cross hota hai, sona tezi se girne jari rahega. Sona ka 1 ghante ka moving average neeche ki taraf ki trend line se dabaya gaya hai. Trend line resistance 2167 ke qareeb hai aur moving average resistance 2165 ke qareeb hai. Subah ke trading mein 2165 ke neeche ki taraf rallyen jari rahegi aur kamzor phiraaq nahi hogi. Subah ke trading mein 2157 ke qareeb ka phiraaq pehle short ho sakta hai. Short-term layout ke hawale se, market price ne 2150 ke qareeb support par ek baar phir vapas laut kar bahut zyada phiraaq nahi mili, jo ke ishaara karta hai ke keemat 2150 ke neeche gir sakti hai aur neeche support dhoondhti rahegi. Is waqt, humein 2141 line ki top-low transition position par dhyaan dena chahiye. Is ke ilawa, jab keemat 2141 ko touch karegi, hum bazaar ke halaat par base karke backhand par lamba jaane ka tawajjo denge. Aam tor par, aaj ke short-term sona operation ka sochne ka tareeqa Jin Shengfu ki mashwara hai ke mainly phiraaq par short jaaye, aur callbacks par lamba jaaye. Top short-term focus 2157-2160 pehli line resistance par hoga, aur bottom short-term 2130-2125 pehli line support par hoga. Dosto, aapko dorr par rehna zaroori hai. Positions aur stop loss masail ko control karna zaroori hai, stop losses ko sakhti se set karna hai, aur kabhi bhi orders ka muqabla nahi karna chahiye. Haal hi mein market ki halchal kaafi badi rahi hai, aur mauqe aur khatre dono mojood hain. Khatron ko control karein aur munafa haasil karein