What is Dow Theory....? Explanation

What is Dow Theory....? Explanation
Dow theory
Aslam o alikum!
Dear Friends Dow Theory market ki movement ki kisi bhi trend main maximum limit aur aagy possible movement Jo Kay expectation hoti hai ky agar kisi pair main market apni maximum price limit per ponch ker reverse movement kerna shoru ker deti hai tou Dow theory ky mutabiq market kuch time period tak same limit ko cross nehi kerny gi ya agar break out kerti bhi hai tou same breakout itna zyada nehi hoga ky market maximum price ki break kerny ky bahd bahot bari movement ker jaey lekin agar market kisi bhi pair main apni maximum price limit ko break out kerny ky bahd further kuch movement kerny ky bahd reverse direction main movement kerna shoru ker deti



Analysis On Theory

Je dear dow theory market ki movement par base karti hai. Ye theory es lae banae gae hai k market ki movement ko logic sy beyan kiya jae. Kuch trader ye samanty hain k market ma supply or demand asal ma kafi hoti hai prices ko set karny k lae magar bhot sary ye samajty hain k ye knowledge enough ni hai. So dow theory ka starting point es idea par base karta hai k market waves ki sorat ma move karti hai. Or ye waves ka imblance market ki price ko create karta hai. Es theory ma asal ma ye b batany ki khosis ki gae hai k human nature b market par bhot influence create karti hai. Es k lae bhot sari repots ki help ley kar ye theory banae gae hai.



Trading Conditions Of Dow Theory.

Ye theory es par b base karti hai k trader hamesa trend par trade karna chahty hain. Kiu k unko pata hota hai k market apna trend he follow karti hai. Es k elawa es theory ma news ko b consider kiya giya hai k news ma bhot zayada power hoti hai k wo market ko apni marzi sy drive kar sakti hain. Market asal ma cycles ki base par move karti hai. Dow theory ma market ki movement ko 3 types ma divide kiya giy hai.



Facts and Circumstances

The main movement, the medium swing or akhir ma the short swing. Es theory ma volume par b discussion ki gae hai k market ki movement asal ma volume par b base karti hai. Market ma trend tb tak exist karta hai jb tak esko pull back ni kar leya hata.

Re: What is Dow Theory....? Explanation

What Is the Dow Theory?

dow theory ke mutabiq, agar is ki ost mein se koi aik ( jaisay naqal o hamal ya sanati ) pehlay ki numaya oonchai se oopar aajay aur doosri ost mein taqabli izafay ke sath ho ya is ki pairwi kere. misaal ke tor par, dow agar dow jones industrial average ( djia ) darmiyani oonchai tak barh jati hai to jones transportation average ( djta ) ko munasib waqt ke andar aisa karne ki tawaqqa hai .

Understanding the Dow Theory

dow theory aik tijarti hikmat e amli hai jisay charles each dow ne takhleeq kya, jis ne edward jones aur charles bargarstetar ke sath mil kar dow jones and company ankarporishn ki bunyaad rakhi aur 1896 mein dow jones industrial average banai. wall strit journal ke mutadid adaryon mein, jis ki is ne mushtarqa bunyaad rakhi, dow ne nazriya tayyar kya .
1902 mein charles dow ki be waqt mout ki wajah se, marketon ke baray mein un ka poora nazriya kabhi shaya nahi ہوا؛ is ke bawajood, is ke mutadid hamion aur doston ne tab se ashaatin likhi hain jo adaryon mein phaily hui hain. nazriya :
dow ka khayaal tha ke majmoi market ka tajzia karkay, koi bhi un halaat ka durust andaza laga sakta hai, market ke barray rujhanaat ki simt ki nishandahi karsaktha hai, aur makhsoos astaks ki mumkina simt ki paish goi karsaktha hai. is ka yeh bhi maanna tha ke stock market majmoi tor par aik qabil aetmaad isharay hai. maeeshat ke andar karobari halaat .
apni 100 saal se ziyada tareekh mein, theory ne mazeed taraqqi ki hai, jis mein 1920 ki dahai mein william hemilton, 1930 ki dahai mein Robert riya, aur 1960 ki dahai mein e george shifr aur richard Rasal ki shraktin shaamil theen. naqal o hamal ki sanat — ya railway, apni asal shakal mein — aik aisa pehlu hai jo pasandeedgi se mahroom ho gaya hai, lekin dow ka tareeqa ab bhi Asri takneeki tajzia ki bunyaad ke tor par kaam karta hai .
How the Dow Theory Works
market har cheez ko neechay ki taraf nishaan zad karti hai .
efficient markets hypothesis ( emh ), jis ka daawa hai ke asasa jaat ki qeematein tamam dastyab maloomat ko mad e nazar rakhti hain, dow theory ki bunyaad rakhti hai. usay aik aur terhan se dekhen to yeh hikmat e amli ravayye ki muashiaat ke qutbi mukhalif hai .
kamaai ki salahiyat, musabiqati faida, intizami mahaarat, aur deegar pehluo ko market ki qeematon mein mad e nazar rakha jata hai, halaank har koi un sab se waaqif nahi hai .
2. market ke rujhanaat ko teen aqsam mein taqseem kya ja sakta hai .
3. 3. markitin bunyadi harkato se guzarti hain, jaisay bail ya reechh ki market, jo aik saal ya is se ziyada arsay par muheet hoti hai. woh un barray rujhanaat ke andar sanwi rujhanaat ka tajurbah karte hain, jo aksar bunyadi rujhan ke khilaaf hotay hain. aur reechh ki mandiyon mein reliyan. yeh sanwi rujhanaat teen hafton se teen mahino ke darmiyan kahin bhi chal satke hain. aakhir mein, mukhtasir muddat ke rujhanaat hain jo ziyada tar shore hotay hain aur teen hafton se bhi kam rehtay hain .
4. 4. 3. ahem rujhanaat teen marahil se guzarte hain .
5. 5. dow theory ke mutabiq, aik bunyadi rujhan teen marahil se guzray ga. un mein jama honay ke marahil, awaami shirkat ( ya barri harkat ), aur bail market mein zayad-ti shaamil hain. taqseem ka marhala, awaami shirkat ka marhala, aur ghabrahat ( ya mayoosi ) ke marahil ko reechh ki manndi mein marahil kaha jata hai .
6. 4. asharih jaat ko aik dosray ki tasdeeq karni chahiye .
7. 5. dow پوسٹولیٹڈ index ya market ki ost aik rujhan ko qaim karne ke liye mutfiq hona zaroori hai. is ka matlab yeh hai ke dono index par mojood signals ko dosray par mojood signals ke sath mawafiq hona chahiye ya is se milta jalta hona chahiye. agar aik adad o shumaar, jaisay dow jones sanati ost, aik naye primaray up trained ke aaghaz ka ishara day raha hai lekin aik aur index ab bhi
5. hajam ko rujhan ki himayat karna hai .
6. agar qeemat bunyadi rujhan ki simt mein barh rahi hai, to hajam barhna chahiye, aur agar yeh hai, to volume girna chahiye. kam hajam ishara karta hai ke rujhan kamzor ho raha hai. misaal ke tor par, bail market mein, qeemat bherne aur kam honay ke sath hi hajam barhna chahiye. agar, jaisa ke is muamlay mein, aitekaf ke douran hajam barhta hai, to yeh is baat ki nishandahi kar sakta hai ke rujhan badal raha hai kyunkay mazeed mayoosi pasand tajir market mein daakhil ho rahay hain .
7. 6. rujhanaat is waqt tak qaim rehtay hain jab tak ke koi numaya tabdeeli waqay nah ho jaye .
8. bunyadi rujhan ki tabdeeli ko sanwi rujhanaat ke liye ghalti se samjha ja sakta hai. dow theory ahthyat ka mahswara deti hai, is baat par israar karti hai ke mumkina ulat palat ki tasdeeq ki jaye. yeh batana mushkil hai ke reechh ki manndi mein izafah aik ulat hai ya aik mukhtasir really hai jis ke baad is se bhi kam nichli sthin ayen gi. .

Re: What is Dow Theory....? Explanation

AoA dear members, hope aap sab thk Hon gay and forex ko enjoy Kar rahay Hon gay.

DOW THEORY

Dow theory ka maqsad market ki primary ya major tabdelion ko find karna hy. Aik bar jab Koi trend qaim ho jata hy tab tak ye us wakt tak qaim rahy ga jab tak Koi reversal sabit na ho. Dow theory ka concern trend ki direction say hy and trend ky size ya value Kay bary main Koi forecast nai hy.



Dow Theory ka khyaal hy ky chonky stock prices short term hain to kisi had tak misleading ho sakti hain. Jabkay primary and secondary nai ho sakta. Minor trends ki Koi importance nai.



Theory ky mutabik Har primary trend ky 3 phase hain
1. accumulation phase, 2. public participation phase and 3. panic phase

Steps to determine the market trend using Dow Theory,
Approx 2 saal ka data lay Kar line chart main draw karna.
Tops and bottoms ko mark karna.
Qualify the tops and bottoms (ex :- Bottom, Higher Bottom, Top, higher Top)
Trend ko find karny ky liay sequence ko daikhna.
Dow theory ky mutabik financial market main 3 types ky trend hain
a primary trend, a secondary trend and minor trend


Primary trend market ka long-term trend hy that can last over the course of somewhat less than a year and up to 3 years.

Secondary trend general long-term trend ky opposite jata hy (primary trend) and ye usually 3 weeks and up to 3 months rehta hy.

Minor trend 3 weeks tak ho sakta hy and occurs within the secondary trend. Ye un fluctuations ko represent karta hy jo very short term main within secondary trend occur hoti hain.

Re: What is Dow Theory....? Explanation

Dow theory basically price ki kaarwai pr markooz hai.
Hukam Sirf ghair yaqeeni halaat ki tasdeek keliey use hota hai.
Hujam ko buniyaadi rujhaan ki simmat mein barhana chahiye.
Agr buniyaadi rujhaan neechy hai. To market mein kami k doraanHujam mein azaafa hona chahiye.
Nazria kehta hai k hr buniyaadi rujhaan k 3 steps hoty hain.
Jaama hony ka marhala,
Awaami shirkat ka marhala
Or ghabraahat ka marhala.

Principle of Dow theory:
Dow theory k 6 asool hain.
Jinhy aik Sath rakhny sy markets ki complete picture saamby aa jati hai.
Forex trader is ka ilam haasil kr k bht achi trading kr skty hain.
Shukria...