Simple Moving Average (SMA) Kia Hai?
Aik simple moving average (forex mein SMA) aik tool hai jis mein qeemat ki hudood aur ost haasil karne ke doraniye ki tadaad shaamil hoti hai. Trader aam tor par qeemat ki had ki numaindagi karne ke liye ikhtitami qeematein haasil karte hain. Simple moving average ( SMA forex ) moving average ki aqsam mein se aik hai. Is ki qeemat ka andaza muntakhib qeematon ko shaamil karkay aur raqam ko waqt ke hisaab se taqseem karkay lagaya ja sakta hai. Misaal ke tor par, aik trader ne security ki ikhtitami qeematon ko muntakhib kya hai aur un sab ko shaamil kya hai. Hisabi raqam ko adwaar ki tadaad se taqseem kya jata hai jis ke nateejay mein saada harkat ost qader hoti hai.
Mazeed bar-aan,moving average ka istemal qeemat mein tabdeelion par mukhtalif radd amal ka haamil hai. Yaad rakhen ke qaleel mudti ost khaas security ki qeematon mein honay wali tabdeelion par taizi se radd amal zahir karti hai. Doosri taraf, taweel mudti ost sust rad-e-amal zahir karti hai. Traders ko yeh bhi note karna chahiye ke sust harkat ost wahid qisam ki harkat pazeeri nahi hai balkay exponential moving average (EMA), waited moving average (WMA) aur bohat kuch hai
Mazeed yeh ke, aik simple moving average utaar charhao ko hamwar karne ki salahiyat rakhti hai jis se taajiron ko qeemat ke rujhan ka wazeh nazriya milta hai. Yaad rakhen ke jab saada moving average oopar ki taraf ishara karte hue dekha jata hai to security ki qeemat mein izafah hota hai. Doosri taraf, jab simple moving average neechay ki taraf ishara kar rahi ho to security ki qeemat kam ho rahi hai. Yeh baat bhi qabil tawajah hai ke aik hamwar saada moving average bananay ke liye, waqt ka frame jitna ziyada istemaal kya jana chahiye. Yeh nah bhulen ke kam mudti harkat pazeeri ost ke sath ziyada utaar charhao ka tajurbah kya jaye ga. Taham, is ka nateeja source data ko qareeb se zahir kar sakta hai.
Understanding Simple Moving Average
Forex mein SMA istemaal karte waqat samajhney ke liye do ahem points hain. Yahan darjazail hain:
1. Trading main Istemaal
Moving average traders mein un ke kaam ki wajah se barray pemanay par mashhoor hain: price trends aur pehlay se mojood trend mein mumkina tabdeelion ka taayun karen. SMA ke lehaaz se, is ka sab se aasaan kaam yeh shanakht karna hai ke aaya koi asasa oopar ke trends mein hai ya neechay ke trends mein. Mazeed bar-aan, paicheedgi ke lehaaz se, SMA ko mutadid saada simple moving average ke sath mawazna karne ke liye istemaal kya ja sakta hai jin mein se har aik ke mukhtalif time frame hain. Jab qaleel mudti saada moving average lambi se oopar payi jati hai to taajiron ko oopri trend ki tawaqqa ho sakti hai. Doosri taraf, jab taweel mudti simple moving average ko qaleel mudti ost se oopar dekha jata hai to taajiron ko kami ke rujhan ki tawaqqa ho sakti hai.
2. Trading Patterns
Forex mein saada moving average ke do Maroof trading patteren hain, golden cross aur death cross. Agar short term saada moving average long term moving average se oopar toot jaye to golden cross ban jaye ga. Trading tool volume ke zareya taqwiyat panay par yeh mumkina fawaid ka ishara day sakta hai. Doosri taraf, death cross is waqat bantaa hai jab 50-days ki saada moving average 200-days ki saada moving average se kam ho jati hai. Jab yeh trading pattern bantaa hai, trader nuqsaan ki tawaqqa kar satke hain.
SMA ka EMA k Sath Muwazena (Comparison)
SMA forex ka EMA se mawazna karte waqat, bunyadi farq un dono ki hsasit hai jab hisaab ke amal mein data mein tabdeelian hoti hain. Mazeed makhsoos honay ke liye, SMA shumaar ki jane wali tamam eqdaar ko masawi wazan faraham karta hai jabkay EMA taaza tareen qeematon ko ziyada wazan faraham karta hai. mamaslat ke lehaaz se, sma aur EMA dono ki aik hi terhan se tashreeh ki jati hai. Takneeki tajir bhi qeemat ke utaar charhao ko hamwar karne ke liye un dono ka istemaal karte hain.
Mazeed bar-aan, EMA sma ke muqablay mein taaza tareen qeemat mein honay wali tabdeelion par ziyada radd amal zahir karta hai kyunkay haliya data par puranay ke muqablay mein ziyada wazan ka itlaq hota hai. Is wajah se, EMA jo rehnumaye faraham karti hai woh ziyada waqat hai jo usay traders ke darmiyan SMA par aik tarjeehi tool banati hai.
Limitation of Simple Moving Average (SMA)
Is waqat, yeh abhi tak wazeh nahi hai ke aaya muddat mein haliya dinon ya ziyada daur ke adaad o shumaar par ziyada zor diya jana chahiye. Kuch traders ka pukhta yaqeen hai ke naya data mojooda trend ki behtar akkaasi faraham kere ga jaisa ke is ke sath chal raha hai. Kuch traders ka khayaal hai ke agar makhsoos tarikhon ko doosron par ziyada zor diya jaye to yeh trend6 mutasib hai. Taham, trader is baat se ittafaq karte hain ke sma puranay data par bohat ziyada munhasir ho gaya hai. is ki wajah 10 win ya 200 win din ke asraat ko pehlay ya dosray din ki terhan hi ilaaj karna shaamil hai.
Mazeed bar-aan, SMA tareekhi data par munhasir hai. Bohat se log sochte hain ke markitin pehlay hi kaafi data faraham karti hain. is ka matlab sirf yeh hai ke mushahida karne par dastyab maloomat ki akkaasi hoti hai. Agar aisa hai, to yeh nateeja akhaz kya ja sakta hai ke tareekhi data kisi asasay ki mumkina qeemat ki simat ke baray mein ahem maloomat faraham karne ke qabil nahi hai.