forex currencies correlation

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Forex Currencies Correlation

Forex correlation ya currency correlation traders ke liye yeh shanakht karne ka aik tareeqa hai ke aaya aik currency jore/forex jore ka issi terhan dosray currency jore k muqabele main naqal-o-harkat kia hai. Aik misbet correlation ki numaindagi currency ke do jore aik hi waqt mein oopar ya neechay jatay hain. Taham, agar aik currency ka jora dosray ke mukhalif harkat karta hai yani aik oopar jata hai aur dosra neechay jata hai, to usay manfi correlation ke naam se jana jata hai. Currency correlation ko na-sirf price k analysis karte waqt balkah kisi doosri commodities, stock ya tools k analysis karte waqat bhi monitor karna aur samjhna zaroori hai.

Correlated Currency Pairs

Currency ke jore apas mein kafi had tak correlated hote hen, jab bhi woh aik dosray par munhasir hote hen. Yeh uss waqat ho sakta hai jab har jore mein currencies aik jaisi hon ya aik jaisi hososeyat rakhne wali hon. Misaal ke tor par, EUR/USD aur GBP/USD dono mein USD aik aam factor ke tor par hota hai. Is ke oopri hissay mein euro-zone aur Bartania aik dosray ke sath trade karne wali economies k darmiyan qareebi tor par correlated hen. In awamil ki bunyad par ye currency pairs apas main aik strong correlation rakhte hen.
Is ka matlab hai ke agar USD sharah mubadla k tor par istemal hota hai to aap ko ziyada tar USD currency ke jore aik hi simat mein jatay hue nazar ayen ga, yani AUD/USD aur NZD/USD bhi aik positive correlated forex jora hoga. Taham aap yeh dekhen ge ke kuch positive correlated forex joron ka talluq kamzor ya mazboot hoga. Iss ki wajah yeh hai ke yeh tamam currencies allag allag economies hen, yeh sab mukhtalif cheesen sell karte hen aur mukhtalif tareeqon se sharah mubadla ko mutasir karti hain.

Non- Correlated Currencies

Currency k jore jo aik dosray k muqabele main open movement nahi karte hen. Yeh aam tor par uss waqt hota hai, jab do allag allag joron mein currencies bilkul mukhtalif hon ya bel-tarteeb mukhtalif economies se hon.
Misaal ke tor par, EUR/USD aur GBP/NZD, yeh dono currency ke jore non-correlated hen, kyunkay inn mein koi mushtareqa currency shaamil nahi hai aur yeh 4 allag allag economies hen, ( euro-zone, American, UK aur New Zealand). Iss ka matlab yeh hai ke aik currency jore k value main agar izzafa hota hai, to dosray k increase hone ka iss se koi talluq nahi hai.

Trading

Forex traders ya to apni trading ko hadge karne, apne risk ko increases ya decrease k correlation k zariye value peda karne k liye currency k correlation ka istemal karte hen. Currency correlation ko trading karne ke mukhtalif tareeqay hain.
Trader mumkina tor par apne munafe ko increase karne ke liye currency correlation ka istemaal karte hen. Misaal ke tor par, chunkay GBPUSD aur EURUSD positive tor par aapas mein correlated hen, aik trader correlation ko istemaal karne ke liye dono par long trading kar sakta hai.
Dosri taraf, trader ziyada risk se bach satke hen aur risk ko kam karne ke liye currency correlation ko istemaal karne ka intikhab kar satke hen. Misaal ke tor par, EURUSD par ziyada se ziyada position size rakhnay ke bajaye trading EURUSD par position size ka 50% aur GBPUSD par 50% taqseem kar sakti hai.
Mutabadil tor par, aik trader currency ke jore ki value ka andaza laganay ke liye correlation ka istemal kar sakta hai. Misaal ke tor par CAD jore Crude oil (WTI) ki qeematon se bohat ziyada marboot hai. Trader analysis kar sakta hai ke agar WTI ki qeematein increase hoti hai, to is baat ki tawaqqa hai, k CAD ki qeematein bhi increase sakti hen. lehaza, barah-e-raast correlation ki trading nah karen balkay un ke analysis mein correlation ka istemal karen.

Re: Forex Currencies Correlation

Forex Trading Correlation

Forex trading market me har cheez kisi na kisi had tak aik dosre se taluq rakhti hai, jab humen us k direction aur us ki mazboti ka pata lag jaye k ye kis had tak strong hai to ye humen bohut faida de sakti hai, ye hamari leye aik acha trading tool bhi ban sakta hai. Asal baat ye k aik trader kabhi bhi aik currency pair pe trade nahi karta, ye baat hamare leye bohut faidamand sabit ho sakti hai, jab humen ye pata chale ga k currency pairs apas me kis tarah chalte hen. Is k leye hum correlation analysis karte hen.
Correlation ka hisab (calculation) pricing data k zarye se hoti hai, aur ye number mukhtalif currency joron k darmeyan taluqat ka andaza lagane me madad kar sakti hai. Correlation k numbers kisi trader k leye bohut madadgar sabit ho sakte hen, aur us ki analysis asan bana sakti hai. Agar currency correlation ka sahi istemal kia jaye to ye waqat ki bachat, achi karkardagi aur training me karkard sabit hogi.

Correlation me 1, 0 aur -1 number

Correlation me high mutabiqat k 1 aur kam k leye zero ka istemal kia jata hai. Yani agar do mukhtalif currencies jore apas me bohut ziada qareeb taluq (positive correlated) ho to wo ya to 1 aur ya 1 k bohut qareeb hongi. Lekin agar do currency pair k darmeyan akhtelaf (negative correlation) hen to wo -1 ya -1 k bohut ziada qareeb hongi. Zero (0) yahan pe neutral ka kaam karta hai. Yani dono currency joron ka taluq acha bhi hai aur nahi bhi hai.

Positive Correlation

Agar do currency joro ka correlation apas me 1 ya us k qareeb hai to ye positive correlation hoga. 1 correlation hone ka maqsad hai k ye dono jore apas me 100% correlated hen, aik currency pair k up jane se dosra bhi lazmi up jayega. 1 correlation hona aik ideal baat hai, real me aisa mumkin nahi hai. NZD/USD aur AUD/USD apas me positive correlated hen jab k USD/CAD aur USD /CHF apas me positive correlated (taqreeban 0.95) hen.

Negative Correlation

Jab correlation ratio do currencies joron k darmeyan -1 ya -1 k qareeb hon to ye negative correlation ban jata hai. Negative correlation me bhi aik pair ka correlation mukamal -1 nahi hota, q k ye aik ideal number hai jis ka matlab hai k 100% correlated hona. GBP/USD ajr EUR/GBP ka strong negative correlation (taqreeban -90) hai.

Currency pairs and Commodities Correlation

Currencies pairs to bohut ziada apas me positive ya negative correlated hote hen, lekin financial market me currency ka commodities k sath bhi positive aur negative correlation ka taluq rehta hai. For example; agar gold ki market uper jati hai to AUD/USD currency jore ki qeematen bhi up jana shoro karti hai, yani Australian dollar ka gold k sath strong positive correlation hai. Lekin us k bar-aks American dollar ki value me kami waqea hoti hai, yani gold ka USD k sath negative correlation hai. Isi tarah agar Crude oil ki qeematen up jati hai to EUR/CAD currency pair down jana shoro karta hai, q k Crude oil ka CAD k sath positive correlation hai.