About Reversal Patterns
agar aap intra day tijarat karte hain to ulat phair aam hain aur kisi bhi waqt ho sakti hain, lekin agar aap taweel mudti tijarat karte hain to yeh taweel mudti waqeat bhi ho satke hain. ulat phair honay ke liye mukhtalif time frame dastyab hain, aur har aik –apne tor par aik khaas qisam ke tajir ke liye zaroori hai. market mein paanch minute ke intra day ki talaash mein taweel mudti sarmaya car ko is se koi farq nahi parta hai. doosri taraf, aik din ke tajir ke kamyaab honay ke liye paanch minute ka ulat jana ahem hai .
nichli oonchai aur nichli sthin Sabiqa ا aur nichli oonchaiyon ki jagah lena shuru kar deti hain, aur oopar ki taraf rujhan neechay ki taraf rujhan ban jata hai, aur stak market neechay ki taraf chalna shuru ho jati hai. aik manfi rujhan ko nichli oonchaiyon aur nichli sthon ki aik series se ziyada oonchaiyon aur onche ki tarteeb mein tabdeel kar ke oopar ki taraf mourr diya ja sakta hai .
Moving Averages ka istemaal market mein rujhanaat aur tabdeelion ko dekhnay ke liye kya ja sakta hai. agar qeemat barhti hui ost se neechay aati hai, to is baat ka aik acha mauqa hai ke qeemat palat jaye gi. doosri taraf, kuch tajir rujhanaat aur ulat phair ki nishandahi karne ke liye sirf qeemat ki harkat ke bajaye isharay istemaal karne ko tarjeeh dete hain .
Market mein ulat phair ka pata laganay ke liye trained lines ka istemaal kya ja sakta hai. aik trained line ho sakti hai kyunkay oopri nichale darjay ke oopri nasheeb se ounchay hotay hain. agar qeemat trained line se neechay jati hai, to rujhan tabdeel ho sakta hai .
Sarmaya kaari ziyada seedhi ho gi agar pas manzar ke shore ya mamooli aydjstmnt se ulat phair ko allag kya ja sakay. lekin haqeeqat yeh hai ke yeh sorat e haal nahi hai. qeemat ki naqal o harkat ya isharay ka istemaal karte hue tijarat karte waqt, ghalat isharay aur ulat phair itni taiz raftari se ho sakti hai ke tajir kaafi nuqsanaat ko roknay ke liye bar waqat rad-e-amal zahir nahi kar satke .
Maliyati mandiyon mein achanak mourr se bachna mushkil hai. qeematon mein rdobdl hamesha hota rahay ga, chahay misbet ho ya manfi, poori tareekh mein. agar aap ulat palat ko nazar andaaz karte hain, to aap –apne aap ko tawaqqa se ziyada khatray mein pa satke hain .
Jab ulat palat ya peechay hatna shuru hota hai, to un ke darmiyan farq batana mushkil ho sakta hai. pal bacchus qeemat ki harkatein hain jo rujhan ke mukhalif simt mein hoti hain. reversals qeemat ki harkatein hain jo rujhan ke mukhalif simt mein hoti hain. ulat palat aksar dosray tarteeb mein pal bacchus ki pairwi karte hain. ziyada soyng highs aur lower soyng lovs ki muddat ki nishandahi karne ke liye" up trained" ki istilaah istemaal karna munasib ho sakta hai. onche kmyan market mein ulat phair ka nateeja hain. taizi ka rujhan is waqt tak jari rahay ga jab tak ke tajir ki taraf se mushahida ki gayi muddat ke douran qeemat is se bhi nichli satah tak nah pahonch jaye, jis waqt yeh palat jaye gi. race shuru honay se pehlay yeh andaza laganay ka koi tareeqa nahi hai ke dono hareefon mein se kon kamyaab hoga .
Qeemat ulat jane se pehlay hi kaafi faasla tay kar sakti hai, jis ke nateejay mein tajir ke liye kaafi nuqsaan ya munafe mein kami waqay ho sakti hai. nateejay ke tor par, rujhan ke tajir aksar bazaar chore dete hain jab market un ke liye acha kaam kar rahi hoti hai. agar insidaad rujhan iqdaam ko is terhan se injaam diya jata hai, to is ka nateeja peechay hatnay ya rujhan ko tabdeel karne ki soorat mein nahi hoga. yeh na guzeer hai ke is amal mein kuch gumraah kin isharay tasleem kiye jayen ge. agarchay koi ishara ya qeemat ki harkat ulat jane ki nishandahi kar sakti hai, qeematein taizi se –apne puranay ghalib rujhan par bahaal ho jati hain .
kuch aqsam darj zail hain :
Double Top
Jab market doosri baar support ya muzahmat ki satah ko tornay mein nakaam ho jati hai, to usay double taap kaha jata hai. jab muzahmati satah ko tornay ki pehli koshish nakaam ho jati hai to m ki shakal ke rujhan ko tabdeel karna mumkin hai, jis ke nateejay mein doosri koshish hoti hai .
Gaps
Khala peda hota hai jab kisi asasa ki qeemat dramayi tor par mukhtalif hoti hai, jis ke nateejay mein tijarti sishnz ke darmiyan waqfa peda hota hai. break way gaps, run way gaps, aur thakan gaps, gaps ki teen sab se ziyada murawaja shakalain hain. aik rujhan break way gaps se shuru hota hai, is ke baad run way gaps, aur aakhir-kaar, thakan ke farq, jo baad mein peda hotay hain .
Head and Shoulders
Yeh namoonay market ki oonchai aur nichli satah ke douran dekhe jasaktay hain jab teen dhakkay hotay hain : aik ibtidayi chouti, is ke baad aik jo bohat barri hoti hai, aur teesra jo pehlay se mumasil hota hai .
agar aap intra day tijarat karte hain to ulat phair aam hain aur kisi bhi waqt ho sakti hain, lekin agar aap taweel mudti tijarat karte hain to yeh taweel mudti waqeat bhi ho satke hain. ulat phair honay ke liye mukhtalif time frame dastyab hain, aur har aik –apne tor par aik khaas qisam ke tajir ke liye zaroori hai. market mein paanch minute ke intra day ki talaash mein taweel mudti sarmaya car ko is se koi farq nahi parta hai. doosri taraf, aik din ke tajir ke kamyaab honay ke liye paanch minute ka ulat jana ahem hai .
nichli oonchai aur nichli sthin Sabiqa ا aur nichli oonchaiyon ki jagah lena shuru kar deti hain, aur oopar ki taraf rujhan neechay ki taraf rujhan ban jata hai, aur stak market neechay ki taraf chalna shuru ho jati hai. aik manfi rujhan ko nichli oonchaiyon aur nichli sthon ki aik series se ziyada oonchaiyon aur onche ki tarteeb mein tabdeel kar ke oopar ki taraf mourr diya ja sakta hai .
Moving Averages ka istemaal market mein rujhanaat aur tabdeelion ko dekhnay ke liye kya ja sakta hai. agar qeemat barhti hui ost se neechay aati hai, to is baat ka aik acha mauqa hai ke qeemat palat jaye gi. doosri taraf, kuch tajir rujhanaat aur ulat phair ki nishandahi karne ke liye sirf qeemat ki harkat ke bajaye isharay istemaal karne ko tarjeeh dete hain .
Market mein ulat phair ka pata laganay ke liye trained lines ka istemaal kya ja sakta hai. aik trained line ho sakti hai kyunkay oopri nichale darjay ke oopri nasheeb se ounchay hotay hain. agar qeemat trained line se neechay jati hai, to rujhan tabdeel ho sakta hai .
Sarmaya kaari ziyada seedhi ho gi agar pas manzar ke shore ya mamooli aydjstmnt se ulat phair ko allag kya ja sakay. lekin haqeeqat yeh hai ke yeh sorat e haal nahi hai. qeemat ki naqal o harkat ya isharay ka istemaal karte hue tijarat karte waqt, ghalat isharay aur ulat phair itni taiz raftari se ho sakti hai ke tajir kaafi nuqsanaat ko roknay ke liye bar waqat rad-e-amal zahir nahi kar satke .
Maliyati mandiyon mein achanak mourr se bachna mushkil hai. qeematon mein rdobdl hamesha hota rahay ga, chahay misbet ho ya manfi, poori tareekh mein. agar aap ulat palat ko nazar andaaz karte hain, to aap –apne aap ko tawaqqa se ziyada khatray mein pa satke hain .
Jab ulat palat ya peechay hatna shuru hota hai, to un ke darmiyan farq batana mushkil ho sakta hai. pal bacchus qeemat ki harkatein hain jo rujhan ke mukhalif simt mein hoti hain. reversals qeemat ki harkatein hain jo rujhan ke mukhalif simt mein hoti hain. ulat palat aksar dosray tarteeb mein pal bacchus ki pairwi karte hain. ziyada soyng highs aur lower soyng lovs ki muddat ki nishandahi karne ke liye" up trained" ki istilaah istemaal karna munasib ho sakta hai. onche kmyan market mein ulat phair ka nateeja hain. taizi ka rujhan is waqt tak jari rahay ga jab tak ke tajir ki taraf se mushahida ki gayi muddat ke douran qeemat is se bhi nichli satah tak nah pahonch jaye, jis waqt yeh palat jaye gi. race shuru honay se pehlay yeh andaza laganay ka koi tareeqa nahi hai ke dono hareefon mein se kon kamyaab hoga .
Qeemat ulat jane se pehlay hi kaafi faasla tay kar sakti hai, jis ke nateejay mein tajir ke liye kaafi nuqsaan ya munafe mein kami waqay ho sakti hai. nateejay ke tor par, rujhan ke tajir aksar bazaar chore dete hain jab market un ke liye acha kaam kar rahi hoti hai. agar insidaad rujhan iqdaam ko is terhan se injaam diya jata hai, to is ka nateeja peechay hatnay ya rujhan ko tabdeel karne ki soorat mein nahi hoga. yeh na guzeer hai ke is amal mein kuch gumraah kin isharay tasleem kiye jayen ge. agarchay koi ishara ya qeemat ki harkat ulat jane ki nishandahi kar sakti hai, qeematein taizi se –apne puranay ghalib rujhan par bahaal ho jati hain .
kuch aqsam darj zail hain :
Double Top
Jab market doosri baar support ya muzahmat ki satah ko tornay mein nakaam ho jati hai, to usay double taap kaha jata hai. jab muzahmati satah ko tornay ki pehli koshish nakaam ho jati hai to m ki shakal ke rujhan ko tabdeel karna mumkin hai, jis ke nateejay mein doosri koshish hoti hai .
Gaps
Khala peda hota hai jab kisi asasa ki qeemat dramayi tor par mukhtalif hoti hai, jis ke nateejay mein tijarti sishnz ke darmiyan waqfa peda hota hai. break way gaps, run way gaps, aur thakan gaps, gaps ki teen sab se ziyada murawaja shakalain hain. aik rujhan break way gaps se shuru hota hai, is ke baad run way gaps, aur aakhir-kaar, thakan ke farq, jo baad mein peda hotay hain .
Head and Shoulders
Yeh namoonay market ki oonchai aur nichli satah ke douran dekhe jasaktay hain jab teen dhakkay hotay hain : aik ibtidayi chouti, is ke baad aik jo bohat barri hoti hai, aur teesra jo pehlay se mumasil hota hai .