Fibonacci Retracement in forex:

WHAT IS FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT?




Fibonacci retracement forex trading mein istemal hone wala ek technique hai, jiske dwara sambhav support aur resistance levels ko pehchane ja sakte hai. Is technique ka istemal Fibonacci sequence par adharit hota hai, jisme har ek number pichle do numbers ka jod hota hai (jiase, 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, etc.). Forex trading mein, is sequence ki madad se price ke retracement ya direction ka ulta hone ki possibility wale mahatvapurn levels determine kiye jaate hai.




HOW TO USE FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT IN FOREX TRADING:




Fibonacci retracement ko forex trading mein istemal karne ke liye, aapko price chart par significant swing high aur swing low pehchanne ki zarurat hoti hai. Swing high ek bullish move ka peak hota hai, jabki swing low bearish move ka bottom hota hai. In points ko pehchanne ke baad, aap Fibonacci retracement tool ko chart par apply kar sakte hai.

Tool horizontal lines ka ek series, jise retracement levels kaha jata hai, draw karta hai. Ye levels indicate karte hai ki price kaha par reverse ho sakti hai ya fir consolidate ho sakti hai, usse pehle ke woh apne trend ko continue kare. Sabse commonly used retracement levels swing high aur swing low ke beech ki distance ka 38.2%, 50%, aur 61.8% hote hai.

Traders aksar Fibonacci retracement levels aur dusre technical indicators ya chart patterns ke beech me coincidence dhundte hai, take successful trade ki probability ko badhaye. Samaanaya ke liye, agar koi Fibonacci retracement level trendline ya pehle wale support ya resistance level ke saath milta hai, toh woh ek majboot support ya resistance level ke roop mein kaam karta hai.




FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT EXTENSIONS:




Retracement levels ke alawa, Fibonacci extensions bhi ek aur technique hai jo traders forex trading mein istemal karte hai. Fibonacci extensions ka istemal price targets ya swing high ya swing low ke aage ki potential areas ko estimate karne ke liye kiya jata hai.

Sabse commonly used Fibonacci extension levels swing high aur swing low ke beech ki distance ka 61.8%, 100%, 161.8%, aur 261.8% hote hai. Ye levels indicate karte hai ki price significant retracement ya correction ke baad kaha tak pahunch sakti hai.

Traders aksar Fibonacci extension levels ko dusre technical tools jaise trendlines ya chart patterns ke saath istemal karte hai, take profit-taking ke potential areas ya reversal points ko pehchane.




USING FIBONACCI CLUSTERS:




Fibonacci clusters woh areas hote hai jahan price chart par multiple Fibonacci retracement ya extension levels ek saath hote hai. Ye clusters ek majboot support ya resistance level ke roop mein kaam karte hai aur price ke reversal ya consolidation ki possibility ko badhate hai.

Traders Fibonacci clusters ko trade enter ya exit karne ke potential areas ke roop mein consider karte hai. Samaanaya ke liye, agar multiple Fibonacci retracement levels alag-alag swing highs aur swing lows se milte hai, aur sath hi sath Fibonacci extension level se bhi milte hai, toh woh signify karta hai ki woh ek majboot area hai jahaan price reverse ya consolidate ho sakti hai.

Traders Fibonacci clusters ko dusre technical indicators ya chart patterns ke saath combine kar sakte hai, take successful trade ki probability ko badhaye.




LIMITATIONS OF FIBONACCI RETRACEMENT:




Fibonacci retracement trading mein bahut istemal hone wala ek tool hai, lekin iski limitations ko acknowledge karna zaroori hai. Fibonacci retracement levels subjective hote hai aur swing high aur swing low ke selection par depend karte hai. Alag-alag traders significant highs aur lows ka alag interpretation kar sakte hai, jiski wajah se Fibonacci retracement levels mein variations ho sakte hai.

Is ke ilawa, Fibonacci retracement ke satah puri tarah kaamyaab nahi hote aur sirf trading faislon ke liye eklela asbab ke tarjumani ka bharosa nahi karna chahiye. Traders ko hamesha Fibonacci retracement ko dusre technical analysis tools aur indicators ke sath istemal karna chahiye, ta ke support aur resistance ke mumkin satah ko tasdeeq kiya ja sake.

Ikhtitam mein, Fibonacci retracement forex trading mein support aur resistance ke mumkin satah ka pata lagane ke liye aik qeemati aala hai. Is ka asal bunyadi tariqa Fibonacci sequence pe hai aur aksar dusre technical analysis tools aur chart patterns ke sath istemal kiya jata hai. Traders ko is ke hadood ka ilm hona chahiye aur ise aik masbate trading strategy ka hissa ke taur pe istemal karna chahiye.

Assalamu Alaikum Dosto!

Fibonacci Retracement

Support aur resistance levels set karna traders ke liye aksar masla hota hai. Yeh khaas tor par takleef daayak hota hai jab shuruwat se hi chart par inhe kahan pe rakhna hai yeh samajhna mushkil ho jata hai: koi soch sakta hai ke achhe points plot karne ke liye koi maujood nahi hai, aur behtar hai ke kisi aur time frame ko chunna ho. Phir chart rukh badalne lagta hai - aur woh support jo abhi plot kiya gaya tha woh resistance ban jata hai.

Yahan foran aik sawaal uthta hai: "Naye support kahan banayein aur uska intezaar kitna karein?"

Aakhir mein, breakout hota hai: trader ko do chart peaks aur do maximum declines saaf dikhne lagte hain, jinse woh horizontal levels saaf taur par banata hai. Agla raaz yeh hai ke in levels ke operation ka tajziya samajhna jab price unse asal mein hatkar upar ya neeche jaati hai.
Mazboot trading lines seekhne ka agla marhala Fibonacci retracement se milta hai. Yeh kuch horizontal levels ka grid hota hai jo agar sahi taur par draw kiye gaye hon toh real-time mode mein price ke rise aur fall ke stages ko dikhata hai. Yeh iska matlab hai ke yeh batata hai ke price kitna door ja sakta hai, kahan tak pullback ho sakta hai, aur kis level se woh initial direction mein move karna shuru kar sakta hai.
Is tarah se, ek hi baar mein kai levels ko chart par set karne ka tareeqa sikhaya ja sakta hai, jin ke beech mein price move karegi.

Fibonacci Numbers Mein Golden Ratio

Fibonacci retracement ek chart par ek movement mein draw kiye gaye horizontal levels ka grid hai. Is indicator ke liye bunyad 9 sadiyon pehle milti hai. Aapne suna hoga golden ratio principle ke baare mein. Yeh wahi mathematical formula hai jo is indicator mein istemal hota hai aur aapko Fibonacci numbers trading mein istemal karne ki anumati deta hai.
Is theory ko mathematician Leonardo of Pisa ne develop kiya tha. Shuruwat mein, unhone rabbits ke baare mein ek sawaal hal karna chaha: "Agar aap ek pair ko band kamre mein rakh dete hain, toh 12 mahine mein kitne pairs paida honge?"

Milne wala jawab ek ajeeb si shreni ke numbers ka tha: 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, 21, 34, 55, 89, 144, 233, 377, 610, 987. Har agla number is chain mein pichle do numbers ka jama hota hai.

Fibonacci numbers trading mein kuch dilchasp khasiyat rakhte hain, jo yeh sabit karta hai ke Leonardo ne kuch legendry dhundh liya hai. Toh agar hum har ek number ko usse pehle wale se divide karenge, toh result hamesha 1.618 hoga - golden ratio (Phi number). For example, 610 ko 377 se divide karne par 1.618 milega. Khud try kijiye! Kya zarurat hai ke sab kuch nature mein, jaise ke pata chala, golden ratio principle par based ho!

Fibonacci Retracement Kaise Read Karen?

Fibonacci retracement ka main khaasiyat directed price movement ki taqat ko dikhana hai. Yani, yeh ek spasht trend hona chahiye: sideways, flat movement is indicator ke liye suitable nahi hota.
Standard Fibonacci retracement ke ek chart par shamil che levelon ki har ek apni khaasiyat aur attribute hoti hai. Agar sahi taur par banaya gaya hai, toh yeh lines aapko milne wale signals ko interpret karne mein madad karegi aur trade mein dakhil hone ke liye sabse munasib waqt ko tay karne mein madad karegi.

• Level 1: 23.6%
  Yeh lower Fibonacci line hai. Is ke paas, price chart thamne lagegi aur trend ke saath itni tezi se nahi chalegi. Iska natija yeh ho sakta hai ke chart par thoda pullback ho jaye. Anubhavi traders ke tajziyeh ke mutabiq, is coefficient mein aksar price ke liye koi maayne nahi hai, aur jald hi trend jari rahega. Is level ko ek indicator ke taur par istemal kiya ja sakta hai ke grid sahi hai. Abhi positions kholna behtar nahi hai kyunki yeh unclear hai ke price kaise behave karegi, abhi koi strong confirmations nahi hain.
• Level 2: 38.2%
  Is Fibonacci retracement zone mein, aam taur par trend ke direction mein trades shuru ho jati hain. Maan lijiye ke price ne pehla level cross kar diya hai aur reverse nahi hua. Yeh trend ki taqat dikhata hai aur traders ko yeh conclusion nikalne mein madad karta hai ke chart shayad kam se kam do aur levels ko chun kar trend ke direction mein jaayega. Bas yeh dhyan rahe ke chart 38.2% Fibonacci line tak pahunchne aur use cross karne ka intezaar kare. Yeh ek munasib signal hai orders place karne ke liye. Zaroori hai ke aap 50% level ke aas-pass Take Profit aur 76.4% ke aas-pass Stop Loss set karein. Yeh yaad rakhein ke Fibonacci retracement hamesha kaam nahi karta. Koi trading strategy aapko profit guarantee nahi karti.
• Level 3: 50%
  Agar trend itna mazboot nahi tha, toh jab woh teesre level tak pahunchta hai, toh isse bahar nikalne mein saksham nahi hota, yahan ek resistance level banta hai. Traders is level ko sabse dhyan se dekhte hain, kyunke agar price ise reverse karta hai, toh do options hote hain: ya toh chart pehle aur teesre level ke beech mein movement karega ya phir Fibonacci retracement aur subsequent movement trend ke direction mein. Phir woh apne status ko mazboot bana leta hai.
• Level 4: 61.8%
  Jab ek mazboot trend is level tak pahunchta hai, toh iske reverse hone ka achha mauka hota hai. Lekin agar woh yahan tak pakad leta hai aur fourth Fibonacci line ko cross karta hai, toh yeh iska matlab hai ke aap trades place kar sakte hain general movement ke direction mein. Yeh bahut sambhav hai ke itne confident trend ke peeche big players hain jo market mein aaye hain. Ya phir - ek ke baad ek fundamental news aati hai, jo is movement ko push karti hai aur ise confirm karti hai.
• Level 5: 76.4%
  Yeh ek bahut aam mark hai Stop Loss aur Take Profit set karne ke liye. Is level par pahunchne par, bahut se trades band ho jayenge aur ek noticeable price pullback ho sakta hai. Lekin agar trend is correction ko survive kar leta hai, toh itihaasik data ke mutabiq, iske dobara jane aur 100% level ko conquer karne ke liye achhe chances hote hain.
• Level 6: 100%
  Agar trend itna confident hai ke woh Fibonacci retracement ke last level tak pahunch gaya hai, toh aapko reverse aur naye trend ke liye tayyar rehna chahiye. Shayad yeh turant na ho, lekin kuch samay ke baad price aam taur par reverse karti hai. Potentially, ek opposite direction mein pending order trigger ho sakta hai. Zaroori hai ke aap iske sath Stop Loss aur Take Profit levels set karein.

Experienced traders jo ne apne trading mein baar-baar Fibonacci numbers ka istemal kiya hai, woh apne aap horizontal lines banaane lagte hain, haath se, unhe 'by eye' rakh kar. Traders ka kehna hai ke market ek zinda structure hai aur nazriyat ke levels hamesha poori tasveer ko reflect nahi karte aur bahut achhe taur par kaam nahi karte. Yeh ek mukhlis point hai: yeh koi guarantee nahi hai ke haath se banayi gayi Fibonacci retracement theoretical levels se zyada sahi hogi.
Is tareeqe ka kisi bhi buraaniq qatil hai, jo Fibonacci retracement ke istemal se koi faida nahi utha paaye, jo ke support aur resistance levels ko prefer karte hain. Yeh sirf chart par impose nahi kiye jaate hain, balki specifically Japanese candlesticks ke do upper aur lower sides par draw kiye jaate hain. Yani ke woh current picture aur power balance ko madde nazar rakhte hain.

Agar aapko lagta hai ke stretched Fibonacci retracement juda hua hai, aur real chart alag hai, aur woh kisi bhi tareeqe se ek doosre se relate nahi karte hain, toh kuch wajahen ho sakti hain:

• Aapne retracement ko galat dhang se draw kiya hai;
• Chart par abhi trend nahi hai (aur yeh ek trend indicator hai);
• Trend hai, lekin uski taqat, aur market volatility ki bhi taqat, hasil karne ke liye kaafi nahi hai.

Is dafa Fibonacci indicator ko support aur resistance levels ya doosre indicators jaise ke SMA aur Stochastic ke saath badal kar dekhein.

Fibonacci Retracement Kaise Draw Karein?

Sabse pehle, humein is indicator ki asalat samajhni chahiye. Fibonacci retracement ko bhi price correction levels kaha jata hai. Iska matlab hai ke chart in levels se guzarta hai, ek certain level tak pohochta hai, uske saath takraata hai, aur thoda sa pullback karta hai (ya toh peechle level tak ya us tak nahi pohochta).
Toh, Experienced traders current trend ke khilaaf, pullback par trades kholne ki salahiyat nahi dete hain, kyun ke har correction ki gehraai poori tarah se be-tahadud hai aur yeh market mein maujood momentary supply aur demand par poori tarah depend karta hai. Aur Fibonacci retracement ke breakout ke zariye khaas trend continuation signals hasil karna, yeh ek position kholne ka zyada saaf wajah hai. Yeh dohrana zaroori hai ke koi bhi trading strategy kisi bhi nateejey ki guarantee nahi deti.
Toh, aghaz mein, aap ye tay karte hain ke chart par kaisa trend hai: sideways, upward, ya downward. Sirf last two options Fibonacci retracement ke placement ke liye suitable hote hain.
Agar aap ek uptrend ke saamne hain, toh aap chart par se woh minimum point dhoondhte hain jahan se price up gayi thi. Agar trend downward hai, toh aap woh maximum point dhoondhte hain jahan se chart downward ja raha hai. Aap Fibonacci retracement ko is selected Japanese candle ke extreme side se pull karenge.
Aapko toolbar ke top menu mein indicator milega: Insert - Fibonacci - Retracement. Ab, left mouse button ko dabayein aur grid ko price reversal level tak bahar kheenchain (correction ka moment). Yehan 100% level hoga. Internal Fibonacci levels par dhyan dekar, aap forecast bana sakte hain ke price kab decide karegi ke dobara reverse karna hai aur trend ko jaari rakhna hai. Yeh mashwara diya jata hai ke aap is indicator ke saath do time frames mein kaam karein: lower (M30 ya H1) aur higher (masalan, H4).
Agar aap ek downtrend ke saamne hain, toh aapko maximum price level dhoondhna hoga aur grid ko, left mouse button daba kar, chart ki correction tak kheenchana hoga. Yeh ho sakta hai ke aapko turant, ankh se, kuch moments nazar aayein jahan price ne already pullback kiya hua hai, aur phir taqat bana kar apne trend ke direction mein jaari raha hai.
Phir Fibonacci retracement ko alag taur par set kiya ja sakta hai: pehle price pullback ka mark 23.6%; doosra - 38.2%; teesra - 50%. Baqi ke levels khud hi set ho jaenge. Yeh critical hai ke aap position ko turant kholen jab price ne ek level ko touch kiya hai, ya aur zyada so jab woh usse opposite direction mein move karna shuru karta hai. Yahan ek bohot patli line hoti hai jab trader ki takabbur market ke dabao aur be-tahadud supply aur demand par nahi tik sakta.
Fibonacci retracement ke signals ko confirm karne ke liye mukhya madadgar support aur resistance levels hote hain, sath hi reversal aur trend continuation candlestick patterns bhi. Aap apne trading platform par ek hi asset ke chaar chart windows khol sakte hain. Pehla window ek lower time frame hogi jisme Fibonacci retracement hogi. Dusra window ek higher time frame hogi jisme grid hogi, aur in dono charts ke neeche bhi bilkul waise hi honge, lekin indicators ke bina (support/resistance levels ke alawa). In par aap candlestick patterns ko apni taza ankhon se dekh sakte hain: yeh zyada comfortable hai kyun ke indicators aapko overall picture mein tang nahi karenge. Is tarah se aap trend ke continuation ke baare mein zyada soch samajh kar aur confidently faislay kar sakte hain. Zaroori hai ke aise strategic combination ko demo account par test karein.

Fibonacci Retracement Kaise Trade Karein?

Experienced traders ka khayal hai ke Fibonacci retracement ka istemal bina market context ko madde nazar rakhe karna bohot hi overconfident hai. Isliye woh chart par 'swings' yaani ke teen Japanese candles ke combinations ko dhoondhte hain, jisme jo candles right aur left hain woh chart ke highs ko indicate karte hain (up trend ke case mein), ya jo candles right aur left hain woh chart ke lows ko indicate karte hain (downtrend ke case mein). Yeh additional taur par current trend ka reversal bhi dikhata hai.

• Uptrend Mein
  Fibonacci retracement ka istemal uptrend par karne ka maana hai ke aap grid ko bottom se top tak stretch karenge: 0 neeche aur 100 upar. Price lined levels tak pohochegi, peechle Fibonacci line tak down hokar usse rebound karegi, aur apne raaste ko trend ke direction mein aage badhayegi.
  
  Swing reversal pattern forme hone tak:
  • candle se, jo apne maximum level tak pohochi thi;
  • dusri koi candle;
  • aur ek aur high.
  
  
  Aisa swing zyada tarah 50%, 61.8%, 78.6%, ya 100% ke aas-pass hone ke zyada chances hain. Yani ke price ek invisible chhat ko todne ki koshish kar rahi hai, lekin yeh usme fail ho jaata hai. Agla red candle global chart reversal ka signal ho sakta hai.
• Downtrend Mein
  Ek ulta mirror situation downtrend ke saath. Recomendations ke mutabiq, Fibonacci retracement ka istemal downtrend par karne ka maana hai ke aap grid ko top se bottom tak stretch karenge: 0 upar aur 100 neeche.
  
  Aapko teen-candle swing pattern ke forme hone ka intezaar karna chahiye:
  • woh jo chart ka low hoga;
  • doosri koi;
  • aur teesri, jo bhi chart ke low ko test karegi.