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Thread: Hotforex.com - Market Analysis and News.

  1. #531 You can automatically minimize the read posts in your account in the 'Forum Settings'
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    Date : 11th January 2022.

    Market Update January 11 Directionless Dollar Ahead of Powell.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    Some of the more intense selling pressure seen so far in 2022 took a break this morning. Indeed, though Wall Street opened with sharp declines, the major indexes rebounded through the afternoon and the USA100 managed a modest 0.05% gain. The USA500 was -0.14% lower at the end of the day, while the USA30 lost -0.45%. Bonds traded mixed, as Treasury yields corrected slightly after the move higher in the wake of stronger than expected data yesterday.

    Fed remarks: Little insight with no mention of the policy plans. Powell reiterated the economy is expanding at its fastest pace in many years and the labor market is strong, while facing persistent supply and demand imbalances with the resulting jump in inflation taking its toll. That outlook was the underpinning for the shift toward tightening policy sooner than later. He also stressed the Fed will use its tools to support the economy and the labor market.

    * USD (USDIndex 95.82) slips from yesterdays 96.22 high from temporary yields support.
    * Goldman Sachs expects the Federal Reserve to raise rates four times this year, one more than previously forecast.
    * US Yields 10-yr rose to an almost 2-year high above 1.8% overnight, but provided only muted support for the Greenback.- 1.759% currently.
    * Today, treasuries cheapened further with the front end underperforming as more hawkish Fed bets were made on the heels of Goldman Sachs outlook. The advent of Chair Powells Senate Banking Committee hearing today has also added to the weakness amid uncertainties whether he would push back against the markets views on the FOMC and concomitant selloff. The upcoming $52 bln 3-year auction also weighed.
    * Equities in the red, with the USA100 leading the way USA100 at 15638. Topix and JPN225 lost -0.4% and -0.9%, the ASX corrected -0.8%, and mainland China bourses are also in the red, while the Hang Seng essentially moved sideways. GER30 and UK100 futures, however, are up 0.3%.
    * USOil up at 78.40.
    * Gold north for a 3rd day at $1808.
    * FX markets EURUSD at 1.1334, USDJPY at 115.27, Cable steady at 1.3595.

    European Open The March 10-year Bund future is fractionally higher, underperforming versus Treasury futures. In cash markets US bonds have also found a footing after being pressured by stronger than expected data yesterday. The ECB is struggling to assure consumers that they are not blind to the uptick in inflation, although the central bank risks falling behind the curve.

    Today Fed Chair Powells testimony headlines today. Along with Powell, there is also Fedspeak from Mester and George (Bullards discussion on policy and the economy was postponed). The only data on tap is the NFIB small business optimism index. Wednesday brings the main event, CPI.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) CADJPY (+0.33%) Rebounded to 91.13 reversing nearly half of this weeks losses. MAs currently flat, MACD signal line & histogram below 0 line. RSI 51, Stochastics started rising.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

    Though trading on financial markets involves high risk, it can still generate extra income in case you apply the right approach. By choosing a reliable broker such as InstaForex you get access to the international financial markets and open your way towards financial independence. You can sign up here.


  2. #532 You can automatically minimize the read posts in your account in the 'Forum Settings'
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    Date : 12th January 2022.

    Market Update January 12 Not as hawkish as priced in.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    Fed Powell, Mester and George, along with a 3-year auction added to the action in the markets. This saw yields pick up, and equities retreat. Commodities also caught a boost and oil touched pre-Omicron highs in Asia.

    Powell confirmed the shift to normalization and stressed the Fed will fight inflation aggressively, but also indicated liquidity would not be pulled back anytime soon.

    FOMC would use its tool to ensure price pressures would not become entrenched, and would act aggressively if necessary..Fed Chair Powell said inflation could last into mid-2022 , while the Committee has not made any decisions on the timing of raising rates and allowing the balance sheet to shrink. He promised more clarity on that is coming soon.

    * USD (USDIndex 95.50) 6-weeks low on less hawkish Powell than expected, while data indicate more room for policy easing in China. China CPI inflation slowed to 1.5% y/y in December from 2.3% y/y.
    * Treasury yields are richer, with the US Yields 10-yr closing at 1.745%, and though the 2-year was only fractionally lower at 0.895%, it has managed to hold below the 0.90% level since March 2, 2020.
    * Equities a drop in rates, saw yields up and helped underpin Wall Street where the USA100 outperformed with a 1.4% gain for the day, its best since December 21. The USA500 rallied 0.92%, and the USA30 was up 0.5%. JPN225 rose about 2%. Equities moved higher in Japan and Australia, with tech leading the rise once again.
    * BoJs Kuroda: Japans inflation is set to accelerate gradually, and the Japanese economy is picking up as a trend.
    * Boeing and Salesforce.com led the USA30, while Illumina topped the USA500, up 14% after giving better 2022 revenue guidance. The energy sector rallied 3%, while utilities were down 1%.
    * USOil up at 81.06 & UKOIL at 83.98.
    * Gold -spiked to $1823.
    * BTC steady close to at $40,000 support.
    * FX markets EURUSD at 1.1360, USDJPY steady at 115.30, Cable at 2-month high at 1.3645. UK overcoming a wave of COVID-19 cases led by Omicron & priced in a nearly 80% chance of BoE rate hike in February.

    European Open The GER30 future is up 0.3%, the UK100 future 0.6%, as markets remain in full risk on mood ahead of key US inflation data. Fed Chairman Powell yesterday seemed to provide some reassurance by sticking to the script. That will likely bring the German 10-year rate closer to lifting out of negative territory, as the ECB is still trying to reassure consumers that it is still committed to keeping inflation at bay, while at the same time trying to keep spreads in. A difficult balancing act that will get harder in the coming months.

    Today The December CPI headlines today. Results in line with forecasts would leave annual rates at a 7.0% y/y pace for the headline, a fresh 39-year high and besting that set in November at 6.8% y/y, and 5.4% y/y for the core versus 4.9% y/y, and a new 30-year high.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) USDCAD (-0.10%) Pullback to 1.4268 extending to Novembers low area. Fast MAs keep sliding lower, MACD signal line & histogram turned below 0 line. RSI 38 and sloping lower, Stochastics entered OS area.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

    Though trading on financial markets involves high risk, it can still generate extra income in case you apply the right approach. By choosing a reliable broker such as InstaForex you get access to the international financial markets and open your way towards financial independence. You can sign up here.


  3. #533 You can automatically minimize the read posts in your account in the 'Forum Settings'
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    Date : 13th January 2022.

    Market Update January 13.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    Trading was lackluster on Wednesday and consolidative mid-week as the markets equilibrate to the new reality with the FOMC on the move to normalize. Sentiment has turned cautious again and Asian equity markets are narrowly mixed at the moment, with indices struggling to add to yesterdays gain. Chinese tech stocks retreated after jumping yesterday and troubles at Chinas property firms have come back in focus ahead of a wave of key payments.

    * USD (USDIndex 94.80) dips breaking the 2-months range inflation ( the biggest jump since June 1982) didnt surprise and kept intact expectations for the Feds tapering or timeline for the first rate rise as early as March.
    * US Yields 10-yr at 1.74%.
    Chinese property developer Sunac China Holdings Ltd plans to raise HK$4.52 billion ($580.09 million) from a share sale for repayment of loans and general corporate purposes
    * Real estate developers extend declines in afternoon trading amid a Bloomberg report that several of the nations biggest banks have become more selective about funding real estate projects by local government financing vehicles.
    Equities -Topix and JPN225 meanwhile are down -0.7% and -1% respectively. The ASX managed to move up 0.5%, but Hang Seng and CSI 300 are down -0.07% and -1.4% respectively
    * USOil slips at 81.58 from 82.40 highs, after EIA inventory data showed fuel demand has taken a hit from Omicron.
    * Gold -steady above $1820, as the US dollar and Treasury yields retreated after inflation data reinforced the need for quicker interest rate hikes.
    * Prime Minister Boris Johnson apologised for attending a party in the Downing Street garden during a coronavirus lockdown.
    * FX markets EURUSD at 1.1449, USDJPY steady at 115.30, Cable at 1.3711,the pound generally supported amid signs that PM Johnson managed to survive yet another scandal.

    European Open The March 10-year Bund future is down -8 ticks, US futures are also lower. In cash markets the 10-year Treasury has pared earlier gains and is unchanged on the day at 1.74% at the moment. Stocks mostly corrected in Asia, with the rally in tech stocks running out of steam after a cautious close higher on Wall Street yesterday. Central bank moves and virus developments remain in focus and while GER30 and UK100 futures are posting fractional gains, U.S. futures are broadly lower.

    Today The data calendar today bring December PPI and weekly jobless claims. There are some ECB speakers scheduled.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) NZDUSD (+0.44%) extends above R1, to 0.6880 high. Fast MAs alighed higher, with MACD rising, RSI at 74 and stochastics sloping northwards.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

    Though trading on financial markets involves high risk, it can still generate extra income in case you apply the right approach. By choosing a reliable broker such as InstaForex you get access to the international financial markets and open your way towards financial independence. You can sign up here.


  4. #534 You can automatically minimize the read posts in your account in the 'Forum Settings'
    MT5 Addict
    I am:
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    HFblogNews is on a distinguished road HFblogNews's Avatar
    Join Date
    Oct 2014
    Posts
    481
    Accumulated bonus
    0 USD (What is this?)
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    Thanked 22 Times in 21 Posts
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    Date : 14th January 2022.

    Market Update January 14 USD longs trimmed positions.


    Trading Leveraged Products is risky

    The market has well priced in elevated inflation and an all but assured March rate liftoff, hence taking in stride a record clip in core PPI at 8.3% y/y and the drop in continuing jobless claims to 1,559k, the lowest since before the pandemic. Markets trimmed long positions and deemed, for now, that several US rate hikes this year are fully priced in.

    * USD (USDIndex 94.73) found a floor above 94.50.
    * US Yields 10-yr has lifted 2.0 bp to 1.72% overnight, as hawkish Fedspeak continued to fuel tightening speculation. Fed Brainard acknowledged that she too could vote for a March rate hike.
    * The Bank of Korea added to the hawkish tone by hiking the key rate to 1.25% from 1.00% and signalling that more moves could be on the way. Bank of Japan is deliberating how it can start telegraphing an eventual rate hike. Yen on bid.
    * Chinas trade data showed a marked slowdown in both export and import growth.
    * Equities tightening speculation has put pressure on stocks. GER30 and UK100 are down -0.4%. USA100 dropped -2.5%, JPN225 corrected -1.3%.
    * UK economy stronger than expected before Omicron. Monthly GDP data for November were a positive surprise, with a rise of 0.9% m/m that compensated somewhat for the disappointing October reading.
    * USOil at 81.68 after 80.75 bottom, amid concerns on Chinese fuel demand & whether US government will act to cool oil prices.
    * Gold & Silver best weekly rise since November remains however below the key $1835 barrier.
    * FX markets EURUSD at 1.1482, USDJPY down at 113.63, Cable at 1.3725.

    European Open The March 10-year Bund future is down -6 ticks, broadly in line with moves in Treasury futures, while both the Schatz and the 30-year futures outperformed. The UK already signalled that virus measures will be relaxed further in coming weeks, which will add to the arguments of the hawkish camp at the BoE.

    Today Headlining is the ECB Lagarde speech and US December retail sales report.



    Biggest FX Mover @ (09:30 GMT) AUDJPY (-0.40%) breaks below 20-day SMA at 82.60 (50-DMA). Fast MAs aligned lower, with MACD lines negatively configured, RSI at 36 but stochastics pointing higher suggesting correction.

    Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business.

    Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report.

    Click HERE to access the full HotForex Economic calendar.

    Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE!

    Click HERE to READ more Market news.

    Andria Pichidi
    Market Analyst
    HotForex

    Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.

    Though trading on financial markets involves high risk, it can still generate extra income in case you apply the right approach. By choosing a reliable broker such as InstaForex you get access to the international financial markets and open your way towards financial independence. You can sign up here.


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