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Thread: EUR/USD

     
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    2022-01-24   04:22
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    Daily time frame analysis:
    Hello my all friends good morning the EUR/USD market last week was still experiencing a bearish movement as a resistance from the previous weeks bullish trend. Until now, the bearish movement of the EUR/USD currency pair managed to leave the previous weeks highest level at 1.1483. When this live trading discussion was updated, the EUR/USD price position was still running around the 1.1335 level. The movement of the EUR/USD currency pair for the last few weeks is still in a bullish condition and last week reversed downwards. The EUR/USD currency pair is estimated to have the potential to return to a bearish move and for this weeks trading, the market may still be under the control of sellers who are trying to push prices to lower levels. If this attempt is successful, the EUR/USD currency pair has a better chance of aiming for the next bearish target at the level of 1.1200, but if it fails, then the price will move bullish again to the level of 1.1450.
    Attachment 456911
    H4 time frame analysis:
    On the price will be corrected first at the level of 1.1330 on the red line indicator, which is also approaching the 200 moving average indicator. Later here, I will wait for the price to move where it can go up again or break the indicator. With the possibility that if the indicator breaks down and moreover has broken through the previous support, namely at the level of 1.1310, my prediction is that the price will move down with a target at the level of 1.1270 because this is the support area that I saw on H4 time frame the check indicator itself crossed and I think it is still going strong again.
    Attachment 456914

    The attachment
    2022-01-20   10:24
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    Hi, everyone!

    According to the four-hour chart, the euro/dollar pair completed its bullish correction, which began after the price reached the support level of 1.1320.
    As a result, the pair can reach only the 14-day moving average. It is a good sign for bears and meets our minimum expectations.
    However, I consider the resistance level of 1.1385 as the highest level of the pairs possible upward movement. Given that the market is awaiting the Fed meeting, I think there may be very unreasonable speculative moves in the market. Therefore, this target is still relevant. Nevertheless, I hope that bears will take the lead and drag the euro down so that the price could break through support at around 1.1320 and then head for the support level of 1.1290.
    It can be seen from the trading chart that the pair is moving downwards. The quotes are trading below the lower boundary of the Ichimoku Cloud and still below the 14-day moving average. Besides, the quotes are heading towards the lower band of the TMA indicator. If the pair breaks through this level, it will enter the area of active sales. It means that the pair's decline will only accelerate.
    Fundamentally, the US treasury supports the US dollar as it yields to continue to rise on expectations of the Feds interest rate hikes. Therefore, the most likely scenario suggests a continued downward movement in the euro/dollar pair.

    The attachment
    2022-01-19   16:53
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    EUR/USD H4 time frame analysis:

    Hello my all friends good night EUR/USD pair, which since Monday is still moving in a downtrend phase and last night the downward movement looked quite strong. According to the H4 time frame chart below, it can be seen that the downtrend last night was able to go down to 1.1315. Today the price of EUR/USD has risen slightly to the position of 1.1327.The condition of the market that tends to move down indicates the possibility of continued movement in the direction of the downtrend because since last Monday the EUR/USD pair has also moved downwards. So if you look at the market trend conditions on the H4 time frame, my prediction for the EUR/USD pair still has the power to move the price to a lower position. The RSI indicator, which still shows a reading below the 50 level, is a signal of bearish conditions in the EUR/USD market.
    Attachment 455157

    EUR/USD M15 analysis:

    EUR/USD in my opinion, if I immediately open an sell entry now it feels like it will be floating later, so I will wait for the price to go up until the price is 1.1476 and then I will open sell later, even though in fact my analysis using Stochastic can already be done tonight. Also, its just that the potential for prices to rise again is very large, but if you are ready if you are exposed to floating around 100 pips or more, you can open an entry now, because on the other hand there is an analysis that uses the moving average indicator saying that the trend is now going down because the price has crosses its moving average indicator.
    Attachment 455143

    2022-01-24   10:43
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    The euro/dollar pair is testing the 100-day moving average on the 4-hour chart.
    Therefore, it is possible to open short positions at the current levels to reach the resistance line of 1.1379 at the 61.8% Fibonacci level.

    However, if the price goes below the 1.1300 mark, purchases will no longer be relevant.
    If the pair can consolidate above 1.1379 today or tomorrow, it will likely continue trading upwards.

    In my opinion, the most likely scenario suggests that the pair will resume its decline when the price reaches the level of 1.1379.

    The attachment
    2022-01-21   11:31
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    Most trading instruments showed unstable trading activity.
    Attachment 455929
    The EUR/USD pair rushed upwards. However, the commodities market and bitcoin dropped sharply.
    As for the euro/dollar, I expect the pair to grow within the current upward channel. The price may rise again to 1.1385 during the day or even to 1.1400. I consider selling the pair at these levels. The strongest supports are located at 1.1300 and 1.1280, from where the pair received upward momentum during the Asian session.
    Therefore, the pair is unlikely to go below 1.1270. However, if it plunges below 1.1270, it may trigger a lot of buyers stop-loss orders.

    The attachment
    2022-01-19   14:00
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    On the 4-hour chart, the target was located at 1.1334-1.1314 yesterday. The price reached the target at 1.1314 and started consolidating on the M15 chart.
    As a rule, the price usually continues its trend after reaching its targets. I have targets located at 1.1533-1.1579, which the price has not tested yet.
    Now, I will try to explain why the pair declined. The nearest pullback area is at 1.1457-1.1480 when the price is in an intraday consolidation and breaks out of it. The pair touched this area and began to form the pullback with targets at 1.1334-1.1314.
    Currently, the price reached this area and is hovering at 1.1314. I consider the pair is likely to grow from this level and may climb to 1.1533-1.1579.

    The attachment
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    Default EUR/USD

    Quote Originally Posted by PhantomTrader79     
    Yesterday's D1 time frame candle: strong bearish doji
    General direction: bearish
    Expectation: down
    Short commentary: We have a strong "caution" candle yesterday so this might signal a breakout. Watch out for hints to where the market might be heading out.

    Yesterday's D1 time frame candle: strong bearish candle
    General direction: bearish
    Expectation: down
    Short commentary: The doubt is solved and the market is moving down. Consider only opening short instead of long position.


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    EUR / USD remains heavily bearish.
    After found support in the 1.1480 area, EUR / USD failed to recover above the 1.1530 threshold. This has revived the decline, and we are back to the 1.1450 area. Note the quick wick to 1.1515 which is due to a break and downward acceleration of USD / JPY.

    However, EUR / USD has quickly corrected downward. This shows that the pair will have trouble bouncing in the very short term.
    The risks therefore seem more downward, and this should remain the case as we move below 1.1530.

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    technical analysis of eur/usd is strong bearish trend today.
    pivot point. 1.1477

    Resistance level. 1.1570

    Supporting level. 1.1400

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    The euro was seriously pushed yesterday.
    During the European session, the put level was being worked out well, but with the arrival of the Americans, the situation changed. The sharpest upward impulse served as a good opportunity to another approach in the opposite direction for major traders. There were too many traders in the market inorder to buy the euro "at a discount".
    Such a maneuver clearly had an impact on the changes in the optional trend.
    And the trend changed in the opposite direction. At 1.1550, call orders dominated, which naturally affected the price.
    Before the breakout of 1.1474 occurred, the growth option remained relevant, but after the breakout and consolidation lower, further growth, at least until the European session, would be unlikely.

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    Changes in open interest.
    According to the results of the previous day, a rather significant outflow of put options turned out to be at the level of 1.1550 at futures prices.
    Consolidation amounted to 1,708 contracts. This was a very big decrease in insurance.
    Earlier, I assumed several options for the situation development, but the second one was used, namely:
    Outflow of put options relates to the fact that that a strong decline is expected and insurance is not necessary at this level.
    Everything is clear about the first situation. I myself expect a growth from the range of 1.1485 - 1.1474.
    Yesterday, we managed to decline by 30 points below the critical level. We'll see today what the inflow or outflow of open interest will be at different levels.
    In the range of 1.1700 at futures prices, there is a maximum open interest on call options.
    Maximum open interest on put options is around 1.1550.
    Tomorrow, there will be an expiration of the weekly contract, therefore it is clearly desirable that the price should be between two important levels, so that option sellers do not lose their funds.

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    Trading plan.
    The price is trading below yesterday's area for purchases.
    At the moment, I have two purchases, I will not close them yet.
    The entry price for the first purchase turned out to be 1.1505.
    Profit order will be set at 1.1605 and stop order will be placed at 1.1405.
    The second limit purchase is opened from the borders of the critical level for reduction. The entry price turned out to be 1.1480. The level for profit order is at 1.1580 and the stop order level is at 1.1380.
    The risk in transactions is 3% of the deposit.

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    The downside risks have strengthened, the first support at 1.1508 has been broken. Although 1.1431 is a strong support, but I expect a fall to 1.1411. There is also a risk of testing the recent low at 1.1301.

    Only a return above 1.1625 would neutralize the chart and allow an increase to the 1.1790 / 1.1815 area.
    Im still thinking euro will rise for the medium term, but there is still work to be done.
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    Today's intraday trading does not differ from yesterday's one, as today, I expect almost the same movement as yesterday.
    Also, I expect a downward movement during the Asian session, so I will make a purchase from the bottom to the top.
    As for the details of the movement, the southern scenario is still relevant. Within the day, the cancellation of the south is a breakout of 1.1480, the targets are below - 1.1430 and 1.1390. At the moment, the price is developing which indicates a southern impulse. Therefore, during the Asian session, I expect a downward movement, the price will be driven back. Later, we will see where it is pulled back and stopped, and then well make decisions for adding sales. The rebounding levels are 1.1480 and 1.1510. Well, a breakout will speed up the pullback, but do not forget that after the pullback, it is still expected to go down, so while we should not wait for the strong north.

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    As for the trading range for today, the top is 1.1610, the bottom is 1.1345.
    As for the levels confirming the directions, the top is 1.1527, the bottom is 1.1479. At the moment, just like yesterday, we are starting the day with the southern confirmation, and are already below the level.

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    Today, I expect a good activity on this pair.
    A brief analysis of the current situation and trading plan.

    After a strong impulse, the pair was able to ease up during the Asian session and stopped at the level of 1.1460.
    And here's where it gets interesting.

    The fact is that a local minimum of 1.1430 is to be broken ahead.
    For this we need to tank up. That is what the pair will do during the European session.
    I expect that the breakout will be over the level of 1.1430, and during the American session, the level will be broken.

    Currently, the borders of disbalance are at the levels of 1.1520 and 1.1480.

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    What is the action plan?

    Everything is simple:
    1. I expect a pullback to the north in the area of about 1.1480 and will add a sale there.
    2. I we go higher, in the area of 1.1520, I will add. In this case, stop orders will be above the level of 1.1540.
    3. I expect a breakout of the local minimum and a movement to the 14th figure.
    4. The part of consolidation will be at the level of 1.14, while another part (if the market gives such an opportunity) will be at 1.1380.


    It's too early for purchases. The price can still go to the overlow in the area of the 14th figure.
    At this level, or even lower (right up to 1.1343), we will be able to open purchases.
    That's where yesterday major players added a decent amount of put options.
    That is, they hedged their transactions from falling below the specified prices in such a way.
    Therefore, it's quite possible to use the 14th figure today.

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    I expect the northern pullback, after which I will continue to conquer the 14th figure.
    It's most likely to be the last dash for bears.
    But they are unlikely to be able to reach 1.15. I am planning to enter a bit earlier at a price of 1.1480.
    It's also possible that before a downward movement, the price may hang out in the range of 1.1520 1.1450.

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    yesterday before market closing eur usd recover 100 green pips and closed daily bullish candle however as stoshtic oscillator and parabolic sar on daily time frame given good sell signal and also eur usd is under good bearish trend for intra day so next week we can sold eur usd at 1.6000 with tp 1.5000 just for intra day
    Daily Strong Resistance at = 1.1655
    Daily Minor Resistance at= 1.1594
    Pivot Point at = 1.1492
    Daily strong Support at = 1.1451
    Minore Support at = 1.3907

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    technical analysis of eur/usd is bearish trend today.
    pivot point. 1.1494

    Resistance level. 1.1630

    supporting level. 1.1400

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    Today, as for the intraday trading, I expect a pullback to the levels of 1.1470-1.1460 on M15, but there is a chance that it can be done through the 1.1550 level.
    Today, I expect a movement to the south or through the level of 1.1550. And after the descent, my expectations are northern, but most likely this will not happen today, since it will take a lot of time to move around these levels, but if we go south through the level of 1.1550, the probability is much greater, then after the downward pullback, we will have no chance of going north, but today Ill take 1.1550 and 1.1460, this is my range. I would buy here, but today is Monday, there is no rush. But if we get the level of 1.1550, I will make a purchase there.

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    As for the trading range for today, the top is 1.1590, the bottom is 1.1400. So far, the price is thinking about the level to conquer, well, let it think, no need to rush.
    As for the levels confirming the directions, the top is 1.1499, the bottom is 1.1432, the situation is very interesting, we are currently above 1.1499, but before the arrival of Europe, the price is often below this level, and this is the first sign that something is not right with the north.
    Well, while I stick to my previous plan, I expect a pullback down, then a signal to the north. So far, I will not change plans, until my targets are broken.
    So, I wish everyone successful trading.

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