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    2022-01-12   16:30
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    H4 time frame analysis:
    Hello my all friends Good night for the situation in the H4 time frame, we see that the price has experienced a back-and-forth movement, aka in a sideway state. In fact, we see that the sideway movement has been happening for almost a week, and this is a fairly long sideway movement. And every time there is a longer sideway, the bigger the new trend movement that will be formed later. And in this movement we see that there is still a buy momentum candle there, so there will be an attempt by the price to try to move up again according to the direction of the buy momentum candle. And the data has also been strengthened, which at this time the price has managed to break through and break above the MA50 line, meaning that the bullish trend pattern has re-formed so that the price in the future is likely to be bullish again. And if we look at the shape of the Bollinger band, the shape has started to open up again, the bulls pattern has been formed again. And Next, lets look at the H1 time frame:
    Attachment 452341
    H1 time frame analysis:
    Movement of the EUR/USD the H1 time frame, it is clearly observed that the price still tends to be dominated by buyers, this can be seen by the large bullish candle there that occurred yesterday. So the biggest possibility is that the bullish bias trend will continue until tonight and the bullish bias is also directly supported by the moving average indicator with a period of 200, which is still below the current price. That way, I will try to look for opportunities to buy options by taking advantage of the nearest support area.Then, if it continues on the stochastic oscillator indicator, it will also be observed that the price is still above the 20 level line, but in my opinion, it will soon enter the 20 level zone. Now, when the price gets there, I will take the initiative to buy in the yellow box area by placing a stop loss at 1.1338, while the take profit that I want to achieve will be at the price level of 1.1526. So that the risk reward.
    Attachment 452338

    The attachment
    2022-01-12   13:04
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    Today, we have several moments to pay attention to. In particular, the euro seems to grow considerably against the US dollar. This growth is slow at the moment. Yesterday, however, I expected the price to pull back to the downside and decline from the level of 1.1370. Yet we can see that bulls are determined to test the upper band of the TMA indicator on the H4 time frame, and the pair is currently trading at 1.1375.
    So, there is still the risk that the pair will retest the local low of December 31 at 1.1385. It is already too late to open long positions on the pair. They will become relevant only after a breakout of the current local high and the emergence of a new candlestick on H4 above this level.
    On the other hand, we can try to sell near the mark of 1.1385 but with Stop Loss within the 1.14 area, that is, not lower than 1.1420. If the reversal occurs, we can consider selling the pair only after the price settles below 1.1367, even below the 1.13 zone. Anyway, it is up to you which strategy to choose. However, Id like to mention that the Stochastic indicator on H4 has already entered the overbought zone. It means limited growth potential for EUR/USD.

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    2022-01-14   11:46
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    All yesterdays attempts of the euro to decline on lower time frames looked rather like corrective movements. There is no proper descending wave at the moment. That is why I can assume that the uptrend will continue but not too far.
    The quote is likely to fall from 1.1494, and its a good idea to sell at this point. We should also keep in mind that today is Friday, and the pair may well keep climbing upwards till the end of the day.
    As for the pound, the price cautiously tried to decline after touching the level of the mandatory zone at 1.3747. Well, its not over yet, and the pair continues to move according to the blue-line scenario.
    But at the end of the week, everything is possible. There is still a possibility that the price will follow the red-line scenario and drop below 1.3700.
    At this level, it may form a small wedge pattern which indicates the beginning of a downtrend. Friday is not the best time to expect a reversal. If there is such an indication on the chart, we need to monitor it.

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    2022-01-11   12:20
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    As a result of yesterdays slump of the EUR/USD quotes, my expectations did not meet as the price failed to reach the level of 1.1275, and I couldnt buy the pair. So, I completed only a quarter of my trades. Ive been monitoring the pair for quite a long time and I noticed that it is limited below by two levels, not one. The first level is near 1.1286 (well-known support at 1.1290), and the second is 1.1275.
    Attachment 451843
    That is why when I sell the euro, I set two Take Profit orders, one of which was triggered yesterday. Unfortunately, the second TP and pending sell orders failed to act. The upside potential of the euro is limited above by two resistance levels. The first resistance is in the middle of the 1.13 area, and the second one is located near 1.1370, crossing the upper bands of the TMA indicator. This is what our trading strategy should be based on.
    In general, the quotes of the pair are moving within the sideways channel on the H4 timeframe. Ive already mentioned the boundaries of this channel. So its a good idea to trade from its boundaries. This is exactly what Im going to do now by selling the euro once again from 1.1350. In case the rise continues, I will add more positions near the level of 1.1370. And you already know where a Take Profit should be set.

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    2022-01-13   10:20
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    Sometimes traders tend to wait for the price to break out of a consolidation. Once the price has finished its consolidation, traders start to frantically buy or sell the pair because the price has already gone far away.

    However, it always gains volumes and only then begins to move towards its targets. I dont have to guess what these targets are. The price usually reaches them with a 90% probability. At the moment, the target is at 1.1533-1.1579.

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    2022-01-11   10:14
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    The trading pair has formed a trading range. It can confirm by its position yesterday.
    The price touched 1.1300 but did not pierce this level and rebounded from it.
    The pair began trading sideways within the channel.
    It failed to break through the upper boundary of the sideways channel, so it may attempt to break through the lower boundary today.
    Firstly, the pair will reach Fibo 161% or 1.1244 and then Fibo 261% or 1.1170.
    The price may rebound from 1.1244, but this rebound is short-term.

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    Default EUR/USD

    Quote Originally Posted by PhantomTrader79     
    Yesterday's D1 time frame candle: strong bearish doji
    General direction: bearish
    Expectation: down
    Short commentary: We have a strong "caution" candle yesterday so this might signal a breakout. Watch out for hints to where the market might be heading out.

    Yesterday's D1 time frame candle: strong bearish candle
    General direction: bearish
    Expectation: down
    Short commentary: The doubt is solved and the market is moving down. Consider only opening short instead of long position.


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    EUR / USD remains heavily bearish.
    After found support in the 1.1480 area, EUR / USD failed to recover above the 1.1530 threshold. This has revived the decline, and we are back to the 1.1450 area. Note the quick wick to 1.1515 which is due to a break and downward acceleration of USD / JPY.

    However, EUR / USD has quickly corrected downward. This shows that the pair will have trouble bouncing in the very short term.
    The risks therefore seem more downward, and this should remain the case as we move below 1.1530.

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    technical analysis of eur/usd is strong bearish trend today.
    pivot point. 1.1477

    Resistance level. 1.1570

    Supporting level. 1.1400

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    The euro was seriously pushed yesterday.
    During the European session, the put level was being worked out well, but with the arrival of the Americans, the situation changed. The sharpest upward impulse served as a good opportunity to another approach in the opposite direction for major traders. There were too many traders in the market inorder to buy the euro "at a discount".
    Such a maneuver clearly had an impact on the changes in the optional trend.
    And the trend changed in the opposite direction. At 1.1550, call orders dominated, which naturally affected the price.
    Before the breakout of 1.1474 occurred, the growth option remained relevant, but after the breakout and consolidation lower, further growth, at least until the European session, would be unlikely.

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    Changes in open interest.
    According to the results of the previous day, a rather significant outflow of put options turned out to be at the level of 1.1550 at futures prices.
    Consolidation amounted to 1,708 contracts. This was a very big decrease in insurance.
    Earlier, I assumed several options for the situation development, but the second one was used, namely:
    Outflow of put options relates to the fact that that a strong decline is expected and insurance is not necessary at this level.
    Everything is clear about the first situation. I myself expect a growth from the range of 1.1485 - 1.1474.
    Yesterday, we managed to decline by 30 points below the critical level. We'll see today what the inflow or outflow of open interest will be at different levels.
    In the range of 1.1700 at futures prices, there is a maximum open interest on call options.
    Maximum open interest on put options is around 1.1550.
    Tomorrow, there will be an expiration of the weekly contract, therefore it is clearly desirable that the price should be between two important levels, so that option sellers do not lose their funds.

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    Trading plan.
    The price is trading below yesterday's area for purchases.
    At the moment, I have two purchases, I will not close them yet.
    The entry price for the first purchase turned out to be 1.1505.
    Profit order will be set at 1.1605 and stop order will be placed at 1.1405.
    The second limit purchase is opened from the borders of the critical level for reduction. The entry price turned out to be 1.1480. The level for profit order is at 1.1580 and the stop order level is at 1.1380.
    The risk in transactions is 3% of the deposit.

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    The downside risks have strengthened, the first support at 1.1508 has been broken. Although 1.1431 is a strong support, but I expect a fall to 1.1411. There is also a risk of testing the recent low at 1.1301.

    Only a return above 1.1625 would neutralize the chart and allow an increase to the 1.1790 / 1.1815 area.
    Im still thinking euro will rise for the medium term, but there is still work to be done.
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    Today's intraday trading does not differ from yesterday's one, as today, I expect almost the same movement as yesterday.
    Also, I expect a downward movement during the Asian session, so I will make a purchase from the bottom to the top.
    As for the details of the movement, the southern scenario is still relevant. Within the day, the cancellation of the south is a breakout of 1.1480, the targets are below - 1.1430 and 1.1390. At the moment, the price is developing which indicates a southern impulse. Therefore, during the Asian session, I expect a downward movement, the price will be driven back. Later, we will see where it is pulled back and stopped, and then well make decisions for adding sales. The rebounding levels are 1.1480 and 1.1510. Well, a breakout will speed up the pullback, but do not forget that after the pullback, it is still expected to go down, so while we should not wait for the strong north.

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    As for the trading range for today, the top is 1.1610, the bottom is 1.1345.
    As for the levels confirming the directions, the top is 1.1527, the bottom is 1.1479. At the moment, just like yesterday, we are starting the day with the southern confirmation, and are already below the level.

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    Today, I expect a good activity on this pair.
    A brief analysis of the current situation and trading plan.

    After a strong impulse, the pair was able to ease up during the Asian session and stopped at the level of 1.1460.
    And here's where it gets interesting.

    The fact is that a local minimum of 1.1430 is to be broken ahead.
    For this we need to tank up. That is what the pair will do during the European session.
    I expect that the breakout will be over the level of 1.1430, and during the American session, the level will be broken.

    Currently, the borders of disbalance are at the levels of 1.1520 and 1.1480.

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    What is the action plan?

    Everything is simple:
    1. I expect a pullback to the north in the area of about 1.1480 and will add a sale there.
    2. I we go higher, in the area of 1.1520, I will add. In this case, stop orders will be above the level of 1.1540.
    3. I expect a breakout of the local minimum and a movement to the 14th figure.
    4. The part of consolidation will be at the level of 1.14, while another part (if the market gives such an opportunity) will be at 1.1380.


    It's too early for purchases. The price can still go to the overlow in the area of the 14th figure.
    At this level, or even lower (right up to 1.1343), we will be able to open purchases.
    That's where yesterday major players added a decent amount of put options.
    That is, they hedged their transactions from falling below the specified prices in such a way.
    Therefore, it's quite possible to use the 14th figure today.

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    I expect the northern pullback, after which I will continue to conquer the 14th figure.
    It's most likely to be the last dash for bears.
    But they are unlikely to be able to reach 1.15. I am planning to enter a bit earlier at a price of 1.1480.
    It's also possible that before a downward movement, the price may hang out in the range of 1.1520 1.1450.

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    yesterday before market closing eur usd recover 100 green pips and closed daily bullish candle however as stoshtic oscillator and parabolic sar on daily time frame given good sell signal and also eur usd is under good bearish trend for intra day so next week we can sold eur usd at 1.6000 with tp 1.5000 just for intra day
    Daily Strong Resistance at = 1.1655
    Daily Minor Resistance at= 1.1594
    Pivot Point at = 1.1492
    Daily strong Support at = 1.1451
    Minore Support at = 1.3907

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    technical analysis of eur/usd is bearish trend today.
    pivot point. 1.1494

    Resistance level. 1.1630

    supporting level. 1.1400

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    Today, as for the intraday trading, I expect a pullback to the levels of 1.1470-1.1460 on M15, but there is a chance that it can be done through the 1.1550 level.
    Today, I expect a movement to the south or through the level of 1.1550. And after the descent, my expectations are northern, but most likely this will not happen today, since it will take a lot of time to move around these levels, but if we go south through the level of 1.1550, the probability is much greater, then after the downward pullback, we will have no chance of going north, but today Ill take 1.1550 and 1.1460, this is my range. I would buy here, but today is Monday, there is no rush. But if we get the level of 1.1550, I will make a purchase there.

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    As for the trading range for today, the top is 1.1590, the bottom is 1.1400. So far, the price is thinking about the level to conquer, well, let it think, no need to rush.
    As for the levels confirming the directions, the top is 1.1499, the bottom is 1.1432, the situation is very interesting, we are currently above 1.1499, but before the arrival of Europe, the price is often below this level, and this is the first sign that something is not right with the north.
    Well, while I stick to my previous plan, I expect a pullback down, then a signal to the north. So far, I will not change plans, until my targets are broken.
    So, I wish everyone successful trading.

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